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AEK Athens vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 79-84
25-27 14-15 21-20 19-22
Position#33
Record5-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Murcia 🏆
Position#2
Record7-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game71.1
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 3· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
European cup2023
Meetings · AEK Athens v Murcia
06 Feb 2024
AAT79
MUR84
04 May 2018
AAT77
MUR75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#26
L
79-83
79
83
-4
69avg 78
A20/12
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
78-89
78
89
-11
72avg 78
A24/12
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
W
90-75
90
75
+15
90avg 78
A30/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
80-92
80
92
-12
68avg 78
H07/01
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
L
74-83
74
83
-9
68avg 78
A13/01
Basket League
Aris
#8
L
91-93
91
93
-2
83avg 78
H20/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#13
L
79-80
79
80
-1
74avg 78
A23/01
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
95-86
95
86
+9
91avg 78
A27/01
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
68-79
68
79
-11
56avg 78
A30/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
80-103
80
103
-23
64avg 78
A03/02
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
20-14
18-22
23-26
17-17
18-24
22-27
21-21
26-11
19-26
26-11
19-27
16-23
23-26
18-22
23-21
20-19
14-28
18-23
22-13
22-19
20-24
29-24
20-26
18-20
22-15
18-27
21-18
26-15
26-32
23-15
20-24
26-23
12-23
13-14
17-19
19-27
17-24
19-29
25-23
167.7Avg total
81.4Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.477.5161.9+6.962%
Season at home (3)93.374.0167.3+19.3100%
Season away (5)79.079.6158.6-0.640%
Last 10 (10)81.486.3167.7-4.920%
Last 5 (5)82.688.2170.8-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)80.490.0170.4-9.610%
vs Similar (9)83.883.6167.3+0.244%
vs Weaker (11)89.579.3168.8+10.373%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Tofas
#34
W
90-75
90
75
+15
92avg 71
A20/12
Champions League
Unicaja
#2
L
65-88
65
88
-23
54avg 71
H22/12
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
87-79
87
79
+8
80avg 71
A29/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
73-98
73
98
-25
60avg 71
A06/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
73-61
73
61
+12
61avg 71
H14/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
80-91
80
91
-11
74avg 71
A20/01
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
78-61
78
61
+17
73avg 71
H23/01
Champions League
Tenerife
#5
L
73-75
73
75
-2
67avg 71
A27/01
ACB
Promitheas
#13
W
90-81
90
81
+9
76avg 71
H30/01
Champions League
Bilbao
#13
W
96-76
96
76
+20
88avg 71
H03/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
25-28
26-11
16-19
11-20
16-24
18-25
20-19
13-19
26-21
21-23
27-16
25-21
16-32
17-25
15-20
19-16
17-10
16-25
21-10
16-27
28-17
19-30
17-17
13-11
31-17
16-16
18-17
18-17
11-19
24-16
20-23
26-18
20-16
19-12
25-35
18-19
32-13
26-18
20-26
159.0Avg total
80.5Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.671.1156.8+14.588%
Season at home (5)88.470.6159.0+17.8100%
Season away (3)81.072.0153.0+9.067%
Last 10 (10)80.578.5159.0+2.060%
Last 5 (5)83.476.8160.2+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.785.0161.7-8.333%
vs Similar (9)81.778.8160.4+2.956%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)85.675.2160.9+10.476%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.3-0.3
AEK AthensMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A20/12
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A24/12
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A30/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H07/01
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A13/01
Basket League
Aris
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H20/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#13
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A23/01
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A27/01
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A30/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A03/02
Basket League
83.0Avg total
39.9Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.883.1-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.442.686.9+1.857%-
Last 30 away (16)36.743.179.8-6.431%-
Last 10 (10)39.943.183.0-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)41.644.486.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.045.682.6-8.610%-
vs Similar (9)42.940.783.6+2.267%-
vs Weaker (11)41.142.183.2-1.055%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#34
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A20/12
Champions League
Unicaja
#2
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H22/12
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A29/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A06/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H14/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A20/01
