Adelaide Lightning W vs Geelong United W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Jan 2016

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 70-47

19-17 13-6 21-14 17-10

Position#7

Record6-12

FormWLLWL

Points / game70.6

Allowed / game80.2

Adelaide Lightning W 🏆

Geelong United W

Position#8

Record7-12

FormLLLLL

Points / game73.2

Allowed / game74.7

NBL W

Women2015-16

Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v Geelong United W

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Geelong United W winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth Lynx W

85-93

-8

A20/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

73-89

-16

H29/11

NBL W

Sydney W

94-67

+27

A04/12

NBL W

Dandenong W

72-70

H06/12

NBL W

SEQ Stars W

61-72

-11

H13/12

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

75-68

H19/12

NBL W

Townsville W

60-88

-28

H02/01

NBL W

Dandenong W

63-79

-16

H08/01

NBL W

Dandenong W

77-63

+14

A22/01

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

67-76

-9

A24/01

NBL W

22-20

15-20

29-29

19-24

20-25

22-22

17-24

14-18

20-21

23-15

25-14

26-17

21-26

14-15

18-21

19-8

10-30

16-13

14-14

21-15

18-8

14-25

19-24

24-11

19-29

19-18

15-20

7-21

18-16

21-19

11-21

13-23

19-11

22-25

20-20

16-7

12-19

15-12

27-24

13-21

149.2Avg total

72.7Scored

76.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	70.6	80.2	150.7	-9.6	33%
Season at home (9)	67.0	76.3	143.3	-9.3	33%
Season away (9)	74.1	84.0	158.1	-9.9	33%
Last 10 (10)	72.7	76.5	149.2	-3.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	68.4	74.8	143.2	-6.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)	69.5	80.1	149.6	-10.6	28%
vs Similar ◀ (3)	73.7	71.0	144.7	+2.7	67%
vs Weaker (2)	76.5	69.5	146.0	+7.0	100%

This opponent (Geelong United W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Geelong United W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo W

78-58

+20

H21/11

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

66-61

A28/11

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

73-84

-11

H05/12

NBL W

Bendigo W

70-65

A12/12

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

78-75

H13/12

NBL W

Dandenong W

70-76

-6

A18/12

NBL W

Sydney W

62-65

-3

H19/12

NBL W

Sydney W

78-86

-8

A02/01

NBL W

Bendigo W

74-81

-7

A09/01

NBL W

Dandenong W

67-72

-5

H25/01

NBL W

17-20

22-13

21-15

18-10

13-18

20-13

21-12

12-18

21-25

20-15

13-21

19-23

11-10

24-19

16-21

19-15

29-16

13-21

12-19

24-19

12-20

21-18

18-19

19-19

15-10

11-14

20-9

16-32

29-21

15-18

19-21

15-26

28-16

18-23

9-26

19-16

16-13

16-18

22-23

13-18

143.9Avg total

71.6Scored

72.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	73.2	74.7	147.9	-1.6	37%
Season at home (9)	74.1	73.0	147.1	+1.1	44%
Season away (10)	72.3	76.3	148.6	-4.0	30%
Last 10 (10)	71.6	72.3	143.9	-0.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	70.2	76.0	146.2	-5.8	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	71.3	78.5	149.8	-7.2	16%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	79.0	73.8	152.8	+5.2	60%
vs Weaker (6)	78.0	64.2	142.2	+13.8	100%

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Adelaide Lightning WGeelong United W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	21.3	38.9	-3.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	21.2	39.7	-2.8	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.7	21.4	38.1	-4.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	20.5	38.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	16.6	33.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)	16.8	22.1	38.8	-5.3	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	23.0	19.3	42.3	+3.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	14.5	35.0	+6.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.3	39.5	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.5	19.3	38.8	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	19.4	40.1	+1.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	16.9	36.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.0	36.0	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	19.3	19.5	38.7	-0.2	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	22.0	22.8	44.8	-0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.5	16.0	37.5	+5.5	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	19.9	37.5	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	17.9	36.3	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.7	22.1	38.9	-5.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.4	36.5	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.8	38.0	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.9	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	16.3	18.7	35.0	-2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	15.5	22.0	37.5	-6.5	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.2	38.0	-0.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	19.1	38.9	+0.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	19.4	37.1	-1.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	17.2	35.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.2	34.4	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	18.1	20.2	38.3	-2.1	26%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.5	16.0	34.5	+2.5	67%	-

Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth Lynx W

37-40

-3

A20/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

42-47

-5

H29/11

NBL W

Sydney W

43-36

A04/12

NBL W

Dandenong W

35-41

-6

H06/12

NBL W

SEQ Stars W

26-43

-17

H13/12

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

32-33

-1

H19/12

NBL W

Townsville W

38-47

-9

H02/01

NBL W

Dandenong W

39-35

H08/01

NBL W

Dandenong W

41-36

A22/01

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

27-31

-4

A24/01

NBL W

74.9Avg total

36.0Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.3	41.2	76.4	-5.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.9	39.1	76.0	-2.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.4	43.5	76.9	-10.1	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	38.9	74.9	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	36.4	71.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)	34.7	41.9	76.6	-7.2	28%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	39.3	38.0	77.3	+1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	36.0	36.5	72.5	-0.5	0%	-

This opponent (Geelong United W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Geelong United WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo W

