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AEK Athens vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 May 2018
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 77-75
18-17 22-17 15-20 22-21
Position#11
Record10-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game80.1
vs
Position#18
Record10-8
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game76.9
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Semi-finals
European cup2017
Meetings · AEK Athens v Murcia
06 Feb 2024
AAT79
MUR84
04 May 2018
AAT77
MUR75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Koroivos
#13
W
77-75
77
75
+2
no box
A10/03
Basket League
Nymburk
#5
W
93-82
93
82
+11
no box
A14/03
Champions League
Panionios
#12
L
69-71
69
71
-2
no box
A18/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#6
W
96-86
96
86
+10
no box
H24/03
Basket League
Strasbourg
#16
W
78-69
78
69
+9
no box
H28/03
Champions League
Olympiacos
#2
L
86-100
86
100
-14
no box
A01/04
Basket League
Strasbourg
#16
L
83-83
83
83
+0
no box
A04/04
Champions League
PAOK
#3
L
72-81
72
81
-9
no box
H11/04
Basket League
Ifaistos Limnou
#11
W
86-75
86
75
+11
no box
A14/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
75-76
75
76
-1
no box
H28/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
16-16
29-24
17-17
22-21
20-19
22-28
29-14
17-15
7-18
19-20
26-18
24-18
28-21
22-17
22-30
23-15
18-18
14-24
23-12
21-19
25-33
15-22
25-26
20-16
17-19
19-24
27-24
21-25
12-13
20-24
19-19
31-25
23-22
12-10
20-18
20-20
15-17
21-23
19-16
161.3Avg total
81.5Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.880.1162.9+2.756%
Season at home (9)84.080.7164.7+3.356%
Season away (9)81.779.6161.2+2.156%
Last 10 (10)81.579.8161.3+1.750%
Last 5 (5)80.483.0163.4-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.385.3160.7-10.033%
vs Similar ◀ (17)80.479.9160.3+0.447%
vs Weaker (10)83.273.8157.0+9.490%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#13
W
83-69
83
69
+14
112avg 103
H24/03
ACB
Karsiyaka
#12
W
79-65
79
65
+14
no box
A27/03
Champions League
Valencia
#4
W
84-73
84
73
+11
119avg 103
A01/04
ACB
Karsiyaka
#12
W
81-72
81
72
+9
no box
H04/04
Champions League
Real Betis
#18
W
102-87
102
87
+15
132avg 103
A08/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
82-62
82
62
+20
109avg 103
H12/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#5
L
71-83
71
83
-12
no box
A15/04
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#16
W
84-73
84
73
+11
116avg 103
H22/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#15
L
75-92
75
92
-17
no box
H25/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
85-87
85
87
-2
114avg 103
A29/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
18-21
24-10
21-20
26-15
23-15
14-21
16-14
20-15
21-15
19-23
24-20
18-12
13-17
21-26
29-17
28-23
25-17
30-24
19-23
23-16
20-21
14-9
25-16
11-23
19-19
22-15
19-26
15-16
17-16
28-18
24-23
19-21
24-21
21-23
11-27
19-26
22-21
18-21
26-19
158.9Avg total
82.6Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.176.9155.0+1.156%
Season at home (9)75.675.3150.9+0.244%
Season away (9)80.678.6159.1+2.067%
Last 10 (10)82.676.3158.9+6.370%
Last 5 (5)79.479.4158.8+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.173.4148.6+1.743%
vs Similar ◀ (11)76.876.4153.2+0.555%
vs Weaker (12)77.373.9151.2+3.467%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
AEK AthensMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koroivos
#13
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A10/03
Basket League
Nymburk
#5
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A14/03
Champions League
Panionios
#12
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A18/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#6
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H24/03
Basket League
Strasbourg
#16
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H28/03
Champions League
Olympiacos
#2
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A01/04
Basket League
Strasbourg
#16
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A04/04
Champions League
PAOK
#3
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H11/04
Basket League
Ifaistos Limnou
#11
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A14/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H28/04
Basket League
78.3Avg total
39.5Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.178.6+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.537.377.8+3.262%-
Last 30 away (17)38.840.579.2-1.741%-
Last 10 (10)39.538.878.3+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.882.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.346.087.3-4.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.539.578.1-1.047%-
vs Weaker (10)40.736.377.0+4.460%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#13
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H24/03
ACB
Karsiyaka
#12
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A27/03
Champions League
Valencia
#4
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A01/04
ACB
Karsiyaka
#12
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H04/04
Champions League
Real Betis
#18
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A08/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H12/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#5
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A15/04
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#16
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H22/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H25/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A29/04
ACB
76.9Avg total
40.1Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.235.672.8+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.135.171.3+1.053%-
Last 30 away (15)38.336.174.4+2.360%-
Last 10 (10)40.136.876.9+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)37.840.077.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.135.371.4+0.943%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.135.371.4+0.855%-
vs Weaker (12)38.936.175.0+2.867%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.419.1
47.3%
52.6%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.89.1
41.7%
34.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.513.8
67.3%
73.8%13.8
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Athens wins
0
Murcia wins
No previous meetings.
