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AEK Larnaca vs PAEEK Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 120-80
35-25 28-22 34-14 23-19
Position#2
Record13-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game71.4
AEK Larnaca 🏆
Cyprus
vs
PAEEK
Cyprus
Position#6
Record6-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game87.1
CyprusDivision ARound 18· Kition Athletic Center
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAEEK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Karhu Basket
#42
W
85-80
85
80
+5
76avg 78
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
PAEEK
#6
W
83-74
83
74
+9
77avg 78
A27/11
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
80-71
80
71
+9
79avg 78
H03/12
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
90-68
90
68
+22
94avg 78
A09/12
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
112-71
112
71
+41
120avg 78
H14/12
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
83-52
83
52
+31
82avg 78
A22/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
78-66
78
66
+12
72avg 78
H05/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
72-82
72
82
-10
65avg 78
A19/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
114-87
114
87
+27
115avg 78
H28/01
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
98-77
98
77
+21
99avg 78
A03/02
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
21-17
22-14
30-31
25-25
22-16
17-17
19-16
16-19
19-17
11-19
34-16
27-13
16-18
26-13
21-24
30-23
22-16
31-13
29-19
24-10
17-11
30-15
12-16
20-11
20-16
18-23
20-16
24-24
19-25
17-17
12-16
33-14
28-21
29-25
24-27
25-19
28-19
28-21
17-18
162.3Avg total
89.5Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.871.4158.2+15.487%
Season at home (7)90.070.1160.1+19.9100%
Season away (8)84.072.5156.5+11.575%
Last 10 (10)89.572.8162.3+16.790%
Last 5 (5)89.072.8161.8+16.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.083.0153.0-13.033%
vs Similar (8)77.573.0150.5+4.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)87.274.1161.3+13.283%
This opponent (PAEEK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAEEKCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAEEK
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
74-83
74
83
-9
68avg 71
H27/11
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
79-96
79
96
-17
72avg 71
A03/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
94-108
94
108
-14
82avg 71
H10/12
Division A
Apollon
#8
L
82-89
82
89
-7
65avg 71
A14/12
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
70-101
70
101
-31
58avg 71
A21/12
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
103-101 OT
103
101
+2
no box
H06/01
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
86-80
86
80
+6
84avg 71
A14/01
Division A
AEL
#5
L
81-86
81
86
-5
64avg 71
H20/01
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
82-77
82
77
+5
68avg 71
A28/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
106-95
106
95
+11
104avg 71
H02/02
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
16-22
17-17
16-19
15-25
22-27
23-21
19-23
23-26
26-27
14-32
31-23
21-28
21-25
20-12
20-24
14-32
16-19
23-26
17-24
16-16
14-23
32-13
15-25
14-21
19-18
28-25
25-16
23-28
22-20
15-21
21-17
23-27
19-23
15-18
25-9
26-25
22-25
29-16
29-29
177.3Avg total
85.7Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.787.1168.8-5.438%
Season at home (8)87.989.2177.1-1.450%
Season away (8)75.585.0160.5-9.525%
Last 10 (10)85.791.6177.3-5.940%
Last 5 (5)91.687.8179.4+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)76.988.0164.9-11.112%
vs Similar (5)87.688.4176.0-0.860%
vs Weaker (3)84.782.7167.3+2.067%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.0+6.0Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.0+6.0Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
AEK LarnacaPAEEK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karhu Basket
#42
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
PAEEK
#6
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A27/11
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H03/12
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A09/12
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H14/12
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
41-21
41
21
+20
A22/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H05/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A19/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
61-35
61
35
+26
H28/01
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A03/02
Division A
80.0Avg total
44.8Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.336.077.3+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.234.977.2+7.377%-
Last 30 away (17)40.636.877.4+3.959%-
Last 10 (10)44.835.280.0+9.670%-
Last 5 (5)47.634.081.6+13.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.346.384.7-8.033%-
vs Similar (8)38.437.075.4+1.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.934.677.5+8.483%-
This opponent (PAEEK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAEEKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H27/11
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A03/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H10/12
Division A
Apollon
#8
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A14/12
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A21/12
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H06/01
Division A
Paralimni
#11
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A14/01
Division A
AEL
#5
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H20/01
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A28/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H02/02
Division A
87.9Avg total
39.7Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)38.645.484.0-6.96%-
Last 30 at home (8)41.844.286.0-2.512%-
Last 30 away (8)35.446.682.0-11.20%-
Last 10 (10)39.748.287.9-8.50%-
Last 5 (5)39.645.284.8-5.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.646.684.2-9.00%-
vs Similar (5)41.044.885.8-3.820%-
vs Weaker (3)37.043.380.3-6.30%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.124.9
57.8%
51.0%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.67.1
34.5%
32.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws21.617.4
80.6%
71.2%17.4
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAEEKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAEEK: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.918.3
48.3%
51.0%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.5
35.7%
32.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.917.1
74.7%
71.2%17.1
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Larnaca
WWLWWWWWWW
PAEEK
WWLWWLLLLL
#2
League position
#6
+21.8
Net rating
-7.3
118.5
Offensive rating
105.5
96.7
Defensive rating
112.8
55.8%
Effective FG%
50.5%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
16.6%
Turnover %
16.4%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
23.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.5%
3-point %
35.7%
58.8%
Assist %
56.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence118.5 · 105.5Defence96.7 · 112.8Shooting55.8% · 50.5%3-point %34.5% · 35.7%Ball care16.6% · 16.4%Off. rebounds33.0% · 23.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ AEK Larnaca   ■ PAEEK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
AEK Larnaca wins
0
PAEEK wins
DateGameScore
27/11/23PAEEK v AEK Larnaca74-83
AEK Larnacalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24AApollon98-77
28/01/24HETHA Engomi114-87
19/01/24AAnorthosis72-82
05/01/24HApoel BC78-66
22/12/23AAchilleas K.83-52
14/12/23HParalimni112-71
09/12/23AApop Paphou90-68
03/12/23HKeravnos80-71
27/11/23APAEEK83-74
22/11/23AKarhu Basket85-80
PAEEKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/24HApoel BC106-95
28/01/24AAchilleas K.82-77
20/01/24HAEL81-86
14/01/24AParalimni86-80
06/01/24HApop Paphou103-101 OT
21/12/23AKeravnos70-101
14/12/23AApollon82-89
10/12/23HETHA Engomi94-108
03/12/23AAnorthosis79-96
27/11/23HAEK Larnaca74-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW87%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %87%100%75%
Points / game86.890.084.0
Allowed / game71.470.172.5
Point differential+15.4+19.9+11.5
Avg total158.2160.1156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%86%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%12%
PAEEK
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW38%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayLLLWW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game81.787.975.5
Allowed / game87.189.285.0
Point differential-5.4-1.4-9.5
Avg total168.8177.1160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keravnos1614288%85.868.4+17.4
2 AEK Larnaca1513287%86.871.4+15.4
3 Anorthosis1512380%84.467.7+16.7
4 Apoel BC1611569%74.972.1+2.8
5 AEL159660%82.174.8+7.3
6 PAEEK1661038%81.787.1-5.4
7 Apollon1661038%76.285.4-9.1
8 ETHA Engomi1651131%76.884.0-7.2
9 Apop Paphou1441029%76.284.0-7.8
10 Achilleas K.1631319%66.678.6-12.0
11 Paralimni1521313%69.687.3-17.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca35283423120
PAEEK2522141980
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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