AEK Athens vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 May 2017

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 90-74

23-24 25-17 20-16 22-17

Position#3

Record22-10

FormWLWLL

Points / game78.3

Allowed / game72.4

AEK Athens 🏆

Aris

Position#5

Record17-14

FormWWLLL

Points / game74.9

Allowed / game72.6

Basket LeagueBasket League - 3rd place

Domestic2016-17

Meetings · AEK Athens v Aris

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Aris winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK Athens Greece

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Panathinaikos

87-106 OT

106

-19

H26/03

Basket League

Lefkadas

#14

68-64

A01/04

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

82-81

H08/04

Basket League

Aris

77-81

-4

A13/04

Basket League

Rethymno

90-78

+12

H30/04

Basket League

Rethymno

81-70

+11

A04/05

Basket League

Panathinaikos

70-80

-10

A11/05

Basket League

Panathinaikos

71-70

H14/05

Basket League

Panathinaikos

72-81

-9

A18/05

Basket League

Panathinaikos

67-105

105

-38

H22/05

Basket League

24-23

18-18

20-16

15-20

15-17

23-19

16-15

14-13

12-19

22-21

26-15

22-26

24-15

23-22

10-17

20-27

19-14

22-20

25-20

24-24

18-23

22-27

24-6

17-14

15-23

24-12

11-25

20-20

17-22

20-22

19-13

15-13

12-18

19-14

21-19

20-30

11-25

18-24

20-32

158.1Avg total

76.5Scored

81.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	78.3	72.4	150.8	+5.9	69%
Season at home (16)	80.6	73.2	153.8	+7.4	81%
Season away (16)	76.1	71.7	147.8	+4.4	56%
Last 10 (10)	76.5	81.6	158.1	-5.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	72.2	81.2	153.4	-9.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	71.7	85.3	157.0	-13.7	17%
vs Similar (3)	79.3	78.3	157.7	+1.0	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	78.5	72.0	150.5	+6.6	76%

This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Aris

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kolossos Rhodes

84-85

-1

A18/03

Basket League

G.S. Kymis

#11

80-77 OT

A25/03

Basket League

Apollon Patras

#13

79-70

H01/04

Basket League

Lavrio

70-75

-5

A08/04

Basket League

AEK Athens

81-77

H13/04

Basket League

PAOK

69-65 OT

H29/04

Basket League

PAOK

84-75

A03/05

Basket League

Olympiacos

54-84

-30

A10/05

Basket League

Olympiacos

77-84

-7

H13/05

Basket League

Olympiacos

65-79

-14

A25/05

Basket League

15-24

20-26

21-23

28-12

13-20

22-5

22-25

14-21

25-14

23-14

17-22

14-20

23-22

15-17

15-21

17-15

15-24

22-23

17-10

27-20

16-20

17-17

14-13

14-11

25-18

27-22

11-19

21-16

17-21

14-23

7-20

16-20

14-24

27-19

14-24

22-17

13-22

12-17

24-26

16-14

151.4Avg total

74.3Scored

77.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	74.9	72.6	147.5	+2.3	55%
Season at home (15)	79.2	69.3	148.5	+9.9	73%
Season away (16)	70.8	75.6	146.4	-4.8	38%
Last 10 (10)	74.3	77.1	151.4	-2.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	69.8	77.4	147.2	-7.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	65.5	77.5	143.0	-12.0	25%
vs Similar (14)	75.0	71.7	146.7	+3.3	43%
vs Weaker (8)	78.1	73.8	151.9	+4.4	62%

