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Adelaide Lightning W vs Logan W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2014
Tip-off: 06:45
Final 88-68
30-19 13-14 21-19 24-16
Position#5
Record8-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game70.0
Adelaide Lightning W 🏆
Australia
vs
Logan W
Australia
Position#8
Record6-12
FormWLWLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game79.8
AustraliaNBL WRound 15
Women2013-14
Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v Logan W
18 Jan 2014
ADEL88
LOGA68
19 Oct 2013
ADEL79
LOGA64
18 Jan 2013
ADEL97
LOGA61
10 Dec 2011
ADEL86
LOGA67
19 Dec 2010
ADEL76
LOGA85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Logan W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#4
L
53-75
53
75
-22
A09/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H16/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H22/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A30/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#4
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A01/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
63-62
63
62
+1
A07/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#4
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H15/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H22/12
NBL W
Dandenong W
#3
W
84-64
84
64
+20
H04/01
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#7
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A11/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
14-29
13-13
8-14
22-14
16-18
13-13
18-23
13-26
18-20
16-16
29-22
17-17
27-24
4-24
17-13
26-25
11-20
16-22
18-18
18-16
16-13
9-15
20-18
13-20
17-6
10-18
18-22
26-13
7-15
19-27
15-20
21-19
27-10
21-24
15-11
19-21
20-14
11-16
23-11
139.8Avg total
67.9Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)71.570.0141.5+1.547%
Season at home (9)75.067.1142.1+7.956%
Season away (8)67.573.2140.8-5.838%
Last 10 (10)67.971.9139.8-4.040%
Last 5 (5)69.065.8134.8+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.072.3142.3-2.333%
vs Similar (11)72.972.0144.9+0.964%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)78.264.8142.9+13.469%
This opponent (Logan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Logan WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra C. Acad. W
#7
L
68-79
68
79
-11
H23/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
84-44
84
44
+40
H29/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
63-80
63
80
-17
H07/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
71-95
71
95
-24
H08/12
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#7
W
88-77
88
77
+11
H15/12
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#7
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A20/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
75-93
75
93
-18
A21/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
69-65
69
65
+4
A04/01
NBL W
Dandenong W
#3
L
62-95
62
95
-33
H10/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#4
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A17/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
15-20
14-17
17-21
16-15
29-9
23-4
16-16
16-25
13-19
21-21
13-15
22-23
16-26
22-25
11-21
26-16
17-30
20-14
25-17
26-15
10-31
13-15
23-7
15-23
14-26
22-24
24-20
26-13
17-14
14-16
12-22
12-27
18-23
17-25
15-20
15-19
16-17
12-16
20-22
148.5Avg total
71.5Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)72.879.8152.6-7.033%
Season at home (9)70.677.2147.8-6.733%
Season away (9)75.082.3157.3-7.333%
Last 10 (10)71.577.0148.5-5.540%
Last 5 (5)68.279.0147.2-10.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)69.683.3152.9-13.720%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (5)74.858.6133.4+16.2100%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
Adelaide Lightning WLogan W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#4
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A09/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H16/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H22/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A30/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#4
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A01/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A07/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#4
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H15/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H22/12
NBL W
Dandenong W
#3
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H04/01
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#7
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A11/01
NBL W
72.5Avg total
36.6Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.835.373.1+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.631.870.4+6.875%-
Last 30 away (14)36.939.476.2-2.536%-
Last 10 (10)36.635.972.5+0.770%-
Last 5 (5)36.829.466.2+7.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.534.873.3+3.783%-
vs Similar (11)35.236.671.8-1.536%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)39.734.574.2+5.262%-
This opponent (Logan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Logan WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra C. Acad. W
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H23/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H29/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H07/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H08/12
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#7
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H15/12
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A20/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A21/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A04/01
NBL W
Dandenong W
#3
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H10/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#4
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A17/01
NBL W
77.3Avg total
36.1Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.241.477.6-5.327%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.838.772.5-4.933%-
Last 30 away (15)38.544.282.7-5.720%-
Last 10 (10)36.141.277.3-5.120%-
Last 5 (5)33.841.675.4-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)35.443.378.7-7.820%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (5)39.832.272.0+7.660%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Adelaide Lightning W wins
3
Logan W wins
DateGameScore
19/10/13Adelaide Lightning W v Logan W79-64
18/01/13Adelaide Lightning W v Logan W97-61
05/01/13Logan W v Adelaide Lightning W86-59
19/10/12Logan W v Adelaide Lightning W62-72
27/01/12Logan W v Adelaide Lightning W52-63
10/12/11Adelaide Lightning W v Logan W86-67
31/01/11Logan W v Adelaide Lightning W85-83
19/12/10Adelaide Lightning W v Logan W76-85
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/14ACanberra C. Acad. W73-62
04/01/14HDandenong W84-64
22/12/13HTownsville W67-75
15/12/13HGeelong United W58-66
07/12/13ASydney W63-62
01/12/13AGeelong United W71-85
30/11/13ABendigo W65-78
22/11/13HBendigo W76-84
16/11/13HTownsville W69-68
09/11/13AGeelong United W53-75
Logan Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/14AGeelong United W63-74
10/01/14HDandenong W62-95
04/01/14APerth Lynx W69-65
21/12/13ASydney W75-93
20/12/13ACanberra C. Acad. W72-68
15/12/13HCanberra C. Acad. W88-77
08/12/13HTownsville W71-95
07/12/13HTownsville W63-80
29/11/13HPerth Lynx W84-44
23/11/13HCanberra C. Acad. W68-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2013-14
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW47%
HomeWLLLW56%
AwayLLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %47%56%38%
Points / game71.575.067.5
Allowed / game70.067.173.2
Point differential+1.5+7.9-5.8
Avg total141.5142.1140.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%44%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Logan W
NBL W 2013-14
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game72.870.675.0
Allowed / game79.877.282.3
Point differential-7.0-6.7-7.3
Avg total152.6147.8157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W1816289%77.062.9+14.1
2 Dandenong W1712571%81.872.9+8.9
3 Geelong United W1712571%67.163.2+3.8
4 Townsville W1812667%79.269.5+9.7
5 Adelaide Lightning W178947%71.570.0+1.5
6 Sydney W1871139%74.472.9+1.5
7 Canberra C. Acad. W1861233%74.879.0-4.2
8 Logan W1861233%72.879.8-7.0
9 Perth Lynx W191185%54.580.6-26.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide Lightning W3013212488
Logan W1914191668
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