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/18HPromitheas75-76
14/04/18AIfaistos Limnou86-75
11/04/18HPAOK72-81
04/04/18AStrasbourg83-83
01/04/18AOlympiacos86-100
28/03/18HStrasbourg78-69
24/03/18HLavrio96-86
18/03/18APanionios69-71
14/03/18ANymburk93-82
10/03/18AKoroivos77-75
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/18ABaskonia85-87
25/04/18HJoventut Badalona75-92
22/04/18HTecnyconta Zaragoza84-73
15/04/18AGran Canaria71-83
12/04/18HFuenlabrada82-62
08/04/18AReal Betis102-87
04/04/18HKarsiyaka81-72
01/04/18AValencia84-73
27/03/18AKarsiyaka79-65
24/03/18HGipuzkoa83-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Champions League 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL56%
HomeWLWLW56%
AwayLWWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%56%56%
Points / game82.884.081.7
Allowed / game80.180.779.6
Point differential+2.7+3.3+2.1
Avg total162.9164.7161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %11%11%11%
Murcia
Champions League 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW56%
HomeWWLLW44%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%44%67%
Points / game78.175.680.6
Allowed / game76.975.378.6
Point differential+1.1+0.2+2.0
Avg total155.0150.9159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%11%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (6)-
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco1917289%84.869.0+15.8
2 Antwerp Giants65183%77.575.7+1.8
3 Tenerife1613381%81.166.9+14.2
4 Ludwigsburg2520580%82.070.0+12.0
5 Nymburk1611569%83.280.1+3.2
6 Minsk64267%69.764.5+5.2
7 Banvit1812667%76.673.8+2.8
8 Saratov64267%72.272.0+0.2
9 Besiktas1610662%79.474.7+4.8
10 Oldenburg1610662%83.881.5+2.3
11 Karsiyaka2012860%82.381.2+1.1
12 Venezia148657%81.981.4+0.4
13 Estudiantes169756%79.476.3+3.1
14 AEK Athens1810856%82.880.1+2.7
15 Nanterre1810856%79.376.7+2.6
16 Strasbourg1810856%78.475.9+2.4
17 Bayreuth1810856%81.880.3+1.6
18 Murcia1810856%78.176.9+1.1
19 Joventut Badalona42250%76.069.0+7.0
20 Academic42250%84.580.2+4.2
21 Neptunas168850%82.279.5+2.7
22 Alba Fehervar42250%78.578.2+0.2
23 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%76.877.5-0.8
24 PAOK168850%75.176.1-0.9
25 Sassari147750%82.783.9-1.1
26 Karpos21150%80.082.5-2.5
27 Bakken Bears21150%81.584.5-3.0
28 Keravnos21150%69.573.0-3.5
29 Benfica42250%73.878.0-4.2
30 Skycop21150%69.079.5-10.5
31 Bonn167944%78.477.9+0.5
32 Avellino146843%74.973.4+1.5
33 Chalon/Saone146843%72.773.6-0.9
34 Ventspils146843%73.977.5-3.6
35 Oostende146843%69.675.0-5.4
36 Zielona Gora1661038%76.178.8-2.8
37 Juventus1661038%79.684.6-5.0
38 Donar Groningen62433%78.875.7+3.2
39 Aris1441029%66.474.2-7.8
40 Petrol Olimpija1441029%71.178.9-7.8
41 Gaziantep1441029%73.885.1-11.4
42 Kataja41325%75.280.2-5.0
43 Hapoel Holon1431121%82.988.9-6.0
44 Enisey1431121%76.084.9-8.9
45 HydroTruck Radom1631319%74.079.6-5.6
46 Capo d'Orlando1631319%65.576.9-11.4
47 Nizhny Novgorod2020%74.578.0-3.5
48 Kapfenberg Bulls2020%67.071.0-4.0
49 BC Lulea2020%76.582.0-5.5
50 Budivelnyk2020%57.564.5-7.0
51 Univ. Cluj-Napoca2020%74.583.0-8.5
52 Z-Mobile Prishtina2020%62.073.0-11.0
53 Mornar Bar2020%66.079.0-13.0
54 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%63.079.0-16.0
55 Basic-Fit Brussels2020%54.580.0-25.5
56 KK Bosna2020%59.093.5-34.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 56 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens1822152277
Murcia1717202175
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