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AEK Larnaca vs Apoel BC Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 78-66
20-11 20-16 18-23 20-16
Position#2
Record10-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game69.0
vs
Position#4
Record9-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game69.1
CyprusDivision ARound 13· Kition Athletic Center
Other2023-24
Meetings · AEK Larnaca v Apoel BC
18 Oct 2026
ALA83
APO79
01 May 2026
ALA85
APO71
24 Apr 2026
ALA89
APO72
17 Apr 2026
ALA99
APO77
05 Jan 2026
ALA80
APO54
03 Nov 2024
ALA80
APO61
08 May 2024
ALA88
APO74
26 Apr 2024
ALA85
APO71
11 Apr 2024
ALA86
APO73
05 Jan 2024
ALA78
APO66
20 Nov 2022
ALA88
APO94
22 Jan 2022
ALA87
APO69
10 Feb 2021
ALA106
APO76
05 Dec 2020
ALA88
APO60
12 Mar 2020
ALA72
APO82
10 Nov 2019
ALA77
APO67
10 Feb 2019
ALA75
APO67
16 Jan 2019
ALA83
APO69
28 Nov 2017
ALA90
APO102
11 Apr 2017
ALA87
APO79
04 Apr 2017
ALA64
APO60
03 Feb 2017
ALA78
APO67
05 Nov 2016
ALA77
APO66
03 May 2016
ALA81
APO74
21 Apr 2016
ALA82
APO76
29 Feb 2016
ALA87
APO81
27 Nov 2015
ALA74
APO69
21 Apr 2015
ALA76
APO67
14 Apr 2015
ALA77
APO82
20 Dec 2014
ALA63
APO71
14 Mar 2014
ALA80
APO67
07 Mar 2014
ALA89
APO72
25 Nov 2013
ALA55
APO69
02 Apr 2013
ALA76
APO74
26 Mar 2013
ALA78
APO70
15 Feb 2013
ALA62
APO75
04 Jan 2013
ALA73
APO67
05 Mar 2012
ALA88
APO66
28 Feb 2012
ALA76
APO66
09 Dec 2011
ALA71
APO67
26 Nov 2010
ALA76
APO64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Apoel BC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Rostock
#5
L
73-86
73
86
-13
70avg 76
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
90-71
90
71
+19
90avg 76
A12/11
Division A
Jonava
#33
L
84-95
84
95
-11
74avg 76
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#8
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 76
H18/11
Division A
Karhu Basket
#42
W
85-80
85
80
+5
76avg 76
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
PAEEK
#6
W
83-74
83
74
+9
77avg 76
A27/11
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
80-71
80
71
+9
79avg 76
H03/12
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
90-68
90
68
+22
94avg 76
A09/12
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
112-71
112
71
+41
120avg 76
H14/12
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
83-52
83
52
+31
82avg 76
A22/12
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
13-22
19-27
16-12
23-22
25-16
21-10
21-23
19-24
20-24
19-19
26-28
14-12
20-20
15-17
28-18
12-18
21-17
22-14
30-31
25-25
22-16
17-17
19-16
16-19
19-17
11-19
34-16
27-13
16-18
26-13
21-24
30-23
22-16
31-13
29-19
24-10
17-11
30-15
12-16
159.2Avg total
85.7Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.569.0154.5+16.591%
Season at home (5)87.667.6155.2+20.0100%
Season away (6)83.770.2153.8+13.583%
Last 10 (10)85.773.5159.2+12.280%
Last 5 (5)89.667.2156.8+22.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.083.0153.0-13.033%
vs Similar (7)78.371.7150.0+6.671%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.369.4154.7+15.984%
This opponent (Apoel BC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Apoel BCCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBC
Date
Competition
Achilleas K.
