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Adelaide Lightning W vs Townsville W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Feb 2016
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 57-64
21-16 18-14 8-18 10-16
Position#7
Record10-13
FormWWLWW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game78.3
Adelaide Lightning W
Australia
vs
Townsville W 🏆
Australia
Position#1
Record16-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game71.7
AustraliaNBL W
Women2015-16
Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v Townsville W
04 Jan 2026
ADEL69
TOWN83
25 Nov 2025
ADEL64
TOWN90
05 Feb 2025
ADEL63
TOWN90
29 Nov 2024
ADEL68
TOWN69
23 Nov 2023
ADEL51
TOWN74
05 Jan 2023
ADEL93
TOWN68
05 Mar 2022
ADEL78
TOWN57
11 Dec 2021
ADEL59
TOWN70
26 Nov 2020
ADEL v TOWN
upcoming
17 Jan 2020
ADEL77
TOWN60
16 Nov 2018
ADEL77
TOWN79
19 Oct 2018
ADEL65
TOWN75
18 Nov 2017
ADEL78
TOWN101
16 Dec 2016
ADEL68
TOWN74
03 Dec 2016
ADEL54
TOWN72
20 Feb 2016
ADEL57
TOWN64
02 Jan 2016
ADEL60
TOWN88
16 Jan 2015
ADEL75
TOWN98
21 Nov 2014
ADEL53
TOWN71
22 Dec 2013
ADEL67
TOWN75
16 Nov 2013
ADEL69
TOWN68
23 Feb 2013
ADEL53
TOWN60
30 Nov 2012
ADEL90
TOWN75
07 Jan 2012
ADEL80
TOWN68
27 Nov 2010
ADEL82
TOWN60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Townsville W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra C. Acad. W
#9
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H19/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
60-88
60
88
-28
H02/01
NBL W
Dandenong W
#4
L
63-79
63
79
-16
H08/01
NBL W
Dandenong W
#4
W
77-63
77
63
+14
A22/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A24/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
70-47
70
47
+23
H29/01
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#9
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A31/01
NBL W
SEQ Stars W
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H05/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
88-62
88
62
+26
A13/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
W
92-78
92
78
+14
A14/02
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-8
14-25
19-24
24-11
19-29
19-18
15-20
7-21
18-16
21-19
11-21
13-23
19-11
22-25
20-20
16-7
12-19
15-12
27-24
13-21
19-17
13-6
21-14
17-10
26-9
20-17
24-33
15-23
22-21
20-20
22-16
17-32
32-21
21-16
20-15
15-10
31-22
23-20
19-13
19-23
149.0Avg total
75.8Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)73.378.3151.6-5.043%
Season at home (11)68.574.8143.4-6.336%
Season away (12)77.781.5159.2-3.850%
Last 10 (10)75.873.2149.0+2.660%
Last 5 (5)83.271.6154.8+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)72.280.3152.5-8.135%
vs Similar (4)75.265.2140.5+10.075%
vs Weaker (3)79.373.7153.0+5.7100%
This opponent (Townsville W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Townsville WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong W
#4
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H20/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A31/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
88-60
88
60
+28
A02/01
NBL W
SEQ Stars W
#3
L
80-90
80
90
-10
H09/01
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#9
W
97-83
97
83
+14
H24/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H29/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
84-60
84
60
+24
A06/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A07/02
NBL W
Dandenong W
#4
W
89-49
89
49
+40
H12/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A19/02
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
9-14
20-18
19-12
20-16
18-14
24-24
15-17
29-19
18-19
20-15
21-7
23-19
19-24
21-20
17-27
35-20
15-19
23-23
24-21
23-20
17-16
21-25
28-19
29-7
22-15
23-20
10-18
15-11
21-13
20-19
19-20
18-14
14-13
35-9
22-13
22-18
9-16
21-24
17-24
151.7Avg total
81.8Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)82.171.7153.8+10.370%
Season at home (12)84.269.2153.5+15.067%
Season away (11)79.774.5154.2+5.373%
Last 10 (10)81.869.9151.7+11.980%
Last 5 (5)81.266.8148.0+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)81.090.0171.0-9.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)81.469.2150.7+12.274%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +7.5+7.5Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +1.4+1.4
Adelaide Lightning WTownsville W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra C. Acad. W
#9
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H19/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H02/01
NBL W
Dandenong W
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H08/01
NBL W
Dandenong W