This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AEK AthensAris

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.4	38.1	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	18.1	37.7	+1.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	20.6	38.5	-2.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	19.9	36.6	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	22.2	36.8	-7.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.3	21.2	37.5	-4.8	33%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.7	19.0	40.7	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	19.0	18.9	37.9	+0.1	43%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.1	37.5	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	17.9	37.8	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.2	20.1	37.2	-2.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	20.9	38.5	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	21.0	38.0	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	16.8	21.4	38.1	-4.6	12%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.5	18.0	36.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.0	18.6	38.6	+1.4	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.3	38.5	+1.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.8	18.4	37.2	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.6	18.2	39.8	+3.4	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.9	41.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.8	40.4	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.5	18.2	37.7	+1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (3)	18.0	19.7	37.7	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	20.7	18.1	38.9	+2.6	76%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	18.9	40.4	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.8	19.5	35.2	-3.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.3	38.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	16.6	22.0	38.6	-5.4	12%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.0	18.9	37.9	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.2	17.0	36.2	+2.2	50%	-

AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Panathinaikos

42-41

H26/03

Basket League

Lefkadas

#14

38-36

A01/04

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

34-40

-6

H08/04

Basket League

Aris

47-37

+10

A13/04

Basket League

Rethymno

41-34

H30/04

Basket League

Rethymno

40-50

-10

A04/05

Basket League

Panathinaikos

39-35

A11/05

Basket League

Panathinaikos

37-44

-7

H14/05

Basket League

Panathinaikos

31-32

-1

A18/05

Basket League

Panathinaikos

29-49

-20

H22/05

Basket League

77.6Avg total

37.8Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	37.7	76.6	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.4	36.5	74.9	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.5	38.8	78.3	+0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	39.8	77.6	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	42.0	77.2	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	35.8	39.3	75.2	-3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	39.7	38.7	78.3	+1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	39.7	37.0	76.8	+2.7	57%	-

This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kolossos Rhodes

35-50

-15

A18/03

Basket League

G.S. Kymis

#11

35-25

+10

A25/03

Basket League

Apollon Patras

#13

48-28

+20

H01/04

Basket League

Lavrio

38-39

-1

A08/04

Basket League

AEK Athens

37-47

-10

H13/04

Basket League

PAOK

33-37

-4

H29/04

Basket League

PAOK

52-40

+12

A03/05

Basket League

Olympiacos

31-44

-13

A10/05

Basket League

Olympiacos

41-43

-2

H13/05

Basket League

Olympiacos

25-39

-14

A25/05

Basket League

76.7Avg total

37.5Scored

39.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	38.3	75.1	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.4	36.8	78.1	+4.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	32.9	39.6	72.5	-6.6	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	39.2	76.7	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	40.6	77.0	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	33.4	43.4	76.8	-10.0	12%	-
vs Similar (14)	37.5	36.9	74.4	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	39.2	35.6	74.9	+3.6	62%	-

This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	17.6	36.1	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.8	16.7	34.5	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	18.5	37.7	+0.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.4	36.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.5	19.0	35.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	15.7	23.7	39.3	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	19.4	16.4	35.8	+3.0	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.9	18.3	35.1	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.8	16.6	35.4	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.2	19.8	34.9	-4.6	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	20.3	36.5	-4.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.0	20.4	34.4	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	15.2	17.1	32.4	-1.9	38%	-
vs Similar (14)	16.0	17.9	33.9	-1.9	36%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	19.2	39.7	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	18.8	37.3	-0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.9	40.6	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	21.8	40.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.7	22.2	39.8	-4.5	17%	-
vs Similar (3)	24.0	16.0	40.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	19.4	18.5	37.9	+0.9	48%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	16.4	35.0	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.0	15.9	34.9	+3.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	16.9	35.0	+1.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	16.6	35.5	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	15.6	33.4	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	16.9	17.0	33.9	-0.1	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.9	15.6	35.5	+4.4	79%	-
vs Weaker (8)	17.8	17.4	35.1	+0.4	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	36.6	74.6	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.3	35.9	74.3	+2.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.6	37.3	74.9	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	38.9	76.6	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	39.2	76.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	34.2	41.2	75.3	-7.0	17%	-
vs Similar (3)	39.7	39.7	79.3	+0.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	38.8	34.9	73.7	+3.9	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.4	34.7	70.1	+0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.8	32.5	70.3	+5.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.3	36.6	69.9	-3.3	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.1	36.9	72.0	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.8	36.0	67.8	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	32.1	34.1	66.2	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	35.9	33.5	69.4	+2.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (8)	37.8	37.4	75.1	+0.4	38%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

