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AEK Larnaca vs AEL Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 88-72
20-17 25-10 25-23 18-22
Position#1
Record1-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game69.0
vs
Position#3
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game62.0
CyprusDivision ARound 2· Kition Athletic Center
Other2025-26
Meetings · AEK Larnaca v AEL
02 Jan 2027
ALA v AEL
upcoming
08 Apr 2026
ALA78
AEL71
11 Oct 2025
ALA88
AEL72
01 Dec 2024
ALA89
AEL70
20 Mar 2024
ALA93
AEL81
21 Dec 2022
ALA118
AEL103
05 Mar 2022
ALA84
AEL65
23 Dec 2020
ALA87
AEL58
25 Oct 2019
ALA84
AEL77
20 Mar 2019
ALA93
AEL57
03 Nov 2018
ALA82
AEL76
13 Feb 2015
ALA20
AEL0
06 Dec 2014
ALA20
AEL0
24 Jan 2014
ALA100
AEL52
06 Dec 2013
ALA93
AEL48
25 Jan 2013
ALA86
AEL38
23 Dec 2012
ALA81
AEL67
27 Nov 2011
ALA88
AEL82
22 Jan 2011
ALA92
AEL84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEL winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
99-59
99
59
+40
102avg 81
H16/04
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
95-75
95
75
+20
98avg 81
A23/04
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
82-63
82
63
+19
87avg 81
H01/05
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
86-70
86
70
+16
80avg 81
A04/05
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
88-73
88
73
+15
83avg 81
H08/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
91-84
91
84
+7
86avg 81
H14/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
87-83
87
83
+4
76avg 81
A17/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
99-94 OT
99
94
+5
91avg 81
H20/05
Division A
Levice
#13
L
69-90
69
90
-21
57avg 81
A21/09
Champions League
Keravnos
#2
W
76-69
76
69
+7
72avg 81
H06/10
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
22-11
33-8
24-17
23-14
31-18
19-25
22-18
22-17
19-13
21-14
20-19
22-23
21-18
16-18
27-11
28-31
17-16
20-12
23-14
18-17
26-20
20-19
27-28
25-31
33-18
12-22
17-12
26-17
22-24
19-23
18-21
19-24
17-24
17-26
16-16
25-18
16-18
17-14
18-19
163.2Avg total
87.2Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)76.069.0145.0+7.0100%
Season at home (1)76.069.0145.0+7.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.276.0163.2+11.290%
Last 5 (5)84.484.0168.4+0.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)92.091.0183.0+1.0100%
vs Similar (6)84.578.8163.3+5.7100%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)86.669.7156.3+16.995%
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
76-57
76
57
+19
71avg 78
H12/03
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
87-100
87
100
-13
75avg 78
A16/03
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
86-72
86
72
+14
89avg 78
H29/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
60-87
60
87
-27
49avg 78
A01/04
Division A
Paralimni
#6
W
77-69
77
69
+8
73avg 78
H15/04
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
96-66
96
66
+30
48avg 78
A23/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
66-78
66
78
-12
49avg 78
A30/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
72-81
72
81
-9
60avg 78
H03/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
85-102
85
102
-17
74avg 78
A07/05
Division A
Apollon
#6
W
80-62
80
62
+18
74avg 78
H03/10
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
18-19
20-13
22-11
24-23
17-24
20-29
26-24
20-13
23-23
24-14
19-22
22-22
17-34
7-22
14-9
19-15
19-20
19-21
20-13
25-9
25-15
22-24
24-18
20-20
19-17
14-20
13-21
20-16
22-24
12-24
18-17
21-24
24-22
21-26
19-30
28-20
17-13
21-19
14-10
155.9Avg total
78.5Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.062.0142.0+18.0100%
Season at home (1)80.062.0142.0+18.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.577.4155.9+1.150%
Last 5 (5)79.877.8157.6+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)74.683.4158.0-8.820%
vs Similar (2)74.568.0142.5+6.550%
vs Weaker (18)89.471.3160.7+18.183%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +1.4+1.4
AEK LarnacaAEL
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H16/04
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A23/04
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H01/05
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A04/05
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H08/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H14/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A17/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H20/05
Division A
Levice
#13
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A21/09
Champions League
Keravnos
