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Adelaide Lightning W vs Townsville W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Jan 2012
Tip-off: 08:15
Final 80-68
21-11 19-21 13-13 27-23
Position#1
Record11-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game68.6
Adelaide Lightning W 🏆
Australia
vs
Townsville W
Australia
Position#4
Record10-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game71.1
AustraliaNBL WRound 12
Women2011-12
Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v Townsville W
04 Jan 2026
ADEL69
TOWN83
25 Nov 2025
ADEL64
TOWN90
05 Feb 2025
ADEL63
TOWN90
29 Nov 2024
ADEL68
TOWN69
23 Nov 2023
ADEL51
TOWN74
05 Jan 2023
ADEL93
TOWN68
05 Mar 2022
ADEL78
TOWN57
11 Dec 2021
ADEL59
TOWN70
26 Nov 2020
ADEL v TOWN
upcoming
17 Jan 2020
ADEL77
TOWN60
16 Nov 2018
ADEL77
TOWN79
19 Oct 2018
ADEL65
TOWN75
18 Nov 2017
ADEL78
TOWN101
16 Dec 2016
ADEL68
TOWN74
03 Dec 2016
ADEL54
TOWN72
20 Feb 2016
ADEL57
TOWN64
02 Jan 2016
ADEL60
TOWN88
16 Jan 2015
ADEL75
TOWN98
21 Nov 2014
ADEL53
TOWN71
22 Dec 2013
ADEL67
TOWN75
16 Nov 2013
ADEL69
TOWN68
23 Feb 2013
ADEL53
TOWN60
30 Nov 2012
ADEL90
TOWN75
07 Jan 2012
ADEL80
TOWN68
27 Nov 2010
ADEL82
TOWN60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Townsville W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AIS W
#10
W
86-59
86
59
+27
A28/10
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#8
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A29/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A05/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
61-77
61
77
-16
A06/11
NBL W
Dandenong W
#2
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H12/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H20/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A25/11
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#8
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H04/12
NBL W
Logan W
#7
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H10/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
78-57
78
57
+21
A17/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
22-12
13-17
23-11
18-26
16-19
18-15
23-11
24-20
25-15
13-14
19-23
10-16
10-22
13-17
28-22
17-12
20-17
22-23
19-24
14-31
20-10
23-18
30-18
23-24
20-17
17-16
17-17
24-31
19-19
23-17
18-8
19-20
20-15
27-20
20-12
22-19
21-9
17-18
18-11
149.8Avg total
79.3Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.968.6149.5+12.385%
Season at home (7)84.968.9153.7+16.086%
Season away (6)76.368.3144.7+8.083%
Last 10 (10)79.370.5149.8+8.890%
Last 5 (5)82.470.0152.4+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)69.984.9154.8-14.97%
vs Similar (6)77.278.8156.0-1.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)84.165.0149.1+19.190%
This opponent (Townsville W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Townsville WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#5
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H12/11
NBL W
Dandenong W
#2
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A18/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
L
68-84
68
84
-16
A19/11
NBL W
AIS W
#10
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A25/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
71-56
71
56
+15
H27/11
NBL W
Logan W
#7
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H02/12
NBL W
Dandenong W
#2
L
64-73
64
73
-9
H10/12
NBL W
Logan W
#7
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A16/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A17/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
75-92
75
92
-17
A06/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
18-18
17-27
19-22
15-28
18-16
20-19
25-19
20-26
16-15
15-23
17-20
17-14
25-18
15-23
10-13
20-15
23-14
19-19
9-8
17-4
22-19
20-21
10-16
18-20
18-18
18-19
10-16
17-11
30-10
8-26
14-14
14-26
25-19
26-17
20-17
18-21
16-30
24-21
17-20
146.2Avg total
72.3Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)75.771.1146.8+4.662%
Season at home (6)71.567.2138.7+4.367%
Season away (10)78.273.4151.6+4.860%
Last 10 (10)72.373.9146.2-1.640%
Last 5 (5)72.473.0145.4-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)63.676.0139.6-12.430%
vs Similar (12)74.870.6145.3+4.267%
vs Weaker (8)73.863.4137.1+10.475%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +5.8+5.8Q4: -1.4-1.4
Adelaide Lightning WTownsville W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AIS W
#10
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A28/10
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#8
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A29/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A05/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
20-38
20
38
-18
A06/11
NBL W
Dandenong W
#2
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H12/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H20/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A25/11
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#8
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H04/12
NBL W
Logan W
#7
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H10/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A17/12
NBL W
76.5Avg total
39.2Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.340.378.7-2.041%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.738.978.6+0.950%-
Last 30 away (15)37.141.778.7-4.633%-
Last 10 (10)39.237.376.5+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.439.079.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)34.443.978.3-9.515%-
vs Similar (6)39.240.279.3-1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.035.778.7+7.370%-
This opponent (Townsville W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Townsville WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#5
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H12/11
NBL W
Dandenong W
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A18/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A19/11
NBL W
AIS W
#10
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A25/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#9
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H27/11
NBL W
Logan W
#7
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H02/12
NBL W
Dandenong W
#2
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H10/12
NBL W
Logan W
#7
W
47-21
47
21
+26
A16/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A17/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A06/01
NBL W
74.9Avg total
39.0Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.535.472.9+2.159%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.333.370.7+4.075%-
Last 30 away (17)37.636.974.5+0.847%-
Last 10 (10)39.035.974.9+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)39.035.674.6+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)33.238.371.5-5.140%-
vs Similar (12)39.234.874.1+4.458%-
vs Weaker (7)40.732.373.0+8.486%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Adelaide Lightning W wins
1
Townsville W wins
DateGameScore
23/01/11Townsville W v Adelaide Lightning W79-53
27/11/10Adelaide Lightning W v Townsville W82-60
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/11APerth Lynx W78-57
10/12/11HLogan W86-67
04/12/11HCanberra C. Acad. W84-75
25/11/11ASydney W77-74
20/11/11HGeelong United W87-77
12/11/11HDandenong W78-76
06/11/11AGeelong United W61-77
05/11/11ABendigo W81-72
29/10/11ACanberra C. Acad. W75-71
28/10/11AAIS W86-59
Townsville Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/12AGeelong United W75-92
17/12/11ASydney W85-79
16/12/11ALogan W69-61
10/12/11HDandenong W64-73
02/12/11HLogan W69-60
27/11/11HPerth Lynx W71-56
25/11/11AAIS W67-68
19/11/11ABendigo W68-84
18/11/11ADandenong W78-82
12/11/11HSydney W77-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2011-12
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW85%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %85%86%83%
Points / game80.984.976.3
Allowed / game68.668.968.3
Point differential+12.3+16.0+8.0
Avg total149.5153.7144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%57%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Townsville W
NBL W 2011-12
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL62%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayLLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16610
Win %62%67%60%
Points / game75.771.578.2
Allowed / game71.167.273.4
Point differential+4.6+4.3+4.8
Avg total146.8138.7151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%33%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide Lightning W1311285%80.968.6+12.3
2 Geelong United W1410471%85.777.6+8.1
3 Sydney W1510567%75.970.9+5.0
4 Townsville W1610662%75.771.1+4.6
5 Dandenong W148657%79.075.4+3.6
6 Bendigo W137654%76.266.8+9.3
7 Logan W126650%71.171.7-0.6
8 Canberra C. Acad. W167944%74.871.6+3.1
9 Perth Lynx W141137%67.085.1-18.1
10 AIS W151147%56.181.7-25.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide Lightning W2119132780
Townsville W1121132368
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