Adelaide Lightning W vs Townsville W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Dec 2013

Tip-off: 03:00

Final 67-75

26-13 7-15 19-27 15-20

Position#5

Record6-8

FormLLLWL

Points / game70.8

Allowed / game70.6

Adelaide Lightning W

Townsville W 🏆

Position#2

Record9-5

FormWWWLW

Points / game79.9

Allowed / game68.6

NBL WRound 12

Women2013-14

Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v Townsville W

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Townsville W winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Canberra C. Acad. W

71-77

-6

A25/10

NBL W

Sydney W

85-82

A26/10

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

93-41

+52

H03/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

53-75

-22

A09/11

NBL W

Townsville W

69-68

H16/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

76-84

-8

H22/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

65-78

-13

A30/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

71-85

-14

A01/12

NBL W

Sydney W

63-62

A07/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

58-66

-8

H15/12

NBL W

25-23

12-14

18-17

16-23

21-23

16-18

22-17

26-24

26-4

20-18

26-6

21-13

18-19

14-29

13-13

8-14

22-14

16-18

13-13

18-23

13-26

18-20

16-16

29-22

17-17

27-24

4-24

17-13

26-25

11-20

16-22

18-18

18-16

16-13

9-15

20-18

13-20

17-6

10-18

18-22

142.2Avg total

70.4Scored

71.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	70.8	70.6	141.4	+0.1	43%
Season at home (7)	74.9	66.4	141.3	+8.4	57%
Season away (7)	66.7	74.9	141.6	-8.1	29%
Last 10 (10)	70.4	71.8	142.2	-1.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	66.6	75.0	141.6	-8.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	67.2	73.8	141.0	-6.5	25%
vs Similar (11)	71.9	72.5	144.5	-0.6	55%
vs Weaker (15)	79.4	64.3	143.7	+15.1	73%

This opponent (Townsville W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Townsville W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Logan W

89-76

+13

H26/10

NBL W

Sydney W

76-66

+10

H02/11

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

68-69

-1

A16/11

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

95-61

+34

A17/11

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

80-74

H22/11

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

95-67

+28

H30/11

NBL W

Logan W

80-63

+17

A07/12

NBL W

Logan W

95-71

+24

A08/12

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

76-82

-6

H13/12

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

88-56

+32

A20/12

NBL W

22-18

26-22

22-22

19-14

23-13

15-11

18-16

20-26

14-22

18-16

13-13

23-18

36-10

23-26

18-18

18-7

17-22

21-22

25-16

17-14

21-11

28-19

24-16

22-21

25-16

19-13

21-21

15-13

23-22

26-16

25-22

21-11

17-22

18-19

26-21

15-20

27-12

22-19

18-7

21-18

152.7Avg total

84.2Scored

68.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	79.9	68.6	148.6	+11.3	64%
Season at home (7)	79.7	71.3	151.0	+8.4	71%
Season away (7)	80.1	66.0	146.1	+14.1	57%
Last 10 (10)	84.2	68.5	152.7	+15.7	80%
Last 5 (5)	86.8	67.8	154.6	+19.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	66.1	66.0	132.1	+0.1	56%
vs Similar (4)	82.0	81.5	163.5	+0.5	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	77.9	65.9	143.8	+12.0	71%

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Adelaide Lightning WTownsville W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	17.8	37.8	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	16.2	36.3	+3.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.7	38.6	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	20.8	38.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	18.2	16.8	35.0	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.5	18.8	38.3	+0.6	64%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.0	17.3	38.3	+3.7	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	17.5	37.0	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.9	17.7	35.6	+0.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.4	17.4	37.9	+3.0	61%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	16.8	39.3	+5.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	16.6	39.2	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	15.8	17.1	32.9	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.0	23.0	44.0	-2.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.0	16.5	37.5	+4.5	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	17.3	35.2	+0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	15.2	34.5	+4.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.4	19.6	36.0	-3.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	18.0	34.7	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	16.6	34.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	19.2	21.2	40.5	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	15.2	17.5	32.7	-2.4	27%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.6	16.0	35.6	+3.6	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	16.7	34.9	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.1	14.2	34.3	+5.8	83%	-
Last 30 away (18)	16.9	18.4	35.3	-1.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	18.3	39.9	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	17.2	39.8	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	16.7	14.8	31.4	+1.9	56%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.0	22.5	41.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	18.8	16.4	35.2	+2.4	65%	-

Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Canberra C. Acad. W

37-37

A25/10

NBL W

Sydney W

37-41

-4

A26/10

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

46-22

+24

H03/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

32-48

-16

A09/11

NBL W

Townsville W

38-32

H16/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

31-46

-15

H22/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

44-41

A30/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

37-45

-8

A01/12

NBL W

Sydney W

34-29

A07/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

30-26

H15/12

NBL W

73.3Avg total

36.6Scored

36.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	35.0	73.0	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.4	31.4	70.8	+7.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.4	39.1	75.6	-2.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	36.7	73.3	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	37.4	72.6	-2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	37.5	38.0	75.5	-0.5	75%	-
vs Similar (11)	34.6	36.4	71.0	-1.7	36%	-
vs Weaker (15)	40.6	33.3	73.9	+7.3	67%	-

This opponent (Townsville W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Townsville WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Logan W

