Melbourne United vs Townsville Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2014

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 106-109 (OT)

22-28 15-14 33-29 28-27 8-11

Position#3

Record12-11

FormWWLLL

Points / game79.9

Allowed / game80.5

Melbourne United

Townsville 🏆

Position#8

Record8-15

FormWWLWL

Points / game84.7

Allowed / game87.4

NBLRound 20

Other2013-14

Meetings · Melbourne United v Townsville

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Townsville winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

91-81 OT

+10

A31/12

NBL

Townsville

95-77

+18

A03/01

NBL

Cairns

76-66

+10

H05/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

87-93

-6

H10/01

NBL

Sydney

84-97

-13

A19/01

NBL

Perth

83-80

A24/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

86-78

A26/01

NBL

Perth

57-81

-24

H02/02

NBL

Adelaide

82-99

-17

H16/02

NBL

Perth

75-87

-12

A21/02

NBL

24-13

6-22

19-18

18-14

29-19

27-20

19-19

20-19

19-14

12-20

21-12

24-20

21-22

26-21

18-20

22-30

23-27

22-21

18-20

21-29

16-17

26-22

17-19

24-22

22-25

25-15

14-22

25-16

18-10

9-35

13-13

17-23

27-29

14-24

25-20

16-26

17-25

30-21

14-18

14-23

165.5Avg total

81.6Scored

83.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	79.9	80.5	160.4	-0.7	52%
Season at home (12)	77.6	80.0	157.6	-2.4	50%
Season away (11)	82.4	81.1	163.5	+1.3	55%
Last 10 (10)	81.6	83.9	165.5	-2.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	76.6	85.0	161.6	-8.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	71.7	84.9	156.6	-13.1	14%
vs Similar ◀ (23)	80.4	79.4	159.8	+1.0	57%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Townsville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Townsville Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

87-102

102

-15

A10/01

NBL

Perth

97-103

103

-6

H12/01

NBL

Adelaide

79-92

-13

A18/01

NBL

Cairns

79-90

-11

H24/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

80-67

+13

H31/01

NBL

Perth

88-75

+13

H07/02

NBL

Cairns

90-82

A08/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

75-90

-15

A14/02

NBL

Sydney

90-83

H22/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

99-102

102

-3

A27/02

NBL

20-21

20-39

22-18

25-24

22-35

23-28

22-18

30-22

24-25

22-31

17-19

16-17

13-13

20-31

29-22

17-24

20-14

19-18

12-12

29-23

23-24

27-21

12-21

26-9

21-15

21-22

25-21

23-24

16-28

23-26

17-26

19-10

26-19

23-20

16-17

25-27

25-22

25-23

25-25

24-32

175.0Avg total

86.4Scored

88.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	84.7	87.4	172.1	-2.7	35%
Season at home (13)	87.1	86.6	173.7	+0.5	46%
Season away (10)	81.6	88.4	170.0	-6.8	20%
Last 10 (10)	86.4	88.6	175.0	-2.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	88.4	86.4	174.8	+2.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	82.7	87.1	169.8	-4.4	33%
vs Similar ◀ (21)	80.8	84.2	165.0	-3.5	33%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne UnitedTownsville

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.7	42.2	+0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	21.7	43.3	+0.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	20.1	41.7	+1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.2	41.2	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	22.7	21.9	44.6	+0.9	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	21.0	20.4	41.4	+0.7	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	22.4	43.1	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	22.3	44.4	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	22.4	41.9	-2.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	21.6	42.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.6	43.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	22.3	24.3	46.7	-2.0	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	20.1	21.5	41.6	-1.4	48%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	21.3	39.5	-3.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.3	22.6	39.9	-5.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	20.0	39.1	-0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	22.1	41.8	-2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	23.4	44.2	-2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.7	26.1	43.9	-8.4	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	18.3	19.8	38.2	-1.5	52%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	22.4	42.2	-2.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	22.1	42.0	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	22.8	42.5	-3.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	25.9	48.2	-3.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	22.4	46.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.9	23.6	44.4	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	19.3	22.0	41.3	-2.6	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

30-35

-5

A31/12

NBL

Townsville

56-39

+17

A03/01

NBL

Cairns

31-34

-3

H05/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

47-43

H10/01

NBL

Sydney

45-48

-3

A19/01

NBL

Perth

42-39

A24/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

47-40

A26/01

NBL

Perth

27-45

-18

H02/02

NBL

Adelaide

41-53

-12

H16/02

NBL

Perth

47-46

A21/02

NBL

83.5Avg total

41.3Scored

42.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	42.0	81.7	-2.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.5	42.4	80.9	-3.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.8	41.7	82.5	-0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	42.2	83.5	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	44.6	85.4	-3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	40.4	48.0	88.4	-7.6	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	39.4	40.2	79.6	-0.8	52%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Townsville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TownsvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

