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Adelaide Lightning W vs Logan W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Oct 2013
Tip-off: 06:45
Final 79-64
27-18 12-17 20-8 20-21
Position#5
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game69.3
Allowed / game69.0
Adelaide Lightning W 🏆
Australia
vs
Logan W
Australia
Position#8
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game82.5
AustraliaNBL WRound 3
Women2013-14
Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v Logan W
18 Jan 2014
ADEL88
LOGA68
19 Oct 2013
ADEL79
LOGA64
18 Jan 2013
ADEL97
LOGA61
10 Dec 2011
ADEL86
LOGA67
19 Dec 2010
ADEL76
LOGA85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Logan W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Logan W
#7
W
97-61
97
61
+36
H18/01
NBL W
Dandenong W
#2
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A25/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H03/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
98-73
98
73
+25
H08/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#5
W
88-73
88
73
+15
A15/02
NBL W
Dandenong W
#2
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A16/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#4
L
53-60
53
60
-7
H23/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H05/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A11/10
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#7
W
84-73
84
73
+11
H13/10
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
31-17
23-11
18-12
16-18
25-24
20-21
26-12
19-15
9-10
27-24
31-17
23-18
29-15
24-20
22-20
32-31
13-20
21-6
22-16
19-18
16-19
18-22
18-10
11-14
16-16
14-15
12-15
22-17
16-17
15-16
12-19
21-10
16-23
18-15
4-17
20-14
17-24
22-14
25-21
147.2Avg total
78.8Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)69.369.0138.3+0.333%
Season at home (2)74.571.0145.5+3.550%
Season away (1)59.065.0124.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)78.868.4147.2+10.470%
Last 5 (5)66.467.2133.6-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.065.0124.0-6.00%
vs Similar (9)76.675.1151.7+1.444%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)78.867.1145.9+11.875%
This opponent (Logan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Logan WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#1
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H13/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#3
L
61-97
61
97
-36
A18/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
84-62
84
62
+22
A20/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H27/01
NBL W
Dandenong W
#2
L
67-87
67
87
-20
A01/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#5
L
70-98
70
98
-28
A02/02
NBL W
Dandenong W
#2
L
62-100
62
100
-38
H10/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#4
L
38-63
38
63
-25
H15/02
NBL W
Dandenong W
#3
L
91-103
91
103
-12
A05/10
NBL W
Geelong United W
#4
L
57-62
57
62
-5
H12/10
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
14-24
17-16
25-18
21-25
17-31
11-23
12-18
18-26
22-17
25-9
19-10
18-18
6-16
12-9
18-4
19-22
19-24
13-22
16-19
27-27
18-14
10-28
15-29
17-27
13-21
14-25
18-27
11-20
7-10
14-12
6-21
16-20
22-32
27-25
26-26
14-15
17-9
17-11
9-27
145.4Avg total
65.5Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.082.5156.5-8.50%
Season at home (1)57.062.0119.0-5.00%
Season away (1)91.0103.0194.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)65.579.9145.4-14.420%
Last 5 (5)63.685.2148.8-21.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)69.081.0150.0-12.119%
vs Similar (5)76.067.6143.6+8.460%
vs Weaker (4)69.260.0129.2+9.275%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -3.5-3.5
Adelaide Lightning WLogan W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Logan W
#7
W
56-38
56
38
+18
H18/01
NBL W
Dandenong W
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A25/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H03/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H08/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#5
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A15/02
NBL W
Dandenong W
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A16/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#4
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H23/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H05/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A11/10
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H13/10
NBL W
75.7Avg total
39.6Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.534.873.2+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.432.270.6+6.271%-
Last 30 away (13)38.538.276.7+0.446%-
Last 10 (10)39.636.175.7+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)34.834.469.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.033.070.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (9)34.036.470.4-2.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)40.534.174.7+6.465%-
This opponent (Logan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Logan WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#1
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H13/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#3
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A18/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A20/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H27/01
NBL W
Dandenong W
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A01/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A02/02
NBL W
Dandenong W
#2
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H10/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#4
L
18-30
18
30
-12
H15/02
NBL W
Dandenong W
#3
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A05/10
NBL W
Geelong United W
#4
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H12/10
NBL W
75.1Avg total
33.1Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.337.773.0-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.035.368.3-2.340%-
Last 30 away (15)37.640.177.7-2.533%-
Last 10 (10)33.142.075.1-8.920%-
Last 5 (5)32.439.071.4-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)34.439.073.4-4.633%-
vs Similar (5)39.635.074.6+4.660%-
vs Weaker (4)34.834.269.0+0.525%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Adelaide Lightning W wins
3
Logan W wins
DateGameScore
18/01/13Adelaide Lightning W v Logan W97-61
05/01/13Logan W v Adelaide Lightning W86-59
19/10/12Logan W v Adelaide Lightning W62-72
27/01/12Logan W v Adelaide Lightning W52-63
10/12/11Adelaide Lightning W v Logan W86-67
31/01/11Logan W v Adelaide Lightning W85-83
19/12/10Adelaide Lightning W v Logan W76-85
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/13HCanberra C. Acad. W84-73
11/10/13ABendigo W59-65
05/10/13HPerth Lynx W65-69
23/02/13HTownsville W53-60
16/02/13ADandenong W71-69
15/02/13AGeelong United W88-73
08/02/13HSydney W98-73
03/02/13HBendigo W86-66
25/01/13ADandenong W87-75
18/01/13HLogan W97-61
Logan Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/13HGeelong United W57-62
05/10/13ADandenong W91-103
15/02/13HTownsville W38-63
10/02/13HDandenong W62-100
02/02/13AGeelong United W70-98
01/02/13ADandenong W67-87
27/01/13HPerth Lynx W54-47
20/01/13APerth Lynx W84-62
18/01/13AAdelaide Lightning W61-97
13/01/13HBendigo W71-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2013-14
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game69.374.559.0
Allowed / game69.071.065.0
Point differential+0.3+3.5-6.0
Avg total138.3145.5124.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Logan W
NBL W 2013-14
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game74.057.091.0
Allowed / game82.562.0103.0
Point differential-8.5-5.0-12.0
Avg total156.5119.0194.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dandenong W330100%90.783.7+7.0
2 Geelong United W440100%64.860.0+4.8
3 Bendigo W32167%69.766.3+3.3
4 Perth Lynx W21150%69.071.5-2.5
5 Adelaide Lightning W31233%69.369.0+0.3
6 Canberra C. Acad. W31233%73.078.7-5.7
7 Townsville W41325%69.269.0+0.2
8 Sydney W41325%72.275.5-3.2
9 Logan W2020%74.082.5-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide Lightning W2712202079
Logan W181782164
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