PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Adelaide Lightning W vs Logan W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Dec 2011
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 86-67
19-20 20-15 27-20 20-12
Position#1
Record9-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Position#7
Record6-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game70.5
AustraliaNBL WRound 10
Women2011-12
Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v Logan W
18 Jan 2014
ADEL88
LOGA68
19 Oct 2013
ADEL79
LOGA64
18 Jan 2013
ADEL97
LOGA61
10 Dec 2011
ADEL86
LOGA67
19 Dec 2010
ADEL76
LOGA85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Logan W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#5
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H14/10
NBL W
AIS W
#10
W
97-47
97
47
+50
H21/10
NBL W
AIS W
#10
W
86-59
86
59
+27
A28/10
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#8
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A29/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A05/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
61-77
61
77
-16
A06/11
NBL W
Dandenong W
#2
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H12/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H20/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A25/11
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#8
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H04/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
12-20
16-22
20-16
26-10
23-10
27-17
21-10
28-19
22-12
13-17
23-11
18-26
16-19
18-15
23-11
24-20
25-15
13-14
19-23
10-16
10-22
13-17
28-22
17-12
20-17
22-23
19-24
14-31
20-10
23-18
30-18
23-24
20-17
17-16
17-17
24-31
19-19
23-17
18-8
148.9Avg total
79.1Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.769.8150.5+10.982%
Season at home (6)84.769.2153.8+15.583%
Season away (5)76.070.6146.6+5.480%
Last 10 (10)79.169.8148.9+9.380%
Last 5 (5)77.475.8153.2+1.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)70.585.3155.8-14.77%
vs Similar (6)77.278.8156.0-1.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)84.068.0152.0+16.078%
This opponent (Logan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Logan WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#6
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H09/10
NBL W
Dandenong W
#2
W
87-80
87
80
+7
A15/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A21/10
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#8
L
57-69
57
69
-12
H23/10
NBL W
Townsville W
#4
L
74-86
74
86
-12
H28/10
NBL W
AIS W
#10
W
87-57
87
57
+30
A04/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A18/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H25/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#4
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A02/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
86-65
86
65
+21
A09/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-11
20-13
20-14
7-18
16-26
22-17
24-22
25-15
14-29
12-20
18-16
23-17
10-16
12-18
17-14
18-21
23-31
23-21
14-10
14-24
22-18
21-11
26-16
18-12
19-21
14-13
25-19
16-19
21-21
16-18
14-19
21-11
4-17
19-22
21-20
16-10
27-19
21-21
19-9
19-16
143.0Avg total
72.5Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)72.570.5143.0+2.060%
Season at home (4)66.070.0136.0-4.050%
Season away (6)76.870.8147.7+6.067%
Last 10 (10)72.570.5143.0+2.060%
Last 5 (5)75.866.4142.2+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)68.572.2140.7-3.750%
vs Similar (13)70.175.5145.5-5.438%
vs Weaker (11)79.767.3147.0+12.582%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +5.8+5.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
Adelaide Lightning WLogan W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#5
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H14/10
NBL W
AIS W
#10
W
49-20
49
20
+29
H21/10
NBL W
AIS W
#10
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A28/10
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#8
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A29/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A05/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
20-38
20
38
-18
A06/11
NBL W
Dandenong W
#2
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H12/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H20/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A25/11
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#8
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H04/12
NBL W
75.0Avg total
38.8Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)38.341.279.5-2.936%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.039.779.7+0.343%-
Last 30 away (14)36.642.679.3-6.029%-
Last 10 (10)38.836.275.0+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)35.439.875.2-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.044.179.1-9.114%-
vs Similar (6)39.240.279.3-1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.536.880.2+6.862%-
This opponent (Logan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Logan WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#6
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H09/10
NBL W
Dandenong W
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A15/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A21/10
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#8
L
22-34
22
34
-12
H23/10
NBL W
Townsville W
#4
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H28/10
NBL W
AIS W
#10
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A04/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A18/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H25/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#4
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A02/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A09/12
NBL W
73.3Avg total
35.0Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.337.673.8-1.333%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.334.769.0-0.431%-
Last 30 away (17)37.839.877.5-2.035%-
Last 10 (10)35.038.373.3-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)36.836.273.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)34.231.866.0+2.350%-
vs Similar (13)33.241.174.2-7.98%-
vs Weaker (11)41.136.577.6+4.555%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Adelaide Lightning W wins
2
Logan W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/11HCanberra C. Acad. W84-75
25/11/11ASydney W77-74
20/11/11HGeelong United W87-77
12/11/11HDandenong W78-76
06/11/11AGeelong United W61-77
05/11/11ABendigo W81-72
29/10/11ACanberra C. Acad. W75-71
28/10/11AAIS W86-59
21/10/11HAIS W97-47
14/10/11HSydney W65-70
Logan Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/11APerth Lynx W86-65
02/12/11ATownsville W60-69
25/11/11HPerth Lynx W72-69
18/11/11ASydney W74-72
04/11/11AAIS W87-57
28/10/11HTownsville W74-86
23/10/11HCanberra C. Acad. W57-69
21/10/11ASydney W67-82
15/10/11ADandenong W87-80
09/10/11HBendigo W61-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2011-12
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW82%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%83%80%
Points / game80.784.776.0
Allowed / game69.869.270.6
Point differential+10.9+15.5+5.4
Avg total150.5153.8146.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Logan W
NBL W 2011-12
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW60%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game72.566.076.8
Allowed / game70.570.070.8
Point differential+2.0-4.0+6.0
Avg total143.0136.0147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide Lightning W119282%80.769.8+10.9
2 Sydney W129375%77.771.2+6.5
3 Geelong United W107370%85.579.1+6.4
4 Townsville W128467%76.569.3+7.2
5 Dandenong W117464%81.373.9+7.4
6 Logan W106460%72.570.5+2.0
7 Bendigo W126650%74.867.2+7.7
8 Canberra C. Acad. W134931%73.271.8+1.5
9 AIS W121118%55.082.2-27.2
10 Perth Lynx W131128%67.885.7-17.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide Lightning W1920272086
Logan W2015201267
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.