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AEK Larnaca vs Basketball Braunschweig Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 63-72
14-20 17-23 20-10 12-19
Position#29
Record1-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Position#15
Record1-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game85.3
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 4· Kition Athletic Center
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basketball Braunschweig winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#4
W
88-74
88
74
+14
84avg 83
H08/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
71-64
71
64
+7
63avg 83
H15/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
74-92
74
92
-18
61avg 83
A19/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
74-61
74
61
+13
78avg 83
H23/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
63-68
63
68
-5
58avg 83
A27/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
77-84
77
84
-7
69avg 83
H30/05
Division A
Basketball Braunschweig
#15
L
59-89
59
89
-30
41avg 83
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tofas
#4
L
69-96
69
96
-27
54avg 83
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Achilleas K.
#9
W
93-69
93
69
+24
94avg 83
A19/10
Division A
Keravnos
#34
W
82-73
82
73
+9
78avg 83
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
20-27
22-21
25-10
21-9
19-20
13-19
18-16
20-28
12-24
26-26
16-14
20-17
11-16
24-16
19-12
16-18
15-16
15-22
17-12
17-23
22-20
15-17
23-24
21-12
11-20
15-29
12-28
20-27
16-25
20-23
13-21
22-14
28-19
26-15
17-21
18-16
20-21
22-17
22-19
152.0Avg total
75.0Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)70.086.0156.0-16.033%
Season at home (2)75.584.5160.0-9.050%
Season away (1)59.089.0148.0-30.00%
Last 10 (10)75.077.0152.0-2.050%
Last 5 (5)76.082.2158.2-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)70.086.0156.0-16.033%
vs Similar (10)76.176.8152.9-0.740%
vs Weaker (17)96.969.0165.9+27.9100%
This opponent (Basketball Braunschweig) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basketball BraunschweigLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraunschweig
Date
Competition
Ulm
#5
L
72-77
72
77
-5
70avg 72
H12/05
BBL
Jena
#21
W
80-70
80
70
+10
79avg 72
A15/09
German Cup
Bamberg
#15
W
96-77
96
77
+19
90avg 72
A22/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
91-71
91
71
+20
89avg 72
H30/09
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
65-72
65
72
-7
53avg 72
H05/10
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#29
W
89-59
89
59
+30
87avg 72
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vechta
#11
L
68-89
68
89
-21
61avg 72
H12/10
German Cup
Keravnos
#34
L
94-95 OT
94
95
-1
90avg 72
A16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tofas
#4
L
90-102
90
102
-12
74avg 72
A23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#6
L
61-65
61
65
-4
53avg 72
A27/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
11-22
21-14
19-18
22-14
20-15
19-16
19-25
16-18
19-19
36-19
25-21
29-14
22-23
26-12
14-22
15-19
16-19
17-13
17-21
12-21
20-11
29-15
28-12
16-26
20-22
17-21
15-20
28-22
20-19
25-21
7-18
20-29
26-29
19-23
25-21
14-17
17-20
9-17
21-11
158.3Avg total
80.6Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)91.085.3176.3+5.733%
Season at home (1)89.059.0148.0+30.0100%
Season away (2)92.098.5190.5-6.50%
Last 10 (10)80.677.7158.3+2.940%
Last 5 (5)80.482.0162.4-1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.886.1162.9-9.322%
vs Similar (8)77.481.1158.5-3.838%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)87.677.2164.8+10.367%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
AEK LarnacaBasketball Braunschweig
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H08/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H15/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A19/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H23/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A27/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H30/05
Division A
Basketball Braunschweig
#15
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tofas
#4
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Achilleas K.