40-60

-20

A10/01

NBL

Perth

45-63

-18

H12/01

NBL

Adelaide

46-56

-10

A18/01

NBL

Cairns

33-44

-11

H24/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

39-32

H31/01

NBL

Perth

50-45

H07/02

NBL

Cairns

42-37

A08/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

39-54

-15

A14/02

NBL

Sydney

49-39

+10

H22/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

50-45

A27/02

NBL

90.8Avg total

43.3Scored

47.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	44.8	85.4	-4.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.0	44.4	86.4	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	45.2	84.3	-6.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	47.5	90.8	-4.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	44.0	90.0	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	43.2	47.9	91.1	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	39.4	43.5	82.9	-4.0	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.0	36.7	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	17.9	36.5	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	18.0	36.8	+0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	18.1	35.9	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	18.4	35.0	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	14.9	16.4	31.3	-1.6	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	19.9	18.4	38.3	+1.4	61%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.4	37.5	-1.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	18.4	36.5	-0.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	20.4	38.5	-2.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.9	39.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	22.0	41.0	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.4	19.1	36.6	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	18.4	19.5	38.0	-1.1	24%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.2	39.5	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	19.5	40.1	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	20.9	38.9	-3.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	22.2	42.3	-2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.0	41.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.4	20.4	36.9	-4.0	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	20.1	20.1	40.3	+0.0	48%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	20.9	43.5	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.9	21.4	46.3	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	20.4	40.7	-0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	21.2	44.6	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	20.4	43.8	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	22.0	20.1	42.1	+1.9	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	22.9	21.2	44.1	+1.7	52%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	38.2	76.1	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.2	37.4	76.6	+1.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.7	38.9	75.7	-2.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	40.3	78.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	40.4	76.2	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	31.3	36.9	68.1	-5.6	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	40.0	38.6	78.6	+1.4	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	40.3	81.1	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.1	39.8	82.9	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	40.8	79.3	-2.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	41.1	84.2	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	42.4	84.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	39.4	39.2	78.7	+0.2	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	41.3	40.8	82.1	+0.6	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne United wins

Townsville wins

Date	Game	Score
03/01/14	Townsville v Melbourne United	77-95
14/12/13	Townsville v Melbourne United	71-76
24/11/13	Melbourne United v Townsville	75-90
24/03/13	Melbourne United v Townsville	78-70
17/03/13	Townsville v Melbourne United	75-73
08/12/12	Townsville v Melbourne United	85-84
04/11/12	Melbourne United v Townsville	91-66
04/03/12	Townsville v Melbourne United	67-64
18/12/11	Melbourne United v Townsville	93-80
11/11/11	Melbourne United v Townsville	88-95 OT

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/02/14	A	Perth	75-87
16/02/14	H	Adelaide	82-99
02/02/14	H	Perth	57-81
26/01/14	A	Illawarra Hawks	86-78
24/01/14	A	Perth	83-80
19/01/14	A	Sydney	84-97
10/01/14	H	New Zealand Breakers	87-93
05/01/14	H	Cairns	76-66
03/01/14	A	Townsville	95-77
31/12/13	A	Illawarra Hawks	91-81 OT

Townsvillelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/02/14	A	New Zealand Breakers	99-102
22/02/14	H	Sydney	90-83
14/02/14	A	Illawarra Hawks	75-90
08/02/14	A	Cairns	90-82
07/02/14	H	Perth	88-75
31/01/14	H	Illawarra Hawks	80-67
24/01/14	H	Cairns	79-90
18/01/14	A	Adelaide	79-92
12/01/14	H	Perth	97-103
10/01/14	A	Perth	87-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	52%
Home	WWLLL	50%
Away	WLWWL	55%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	52%	50%	55%
Points / game	79.9	77.6	82.4
Allowed / game	80.5	80.0	81.1
Point differential	-0.7	-2.4	+1.3
Avg total	160.4	157.6	163.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	17%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	56% (9)	60% (5)	50% (4)
Overtime %	4%	0%	9%

Townsville

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	35%
Home	LLWWW	46%
Away	LLWLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	13	10
Win %	35%	46%	20%
Points / game	84.7	87.1	81.6
Allowed / game	87.4	86.6	88.4
Point differential	-2.7	+0.5	-6.8
Avg total	172.1	173.7	170.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	31%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	17% (6)	25% (4)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Perth	24	18	6	75%	87.0	77.5	+9.5
2	Adelaide	24	15	9	62%	88.9	88.6	+0.3
3	Melbourne United	23	12	11	52%	79.9	80.5	-0.7
4	Sydney	22	11	11	50%	82.0	84.2	-2.2
5	Illawarra Hawks	24	11	13	46%	81.5	83.0	-1.5
6	New Zealand Breakers	24	10	14	42%	88.1	88.8	-0.7
7	Cairns	24	9	15	38%	82.0	84.5	-2.4
8	Townsville	23	8	15	35%	84.7	87.4	-2.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Melbourne United	22	15	33	28	8	106
Townsville	28	14	29	27	11	109

← all games of the day

Melbourne United vs Townsville Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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