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H06/10
Division A
84.7Avg total
45.2Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.638.883.4+5.870%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.438.282.6+6.175%-
Last 30 away (14)44.939.584.4+5.464%-
Last 10 (10)45.239.584.7+5.780%-
Last 5 (5)45.442.287.6+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)57.057.0114.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (6)45.739.284.8+6.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.137.581.6+6.668%-
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H12/03
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A16/03
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H29/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A01/04
Division A
Paralimni
#6
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H15/04
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
50-24
50
24
+26
A23/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A30/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H03/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A07/05
Division A
Apollon
#6
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H03/10
Division A
80.3Avg total
41.6Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.338.581.8+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.836.381.1+8.587%-
Last 30 away (15)41.940.682.5+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)41.638.780.3+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)44.236.080.2+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.541.380.8-1.840%-
vs Similar (2)36.536.573.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker (18)46.237.183.3+9.183%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.8
52.4%
51.5%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.5
36.8%
32.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws21.415.7
73.4%
71.5%15.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.5
49.6%
51.5%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.7
30.2%
32.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.312.5
68.3%
71.5%12.5
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Larnaca
WLWWWWWWWW
AEL
WLLLWWLWLW
#1
League position
#3
+15.5
Net rating
+1.1
115.9
Offensive rating
103.5
100.4
Defensive rating
102.4
53.6%
Effective FG%
48.0%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
16.4%
Turnover %
16.6%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.8%
3-point %
30.2%
69.0%
Assist %
62.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 103.5Defence100.4 · 102.4Shooting53.6% · 48.0%3-point %36.8% · 30.2%Ball care16.4% · 16.6%Off. rebounds34.6% · 32.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ AEK Larnaca   ■ AEL
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
AEK Larnaca wins
1
AEL wins
DateGameScore
12/03/25AEL v AEK Larnaca76-57
18/01/25AEL v AEK Larnaca66-80
01/12/24AEK Larnaca v AEL89-70
05/04/24AEL v AEK Larnaca63-99
20/03/24AEK Larnaca v AEL93-81
09/10/23AEL v AEK Larnaca94-96 OT
05/03/23AEL v AEK Larnaca76-91
21/12/22AEK Larnaca v AEL118-103
05/03/22AEK Larnaca v AEL84-65
11/12/21AEL v AEK Larnaca62-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/25HKeravnos76-69
21/09/25ALevice69-90
20/05/25HKeravnos99-94 OT
17/05/25AKeravnos87-83
14/05/25HKeravnos91-84
08/05/25HAnorthosis88-73
04/05/25AAnorthosis86-70
01/05/25HAnorthosis82-63
23/04/25AAchilleas K.95-75
16/04/25HETHA Engomi99-59
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/25HApollon80-62
07/05/25AKeravnos85-102
03/05/25HKeravnos72-81
30/04/25AKeravnos66-78
23/04/25AApollon96-66
15/04/25HParalimni77-69
01/04/25AApoel BC60-87
29/03/25HAnorthosis86-72
16/03/25AKeravnos87-100
12/03/25HAEK Larnaca76-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game76.076.0-
Allowed / game69.069.0-
Point differential+7.0+7.0-
Avg total145.0145.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
AEL
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game80.080.0-
Allowed / game62.062.0-
Point differential+18.0+18.0-
Avg total142.0142.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEL110100%80.062.0+18.0
2 Anorthosis110100%71.058.0+13.0
3 AEK Larnaca110100%76.069.0+7.0
4 Morphou110100%87.084.0+3.0
5 Apoel BC220100%81.580.0+1.5
6 Achilleas K.1010%72.073.0-1.0
7 Paralimni1010%84.087.0-3.0
8 Keravnos1010%69.076.0-7.0
9 Apollon2020%75.085.0-10.0
10 ETHA Engomi1010%58.071.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca2025251888
AEL1710232272
← all games of the day
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