AEK Larnaca vs Paralimni Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Dec 2018

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 71-55

18-9 16-14 18-22 19-10

Position#1

Record7-2

FormWWLLW

Points / game79.4

Allowed / game73.0

AEK Larnaca 🏆

Paralimni

Position#8

Record3-7

FormWLLLL

Points / game76.5

Allowed / game81.6

Division ARound 11

Other2018-19

Meetings · AEK Larnaca v Paralimni

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Paralimni winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK Larnaca Cyprus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Balkan

78-77

A07/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Paralimni

85-75

+10

A10/11

Division A

Belfius Mons

#35

63-62

H14/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Apollon

66-56

+10

H17/11

Division A

Minsk

#15

82-77

H21/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Omonia

80-50

+30

A24/11

Division A

Keravnos

100-95 OT

100

A08/12

Division A

Varese

74-109

109

-35

A12/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Donar Groningen

#16

56-78

-22

H19/12

FIBA Europe Cup

AEL

81-80

A22/12

Division A

24-20

23-26

13-15

18-16

17-26

22-21

18-17

28-11

13-9

18-22

20-18

12-13

16-15

17-18

18-9

15-14

20-14

19-22

18-26

25-15

19-21

22-11

25-13

14-5

22-29

10-24

26-13

25-17

20-28

23-26

18-30

13-25

17-18

18-19

13-22

8-19

24-21

14-21

21-22

22-16

152.4Avg total

76.5Scored

75.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	79.4	73.0	152.4	+6.4	78%
Season at home (3)	69.0	67.3	136.3	+1.7	67%
Season away (6)	84.7	75.8	160.5	+8.8	83%
Last 10 (10)	76.5	75.9	152.4	+0.6	80%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	82.4	160.6	-4.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	70.8	80.6	151.4	-9.8	40%
vs Similar (5)	74.6	71.8	146.4	+2.8	80%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	82.5	69.8	152.3	+12.7	87%

This opponent (Paralimni) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Paralimni

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

AEL

75-64

+11

H14/10

Division A

Apollon

71-89

-18

A19/10

Division A

ETHA Engomi

83-80

H28/10

Division A

Apoel BC

75-82

-7

A02/11

Division A

AEK Larnaca

75-85

-10

H10/11

Division A

Omonia

87-76

+11

H16/11

Division A

Keravnos

77-96

-19

A23/11

Division A

Apollon

87-91

-4

H08/12

Division A

ETHA Engomi

68-73

-5

A11/12

Division A

Apoel BC

67-80

-13

H20/12

Division A

28-15

17-14

13-12

17-23

15-28

16-24

21-20

19-17

22-24

11-19

20-16

30-21

12-25

18-21

23-19

22-17

26-17

21-22

17-18

11-28

29-13

21-26

17-20

20-17

18-26

21-28

14-29

24-13

33-23

20-34

15-11

19-23

19-20

12-18

21-16

16-19

15-22

14-26

22-14

16-18

158.1Avg total

76.5Scored

81.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	76.5	81.6	158.1	-5.1	30%
Season at home (6)	79.0	79.3	158.3	-0.3	50%
Season away (4)	72.8	85.0	157.8	-12.2	0%
Last 10 (10)	76.5	81.6	158.1	-5.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	83.2	160.4	-6.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	66.2	81.3	147.6	-15.1	8%
vs Similar (8)	78.9	79.9	158.8	-1.0	50%
vs Weaker (10)	82.1	66.7	148.8	+15.4	90%

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AEK LarnacaParalimni

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.8	39.0	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	16.5	35.2	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	20.9	42.2	+0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	20.1	39.3	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	23.4	43.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.9	18.9	36.8	-1.0	40%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.2	22.8	42.0	-3.6	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.9	17.5	39.4	+4.5	73%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.1	40.6	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.7	19.6	42.3	+3.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	20.6	38.6	-2.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	21.3	43.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.8	43.6	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.8	21.8	40.6	-2.9	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.1	22.1	45.2	+1.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.5	16.4	36.9	+4.1	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.8	37.5	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	18.4	36.3	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	21.0	39.6	-2.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	20.2	37.6	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.8	20.9	40.7	-1.1	30%	-
vs Similar (5)	14.2	17.8	32.0	-3.6	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	19.5	17.7	37.2	+1.7	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.9	38.7	-1.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	20.4	40.9	+0.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	19.4	36.3	-2.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	23.2	40.3	-6.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	26.4	44.0	-8.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	16.5	22.1	38.6	-5.6	8%	-
vs Similar (8)	16.6	21.4	38.0	-4.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.3	16.2	39.5	+7.1	60%	-

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Balkan

47-46

A07/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Paralimni

39-47

-8

A10/11

Division A

Belfius Mons

#35

31-31

H14/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Apollon

33-33

H17/11

Division A

Minsk

#15

39-36

H21/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Omonia

41-32

A24/11

Division A

Keravnos

32-53

-21

A08/12

Division A

Varese

43-54

-11

A12/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Donar Groningen

#16

35-37

-2

H19/12

FIBA Europe Cup

AEL

38-42

-4

A22/12

Division A

78.9Avg total

37.8Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	37.6	76.5	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.6	34.9	71.5	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.8	40.1	80.8	+0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	41.1	78.9	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	43.6	81.4	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	37.7	39.8	77.5	-2.1	30%	-
vs Similar (5)	33.4	40.6	74.0	-7.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	41.4	35.2	76.6	+6.2	67%	-

This opponent (Paralimni) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ParalimniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

