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Adelaide Lightning W vs Dandenong W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2014
Tip-off: 06:45
Final 84-64
21-19 27-10 21-24 15-11
Position#5
Record6-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game70.9
vs
Position#3
Record10-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game73.1
AustraliaNBL WRound 13
Women2013-14
Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v Dandenong W
10 Nov 2018
ADEL99
DAND74
02 Nov 2017
ADEL81
DAND83
21 Jan 2017
ADEL58
DAND85
09 Dec 2016
ADEL64
DAND79
08 Jan 2016
ADEL63
DAND79
06 Dec 2015
ADEL72
DAND70
13 Feb 2015
ADEL89
DAND71
23 Oct 2014
ADEL68
DAND63
15 Feb 2014
ADEL88
DAND82
04 Jan 2014
ADEL84
DAND64
16 Nov 2012
ADEL79
DAND88
04 Mar 2012
ADEL78
DAND91
18 Feb 2012
ADEL51
DAND82
12 Nov 2011
ADEL78
DAND76
08 Oct 2010
ADEL80
DAND94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dandenong W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#6
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A26/10
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
93-41
93
41
+52
H03/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#4
L
53-75
53
75
-22
A09/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H16/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H22/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A30/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#4
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A01/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
63-62
63
62
+1
A07/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#4
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H15/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H22/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
16-18
22-17
26-24
26-4
20-18
26-6
21-13
18-19
14-29
13-13
8-14
22-14
16-18
13-13
18-23
13-26
18-20
16-16
29-22
17-17
27-24
4-24
17-13
26-25
11-20
16-22
18-18
18-16
16-13
9-15
20-18
13-20
17-6
10-18
18-22
26-13
7-15
19-27
15-20
141.6Avg total
70.0Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)70.570.9141.5-0.440%
Season at home (8)73.967.5141.4+6.450%
Season away (7)66.774.9141.6-8.129%
Last 10 (10)70.071.6141.6-1.640%
Last 5 (5)64.873.2138.0-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)67.274.0141.2-6.820%
vs Similar (10)72.973.0145.9-0.160%
vs Weaker (15)79.464.3143.7+15.173%
This opponent (Dandenong W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dandenong WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
90-36
90
36
+54
H26/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
51-63
51
63
-12
H31/10
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#7
W
92-86
92
86
+6
A02/11
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#7
L
85-93
85
93
-8
H09/11
NBL W
Logan W
#8
W
95-82
95
82
+13
H15/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A16/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#4
W
72-57
72
57
+15
H30/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
79-58
79
58
+21
A07/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
100-85
100
85
+15
H14/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A20/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-4
26-9
22-11
20-12
11-16
14-15
17-12
9-20
21-17
23-24
16-21
32-24
25-27
22-24
17-20
21-22
31-23
20-18
20-19
24-22
16-21
13-17
21-23
17-15
19-21
18-10
15-17
20-9
22-16
22-18
16-10
19-14
21-25
35-30
19-16
25-14
29-18
17-22
19-20
7-19
151.8Avg total
80.3Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.973.1155.0+8.971%
Season at home (8)85.073.5158.5+11.575%
Season away (6)77.872.5150.3+5.367%
Last 10 (10)80.371.5151.8+8.860%
Last 5 (5)78.071.0149.0+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)61.571.0132.5-9.50%
vs Similar (5)74.279.2153.4-5.020%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)86.970.9157.8+16.087%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.3+2.3
Adelaide Lightning WDandenong W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A26/10
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
46-22
46
22
+24
H03/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#4
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A09/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H16/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H22/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A30/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#4
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A01/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A07/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#4
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H15/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H22/12
NBL W
72.0Avg total
36.2Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.034.972.9+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.031.270.2+7.876%-
Last 30 away (13)36.739.776.4-3.031%-
Last 10 (10)36.235.872.0+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)35.633.869.4+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.636.072.6+0.680%-
vs Similar (10)34.836.871.6-2.030%-
vs Weaker (15)40.633.373.9+7.367%-
This opponent (Dandenong W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dandenong WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
48-13
48
13
+35
H26/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H31/10
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A02/11
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#7
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H09/11
NBL W
Logan W
#8
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H15/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A16/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#4
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H30/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A07/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H14/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A20/12
NBL W
80.2Avg total
42.7Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.537.581.0+6.180%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.837.681.4+6.181%-
Last 30 away (14)43.337.380.6+6.079%-
Last 10 (10)42.737.580.2+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.682.0+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.535.571.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (5)42.639.281.8+3.480%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)44.437.381.7+7.283%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/13HTownsville W67-75
15/12/13HGeelong United W58-66
07/12/13ASydney W63-62
01/12/13AGeelong United W71-85
30/11/13ABendigo W65-78
22/11/13HBendigo W76-84
16/11/13HTownsville W69-68
09/11/13AGeelong United W53-75
03/11/13HPerth Lynx W93-41
26/10/13ASydney W85-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/13ABendigo W72-79
14/12/13HSydney W100-85
07/12/13APerth Lynx W79-58
30/11/13HGeelong United W72-57
16/11/13ASydney W67-76
15/11/13HLogan W95-82
09/11/13HCanberra C. Acad. W85-93
02/11/13ACanberra C. Acad. W92-86
31/10/13HBendigo W51-63
26/10/13HPerth Lynx W90-36

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2013-14
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL40%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayWLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %40%50%29%
Points / game70.573.966.7
Allowed / game70.967.574.9
Point differential-0.4+6.4-8.1
Avg total141.5141.4141.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dandenong W
NBL W 2013-14
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL71%
HomeLLWWW75%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game81.985.077.8
Allowed / game73.173.572.5
Point differential+8.9+11.5+5.3
Avg total155.0158.5150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%62%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W1514193%77.163.5+13.5
2 Dandenong W1410471%81.973.1+8.9
3 Geelong United W1410471%68.062.8+5.2
4 Townsville W1510567%79.668.5+11.1
5 Sydney W156940%74.773.7+1.0
6 Adelaide Lightning W156940%70.570.9-0.4
7 Logan W1661038%74.179.2-5.1
8 Canberra C. Acad. W1651131%75.079.5-4.5
9 Perth Lynx W161156%55.982.2-26.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide Lightning W2127211584
Dandenong W1910241164
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