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PAEEK vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 27 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 74-83
25-25 16-22 17-17 16-19
Position#6
Record2-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#2
Record5-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game70.5
CyprusDivision ARound 8· Lefkotheo
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAEEK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAEEKCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAEEK
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#1
L
67-80
67
80
-13
60avg 67
H14/10
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
L
67-74
67
74
-7
54avg 67
A22/10
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
86-79
86
79
+7
78avg 67
H29/10
Division A
AEL
#5
L
71-92
71
92
-21
62avg 67
A05/11
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
92-82
92
82
+10
91avg 67
H10/11
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
67-71
67
71
-4
57avg 67
A18/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
19-25
11-26
19-12
22-29
14-16
23-9
8-20
27-17
9-21
27-20
23-21
25-24
14-24
19-19
13-25
24-21
24-16
24-20
20-25
14-14
10-21
19-9
24-27
154.7Avg total
75.0Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.079.7154.7-4.733%
Season at home (3)81.780.3162.0+1.367%
Season away (3)68.379.0147.3-10.70%
Last 10 (6)75.079.7154.7-4.733%
Last 5 (5)76.679.6156.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)68.381.0149.3-12.70%
vs Similar (2)79.578.0157.5+1.550%
vs Weaker (1)86.079.0165.0+7.0100%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Rostock
#5
W
78-76
78
76
+2
69avg 70
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
L
60-62
60
62
-2
47avg 70
A22/10
Division A
Jonava
#33
W
87-80
87
80
+7
76avg 70
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Karhu Basket
#42
L
66-75
66
75
-9
56avg 70
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#3
W
76-58
76
58
+18
71avg 70
H04/11
Division A
Rostock
#5
L
73-86
73
86
-13
70avg 70
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
90-71
90
71
+19
90avg 70
A12/11
Division A
Jonava
#33
L
84-95
84
95
-11
74avg 70
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#8
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 70
H18/11
Division A
Karhu Basket
#42
W
85-80
85
80
+5
76avg 70
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
22-18
15-20
17-11
12-14
17-14
17-18
14-16
21-13
22-22
18-22
26-23
16-16
17-15
20-21
13-23
26-14
18-17
17-20
15-7
25-25
13-22
19-27
16-12
23-22
25-16
21-10
21-23
19-24
20-24
19-19
26-28
14-12
20-20
15-17
28-18
12-18
21-17
22-14
30-31
152.6Avg total
77.6Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.070.5152.5+11.583%
Season at home (3)82.065.3147.3+16.7100%
Season away (3)82.075.7157.7+6.367%
Last 10 (10)77.675.0152.6+2.660%
Last 5 (5)81.879.8161.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.083.0153.0-13.033%
vs Similar (6)78.071.8149.8+6.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)84.967.5152.4+17.585%
This opponent (PAEEK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
PAEEKAEK Larnaca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAEEKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H14/10
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A22/10
Division A
Paralimni
#11
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H29/10
Division A
AEL
#5
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A05/11
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H10/11
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A18/11
Division A
77.5Avg total
36.7Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (6)36.740.877.5-4.217%-
Last 30 at home (3)40.339.079.3+1.333%-
Last 30 away (3)33.042.775.7-9.70%-
Last 10 (6)36.740.877.5-4.217%-
Last 5 (5)36.640.677.2-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)33.341.775.0-8.30%-
vs Similar (2)42.041.083.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker (1)36.038.074.0-2.00%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#5
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A22/10
Division A
Jonava
#33
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Karhu Basket
#42
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#3
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H04/11
Division A
Rostock
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A12/11
Division A
Jonava
#33
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#8
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H18/11
Division A
Karhu Basket
#42
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
75.7Avg total
38.7Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.234.275.4+7.070%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.832.375.1+10.586%-
Last 30 away (16)39.835.975.6+3.956%-
Last 10 (10)38.737.075.7+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.078.4-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.346.384.7-8.033%-
vs Similar (6)38.235.273.3+3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.332.775.0+9.680%-
This opponent (PAEEK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAEEKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAEEK: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.519.0
48.1%
51.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.0
32.4%
32.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.712.2
65.2%
71.2%12.2
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.821.5
50.2%
51.0%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.25.9
29.2%
32.6%17.7
🏀 Free throws21.316.1
75.6%
71.2%16.1
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 27 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAEEK
LWLWLL
AEK Larnaca
WWLWLWLWLW
#6
League position
#2
-6.0
Net rating
+3.7
98.6
Offensive rating
102.3
104.5
Defensive rating
98.6
48.3%
Effective FG%
48.2%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
18.2%
Turnover %
16.3%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.4%
3-point %
29.2%
56.2%
Assist %
55.1%
33%
Form (last 6/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.6 · 102.3Defence104.5 · 98.6Shooting48.3% · 48.2%3-point %32.4% · 29.2%Ball care18.2% · 16.3%Off. rebounds25.8% · 25.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 6/10)33% · 60%
■ PAEEK   ■ AEK Larnaca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
PAEEK wins
0
AEK Larnaca wins
No previous meetings.
PAEEKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23AApoel BC67-71
10/11/23HAchilleas K.92-82
05/11/23AAEL71-92
29/10/23HParalimni86-79
22/10/23AApop Paphou67-74
14/10/23HKeravnos67-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23AKarhu Basket85-80
18/11/23HApollon77-67
15/11/23HJonava84-95
12/11/23AETHA Engomi90-71
08/11/23ARostock73-86
04/11/23HAnorthosis76-58
01/11/23HKarhu Basket66-75
25/10/23AJonava87-80
22/10/23AApoel BC60-62
18/10/23HRostock78-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAEEK
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Losses (last 6)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game75.081.768.3
Allowed / game79.780.379.0
Point differential-4.7+1.3-10.7
Avg total154.7162.0147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Larnaca
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game82.082.082.0
Allowed / game70.565.375.7
Point differential+11.5+16.7+6.3
Avg total152.5147.3157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Apoel BC660100%73.067.2+5.8
2 Keravnos65183%88.267.5+20.7
3 AEK Larnaca65183%82.070.5+11.5
4 AEL86275%84.976.0+8.9
5 Anorthosis75271%83.070.0+13.0
6 Apop Paphou73443%75.481.1-5.7
7 PAEEK62433%75.079.7-4.7
8 ETHA Engomi72529%76.484.4-8.0
9 Achilleas K.82625%73.681.5-7.9
10 Apollon82625%76.585.4-8.9
11 Paralimni7070%68.487.3-18.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAEEK2516171674
AEK Larnaca2522171983
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