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A22/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A24/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H29/01
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#9
W
46-26
46
26
+20
A31/01
NBL W
SEQ Stars W
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H05/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A13/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A14/02
NBL W
75.5Avg total
40.4Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.539.977.4-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.238.876.0-1.640%-
Last 30 away (15)37.840.978.7-3.140%-
Last 10 (10)40.435.175.5+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)45.433.879.2+11.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)36.641.678.1-5.035%-
vs Similar (4)41.535.276.8+6.275%-
vs Weaker (3)39.333.072.3+6.333%-
This opponent (Townsville W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Townsville WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong W
#4
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H20/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A31/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A02/01
NBL W
SEQ Stars W
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H09/01
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#9
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H24/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H29/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
51-22
51
22
+29
A06/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A07/02
NBL W
Dandenong W
#4
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H12/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A19/02
NBL W
72.2Avg total
39.8Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.536.277.6+5.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.534.576.0+7.160%-
Last 30 away (15)41.437.979.3+3.567%-
Last 10 (10)39.832.472.2+7.470%-
Last 5 (5)38.028.666.6+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)41.747.789.3-6.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)41.434.976.3+6.670%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Adelaide Lightning W wins
9
Townsville W wins
DateGameScore
02/01/16Adelaide Lightning W v Townsville W60-88
24/10/15Townsville W v Adelaide Lightning W104-41
16/01/15Adelaide Lightning W v Townsville W75-98
21/11/14Adelaide Lightning W v Townsville W53-71
31/10/14Townsville W v Adelaide Lightning W86-60
02/02/14Townsville W v Adelaide Lightning W78-65
22/12/13Adelaide Lightning W v Townsville W67-75
16/11/13Adelaide Lightning W v Townsville W69-68
23/02/13Adelaide Lightning W v Townsville W53-60
04/01/13Townsville W v Adelaide Lightning W73-70
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/16ABendigo W92-78
13/02/16AGeelong United W88-62
05/02/16HSEQ Stars W81-89
31/01/16ACanberra C. Acad. W85-82
29/01/16HGeelong United W70-47
24/01/16APerth Lynx W67-76
22/01/16ADandenong W77-63
08/01/16HDandenong W63-79
02/01/16HTownsville W60-88
19/12/15HCanberra C. Acad. W75-68
Townsville Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/16APerth Lynx W69-82
12/02/16HDandenong W89-49
07/02/16ABendigo W75-63
06/02/16AGeelong United W84-60
29/01/16HSydney W89-80
24/01/16HCanberra C. Acad. W97-83
09/01/16HSEQ Stars W80-90
02/01/16AAdelaide Lightning W88-60
31/12/15APerth Lynx W77-71
20/12/15HDandenong W70-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW43%
HomeWLLWL36%
AwayWLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %43%36%50%
Points / game73.368.577.7
Allowed / game78.374.881.5
Point differential-5.0-6.3-3.8
Avg total151.6143.4159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%9%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Townsville W
NBL W 2015-16
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL70%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayWWWWL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %70%67%73%
Points / game82.184.279.7
Allowed / game71.769.274.5
Point differential+10.3+15.0+5.3
Avg total153.8153.5154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Townsville W2316770%82.171.7+10.3
2 Perth Lynx W2416867%78.972.5+6.4
3 Dandenong W2315865%72.671.7+0.8
4 SEQ Stars W2314961%83.477.2+6.2
5 Sydney W24131154%77.777.1+0.6
6 Bendigo W24121250%74.074.6-0.5
7 Adelaide Lightning W23101343%73.378.3-5.0
8 Geelong United W2481633%70.875.4-4.6
9 Canberra C. Acad. W242228%69.683.4-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide Lightning W211881057
Townsville W1614181664
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