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H23/01
Champions League
Tenerife
#5
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A27/01
ACB
Promitheas
#13
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H30/01
Champions League
Bilbao
#13
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H03/02
ACB
78.6Avg total
40.4Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.636.976.4+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.134.374.4+5.869%-
Last 30 away (14)38.939.878.7-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)40.438.278.6+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.634.877.4+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.337.370.7-4.033%-
vs Similar (9)37.138.875.9-1.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.135.577.6+6.676%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.322.0
47.5%
51.4%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.75.2
27.8%
34.9%15.6
🏀 Free throws27.220.4
75.0%
74.5%20.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.0
51.6%
51.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.1
35.7%
34.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.914.2
75.1%
74.5%14.2
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LLWLLLLWLL
Murcia
WWLWLWLWLW
#33
League position
#2
-8.0
Net rating
+2.7
105.2
Offensive rating
108.5
113.2
Defensive rating
105.8
45.8%
Effective FG%
52.4%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
19.6%
Turnover %
17.5%
40.2%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.30
27.8%
3-point %
35.7%
60.7%
Assist %
63.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 108.5Defence113.2 · 105.8Shooting45.8% · 52.4%3-point %27.8% · 35.7%Ball care19.6% · 17.5%Off. rebounds40.2% · 29.8%Free throws0.42 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
AEK Athens wins
0
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
04/05/18AEK Athens v Murcia77-75
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24AKolossos Rhodes80-103
30/01/24AHapoel Holon68-79
27/01/24AAS Karditsas95-86
23/01/24APromitheas79-80
20/01/24HAris91-93
13/01/24AApollon Patras74-83
07/01/24HOlympiacos80-92
30/12/23ALavrio90-75
24/12/23APeristeri78-89
20/12/23ALudwigsburg79-83
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24HBilbao96-76
30/01/24HPromitheas90-81
27/01/24ATenerife73-75
23/01/24HHapoel Holon78-61
20/01/24AGran Canaria80-91
14/01/24HReal Madrid73-61
06/01/24AMoraBanc Andorra73-98
29/12/23AObradoiro CAB87-79
22/12/23HUnicaja65-88
20/12/23ATofas90-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Champions League 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL62%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %62%100%40%
Points / game84.493.379.0
Allowed / game77.574.079.6
Point differential+6.9+19.3-0.6
Avg total161.9167.3158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
Champions League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %88%100%67%
Points / game85.688.481.0
Allowed / game71.170.672.0
Point differential+14.5+17.8+9.0
Avg total156.8159.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%80%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murcia87188%85.671.1+14.5
2 Hapoel Jerusalem87188%84.173.6+10.5
3 Dijon86275%88.077.9+10.1
4 Unicaja86275%83.173.2+9.9
5 Tenerife86275%85.676.0+9.6
6 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
7 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
8 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
9 Cholet149564%83.583.1+0.4
10 Strasbourg117464%81.480.7+0.6
11 AEK Athens85362%84.477.5+6.9
12 Bonn85362%83.278.0+5.2
13 Tortona85362%82.481.2+1.1
14 Promitheas106460%84.679.0+5.6
15 Ludwigsburg116555%81.579.2+2.4
16 Hapoel Holon116555%74.774.1+0.6
17 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
18 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
19 Rytas84450%85.181.0+4.1
20 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
21 Galatasaray105550%84.883.6+1.2
22 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
23 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
24 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
25 Peristeri105550%79.983.1-3.2
26 Bursaspor63350%73.278.8-5.7
27 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
28 Tofas115645%87.484.8+2.5
29 Karsiyaka115645%83.183.4-0.3
30 Benfica94544%81.778.7+3.0
31 Breogan94544%78.178.6-0.4
32 Oostende94544%75.079.8-4.8
33 Darussafaka94544%78.683.7-5.1
34 PAOK94544%75.282.7-7.4
35 Le Mans83538%77.979.0-1.1
36 Oldenburg62433%84.082.5+1.5
37 Sassari93633%85.689.2-3.7
38 Szczecin62433%78.882.7-3.8
39 VEF Riga62433%71.876.0-4.2
40 Szombathely62433%76.081.3-5.3
41 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
42 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Igokea6060%72.587.0-14.5
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Opava6060%72.0102.0-30.0
52 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
53 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens2514211979
Murcia2715202284
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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