#9
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A19/10
Division A
Keravnos
#34
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
75.8Avg total
37.0Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.936.480.3+7.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.637.582.2+7.165%-
Last 30 away (13)42.834.977.8+7.962%-
Last 10 (10)37.038.875.8-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.478.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)35.340.375.7-5.033%-
vs Similar (10)37.239.576.7-2.330%-
vs Weaker (17)49.333.983.2+15.488%-
This opponent (Basketball Braunschweig) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basketball BraunschweigLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#5
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H12/05
BBL
Jena
#21
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A15/09
German Cup
Bamberg
#15
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A22/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H30/09
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H05/10
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#29
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vechta
#11
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H12/10
German Cup
Keravnos
#34
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tofas
#4
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#6
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A27/10
BBL
78.6Avg total
38.4Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.580.8-2.227%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.041.181.1-1.133%-
Last 30 away (15)38.641.980.5-3.320%-
Last 10 (10)38.440.278.6-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.281.8-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.141.479.6-3.322%-
vs Similar (8)39.442.982.2-3.512%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.941.681.5-1.733%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.2
52.3%
52.6%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.66.2
26.3%
34.0%18.6
🏀 Free throws20.715.2
73.4%
72.6%15.2
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basketball Braunschweigtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basketball Braunschweig: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.821.2
57.6%
52.6%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.6
29.9%
34.0%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.914.6
66.7%
72.6%14.6
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Larnaca
WWLLLLWLWW
Basketball Braunschweig
LLLLWLWWWL
#29
League position
#15
-2.5
Net rating
+4.0
101.7
Offensive rating
104.0
104.2
Defensive rating
100.0
47.4%
Effective FG%
52.4%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
18.1%
Turnover %
20.1%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.35
26.3%
3-point %
29.9%
60.6%
Assist %
60.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 104.0Defence104.2 · 100.0Shooting47.4% · 52.4%3-point %26.3% · 29.9%Ball care18.1% · 20.1%Off. rebounds32.0% · 29.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ AEK Larnaca   ■ Basketball Braunschweig
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Larnaca wins
1
Basketball Braunschweig wins
DateGameScore
09/10/24Basketball Braunschweig v AEK Larnaca89-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/24HKeravnos82-73
19/10/24AAchilleas K.93-69
16/10/24HTofas69-96
09/10/24ABasketball Braunschweig59-89
30/05/24HKeravnos77-84
27/05/24AKeravnos63-68
23/05/24HKeravnos74-61
19/05/24AKeravnos74-92
15/05/24HKeravnos71-64
08/05/24HApoel BC88-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/24AAlba Berlin61-65
23/10/24ATofas90-102
16/10/24AKeravnos94-95 OT
12/10/24HVechta68-89
09/10/24HAEK Larnaca89-59
05/10/24HHeidelberg65-72
30/09/24HLudwigsburg91-71
22/09/24ABamberg96-77
15/09/24AJena80-70
12/05/24HUlm72-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game70.075.559.0
Allowed / game86.084.589.0
Point differential-16.0-9.0-30.0
Avg total156.0160.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basketball Braunschweig
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game91.089.092.0
Allowed / game85.359.098.5
Point differential+5.7+30.0-6.5
Avg total176.3148.0190.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %33%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao550100%87.259.6+27.6
2 Sassari440100%85.863.0+22.8
3 Tofas330100%99.080.0+19.0
4 Cholet440100%93.875.0+18.8
5 BC Kalev/Cramo440100%81.266.8+14.5
6 Ludwigsburg330100%78.765.3+13.3
7 PAOK330100%81.768.7+13.0
8 CSM Oradea330100%79.773.7+6.0
9 Dijon54180%97.069.6+27.4
10 Maroussi54180%90.877.0+13.8
11 Anwil Wloclawek32167%91.067.7+23.3
12 Basket Zaragoza32167%92.785.7+7.0
13 Spojnia Stargard32167%76.370.3+6.0
14 Spirou Charleroi64267%79.575.2+4.3
15 Levice32167%80.776.7+4.0
16 FC Porto32167%75.772.7+3.0
17 BC Prievidza64267%86.886.0+0.8
18 Bursaspor32167%82.782.7+0.0
19 Fribourg Olympic42250%87.079.5+7.5
20 Le Portel42250%75.269.0+6.2
21 Alba Fehervar63350%90.792.7-2.0
22 Anorthosis52340%79.282.0-2.8
23 Basketball Braunschweig31233%91.085.3+5.7
24 Arges Pitesti31233%67.769.3-1.7
25 Sporting CP62433%69.775.2-5.5
26 Antwerp Giants31233%78.784.3-5.7
27 Limburg31233%77.083.0-6.0
28 Keravnos31233%83.091.7-8.7
29 Norrkoping31233%79.788.7-9.0
30 AEK Larnaca31233%70.086.0-16.0
31 Caledonia Gladiators31233%65.384.0-18.7
32 BC Dnipro72529%66.485.3-18.9
33 Kutaisi41325%79.087.8-8.8
34 CSM Constanta51420%72.487.8-15.4
35 Sabah Baku4040%72.279.0-6.8
36 Starlites2020%74.584.0-9.5
37 Szolnoki Olaj3030%76.386.3-10.0
38 Parnu3030%69.780.0-10.3
39 Rilski Sportist4040%73.090.0-17.0
40 Trepca3030%68.789.3-20.7
41 Neptunas2020%62.584.5-22.0
42 Balkan3030%67.790.0-22.3
43 Peja2020%78.0102.0-24.0
44 Dinamo Zagreb2020%70.5100.0-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca1417201263
Basketball Braunschweig2023101972
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