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AEK Larnaca vs Corona Brasov Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 93-68
21-22 30-18 23-18 19-10
Position#19
Record1-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game83.5
AEK Larnaca 🏆
vs
Corona Brasov
Position#34
Record2-2
FormWWLLL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game77.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 3· Kition Athletic Center
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Corona Brasov winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
W
91-84
91
84
+7
86avg 83
H14/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
87-83
87
83
+4
76avg 83
A17/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
99-94 OT
99
94
+5
91avg 83
H20/05
Division A
Levice
#13
L
69-90
69
90
-21
57avg 83
A21/09
Champions League
Keravnos
#2
W
76-69
76
69
+7
72avg 83
H06/10
Division A
AEL
#3
W
88-72
88
72
+16
90avg 83
H11/10
Division A
CSM Oradea
#7
L
75-89
75
89
-14
65avg 83
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
96-61
96
61
+35
100avg 83
A19/10
Division A
Petkim Spor
#11
W
84-78
84
78
+6
80avg 83
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
101-70
101
70
+31
104avg 83
H25/10
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
26-20
20-19
27-28
25-31
33-18
12-22
17-12
26-17
22-24
19-23
18-21
19-24
17-24
17-26
16-16
25-18
16-18
17-14
18-19
20-17
25-10
25-23
18-22
21-26
15-18
21-25
18-20
25-17
24-14
26-15
21-15
22-22
17-14
22-15
23-27
21-18
25-24
30-14
25-14
165.6Avg total
86.6Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.583.5163.0-4.050%
Season at home (1)84.078.0162.0+6.0100%
Season away (1)75.089.0164.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)86.679.0165.6+7.680%
Last 5 (5)88.874.0162.8+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.583.5163.0-4.050%
vs Similar ◀ (6)84.578.8163.3+5.7100%
vs Weaker (21)88.169.1157.2+19.095%
This opponent (Corona Brasov) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Corona BrasovLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasov
Date
Competition
Arges Pitesti
#6
W
77-72
77
72
+5
68avg 77
A28/05
Divizia A
BC Dnipro
#44
W
83-69
83
69
+14
77avg 77
H24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Dnipro
#44
W
95-64
95
64
+31
98avg 77
A27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
W
91-86
91
86
+5
84avg 77
H01/10
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
L
83-96
83
96
-13
74avg 77
A04/10
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#16
W
65-63
65
63
+2
53avg 77
H08/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
81-71
81
71
+10
75avg 77
A11/10
Divizia A
Petkim Spor
#11
L
74-85
74
85
-11
68avg 77
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSM Oradea
#7
L
85-90
85
90
-5
75avg 77
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSM Oradea
#2
L
70-79
70
79
-9
61avg 77
A25/10
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
26-19
11-27
22-7
22-13
25-13
21-22
15-21
31-15
21-19
19-15
24-15
17-17
34-22
19-20
21-27
27-26
22-26
20-23
14-21
12-17
18-13
19-20
16-13
22-14
21-24
20-21
18-12
16-22
19-28
20-18
19-17
29-21
20-23
14-17
22-29
17-17
18-23
15-11
20-28
157.9Avg total
80.4Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.277.0161.2+7.250%
Season at home (2)84.079.5163.5+4.550%
Season away (2)84.574.5159.0+10.050%
Last 10 (10)80.477.5157.9+2.960%
Last 5 (5)75.077.6152.6-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.089.7166.7-12.70%
vs Similar ◀ (12)85.282.8168.0+2.567%
vs Weaker (12)87.873.2161.0+14.7100%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.1+0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.1+0.1
AEK LarnacaCorona Brasov
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H14/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A17/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H20/05
Division A
Levice
#13
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A21/09
Champions League
Keravnos
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H06/10
Division A
AEL
#3
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H11/10
Division A
CSM Oradea
#7
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A19/10
Division A
Petkim Spor
#11
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H25/10
Division A
83.3Avg total
44.2Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.837.781.6+6.173%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.337.581.8+6.881%-
Last 30 away (14)43.338.081.3+5.364%-
Last 10 (10)44.239.183.3+5.180%-
Last 5 (5)43.036.079.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.540.077.5-2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)45.739.284.8+6.5100%-
vs Weaker (21)44.336.680.9+7.771%-
This opponent (Corona Brasov) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Corona BrasovLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arges Pitesti
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A28/05
Divizia A
BC Dnipro
#44
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Dnipro
#44
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H01/10
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A04/10
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#16
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H08/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A11/10
Divizia A
Petkim Spor
#11
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSM Oradea
#7
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSM Oradea
#2
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A25/10
Divizia A
82.6Avg total
43.5Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.640.383.9+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.039.182.1+3.964%-
Last 30 away (16)44.141.285.4+2.950%-
Last 10 (10)43.539.182.6+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.478.8-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.346.887.2-6.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)44.240.184.2+4.158%-
vs Weaker (12)44.737.281.8+7.575%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.920.6
51.6%
52.0%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.4
35.1%
34.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws22.216.8
75.7%
73.4%16.8
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Corona Brasovtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Corona Brasov: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.7
50.5%
52.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.67.4
34.3%
34.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws22.717.6
77.5%
73.4%17.6
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Larnaca
WWWLWWLWWW
Corona Brasov
LLLWWLWWWW
#19
League position
#34
+10.9
Net rating
+3.1
117.7
Offensive rating
107.8
106.7
Defensive rating
104.7
52.0%
Effective FG%
50.8%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
15.0%
Turnover %
16.9%
37.6%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.1%
3-point %
34.3%
69.7%
Assist %
60.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.7 · 107.8Defence106.7 · 104.7Shooting52.0% · 50.8%3-point %35.1% · 34.3%Ball care15.0% · 16.9%Off. rebounds37.6% · 28.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ AEK Larnaca   ■ Corona Brasov
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Larnaca wins
0
Corona Brasov wins
No previous meetings.