48-40

H26/10

NBL W

Sydney W

38-24

+14

H02/11

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

32-38

-6

A16/11

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

59-36

+23

A17/11

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

38-44

-6

H22/11

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

49-30

+19

H30/11

NBL W

Logan W

44-29

+15

A07/12

NBL W

Logan W

49-38

+11

A08/12

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

35-41

-6

H13/12

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

49-31

+18

A20/12

NBL W

79.2Avg total

44.1Scored

35.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	34.3	71.9	+3.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	38.0	31.9	69.9	+6.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	37.4	35.8	73.2	+1.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	35.1	79.2	+9.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	33.8	79.0	+11.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	32.4	31.9	64.3	+0.6	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	40.0	45.5	85.5	-5.5	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	39.8	32.9	72.7	+6.9	71%	-

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	15.9	34.4	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	14.9	35.3	+5.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.4	16.9	33.3	-0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.7	16.1	30.8	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	11.0	19.0	30.0	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	12.8	17.0	29.8	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.4	18.3	35.6	-0.9	36%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.9	13.8	34.7	+7.1	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	16.7	34.1	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.2	17.7	37.8	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	15.6	16.0	31.6	-0.4	39%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	17.2	38.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	17.4	40.2	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	15.2	17.1	32.3	-1.9	44%	-
vs Similar (4)	15.5	15.5	31.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	19.1	16.7	35.8	+2.4	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	17.7	36.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	17.8	37.4	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.3	17.6	34.9	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	19.0	38.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.6	39.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	17.0	18.8	35.8	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.9	17.9	37.8	+2.0	55%	-
vs Weaker (15)	17.9	17.3	35.2	+0.7	47%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	16.5	35.5	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.6	14.6	34.2	+4.9	78%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	16.2	35.3	+2.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	16.6	35.4	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.4	17.0	35.4	+1.4	56%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.2	16.0	36.2	+4.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	19.0	16.3	35.3	+2.7	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	33.6	70.6	+3.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.0	32.7	72.7	+7.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.6	34.6	68.2	-0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.8	35.1	68.9	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.4	37.6	69.0	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	29.8	35.8	65.5	-6.0	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	37.3	36.2	73.5	+1.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (15)	38.8	31.1	69.9	+7.7	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	33.1	69.6	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	38.3	36.9	75.2	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	35.2	30.6	65.8	+4.6	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	33.4	73.5	+6.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	34.0	75.6	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	33.7	34.1	67.8	-0.4	44%	-
vs Similar (4)	35.8	31.5	67.2	+4.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	38.1	33.0	71.1	+5.1	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide Lightning W wins

Townsville W wins

Date	Game	Score
16/11/13	Adelaide Lightning W v Townsville W	69-68
23/02/13	Adelaide Lightning W v Townsville W	53-60
04/01/13	Townsville W v Adelaide Lightning W	73-70
30/11/12	Adelaide Lightning W v Townsville W	90-75
21/10/12	Townsville W v Adelaide Lightning W	65-80
28/01/12	Townsville W v Adelaide Lightning W	61-64
07/01/12	Adelaide Lightning W v Townsville W	80-68
23/01/11	Townsville W v Adelaide Lightning W	79-53
27/11/10	Adelaide Lightning W v Townsville W	82-60

Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/12/13	H	Geelong United W	58-66
07/12/13	A	Sydney W	63-62
01/12/13	A	Geelong United W	71-85
30/11/13	A	Bendigo W	65-78
22/11/13	H	Bendigo W	76-84
16/11/13	H	Townsville W	69-68
09/11/13	A	Geelong United W	53-75
03/11/13	H	Perth Lynx W	93-41
26/10/13	A	Sydney W	85-82
25/10/13	A	Canberra C. Acad. W	71-77

Townsville Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/12/13	A	Perth Lynx W	88-56
13/12/13	H	Canberra C. Acad. W	76-82
08/12/13	A	Logan W	95-71
07/12/13	A	Logan W	80-63
30/11/13	H	Perth Lynx W	95-67
22/11/13	H	Canberra C. Acad. W	80-74
17/11/13	A	Perth Lynx W	95-61
16/11/13	A	Adelaide Lightning W	68-69
02/11/13	H	Sydney W	76-66
26/10/13	H	Logan W	89-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W

NBL W 2013-14

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	43%
Home	WWWLL	57%
Away	WLLLW	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	43%	57%	29%
Points / game	70.8	74.9	66.7
Allowed / game	70.6	66.4	74.9
Point differential	+0.1	+8.4	-8.1
Avg total	141.4	141.3	141.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	43%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	50% (2)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Townsville W

NBL W 2013-14

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	64%
Home	WWWWL	71%
Away	LWWWW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	64%	71%	57%
Points / game	79.9	79.7	80.1
Allowed / game	68.6	71.3	66.0
Point differential	+11.3	+8.4	+14.1
Avg total	148.6	151.0	146.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	57%	57%	57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (4)	0% (1)	0% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bendigo W	14	13	1	93%	76.6	62.3	+14.3
2	Dandenong W	14	10	4	71%	81.9	73.1	+8.9
3	Geelong United W	14	10	4	71%	68.0	62.8	+5.2
4	Townsville W	14	9	5	64%	79.9	68.6	+11.3
5	Adelaide Lightning W	14	6	8	43%	70.8	70.6	+0.1
6	Sydney W	15	6	9	40%	74.7	73.7	+1.0
7	Canberra C. Acad. W	15	5	10	33%	74.6	79.2	-4.6
8	Logan W	15	5	10	33%	74.4	80.1	-5.7
9	Perth Lynx W	15	1	14	7%	55.3	83.1	-27.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide Lightning W	26	7	19	15	67
Townsville W	13	15	27	20	75

← all games of the day

Adelaide Lightning W vs Townsville W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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