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Adelaide Lightning W vs Logan W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Jan 2013
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 97-61
25-21 31-17 23-11 18-12
Position#3
Record12-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game68.6
vs
Position#7
Record6-11
FormLLWWL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game75.4
AustraliaNBL WRound 15
Women2012-13
Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v Logan W
18 Jan 2014
ADEL88
LOGA68
19 Oct 2013
ADEL79
LOGA64
18 Jan 2013
ADEL97
LOGA61
10 Dec 2011
ADEL86
LOGA67
19 Dec 2010
ADEL76
LOGA85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Logan W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong W
#2
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H16/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A24/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#4
W
90-75
90
75
+15
H30/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
85-48
85
48
+37
H08/12
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#8
W
70-52
70
52
+18
H16/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#5
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H21/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
77-64
77
64
+13
A22/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#4
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A04/01
NBL W
Logan W
#7
L
59-86
59
86
-27
A05/01
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#8
W
98-67
98
67
+31
H11/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-29
14-22
23-17
26-20
19-16
14-16
16-18
13-18
24-28
29-9
18-26
19-12
17-5
23-9
26-22
19-12
17-14
16-7
19-10
18-21
18-20
12-18
25-5
14-16
13-18
24-15
21-16
19-15
15-14
14-20
20-16
21-23
20-26
12-19
13-15
14-26
25-11
27-23
28-15
18-18
143.9Avg total
75.9Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.168.6145.7+8.567%
Season at home (9)80.264.1144.3+16.178%
Season away (9)74.073.1147.1+0.956%
Last 10 (10)75.968.0143.9+7.960%
Last 5 (5)74.669.8144.4+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)71.175.5146.6-4.430%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)77.264.8142.0+12.585%
This opponent (Logan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Logan WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#5
L
76-85
76
85
-9
H16/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
70-69
70
69
+1
H25/11
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#8
W
74-59
74
59
+15
A30/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A01/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#4
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A07/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H16/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
68-98
68
98
-30
A21/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#5
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A22/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#3
W
86-59
86
59
+27
H05/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H13/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
21-22
19-18
22-27
10-11
24-12
10-20
26-26
25-13
22-16
10-19
17-11
21-16
14-13
13-22
19-30
22-21
13-17
21-26
16-21
12-11
22-19
16-15
11-24
15-27
25-27
15-18
13-26
23-22
14-20
22-18
23-19
26-20
19-12
15-13
26-14
15-22
14-24
17-16
25-18
149.1Avg total
72.7Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)71.275.4146.6-4.235%
Season at home (9)70.174.1144.2-4.033%
Season away (8)72.476.9149.2-4.538%
Last 10 (10)72.776.4149.1-3.740%
Last 5 (5)73.677.0150.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)70.477.2147.6-6.829%
vs Similar (9)71.266.7137.9+4.656%
vs Weaker (4)79.062.2141.2+16.875%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.8-1.8
Adelaide Lightning WLogan W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong W
#2
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H16/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A24/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#4
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H30/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
40-14
40
14
+26
H08/12
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#8
W
33-21
33
21
+12
H16/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#5
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H21/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A22/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#4
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A04/01
NBL W
Logan W
#7
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A05/01
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#8
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H11/01
NBL W
70.8Avg total
36.9Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.733.771.4+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.431.769.1+5.767%-
Last 30 away (15)38.035.773.7+2.353%-
Last 10 (10)36.933.970.8+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)36.036.872.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)34.536.871.3-2.340%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)39.332.171.4+7.170%-
This opponent (Logan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Logan WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H16/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H25/11
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#8
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A30/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A01/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A07/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H16/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A21/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A22/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#3
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H05/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H13/01
NBL W
73.4Avg total
37.1Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.236.171.3-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.335.269.5-0.938%-
Last 30 away (14)36.137.173.3-1.043%-
Last 10 (10)37.136.373.4+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.040.877.8-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)33.936.570.5-2.629%-
vs Similar (9)34.237.071.2-2.844%-
vs Weaker (4)42.532.274.8+10.275%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Adelaide Lightning W wins
3
Logan W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/13HCanberra C. Acad. W98-67
05/01/13ALogan W59-86
04/01/13ATownsville W70-73
22/12/12APerth Lynx W77-64
21/12/12HGeelong United W69-59
16/12/12HCanberra C. Acad. W70-52
08/12/12HPerth Lynx W85-48
30/11/12HTownsville W90-75
24/11/12ABendigo W62-68
16/11/12HDandenong W79-88
Logan Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/13HBendigo W71-80
05/01/13HAdelaide Lightning W86-59
22/12/12AGeelong United W82-79
21/12/12ABendigo W68-98
16/12/12HBendigo W61-69
07/12/12ATownsville W72-85
01/12/12ASydney W67-81
30/11/12ACanberra C. Acad. W74-59
25/11/12HSydney W70-69
16/11/12HGeelong United W76-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2012-13
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayLLWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%78%56%
Points / game77.180.274.0
Allowed / game68.664.173.1
Point differential+8.5+16.1+0.9
Avg total145.7144.3147.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%78%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Logan W
NBL W 2012-13
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL35%
HomeLWLWL33%
AwayWLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %35%33%38%
Points / game71.270.172.4
Allowed / game75.474.176.9
Point differential-4.2-4.0-4.5
Avg total146.6144.2149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%11%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W1917289%75.366.5+8.8
2 Dandenong W1815383%87.672.6+14.9
3 Adelaide Lightning W1812667%77.168.6+8.5
4 Townsville W179853%71.773.6-1.9
5 Geelong United W1871139%72.472.8-0.4
6 Logan W1761135%71.275.4-4.2
7 Canberra C. Acad. W1861233%65.375.8-10.6
8 Sydney W1851328%75.277.9-2.7
9 Perth Lynx W1731418%62.876.8-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide Lightning W2531231897
Logan W2117111261
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