AEK Larnacalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/25HETHA Engomi101-70
22/10/25HPetkim Spor84-78
19/10/25AApoel BC96-61
15/10/25ACSM Oradea75-89
11/10/25HAEL88-72
06/10/25HKeravnos76-69
21/09/25ALevice69-90
20/05/25HKeravnos99-94 OT
17/05/25AKeravnos87-83
14/05/25HKeravnos91-84
Corona Brasovlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/25ACSM Oradea70-79
22/10/25HCSM Oradea85-90
15/10/25APetkim Spor74-85
11/10/25ACSM Targu Jiu81-71
08/10/25HMunicipal Galati65-63
04/10/25ADinamo Bucharest83-96
01/10/25HBC Steaua Bucuresti91-86
27/09/25ABC Dnipro95-64
24/09/25HBC Dnipro83-69
28/05/25AArges Pitesti77-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game79.584.075.0
Allowed / game83.578.089.0
Point differential-4.0+6.0-14.0
Avg total163.0162.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Corona Brasov
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game84.284.084.5
Allowed / game77.079.574.5
Point differential+7.2+4.5+10.0
Avg total161.2163.5159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Basket Zaragoza220100%104.574.5+30.0
2 Reggiana220100%98.076.5+21.5
3 Cedevita Junior220100%99.579.0+20.5
4 Peristeri330100%91.074.3+16.7
5 Trefl Sopot220100%95.579.5+16.0
6 Vechta440100%88.574.0+14.5
7 Basketball Braunschweig220100%91.083.5+7.5
8 PAOK220100%89.583.5+6.0
9 Cibona43175%88.584.0+4.5
10 Bilbao32167%99.765.7+34.0
11 Rostock32167%90.083.0+7.0
12 Petkim Spor32167%82.377.0+5.3
13 CSM Oradea32167%84.081.3+2.7
14 Neftchi IK32167%87.387.3+0.0
15 FC Porto32167%81.782.7-1.0
16 KK Bosna53260%79.271.4+7.8
17 Brno53260%74.880.4-5.6
18 Sassari21150%85.576.5+9.0
19 Corona Brasov42250%84.277.0+7.2
20 Lublin21150%91.087.5+3.5
21 BC Prievidza42250%87.285.8+1.5
22 Murcia21150%74.575.0-0.5
23 Tartu Ulikool21150%88.089.0-1.0
24 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%88.590.0-1.5
25 AEK Larnaca21150%79.583.5-4.0
26 Szombathely21150%82.586.5-4.0
27 Pelister21150%83.088.5-5.5
28 Sporting CP21150%81.087.5-6.5
29 Anorthosis42250%79.888.8-9.0
30 Rilski Sportist31233%71.378.0-6.7
31 Anwil Wloclawek41325%89.585.8+3.8
32 Bashkimi41325%73.890.2-16.5
33 Absheron Lions51420%83.289.2-6.0
34 Dijon2020%80.586.0-5.5
35 Bakken Bears2020%85.092.5-7.5
36 Antwerp Giants2020%79.587.5-8.0
37 Parnu2020%72.082.0-10.0
38 Balkan2020%71.082.5-11.5
39 Mechelen2020%69.582.0-12.5
40 Trepca2020%72.084.5-12.5
41 Keravnos2020%75.093.5-18.5
42 Valcea2020%72.592.5-20.0
43 BC Dnipro2020%66.589.0-22.5
44 Kutaisi3030%65.099.7-34.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca2130231993
Corona Brasov2218181068
← all games of the day
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