Illawarra Hawks vs Townsville Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Feb 2014

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 90-75

28-16 26-23 26-17 10-19

Position#4

Record7-13

FormLLLLW

Points / game79.3

Allowed / game83.8

Illawarra Hawks 🏆

Townsville

Position#8

Record7-13

FormLLWWW

Points / game84.2

Allowed / game86.8

NBLRound 18

Other2013-14

Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Townsville

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Townsville winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

69-63

A14/12

NBL

Melbourne United

67-74

-7

A27/12

NBL

Melbourne United

81-91 OT

-10

H31/12

NBL

Perth

96-91 OT

H04/01

NBL

Cairns

82-79

A11/01

NBL

Cairns

77-79

-2

H19/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

101-106

101

106

-5

A23/01

NBL

Melbourne United

78-86

-8

H26/01

NBL

Townsville

67-80

-13

A31/01

NBL

Adelaide

102-80

102

+22

H09/02

NBL

11-17

22-18

17-10

19-18

10-16

19-20

29-18

9-20

13-24

22-6

18-19

14-18

26-20

18-20

23-18

18-27

17-24

16-22

27-10

22-23

22-19

27-14

10-18

18-28

26-30

23-25

29-26

23-25

25-22

15-25

22-14

16-25

14-20

18-19

12-12

23-29

28-19

32-21

26-24

16-16

164.9Avg total

82.0Scored

82.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	79.3	83.8	163.1	-4.5	35%
Season at home (9)	84.1	84.8	168.9	-0.7	44%
Season away (11)	75.4	83.1	158.5	-7.7	27%
Last 10 (10)	82.0	82.9	164.9	-0.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	85.0	86.2	171.2	-1.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	80.3	88.4	168.8	-8.1	22%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	78.6	81.4	160.0	-2.8	39%
vs Weaker (3)	77.0	68.3	145.3	+8.7	67%

This opponent (Townsville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Townsville Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

71-76

-5

H14/12

NBL

Adelaide

89-90

-1

H31/12

NBL

Melbourne United

77-95

-18

H03/01

NBL

Perth

87-102

102

-15

A10/01

NBL

Perth

97-103

103

-6

H12/01

NBL

Adelaide

79-92

-13

A18/01

NBL

Cairns

79-90

-11

H24/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

80-67

+13

H31/01

NBL

Perth

88-75

+13

H07/02

NBL

Cairns

90-82

A08/02

NBL

26-18

7-18

16-22

22-18

22-25

28-19

14-20

25-26

19-29

20-27

19-19

19-20

20-21

20-39

22-18

25-24

22-35

23-28

22-18

30-22

24-25

22-31

17-19

16-17

13-13

20-31

29-22

17-24

20-14

19-18

12-12

29-23

23-24

27-21

12-21

26-9

21-15

21-22

25-21

23-24

170.9Avg total

83.7Scored

87.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	84.2	86.8	170.9	-2.5	35%
Season at home (12)	86.8	86.9	173.8	-0.1	42%
Season away (8)	80.2	86.5	166.8	-6.2	25%
Last 10 (10)	83.7	87.2	170.9	-3.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	83.2	81.2	164.4	+2.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	82.5	88.4	170.8	-5.9	36%
vs Similar ◀ (19)	80.1	82.7	162.8	-2.6	37%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Illawarra HawksTownsville

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.5	41.6	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	19.9	41.1	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	23.1	42.1	-4.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.1	40.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	22.0	45.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.7	22.2	42.9	-1.6	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.7	21.6	41.3	-1.9	39%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.7	18.7	39.3	+2.0	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	22.2	42.5	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	22.6	44.2	-1.0	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.8	21.6	40.4	-2.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	21.9	42.9	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.2	38.4	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	21.3	23.5	44.8	-2.3	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.7	21.4	41.1	-1.6	42%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	18.3	38.9	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	20.5	39.0	-1.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	20.8	43.8	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.2	21.4	41.7	-1.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.1	19.2	38.3	-0.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.3	14.7	35.0	+5.7	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	22.4	41.5	-3.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	22.1	41.7	-2.6	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	22.8	41.3	-4.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	25.4	46.1	-4.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	24.6	46.4	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.5	23.5	43.1	-4.0	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	18.8	21.8	40.6	-3.0	32%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

33-35

-2

A14/12

NBL

Melbourne United

29-36

-7

A27/12

NBL

Melbourne United

35-30

H31/12

NBL

Perth

44-40

H04/01

NBL

Cairns

33-46

-13

A11/01

NBL

Cairns

49-33

+16

H19/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

49-55

-6

A23/01

NBL

Melbourne United

40-47

-7

H26/01

NBL

Townsville

32-39

-7

A31/01

NBL

Adelaide

60-40

+20

H09/02

NBL

80.5Avg total

40.4Scored

40.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	40.9	80.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	38.3	80.0	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.6	43.5	81.1	-5.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	40.1	80.5	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	42.8	88.8	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	40.9	43.7	84.6	-2.8	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	38.8	40.8	79.6	-1.9	28%	-
vs Weaker (3)	41.0	33.3	74.3	+7.7	100%	-

This opponent (Townsville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TownsvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

