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AEK Athens vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Oct 2017
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 79-87
15-31 23-17 17-17 24-22
Position#11
Record-
FormWWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#14
Record1-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game72.5
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 1
European cup2017
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estudiantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rethymno
#6
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A04/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A11/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H14/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A18/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
67-105
67
105
-38
H22/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H28/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
W
91-85
91
85
+6
A31/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H03/06
Basket League
Rethymno
#27
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H04/10
Greek Cup
Trikala
#14
W
91-72
91
72
+19
H07/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
22-27
24-6
17-14
15-23
24-12
11-25
20-20
17-22
20-22
19-13
15-13
12-18
19-14
21-19
20-30
11-25
18-24
18-24
20-32
23-24
25-17
20-16
22-17
22-21
21-30
20-17
28-17
18-19
24-18
14-8
15-15
29-13
15-25
28-17
20-12
17-17
25-10
21-21
28-24
156.0Avg total
79.6Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.676.4156.0+3.270%
Last 5 (5)87.071.6158.6+15.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.785.3157.0-13.717%
vs Similar ◀ (2)78.081.5159.5-3.550%
vs Weaker (21)80.271.3151.5+8.990%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#20
L
80-92
80
92
-12
A23/09
Torneo Super 20
San Martin
#2
L
75-91
75
91
-16
A25/09
Torneo Super 20
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#20
W
97-75
97
75
+22
H28/09
Torneo Super 20
Donar Groningen
#38
L
76-76
76
76
+0
A29/09
Champions League
Regatas
#15
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H30/09
Torneo Super 20
Donar Groningen
#38
W
77-69 OT
77
69
+8
H02/10
Champions League
Regatas
#15
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A05/10
Torneo Super 20
Baskonia
#2
L
76-94
76
94
-18
A05/10
ACB
La Union
#5
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A07/10
Torneo Super 20
Gipuzkoa
#13
L
75-92
75
92
-17
H08/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
21-24
26-19
14-34
18-17
20-21
19-24
18-29
29-25
24-22
22-16
22-12
16-18
24-23
17-20
19-15
23-21
14-12
14-28
23-15
23-20
24-20
11-18
7-7
23-24
18-15
27-22
21-24
19-20
10-29
31-22
16-23
8-19
20-25
19-23
23-12
11-23
16-25
19-20
29-24
161.8Avg total
78.9Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.572.5149.0+4.050%
Season at home (1)77.069.0146.0+8.0100%
Season away (1)76.076.0152.0+0.00%
Last 10 (10)78.982.9161.8-4.030%
Last 5 (5)77.483.8161.2-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.491.0166.4-15.60%
vs Similar ◀ (17)79.978.9158.8+0.941%
vs Weaker (8)84.577.1161.6+7.488%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
AEK AthensEstudiantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rethymno
#6
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A04/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A11/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H14/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A18/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
29-49
29
49
-20
H22/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H28/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A31/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H03/06
Basket League
Rethymno
#27
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H04/10
Greek Cup
Trikala
#14
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H07/10
Basket League
79.9Avg total
39.5Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.137.276.3+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.936.575.4+2.459%-
Last 30 away (13)39.338.277.5+1.262%-
Last 10 (10)39.540.479.9-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)43.838.882.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.839.375.2-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)37.041.078.0-4.00%-
vs Weaker (21)40.036.276.2+3.767%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#20
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A23/09
Torneo Super 20
San Martin
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A25/09
Torneo Super 20
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#20
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H28/09
Torneo Super 20
Donar Groningen
#38
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A29/09
Champions League
Regatas
#15
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H30/09
Torneo Super 20
Donar Groningen
#38
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H02/10
Champions League
Regatas
#15
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A05/10
Torneo Super 20
Baskonia
#2
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A05/10
ACB
La Union
#5
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A07/10
Torneo Super 20
Gipuzkoa
#13
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H08/10
ACB
79.8Avg total
38.0Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.139.676.7-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.738.577.2+0.257%-
Last 30 away (16)35.640.676.2-4.931%-
Last 10 (10)38.041.879.8-3.850%-
Last 5 (5)34.444.078.4-9.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.043.877.8-9.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)35.638.674.3-3.041%-
vs Weaker (8)42.039.081.0+3.075%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.517.5
44.3%
52.6%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.09.0
26.5%
34.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.512.5
75.8%
73.8%12.5
They take 73.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Athens wins
0
Estudiantes wins
No previous meetings.
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/17HTrikala91-72
04/10/17HRethymno92-67
03/06/17HAris71-60
31/05/17AAris91-85
28/05/17HAris90-74
22/05/17HPanathinaikos67-105
18/05/17APanathinaikos72-81
14/05/17HPanathinaikos71-70
11/05/17APanathinaikos70-80
04/05/17ARethymno81-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/17HGipuzkoa75-92
07/10/17ALa Union70-79
05/10/17ABaskonia76-94
05/10/17ARegatas89-85
02/10/17HDonar Groningen77-69 OT
30/09/17HRegatas74-76
29/09/17ADonar Groningen76-76
28/09/17HComunicaciones Mercedes97-75
25/09/17ASan Martin75-91
23/09/17AComunicaciones Mercedes80-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Champions League 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Estudiantes
Champions League 2017
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game76.577.076.0
Allowed / game72.569.076.0
Point differential+4.0+8.0+0.0
Avg total149.0146.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %50%100%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ludwigsburg660100%85.562.7+22.8
2 Bonn220100%87.575.5+12.0
3 Juventus220100%84.080.0+4.0
4 Neptunas110100%75.073.0+2.0
5 Antwerp Giants65183%77.575.7+1.8
6 Minsk64267%69.764.5+5.2
7 Saratov64267%72.272.0+0.2
8 Capo d'Orlando21150%80.564.5+16.0
9 Joventut Badalona42250%76.069.0+7.0
10 Academic42250%84.580.2+4.2
11 Estudiantes21150%76.572.5+4.0
12 HydroTruck Radom21150%76.072.5+3.5
13 Karsiyaka21150%85.582.0+3.5
14 Nanterre21150%74.071.5+2.5
15 Alba Fehervar42250%78.578.2+0.2
16 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%76.877.5-0.8
17 Karpos21150%80.082.5-2.5
18 Bakken Bears21150%81.584.5-3.0
19 Keravnos21150%69.573.0-3.5
20 Benfica42250%73.878.0-4.2
21 Skycop21150%69.079.5-10.5
22 Donar Groningen62433%78.875.7+3.2
23 Kataja41325%75.280.2-5.0
24 Chalon/Saone1010%73.075.0-2.0
25 Nizhny Novgorod2020%74.578.0-3.5
26 Kapfenberg Bulls2020%67.071.0-4.0
27 BC Lulea2020%76.582.0-5.5
28 Budivelnyk2020%57.564.5-7.0
29 Univ. Cluj-Napoca2020%74.583.0-8.5
30 Z-Mobile Prishtina2020%62.073.0-11.0
31 Mornar Bar2020%66.079.0-13.0
32 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%63.079.0-16.0
33 Basic-Fit Brussels2020%54.580.0-25.5
34 KK Bosna2020%59.093.5-34.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens1523172479
Estudiantes3117172287
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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