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Adelaide Lightning W vs SEQ Stars W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Feb 2016
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 81-89
22-21 20-20 22-16 17-32
Position#7
Record8-12
FormLWLWW
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game78.6
Adelaide Lightning W
Australia
vs
SEQ Stars W 🏆
Australia
Position#3
Record11-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game77.2
AustraliaNBL W
Women2015-16
Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v SEQ Stars W
05 Feb 2016
ADEL81
SEQ 89
13 Dec 2015
ADEL61
SEQ 72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
SEQ Stars W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#5
W
94-67
94
67
+27
A04/12
NBL W
Dandenong W
#4
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H06/12
NBL W
SEQ Stars W
#3
L
61-72
61
72
-11
H13/12
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#9
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H19/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
60-88
60
88
-28
H02/01
NBL W
Dandenong W
#4
L
63-79
63
79
-16
H08/01
NBL W
Dandenong W
#4
W
77-63
77
63
+14
A22/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A24/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
70-47
70
47
+23
H29/01
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#9
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A31/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
23-15
25-14
26-17
21-26
14-15
18-21
19-8
10-30
16-13
14-14
21-15
18-8
14-25
19-24
24-11
19-29
19-18
15-20
7-21
18-16
21-19
11-21
13-23
19-11
22-25
20-20
16-7
12-19
15-12
27-24
13-21
19-17
13-6
21-14
17-10
26-9
20-17
24-33
15-23
143.6Avg total
72.4Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)71.278.6149.8-7.340%
Season at home (10)67.373.4140.7-6.140%
Season away (10)75.283.8159.0-8.640%
Last 10 (10)72.471.2143.6+1.260%
Last 5 (5)72.469.4141.8+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)70.680.4151.0-9.830%
vs Similar (4)72.865.0137.8+7.875%
vs Weaker (3)79.373.7153.0+5.7100%
This opponent (SEQ Stars W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SEQ Stars WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#5
L
69-94
69
94
-25
A21/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
64-85
64
85
-21
H29/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
L
88-97
88
97
-9
H06/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
67-85
67
85
-18
A11/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
72-61
72
61
+11
A13/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
95-75
95
75
+20
H18/12
NBL W
Dandenong W
#4
L
66-72
66
72
-6
H02/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A09/01
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#9
W
115-75
115
75
+40
H23/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
92-73
92
73
+19
H31/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
16-18
19-24
15-26
24-23
9-21
17-16
14-25
17-26
26-33
23-18
22-20
19-23
13-22
19-19
16-21
30-10
13-16
14-14
15-21
26-23
29-17
18-21
22-14
17-12
12-26
17-17
20-17
19-23
24-19
20-21
27-17
18-29
33-15
30-12
34-19
27-14
14-23
20-23
31-13
161.5Avg total
81.8Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)83.977.2161.2+6.758%
Season at home (11)87.677.5165.2+10.164%
Season away (8)78.976.8155.6+2.150%
Last 10 (10)81.879.7161.5+2.150%
Last 5 (5)91.675.0166.6+16.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)80.282.6162.8-2.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)85.375.3160.6+10.064%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.3+2.3
Adelaide Lightning WSEQ Stars W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#5
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A04/12
NBL W
Dandenong W
#4
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H06/12
NBL W
SEQ Stars W
#3
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H13/12
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#9
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H19/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H02/01
NBL W
Dandenong W
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H08/01
NBL W
Dandenong W
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A22/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A24/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H29/01
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#9
W
46-26
46
26
+20
A31/01
NBL W
71.0Avg total
35.9Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.339.976.1-3.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.138.175.2-0.944%-
Last 30 away (14)35.341.977.2-6.629%-
Last 10 (10)35.935.171.0+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.030.267.2+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)35.741.777.4-6.130%-
vs Similar (4)37.534.271.8+3.275%-
vs Weaker (3)39.333.072.3+6.333%-
This opponent (SEQ Stars W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SEQ Stars WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#5
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A21/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H29/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
L
43-59
43
59
-16
H06/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A11/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A13/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H18/12
NBL W
Dandenong W
#4
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H02/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A09/01
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#9
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H23/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H31/01
NBL W
82.4Avg total
40.5Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)42.340.182.4+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (11)43.540.784.2+2.764%-
Last 30 away (8)40.639.279.9+1.462%-
Last 10 (10)40.541.982.4-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.840.284.0+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)41.642.884.4-1.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.539.181.6+3.464%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Adelaide Lightning W wins
2
SEQ Stars W wins
DateGameScore
13/12/15Adelaide Lightning W v SEQ Stars W61-72
25/10/15SEQ Stars W v Adelaide Lightning W104-74
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/16ACanberra C. Acad. W85-82
29/01/16HGeelong United W70-47
24/01/16APerth Lynx W67-76
22/01/16ADandenong W77-63
08/01/16HDandenong W63-79
02/01/16HTownsville W60-88
19/12/15HCanberra C. Acad. W75-68
13/12/15HSEQ Stars W61-72
06/12/15HDandenong W72-70
04/12/15ASydney W94-67
SEQ Stars Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/16HSydney W92-73
23/01/16HCanberra C. Acad. W115-75
09/01/16ATownsville W90-80
02/01/16HDandenong W66-72
18/12/15HTownsville W95-75
13/12/15AAdelaide Lightning W72-61
11/12/15APerth Lynx W67-85
06/12/15HBendigo W88-97
29/11/15HPerth Lynx W64-85
21/11/15ASydney W69-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW40%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLWWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game71.267.375.2
Allowed / game78.673.483.8
Point differential-7.3-6.1-8.6
Avg total149.8140.7159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%10%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
SEQ Stars W
NBL W 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW58%
HomeLWLWW64%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %58%64%50%
Points / game83.987.678.9
Allowed / game77.277.576.8
Point differential+6.7+10.1+2.1
Avg total161.2165.2155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%55%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Perth Lynx W2014670%78.871.0+7.8
2 Townsville W1913668%82.773.5+9.2
3 Dandenong W2013765%73.571.0+2.5
4 Bendigo W2012860%74.172.8+1.4
5 SEQ Stars W1911858%83.977.2+6.7
6 Sydney W2112957%77.076.3+0.7
7 Adelaide Lightning W2081240%71.278.6-7.3
8 Geelong United W2171433%71.274.8-3.5
9 Canberra C. Acad. W200200%68.385.0-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide Lightning W2220221781
SEQ Stars W2120163289
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