33-36

-3

H14/12

NBL

Adelaide

50-44

H31/12

NBL

Melbourne United

39-56

-17

H03/01

NBL

Perth

40-60

-20

A10/01

NBL

Perth

45-63

-18

H12/01

NBL

Adelaide

46-56

-10

A18/01

NBL

Cairns

33-44

-11

H24/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

39-32

H31/01

NBL

Perth

50-45

H07/02

NBL

Cairns

42-37

A08/02

NBL

89.0Avg total

41.7Scored

47.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	44.6	84.0	-5.2	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.2	44.8	85.9	-3.6	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.3	44.4	81.7	-7.1	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	47.3	89.0	-5.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	42.8	84.8	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	40.8	47.1	87.9	-6.3	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	38.5	43.2	81.7	-4.6	21%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.6	38.6	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	18.0	38.7	+2.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	19.3	38.6	+0.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	16.9	38.2	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.1	22.7	42.8	-2.6	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.2	16.8	37.0	+3.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.7	17.3	36.0	+1.3	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	18.2	36.8	+0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	19.9	37.6	-2.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.7	19.5	37.2	-1.7	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	18.5	18.7	37.2	-0.3	32%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	21.1	39.1	-3.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	21.6	39.3	-3.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	20.5	38.9	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	22.9	40.7	-5.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	24.6	43.8	-5.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.3	20.2	37.6	-2.9	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.5	22.1	40.6	-3.6	22%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.3	17.7	35.0	-0.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	20.4	42.8	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.1	20.9	46.0	+4.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	19.8	39.2	-0.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	20.7	43.9	+2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.4	41.6	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	21.4	19.5	40.9	+1.8	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	23.1	20.8	43.9	+2.3	58%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	39.7	77.7	-1.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.3	39.6	77.9	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	39.8	77.5	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	39.8	78.9	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	43.4	82.4	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	37.4	42.9	80.3	-5.4	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	38.7	38.9	77.6	-0.2	39%	-
vs Weaker (3)	36.0	35.0	71.0	+1.0	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	39.4	80.0	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.8	39.1	82.8	+4.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.1	39.7	76.9	-2.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	39.9	81.9	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	38.4	79.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	39.1	39.0	78.1	+0.1	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	41.6	39.6	81.2	+2.0	47%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Illawarra Hawks wins

Townsville wins

Date	Game	Score
31/01/14	Townsville v Illawarra Hawks	80-67
26/10/13	Illawarra Hawks v Townsville	85-81
09/03/13	Townsville v Illawarra Hawks	69-64
17/02/13	Illawarra Hawks v Townsville	86-62
19/01/13	Townsville v Illawarra Hawks	82-74
21/10/12	Illawarra Hawks v Townsville	84-66
21/01/12	Townsville v Illawarra Hawks	65-63
07/01/12	Illawarra Hawks v Townsville	57-72
03/12/11	Townsville v Illawarra Hawks	82-81
05/03/11	Illawarra Hawks v Townsville	87-77

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/02/14	H	Adelaide	102-80
31/01/14	A	Townsville	67-80
26/01/14	H	Melbourne United	78-86
23/01/14	A	New Zealand Breakers	101-106
19/01/14	H	Cairns	77-79
11/01/14	A	Cairns	82-79
04/01/14	H	Perth	96-91 OT
31/12/13	H	Melbourne United	81-91 OT
27/12/13	A	Melbourne United	67-74
14/12/13	A	Sydney	69-63

Townsvillelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/02/14	A	Cairns	90-82
07/02/14	H	Perth	88-75
31/01/14	H	Illawarra Hawks	80-67
24/01/14	H	Cairns	79-90
18/01/14	A	Adelaide	79-92
12/01/14	H	Perth	97-103
10/01/14	A	Perth	87-102
03/01/14	H	Melbourne United	77-95
31/12/13	H	Adelaide	89-90
14/12/13	H	Melbourne United	71-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	35%
Home	LWLLW	44%
Away	WLWLL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	9	11
Win %	35%	44%	27%
Points / game	79.3	84.1	75.4
Allowed / game	83.8	84.8	83.1
Point differential	-4.5	-0.7	-7.7
Avg total	163.2	168.9	158.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	5%	11%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	56% (9)	75% (4)	40% (5)
Overtime %	10%	22%	0%

Townsville

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	35%
Home	LLLWW	42%
Away	WLLLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	12	8
Win %	35%	42%	25%
Points / game	84.2	86.8	80.2
Allowed / game	86.8	86.9	86.5
Point differential	-2.5	-0.1	-6.2
Avg total	170.9	173.8	166.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	33%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	25% (4)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Perth	22	16	6	73%	87.1	78.4	+8.7
2	Adelaide	20	13	7	65%	89.5	88.8	+0.7
3	Melbourne United	21	12	9	57%	80.0	79.3	+0.7
4	Sydney	19	10	9	53%	81.7	84.1	-2.4
5	New Zealand Breakers	21	9	12	43%	88.2	88.0	+0.2
6	Cairns	23	9	14	39%	82.9	84.4	-1.6
7	Townsville	20	7	13	35%	84.2	86.8	-2.5
8	Illawarra Hawks	20	7	13	35%	79.3	83.8	-4.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Illawarra Hawks	28	26	26	10	90
Townsville	16	23	17	19	75

← all games of the day

Illawarra Hawks vs Townsville Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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