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Apoel BC vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 61-96
17-25 14-24 15-26 15-21
Position#4
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#1
Record2-0
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game70.5
CyprusDivision ARound 3· Lefkotheo
Other2025-26
Meetings · Apoel BC v AEK Larnaca
11 Dec 2026
APO v ALA
upcoming
28 Apr 2026
APO95
ALA87
21 Apr 2026
APO82
ALA79
05 Apr 2026
APO75
ALA80
19 Oct 2025
APO61
ALA96
22 Mar 2025
APO69
ALA91
08 Jan 2025
APO57
ALA67
30 Apr 2024
APO85
ALA86
22 Oct 2023
APO62
ALA60
29 Jan 2023
APO73
ALA77
23 Oct 2021
APO85
ALA86
10 Oct 2020
APO60
ALA76
06 Jan 2020
APO56
ALA80
27 Oct 2018
APO88
ALA86
18 Mar 2018
APO94
ALA87
08 Jan 2018
APO82
ALA84
18 Apr 2017
APO64
ALA73
07 Apr 2017
APO75
ALA72
05 Mar 2017
APO69
ALA73
02 Dec 2016
APO89
ALA77
26 Apr 2016
APO66
ALA76
25 Mar 2016
APO70
ALA90
16 Jan 2016
APO67
ALA72
18 Apr 2015
APO74
ALA79
09 Apr 2015
APO67
ALA69
11 Feb 2015
APO94
ALA73
08 Nov 2014
APO82
ALA75
18 Mar 2014
APO81
ALA50
11 Mar 2014
APO74
ALA58
04 Mar 2014
APO95
ALA88
19 Jan 2014
APO78
ALA59
15 Dec 2013
APO72
ALA82
05 Apr 2013
APO71
ALA76
29 Mar 2013
APO81
ALA72
25 Nov 2012
APO56
ALA54
02 Mar 2012
APO96
ALA79
12 Feb 2012
APO83
ALA82
29 Jan 2011
APO79
ALA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Apoel BC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Apoel BCCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBC
Date
Competition
Paralimni
#6
W
83-65
83
65
+18
76avg 75
H28/02
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
100-88
100
88
+12
96avg 75
A07/03
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
94-86
94
86
+8
92avg 75
H11/03
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
87-75
87
75
+12
83avg 75
A17/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
69-91
69
91
-22
58avg 75
H22/03
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
97-112
97
112
-15
89avg 75
A28/03
Division A
AEL
#3
W
87-60
87
60
+27
81avg 75
H01/04
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
62avg 75
A16/04
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
73-72
73
72
+1
64avg 75
H04/10
Division A
Apollon
#6
W
90-88
90
88
+2
81avg 75
A10/10
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-16
21-11
19-16
14-22
19-22
35-20
30-24
16-22
19-24
21-24
27-12
27-26
19-25
21-16
20-17
27-17
17-26
16-30
16-15
20-20
23-27
27-27
20-26
27-32
22-22
34-17
22-7
9-14
24-29
12-20
17-17
19-14
21-17
12-17
17-22
23-16
16-18
28-17
25-19
21-34
166.9Avg total
85.2Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.580.0161.5+1.5100%
Season at home (1)73.072.0145.0+1.0100%
Season away (1)90.088.0178.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.281.7166.9+3.570%
Last 5 (5)83.882.4166.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.287.6163.8-11.38%
vs Similar (4)78.084.8162.8-6.825%
vs Weaker (14)87.973.1161.0+14.7100%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#5
W
82-63
82
63
+19
87avg 82
H01/05
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
86-70
86
70
+16
80avg 82
A04/05
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
88-73
88
73
+15
83avg 82
H08/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
91-84
91
84
+7
86avg 82
H14/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
87-83
87
83
+4
76avg 82
A17/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
99-94 OT
99
94
+5
91avg 82
H20/05
Division A
Levice
#13
L
69-90
69
90
-21
57avg 82
A21/09
Champions League
Keravnos
#2
W
76-69
76
69
+7
72avg 82
H06/10
Division A
AEL
#3
W
88-72
88
72
+16
90avg 82
H11/10
Division A
CSM Oradea
#7
L
75-89
75
89
-14
65avg 82
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
19-13
21-14
20-19
22-23
21-18
16-18
27-11
28-31
17-16
20-12
23-14
18-17
26-20
20-19
27-28
25-31
33-18
12-22
17-12
26-17
22-24
19-23
18-21
19-24
17-24
17-26
16-16
25-18
16-18
17-14
18-19
20-17
25-10
25-23
18-22
21-26
15-18
21-25
18-20
162.8Avg total
84.1Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.070.5152.5+11.5100%
Season at home (2)82.070.5152.5+11.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.178.7162.8+5.480%
Last 5 (5)81.482.8164.2-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.089.0164.0-14.00%
vs Similar (6)84.578.8163.3+5.7100%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)86.569.8156.4+16.795%
This opponent (Apoel BC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
Apoel BCAEK Larnaca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Apoel BCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paralimni
#6
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H28/02
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A07/03
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H11/03
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A17/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