AEL

45-29

+16

H14/10

Division A

Apollon

31-52

-21

A19/10

Division A

ETHA Engomi

33-43

-10

H28/10

Division A

Apoel BC

30-46

-16

A02/11

Division A

AEK Larnaca

47-39

H10/11

Division A

Omonia

50-39

+11

H16/11

Division A

Keravnos

39-54

-15

A23/11

Division A

Apollon

53-57

-4

H08/12

Division A

ETHA Engomi

31-38

-7

A11/12

Division A

Apoel BC

29-48

-19

H20/12

Division A

83.3Avg total

38.8Scored

44.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	40.0	79.3	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.2	40.0	83.2	+3.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.9	40.0	74.9	-5.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	44.5	83.3	-5.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	47.2	87.6	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	35.3	43.8	79.2	-8.5	17%	-
vs Similar (8)	39.8	43.5	83.2	-3.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (10)	43.8	32.6	76.4	+11.2	90%	-

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.0	36.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.8	17.3	34.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.0	18.7	38.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.4	22.2	38.6	-5.8	10%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.8	14.6	33.4	+4.2	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	19.8	16.4	36.2	+3.4	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.9	17.2	34.2	-0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.6	16.8	33.3	-0.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	17.8	35.1	-0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	17.5	35.8	+0.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	18.0	35.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	14.5	18.9	33.4	-4.4	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.1	15.4	33.5	+2.8	88%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.9	16.7	35.6	+2.2	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.2	35.9	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.9	16.1	33.0	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	18.1	38.5	+2.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	15.1	33.1	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	16.4	32.8	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.7	18.6	35.3	-1.9	30%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.0	14.2	33.2	+4.8	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.1	17.2	37.3	+2.9	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.5	37.0	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	19.2	38.4	+0.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	17.6	35.3	+0.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	16.4	18.6	35.0	-2.2	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.5	19.6	40.1	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.4	17.4	36.8	+2.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	35.2	72.5	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	33.6	33.4	67.1	+0.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.4	36.8	77.2	+3.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	33.6	70.6	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	36.4	73.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	33.1	40.8	73.9	-7.7	20%	-
vs Similar (5)	37.8	28.8	66.6	+9.0	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	39.9	33.6	73.5	+6.3	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.4	35.7	71.1	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.8	35.9	71.8	-0.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.0	35.4	70.4	-0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	37.1	74.8	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	36.0	72.8	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	30.9	37.5	68.4	-6.6	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.6	35.0	73.6	+3.6	62%	-
vs Weaker (10)	38.3	34.1	72.4	+4.2	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

AEK Larnaca wins

Paralimni wins

Date	Game	Score
10/11/18	Paralimni v AEK Larnaca	75-85
17/04/18	AEK Larnaca v Paralimni	57-54
13/04/18	Paralimni v AEK Larnaca	70-96
10/04/18	AEK Larnaca v Paralimni	83-61
07/02/18	Paralimni v AEK Larnaca	61-73
09/12/17	AEK Larnaca v Paralimni	102-71
22/10/17	Paralimni v AEK Larnaca	62-74
11/03/17	AEK Larnaca v Paralimni	68-57
11/02/17	Paralimni v AEK Larnaca	54-69
06/12/16	AEK Larnaca v Paralimni	72-62

AEK Larnacalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/12/18	A	AEL	81-80
19/12/18	H	Donar Groningen	56-78
12/12/18	A	Varese	74-109
08/12/18	A	Keravnos	100-95 OT
24/11/18	A	Omonia	80-50
21/11/18	H	Minsk	82-77
17/11/18	H	Apollon	66-56
14/11/18	H	Belfius Mons	63-62
10/11/18	A	Paralimni	85-75
07/11/18	A	Balkan	78-77

Paralimnilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/12/18	H	Apoel BC	67-80
11/12/18	A	ETHA Engomi	68-73
08/12/18	H	Apollon	87-91
23/11/18	A	Keravnos	77-96
16/11/18	H	Omonia	87-76
10/11/18	H	AEK Larnaca	75-85
02/11/18	A	Apoel BC	75-82
28/10/18	H	ETHA Engomi	83-80
19/10/18	A	Apollon	71-89
14/10/18	H	AEL	75-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca

Division A 2018-19

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	78%
Home	LWW	67%
Away	LWWWW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	3	6
Win %	78%	67%	83%
Points / game	79.4	69.0	84.7
Allowed / game	73.0	67.3	75.8
Point differential	+6.4	+1.7	+8.8
Avg total	152.4	136.3	160.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	33%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	-	67% (3)
Overtime %	33%	33%	33%

Paralimni

Division A 2018-19

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	30%
Home	WLWLL	50%
Away	LLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	6	4
Win %	30%	50%	0%
Points / game	76.5	79.0	72.8
Allowed / game	81.6	79.3	85.0
Point differential	-5.1	-0.3	-12.2
Avg total	158.1	158.3	157.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	50% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	AEK Larnaca	9	7	2	78%	79.4	73.0	+6.4
2	Keravnos	10	7	3	70%	81.4	70.2	+11.2
3	Apoel BC	10	7	3	70%	76.4	69.7	+6.7
4	Apollon	11	6	5	55%	76.0	76.9	-0.9
5	ETHA Engomi	10	4	6	40%	72.2	75.0	-2.8
6	Omonia	11	4	7	36%	64.0	73.0	-9.0
7	Paralimni	10	3	7	30%	76.5	81.6	-5.1
8	AEL	11	3	8	27%	71.8	76.3	-4.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
AEK Larnaca	18	16	18	19	71
Paralimni	9	14	22	10	55

← all games of the day

AEK Larnaca vs Paralimni Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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