AEK Athens wins

Aris wins

Date	Game	Score
13/04/17	Aris v AEK Athens	81-77
14/01/17	Aris v AEK Athens	77-76
07/01/17	AEK Athens v Aris	81-61
07/10/15	Aris v AEK Athens	64-61
19/05/15	Aris v AEK Athens	79-68
16/05/15	AEK Athens v Aris	92-54
13/05/15	Aris v AEK Athens	71-69
29/03/15	AEK Athens v Aris	93-77
06/12/14	Aris v AEK Athens	86-75
13/04/11	Aris v AEK Athens	78-74

AEK Athenslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/05/17	H	Panathinaikos	67-105
18/05/17	A	Panathinaikos	72-81
14/05/17	H	Panathinaikos	71-70
11/05/17	A	Panathinaikos	70-80
04/05/17	A	Rethymno	81-70
30/04/17	H	Rethymno	90-78
13/04/17	A	Aris	77-81
08/04/17	H	Kolossos Rhodes	82-81
01/04/17	A	Lefkadas	68-64
26/03/17	H	Panathinaikos	87-106 OT

Arislast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/05/17	A	Olympiacos	65-79
13/05/17	H	Olympiacos	77-84
10/05/17	A	Olympiacos	54-84
03/05/17	A	PAOK	84-75
29/04/17	H	PAOK	69-65 OT
13/04/17	H	AEK Athens	81-77
08/04/17	A	Lavrio	70-75
01/04/17	H	Apollon Patras	79-70
25/03/17	A	G.S. Kymis	80-77 OT
18/03/17	A	Kolossos Rhodes	84-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens

Basket League 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	69%
Home	LWWWL	81%
Away	WLWLL	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	69%	81%	56%
Points / game	78.3	80.6	76.1
Allowed / game	72.4	73.2	71.7
Point differential	+5.9	+7.4	+4.4
Avg total	150.8	153.8	147.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	50%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	83% (6)	100% (3)	67% (3)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

Aris

Basket League 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	55%
Home	WWWWL	73%
Away	WLWLL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	15	16
Win %	55%	73%	38%
Points / game	74.9	79.2	70.8
Allowed / game	72.6	69.3	75.6
Point differential	+2.3	+9.9	-4.8
Avg total	147.5	148.5	146.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	47%	19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	67% (3)	40% (5)
Overtime %	10%	7%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olympiacos	29	28	1	97%	80.8	63.7	+17.1
2	Panathinaikos	30	28	2	93%	84.7	66.2	+18.5
3	AEK Athens	32	22	10	69%	78.3	72.4	+5.9
4	Aris	31	17	14	55%	74.9	72.6	+2.3
5	PAOK	30	16	14	53%	75.7	76.5	-0.8
6	Rethymno	31	15	16	48%	75.1	76.9	-1.8
7	Kolossos Rhodes	29	14	15	48%	71.4	72.9	-1.5
8	Lavrio	28	11	17	39%	72.4	75.6	-3.2
9	Promitheas	26	10	16	38%	71.4	74.2	-2.8
10	Trikala	26	10	16	38%	69.9	75.3	-5.5
11	G.S. Kymis	26	8	18	31%	70.0	77.8	-7.7
12	Koroivos	26	8	18	31%	72.3	82.8	-10.5
13	Apollon Patras	26	7	19	27%	69.2	75.3	-6.2
14	Lefkadas	26	4	22	15%	68.5	78.2	-9.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
AEK Athens	23	25	20	22	90
Aris	24	17	16	17	74

← all games of the day

AEK Athens vs Aris Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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