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AEK Larnaca vs Sassari Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 89-96
18-24 22-17 21-28 28-27
Position#27
Record4-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game80.9
vs
Sassari 🏆
Position#1
Record8-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game77.4
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 3
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#35
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H14/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#4
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H17/11
Division A
Minsk
#15
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Omonia
#5
W
80-50
80
50
+30
A24/11
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
100-95 OT
100
95
+5
A08/12
Division A
Varese
#4
L
74-109
74
109
-35
A12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Donar Groningen
#16
L
56-78
56
78
-22
H19/12
FIBA Europe Cup
AEL
#7
W
81-80
81
80
+1
A22/12
Division A
Paralimni
#8
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H29/12
Division A
Apollon
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A05/01
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-9
18-22
20-18
12-13
16-15
17-18
18-9
15-14
20-14
19-22
18-26
25-15
19-21
22-11
25-13
14-5
22-29
10-24
26-13
25-17
20-28
23-26
18-30
13-25
17-18
18-19
13-22
8-19
24-21
14-21
21-22
22-16
18-9
16-14
18-22
19-10
24-14
18-28
22-18
17-25
150.1Avg total
75.4Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)72.480.9153.2-8.550%
Season at home (4)67.274.0141.2-6.850%
Season away (4)77.587.8165.2-10.250%
Last 10 (10)75.474.7150.1+0.770%
Last 5 (5)72.681.4154.0-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)70.880.6151.4-9.840%
vs Similar (5)74.671.8146.4+2.880%
vs Weaker (15)82.169.7151.7+12.480%
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Szombathely
#30
W
92-60
92
60
+32
A21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A25/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
86-74
86
74
+12
A09/12
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
106-107 OT
106
107
-1
H16/12
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
87-90
87
90
-3
H19/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#9
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A23/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
114-73
114
73
+41
H26/12
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
95-71
95
71
+24
A30/12
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
102-97
102
97
+5
H06/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
29-16
28-15
17-15
10-18
19-21
17-20
20-12
18-25
24-18
27-15
17-16
22-15
16-14
22-21
24-28
18-21
23-24
22-23
28-23
27-24
23-15
27-24
10-27
22-24
18-23
18-20
20-19
28-14
19-16
33-16
34-27
31-13
25-20
26-22
13-16
24-20
27-19
25-24
26-34
171.7Avg total
91.0Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)93.577.4170.9+16.180%
Season at home (5)96.875.8172.6+21.080%
Season away (5)90.279.0169.2+11.280%
Last 10 (10)91.080.7171.7+10.360%
Last 5 (5)95.283.4178.6+11.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)84.684.0168.6+0.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)92.579.0171.4+13.570%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
AEK LarnacaSassari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#35
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H14/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#4
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H17/11
Division A
Minsk
#15
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Omonia
#5
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A24/11
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A08/12
Division A
Varese
#4
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Donar Groningen
#16
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H19/12
FIBA Europe Cup
AEL
#7
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A22/12
Division A
Paralimni
#8
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H29/12
Division A
Apollon
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A05/01
Division A
75.1Avg total
36.8Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.437.575.8+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.634.269.9+1.450%-
Last 30 away (16)40.840.381.1+0.444%-
Last 10 (10)36.838.375.1-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.439.678.0-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.739.877.5-2.130%-
vs Similar (5)33.440.674.0-7.240%-
vs Weaker (15)40.534.975.3+5.660%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Szombathely
#30
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A25/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A09/12
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H16/12
Lega A
Varese
#4
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H19/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#9
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A23/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H26/12
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
56-33
56
33
+23
A30/12
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H06/01
Lega A
81.5Avg total
44.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.738.081.7+5.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.537.784.1+8.873%-
Last 30 away (15)41.038.379.3+2.753%-
Last 10 (10)44.137.481.5+6.760%-
Last 5 (5)48.837.686.4+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)40.037.977.9+2.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.638.083.7+7.670%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.923.0
52.4%
52.5%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.7
37.3%
34.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.614.1
80.1%
73.3%14.1
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Larnaca wins
0
Sassari wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/19AApollon81-85
29/12/18HParalimni71-55
22/12/18AAEL81-80
19/12/18HDonar Groningen56-78
12/12/18AVarese74-109
08/12/18AKeravnos100-95 OT
24/11/18AOmonia80-50
21/11/18HMinsk82-77
17/11/18HApollon66-56
14/11/18HBelfius Mons63-62
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/19HTrieste102-97
30/12/18ABrescia95-71
26/12/18HPesaro114-73
23/12/18AAvellino78-86
19/12/18HVarese87-90
16/12/18HOlimpia Milano106-107 OT
12/12/18ADonar Groningen84-78
09/12/18AVirtus Bologna86-74
25/11/18ATrento66-71
21/11/18ASzombathely92-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game72.467.277.5
Allowed / game80.974.087.8
Point differential-8.5-6.8-10.2
Avg total153.2141.2165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sassari
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL80%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game93.596.890.2
Allowed / game77.475.879.0
Point differential+16.1+21.0+11.2
Avg total170.9172.6169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%60%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears880100%106.076.8+29.2
2 Varese87188%90.174.1+16.0
3 Saratov87188%96.681.2+15.4
4 Sassari108280%93.577.4+16.1
5 Nes Ziona129375%92.581.8+10.8
6 s.Oliver Wurzburg86275%81.975.0+6.9
7 Donar Groningen86275%78.672.5+6.1
8 Alba Fehervar107370%84.679.8+4.8
9 Karsiyaka85362%81.475.4+6.0
10 Szolnoki Olaj85362%81.978.6+3.2
11 Lukoil Levski85362%83.181.5+1.6
12 Z-Mobile Prishtina85362%83.085.5-2.5
13 Balkan106460%79.377.8+1.5
14 Leiden106460%75.079.0-4.0
15 Spirou Charleroi63350%81.070.5+10.5
16 Sakarya BB63350%80.075.2+4.8
17 Den Bosch84450%82.879.8+3.0
18 Aris63350%74.072.0+2.0
19 Minsk63350%82.882.2+0.7
20 Kataja126650%80.984.1-3.2
21 Keravnos21150%64.068.0-4.0
22 Lavrio21150%70.074.5-4.5
23 Cluj Napoca21150%83.589.5-6.0
24 AEK Larnaca84450%72.480.9-8.5
25 BC Lulea21150%64.080.0-16.0
26 Cherkaski Mavpy104640%80.184.3-4.2
27 Szombathely62433%74.384.5-10.2
28 BC Dnipro103730%71.776.9-5.2
29 Istanbul BB103730%72.279.4-7.2
30 Rilski Sportist82625%79.187.9-8.8
31 Belfius Mons61517%74.878.3-3.5
32 FC Porto61517%79.285.5-6.3
33 CSM Oradea61517%75.584.5-9.0
34 BC Steaua Bucuresti61517%71.386.5-15.2
35 Leicester Riders6060%74.587.7-13.2
36 HydroTruck Radom2020%67.080.5-13.5
37 Kapfenberg Bulls2020%59.573.5-14.0
38 Sodertalje2020%71.586.0-14.5
39 Kongsberg Miners2020%76.592.0-15.5
40 Svitavy2020%76.098.5-22.5
41 Pardubice6060%77.3100.8-23.5
42 Benfica2020%79.0105.5-26.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca1822212889
Sassari2417282796
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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