39-33

H21/11

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

33-31

A28/11

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

41-40

H05/12

NBL W

Bendigo W

35-29

A12/12

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

42-37

H13/12

NBL W

Dandenong W

33-38

-5

A18/12

NBL W

Sydney W

26-24

H19/12

NBL W

Sydney W

44-39

A02/01

NBL W

Bendigo W

46-39

A09/01

NBL W

Dandenong W

32-31

H25/01

NBL W

71.2Avg total

37.1Scored

34.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	38.6	77.5	+0.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.4	38.4	77.7	+1.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.5	38.8	77.2	-0.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	34.1	71.2	+3.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	34.2	70.4	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	37.4	39.7	77.1	-2.3	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	43.4	42.2	85.6	+1.2	80%	-
vs Weaker (6)	40.0	32.0	72.0	+8.0	100%	-

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	19.8	37.5	-2.2	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.0	18.3	34.3	-2.3	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	21.6	41.1	-2.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.1	40.6	-1.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	21.8	40.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)	17.7	20.6	38.3	-2.9	24%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	17.0	13.7	30.7	+3.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	19.5	37.5	-1.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	17.5	34.6	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	16.9	35.6	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.8	17.9	33.8	-2.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	18.6	35.7	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	19.6	37.2	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	16.3	18.6	34.8	-2.3	37%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	18.2	15.2	33.4	+3.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.2	15.8	35.0	+3.3	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	17.5	35.0	-0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.9	16.4	33.3	+0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	18.8	36.9	-0.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	16.5	33.7	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	16.6	31.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)	17.1	17.6	34.7	-0.5	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	17.3	19.3	36.7	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	13.5	36.0	+9.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	18.3	35.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.1	18.9	36.0	-1.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	17.8	35.6	+0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	19.6	37.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	22.2	38.6	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	17.1	19.4	36.5	-2.3	26%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	17.4	16.4	33.8	+1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.8	16.3	35.2	+2.5	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.1	37.3	72.5	-2.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	32.9	34.7	67.6	-1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.6	40.4	78.0	-2.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	37.6	74.3	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.0	38.4	71.4	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)	34.8	38.2	73.0	-3.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	34.3	33.0	67.3	+1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	40.5	33.0	73.5	+7.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.7	35.8	70.4	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.8	35.9	71.6	-0.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.7	35.7	69.4	-2.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.5	38.2	72.7	-3.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	41.8	75.8	-7.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	33.4	38.0	71.4	-4.6	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	35.6	31.6	67.2	+4.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (6)	38.0	32.2	70.2	+5.8	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide Lightning W wins

Geelong United W wins

Date	Game	Score
10/10/15	Geelong United W v Adelaide Lightning W	94-72
10/01/15	Geelong United W v Adelaide Lightning W	96-66
12/12/14	Adelaide Lightning W v Geelong United W	59-73
22/11/14	Geelong United W v Adelaide Lightning W	78-61
15/12/13	Adelaide Lightning W v Geelong United W	58-66
01/12/13	Geelong United W v Adelaide Lightning W	85-71
09/11/13	Geelong United W v Adelaide Lightning W	75-53
15/02/13	Geelong United W v Adelaide Lightning W	73-88
21/12/12	Adelaide Lightning W v Geelong United W	69-59
04/11/12	Adelaide Lightning W v Geelong United W	74-55

Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/01/16	A	Perth Lynx W	67-76
22/01/16	A	Dandenong W	77-63
08/01/16	H	Dandenong W	63-79
02/01/16	H	Townsville W	60-88
19/12/15	H	Canberra C. Acad. W	75-68
13/12/15	H	SEQ Stars W	61-72
06/12/15	H	Dandenong W	72-70
04/12/15	A	Sydney W	94-67
29/11/15	H	Bendigo W	73-89
20/11/15	A	Perth Lynx W	85-93

Geelong United Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/01/16	H	Dandenong W	67-72
09/01/16	A	Bendigo W	74-81
02/01/16	A	Sydney W	78-86
19/12/15	H	Sydney W	62-65
18/12/15	A	Dandenong W	70-76
13/12/15	H	Canberra C. Acad. W	78-75
12/12/15	A	Bendigo W	70-65
05/12/15	H	Perth Lynx W	73-84
28/11/15	A	Canberra C. Acad. W	66-61
21/11/15	H	Bendigo W	78-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W

NBL W 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	33%
Home	WLWLL	33%
Away	WLWWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	33%	33%	33%
Points / game	70.6	67.0	74.1
Allowed / game	80.2	76.3	84.0
Point differential	-9.6	-9.3	-9.9
Avg total	150.7	143.3	158.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	0%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Geelong United W

NBL W 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	37%
Home	WLWLL	44%
Away	WWLLL	30%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	37%	44%	30%
Points / game	73.2	74.1	72.3
Allowed / game	74.7	73.0	76.3
Point differential	-1.6	+1.1	-4.0
Avg total	147.9	147.1	148.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	16%	22%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	33% (3)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Perth Lynx W	19	13	6	68%	78.7	71.6	+7.2
2	Townsville W	18	12	6	67%	82.3	73.1	+9.2
3	Dandenong W	19	12	7	63%	73.1	70.8	+2.3
4	Sydney W	19	12	7	63%	77.1	74.8	+2.3
5	Bendigo W	19	12	7	63%	74.1	72.3	+1.8
6	SEQ Stars W	18	10	8	56%	83.5	77.4	+6.1
7	Geelong United W	19	7	12	37%	73.2	74.7	-1.6
8	Adelaide Lightning W	18	6	12	33%	70.6	80.2	-9.6
9	Canberra C. Acad. W	19	0	19	0%	67.6	84.9	-17.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide Lightning W	19	13	21	17	70
Geelong United W	17	6	14	10	47

← all games of the day

Adelaide Lightning W vs Geelong United W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature