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CSM Oradea vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 89-75
26-21 18-15 25-21 20-18
Position#7
Record-
FormLLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
CSM Oradea 🏆
vs
AEK Larnaca
Position#19
Record-
FormWWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 1· Oradea Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · CSM Oradea v AEK Larnaca
16 Sep 2026
COR95
ALA87
15 Oct 2025
COR89
ALA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSM Oradea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Larnaca winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSM OradeaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOradea
Date
Competition
Voluntari
#5
W
90-86
90
86
+4
88avg 80
H28/05
Divizia A
Cluj-Napoca
#2
L
82-89
82
89
-7
78avg 80
H02/06
Divizia A
Cluj-Napoca
#2
W
80-68
80
68
+12
69avg 80
H04/06
Divizia A
Cluj-Napoca
#2
W
74-68
74
68
+6
67avg 80
A08/06
Divizia A
Cluj-Napoca
#2
L
83-92
83
92
-9
75avg 80
A10/06
Divizia A
Cluj-Napoca
#2
L
67-68
67
68
-1
60avg 80
H13/06
Divizia A
Antwerp Giants
#10
L
71-79
71
79
-8
66avg 80
H19/09
Champions League
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
99-53
99
53
+46
98avg 80
A01/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
96-81
96
81
+15
88avg 80
H08/10
Divizia A
Valcea
#6
W
85-83
85
83
+2
79avg 80
H11/10
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
21-18
25-26
29-19
23-22
18-20
20-12
21-35
17-12
22-18
21-26
20-12
22-15
20-21
16-17
16-15
18-23
23-17
26-27
16-25
19-16
20-21
12-12
16-19
17-23
20-11
12-30
22-15
18-12
25-8
27-17
29-16
22-23
28-19
25-23
21-16
22-18
22-20
14-27
27-18
159.4Avg total
82.7Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.776.7159.4+6.060%
Last 5 (5)83.672.8156.4+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)78.279.7157.8-1.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)87.174.5161.6+12.683%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Achilleas K.
#9
W
95-75
95
75
+20
98avg 82
A23/04
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
82-63
82
63
+19
87avg 82
H01/05
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
86-70
86
70
+16
80avg 82
A04/05
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
88-73
88
73
+15
83avg 82
H08/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
91-84
91
84
+7
86avg 82
H14/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
87-83
87
83
+4
76avg 82
A17/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
99-94 OT
99
94
+5
91avg 82
H20/05
Division A
Levice
#13
L
69-90
69
90
-21
57avg 82
A21/09
Champions League
Keravnos
#2
W
76-69
76
69
+7
72avg 82
H06/10
Division A
AEL
#3
W
88-72
88
72
+16
90avg 82
H11/10
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
31-18
19-25
22-18
22-17
19-13
21-14
20-19
22-23
21-18
16-18
27-11
28-31
17-16
20-12
23-14
18-17
26-20
20-19
27-28
25-31
33-18
12-22
17-12
26-17
22-24
19-23
18-21
19-24
17-24
17-26
16-16
25-18
16-18
17-14
18-19
20-17
25-10
25-23
18-22
163.4Avg total
86.1Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.177.3163.4+8.890%
Last 5 (5)83.881.6165.4+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (6)84.578.8163.3+5.7100%
vs Weaker (23)86.769.8156.5+16.896%
This opponent (CSM Oradea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +2.6+2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +2.6+2.6
CSM OradeaAEK Larnaca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSM OradeaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Voluntari
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H28/05
Divizia A
Cluj-Napoca
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H02/06
Divizia A
Cluj-Napoca
#2
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H04/06
Divizia A
Cluj-Napoca
#2
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A08/06
Divizia A
Cluj-Napoca
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A10/06
Divizia A
Cluj-Napoca
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H13/06
Divizia A
Antwerp Giants
#10
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H19/09
Champions League
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
43-20
43
20
+23
A01/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H08/10
Divizia A
Valcea
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H11/10
Divizia A
77.2Avg total
41.2Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.837.078.8+4.873%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.336.979.2+5.476%-
Last 30 away (13)41.237.278.3+4.069%-
Last 10 (10)41.236.077.2+5.280%-
Last 5 (5)42.634.276.8+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)39.838.378.2+1.567%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)42.536.879.3+5.774%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Achilleas K.
#9
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A23/04
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H01/05
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A04/05
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H08/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H14/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A17/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H20/05
Division A
Levice
#13
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A21/09
Champions League
Keravnos
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H06/10
Division A
AEL
#3
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H11/10
Division A
84.3Avg total
45.5Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.237.882.0+6.473%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.437.682.0+6.876%-
Last 30 away (13)43.938.282.1+5.869%-
Last 10 (10)45.538.884.3+6.780%-
Last 5 (5)45.640.285.8+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (6)45.739.284.8+6.5100%-
vs Weaker (23)44.237.081.2+7.170%-
This opponent (CSM Oradea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSM Oradeatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSM Oradea: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.022.5
52.3%
52.0%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.77.2
34.8%
34.9%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.515.5
79.5%
73.4%15.5
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.4
51.1%
52.0%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.1
35.7%
34.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws22.616.6
73.5%
73.4%16.6
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSM Oradea
WWWLLLWWLW
AEK Larnaca
WWLWWWWWWW
#7
League position
#19
+8.8
Net rating
+12.3
117.0
Offensive rating
114.8
108.2
Defensive rating
102.5
52.3%
Effective FG%
52.1%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
17.3%
Turnover %
17.0%
40.9%
Off. rebound %
36.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.8%
3-point %
35.7%
51.2%
Assist %
71.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence117.0 · 114.8Defence108.2 · 102.5Shooting52.3% · 52.1%3-point %34.8% · 35.7%Ball care17.3% · 17.0%Off. rebounds40.9% · 36.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ CSM Oradea   ■ AEK Larnaca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
CSM Oradea wins
0
AEK Larnaca wins
No previous meetings.
CSM Oradealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25HValcea85-83
08/10/25HPetrolul Ploiesti96-81
01/10/25ACSM Targu Jiu99-53
19/09/25HAntwerp Giants71-79
13/06/25HCluj-Napoca67-68
10/06/25ACluj-Napoca83-92
08/06/25ACluj-Napoca74-68
04/06/25HCluj-Napoca80-68
02/06/25HCluj-Napoca82-89
28/05/25HVoluntari90-86
AEK Larnacalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25HAEL88-72
06/10/25HKeravnos76-69
21/09/25ALevice69-90
20/05/25HKeravnos99-94 OT
17/05/25AKeravnos87-83
14/05/25HKeravnos91-84
08/05/25HAnorthosis88-73
04/05/25AAnorthosis86-70
01/05/25HAnorthosis82-63
23/04/25AAchilleas K.95-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSM Oradea
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
AEK Larnaca
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rostock110100%100.082.0+18.0
2 Brno330100%82.770.0+12.7
3 Vechta220100%82.571.0+11.5
4 Petkim Spor110100%85.074.0+11.0
5 Peristeri110100%84.081.0+3.0
6 FC Porto110100%80.079.0+1.0
7 Corona Brasov32167%84.072.7+11.3
8 KK Bosna21150%82.069.5+12.5
9 Anwil Wloclawek21150%84.075.5+8.5
10 Anorthosis21150%75.074.5+0.5
11 Cibona21150%92.592.0+0.5
12 Absheron Lions21150%74.575.0-0.5
13 BC Prievidza21150%92.092.5-0.5
14 Bashkimi21150%75.584.0-8.5
15 Antwerp Giants1010%79.080.0-1.0
16 Bilbao1010%81.084.0-3.0
17 Parnu2020%72.082.0-10.0
18 Balkan2020%71.082.5-11.5
19 Mechelen2020%69.582.0-12.5
20 Kutaisi1010%66.084.0-18.0
21 Tartu Ulikool1010%82.0100.0-18.0
22 BC Dnipro2020%66.589.0-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 22 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSM Oradea2618252089
AEK Larnaca2115211875
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