33-56
33
56
-23
H22/03
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A28/03
Division A
AEL
#3
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H01/04
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A16/04
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H04/10
Division A
Apollon
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A10/10
Division A
86.1Avg total
43.6Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.383.4+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.041.285.2+2.850%-
Last 30 away (16)40.641.381.9-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)43.642.586.1+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)43.842.286.0+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.944.383.2-5.433%-
vs Similar (4)40.242.883.0-2.550%-
vs Weaker (14)45.538.283.7+7.357%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#5
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H01/05
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A04/05
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H08/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H14/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A17/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H20/05
Division A
Levice
#13
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A21/09
Champions League
Keravnos
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H06/10
Division A
AEL
#3
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H11/10
Division A
CSM Oradea
#7
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
83.7Avg total
43.7Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.837.881.6+6.070%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.237.181.3+7.175%-
Last 30 away (14)43.438.681.9+4.864%-
Last 10 (10)43.740.083.7+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.280.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.044.080.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (6)45.739.284.8+6.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.036.780.7+7.368%-
This opponent (Apoel BC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Apoel BCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apoel BC: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.518.6
49.6%
51.5%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.811.8
38.3%
32.9%35.4
🏀 Free throws17.112.0
70.2%
71.5%12.0
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.8
49.5%
51.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.2
33.6%
32.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws24.518.5
75.5%
71.5%18.5
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Apoel BC
WWLWLLWWWW
AEK Larnaca
LWWLWWWWWW
#4
League position
#1
+4.4
Net rating
+7.9
110.0
Offensive rating
113.3
105.6
Defensive rating
105.5
53.1%
Effective FG%
49.8%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
16.8%
Turnover %
16.4%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
37.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.37
38.3%
3-point %
33.6%
59.9%
Assist %
69.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 113.3Defence105.6 · 105.5Shooting53.1% · 49.8%3-point %38.3% · 33.6%Ball care16.8% · 16.4%Off. rebounds30.1% · 37.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Apoel BC   ■ AEK Larnaca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Apoel BC wins
9
AEK Larnaca wins
Apoel BClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/25AApollon90-88
04/10/25HAchilleas K.73-72
16/04/25AAnorthosis72-80
01/04/25HAEL87-60
28/03/25AKeravnos97-112
22/03/25HAEK Larnaca69-91
17/03/25AAchilleas K.87-75
11/03/25HETHA Engomi94-86
07/03/25AApollon100-88
28/02/25HParalimni83-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/25ACSM Oradea75-89
11/10/25HAEL88-72
06/10/25HKeravnos76-69
21/09/25ALevice69-90
20/05/25HKeravnos99-94 OT
17/05/25AKeravnos87-83
14/05/25HKeravnos91-84
08/05/25HAnorthosis88-73
04/05/25AAnorthosis86-70
01/05/25HAnorthosis82-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Apoel BC
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game81.573.090.0
Allowed / game80.072.088.0
Point differential+1.5+1.0+2.0
Avg total161.5145.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Larnaca
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game82.082.0-
Allowed / game70.570.5-
Point differential+11.5+11.5-
Avg total152.5152.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca220100%82.070.5+11.5
2 Morphou330100%84.077.7+6.3
3 Apoel BC220100%81.580.0+1.5
4 ETHA Engomi32167%79.778.3+1.3
5 Keravnos21150%77.573.0+4.5
6 AEL21150%76.075.0+1.0
7 Anorthosis21150%70.071.0-1.0
8 Achilleas K.3030%77.383.0-5.7
9 Apollon3030%78.085.3-7.3
10 Paralimni2020%77.086.5-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Apoel BC1714151561
AEK Larnaca2524262196
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