#10
W
87-76
87
76
+11
83avg 73
A08/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
62-60
62
60
+2
54avg 73
H22/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
W
74-73
74
73
+1
66avg 73
A27/10
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
77-66
77
66
+11
77avg 73
H06/11
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
67-61
67
61
+6
61avg 73
A11/11
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
71-67
71
67
+4
66avg 73
H18/11
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
86-88
86
88
-2
80avg 73
A27/11
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
80-75
80
75
+5
77avg 73
H02/12
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
92-68
92
68
+24
97avg 73
A08/12
Division A
AEL
#5
W
67-57
67
57
+10
66avg 73
H13/12
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
23-22
14-15
25-17
14-12
14-17
18-17
16-14
17-21
16-24
16-13
25-15
16-18
28-15
17-23
16-10
18-14
19-20
15-13
15-14
14-14
21-10
9-19
27-24
18-27
25-23
25-20
18-18
26-14
19-22
22-17
13-22
33-14
22-13
20-24
17-17
11-16
17-10
18-17
21-14
145.4Avg total
76.3Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.369.1145.4+7.290%
Season at home (5)71.465.0136.4+6.4100%
Season away (5)81.273.2154.4+8.080%
Last 10 (10)76.369.1145.4+7.290%
Last 5 (5)79.271.0150.2+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)77.481.0158.4-3.643%
vs Similar (6)81.788.8170.5-7.233%
vs Weaker (17)84.574.1158.5+10.4100%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +2.8+2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +2.8+2.8
AEK LarnacaApoel BC
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A12/11
Division A
Jonava
#33
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#8
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H18/11
Division A
Karhu Basket
#42
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
PAEEK
#6
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A27/11
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H03/12
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A09/12
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H14/12
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
41-21
41
21
+20
A22/12
Division A
77.8Avg total
41.0Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.134.475.5+6.670%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.233.876.0+8.479%-
Last 30 away (16)40.135.075.1+5.162%-
Last 10 (10)41.036.877.8+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.633.677.2+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.346.384.7-8.033%-
vs Similar (7)37.735.373.0+2.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.532.975.4+9.684%-
This opponent (Apoel BC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Apoel BCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Achilleas K.
#10
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A08/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H22/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A27/10
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H06/11
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A11/11
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H18/11
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A27/11
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H02/12
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
55-27
55
27
+28
A08/12
Division A
AEL
#5
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H13/12
Division A
74.4Avg total
39.6Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.139.481.4+2.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.238.680.8+3.673%-
Last 30 away (15)41.940.182.1+1.860%-
Last 10 (10)39.634.874.4+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)41.232.673.8+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)38.641.480.0-2.929%-
vs Similar (6)38.845.284.0-6.333%-
vs Weaker (17)44.636.581.1+8.294%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.124.4
55.3%
51.0%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.76.8
34.5%
32.6%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.515.5
75.6%
71.2%15.5
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Apoel BCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apoel BC: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.9
52.4%
51.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.3
35.5%
32.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.212.8
74.4%
71.2%12.8
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Larnaca
WWWWWWWLWL
Apoel BC
WWWLWWWWWW
#2
League position
#4
+15.7
Net rating
+10.4
111.1
Offensive rating
109.2
95.4
Defensive rating
98.8
54.2%
Effective FG%
52.7%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
45.3%
18.0%
Turnover %
17.8%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.5%
3-point %
35.5%
58.7%
Assist %
58.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 109.2Defence95.4 · 98.8Shooting54.2% · 52.7%3-point %34.5% · 35.5%Ball care18.0% · 17.8%Off. rebounds30.4% · 30.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 90%
■ AEK Larnaca   ■ Apoel BC
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
AEK Larnaca wins
3
Apoel BC wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/23AAchilleas K.83-52
14/12/23HParalimni112-71
09/12/23AApop Paphou90-68
03/12/23HKeravnos80-71
27/11/23APAEEK83-74
22/11/23AKarhu Basket85-80
18/11/23HApollon77-67
15/11/23HJonava84-95
12/11/23AETHA Engomi90-71
08/11/23ARostock73-86
Apoel BClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/23HAEL67-57
08/12/23AParalimni92-68
02/12/23HApop Paphou80-75
27/11/23AKeravnos86-88
18/11/23HPAEEK71-67
11/11/23AApollon67-61
06/11/23HETHA Engomi77-66
27/10/23AAnorthosis74-73
22/10/23HAEK Larnaca62-60
08/10/23AAchilleas K.87-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %91%100%83%
Points / game85.587.683.7
Allowed / game69.067.670.2
Point differential+16.5+20.0+13.5
Avg total154.5155.2153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Apoel BC
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game76.371.481.2
Allowed / game69.165.073.2
Point differential+7.2+6.4+8.0
Avg total145.4136.4154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca1110191%85.569.0+16.5
2 Apoel BC109190%76.369.1+7.2
3 Keravnos119282%85.869.9+15.9
4 Anorthosis118373%84.871.4+13.5
5 AEL117464%81.173.3+7.8
6 Apollon115645%79.684.5-4.9
7 ETHA Engomi114736%78.182.5-4.5
8 Apop Paphou113827%74.884.0-9.2
9 PAEEK112918%77.286.8-9.6
10 Achilleas K.112918%68.480.8-12.5
11 Paralimni111109%68.287.7-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca2020182078
Apoel BC1116231666
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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