PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Sassari vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 106-107 (OT)
18-21 23-24 22-23 28-23 15-16
Position#4
Record4-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Position#1
Record9-0
FormWLLWL
Points / game94.3
Allowed / game79.1
ItalyLega ARound 10
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Sassari v Olimpia Milano
19 Oct 2025
SAS72
MIL76
08 Feb 2025
SAS72
MIL78
03 Dec 2023
SAS89
MIL83
01 Jun 2023
SAS61
MIL93
04 Dec 2022
SAS63
MIL92
01 Jun 2022
SAS69
MIL87
03 Apr 2022
SAS92
MIL90
14 Apr 2021
SAS73
MIL85
22 Mar 2020
SAS v MIL
upcoming
16 Dec 2018
SAS106
MIL107
29 Oct 2017
SAS90
MIL69
12 Mar 2017
SAS75
MIL82
04 May 2016
SAS83
MIL80
08 Jun 2015
SAS67
MIL74
04 Jun 2015
SAS80
MIL67
02 Jun 2015
SAS84
MIL76
07 Dec 2014
SAS111
MIL112
09 Jun 2014
SAS76
MIL95
05 Jun 2014
SAS56
MIL63
03 Jun 2014
SAS76
MIL83
05 Jan 2014
SAS69
MIL75
30 Mar 2013
SAS79
MIL85
30 Oct 2011
SAS60
MIL88
24 May 2011
SAS60
MIL72
22 May 2011
SAS72
MIL91
14 Nov 2010
SAS54
MIL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Szombathely
#30
W
104-69
104
69
+35
H31/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#3
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A04/11
Lega A
Leicester Riders
#39
W
95-60
95
60
+35
H07/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#2
L
83-86
83
86
-3
H10/11
Lega A
Szolnoki Olaj
#18
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A14/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Pistoia
#16
L
111-113
111
113
-2
H18/11
Lega A
Szombathely
#30
W
92-60
92
60
+32
A21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A25/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
86-74
86
74
+12
A09/12
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
22-12
28-17
33-21
19-26
21-16
19-16
14-22
19-21
24-8
26-20
26-11
23-11
17-22
20-29
23-24
22-23
15-16
15-25
22-23
28-30
29-22
26-25
28-36
18-14
29-16
28-15
17-15
10-18
19-21
17-20
20-12
18-25
24-18
27-15
17-16
22-15
16-14
22-21
24-28
164.6Avg total
86.8Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.781.7165.3+2.044%
Season at home (4)90.285.2175.5+5.050%
Season away (5)78.478.8157.2-0.440%
Last 10 (10)86.877.8164.6+9.050%
Last 5 (5)87.879.2167.0+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.577.5154.0-1.050%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.781.3164.0+1.440%
vs Weaker (18)93.280.7173.9+12.472%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
100-75
100
75
+25
H11/11
Lega A
Darussafaka
#16
W
98-92
98
92
+6
A15/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#2
W
84-81
84
81
+3
A18/11
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
W
93-90
93
90
+3
H21/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A23/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#3
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H25/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A29/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
L
86-94
86
94
-8
H06/12
Euroleague
Cantu
#8
W
101-74
101
74
+27
A09/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#2
L
85-92
85
92
-7
A13/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
21-28
31-13
25-19
26-19
28-30
14-20
30-23
31-11
13-23
16-26
24-21
27-26
20-17
26-25
20-22
25-24
17-29
12-21
26-16
11-20
18-15
27-20
20-20
23-18
8-22
27-20
20-23
22-20
18-28
23-23
23-23
18-18
26-18
20-16
37-22
21-15
19-25
18-27
27-25
172.7Avg total
88.1Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)94.379.1173.4+15.2100%
Season at home (4)96.581.2177.8+15.2100%
Season away (5)92.677.4170.0+15.2100%
Last 10 (10)88.184.6172.7+3.560%
Last 5 (5)85.283.6168.8+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.088.2172.2-4.225%
vs Similar ◀ (7)84.482.0166.4+2.471%
vs Weaker (18)90.479.4169.8+11.083%
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +3.8+3.8
SassariOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Szombathely
#30
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H31/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A04/11
Lega A
Leicester Riders
#39
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H07/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#2
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H10/11
Lega A
Szolnoki Olaj
#18
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A14/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Pistoia
#16
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H18/11
Lega A
Szombathely
#30
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A25/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A09/12
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
78.3Avg total
41.6Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.538.981.4+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.638.382.9+6.364%-
Last 30 away (16)40.739.580.2+1.250%-
Last 10 (10)41.636.778.3+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.638.681.2+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.539.572.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.738.778.4+1.050%-
vs Weaker (18)45.239.084.2+6.267%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H11/11
Lega A
Darussafaka
#16
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A15/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#2
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A18/11
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H21/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A23/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#3
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H25/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A29/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H06/12
Euroleague
Cantu
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A09/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A13/12
Euroleague
83.6Avg total
41.5Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.039.482.4+3.667%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.341.986.2+2.464%-
Last 30 away (16)41.837.279.0+4.669%-
Last 10 (10)41.542.183.6-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.839.876.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.539.082.5+4.575%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)39.441.681.0-2.143%-
vs Weaker (18)44.739.283.8+5.572%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.322.0
50.8%
51.0%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.1
35.7%
35.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.314.2
77.6%
72.3%14.2
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.5
51.5%
51.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.711.1
40.1%
35.1%33.3
🏀 Free throws21.616.8
77.8%
72.3%16.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sassari
WWLWLLLWLW
Olimpia Milano
LWLLWLWWWW
#4
League position
#1
+6.2
Net rating
+4.4
112.3
Offensive rating
116.9
106.2
Defensive rating
112.5
51.8%
Effective FG%
55.3%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
17.0%
Turnover %
15.5%
36.0%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.7%
3-point %
40.1%
52.7%
Assist %
57.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 116.9Defence106.2 · 112.5Shooting51.8% · 55.3%3-point %35.7% · 40.1%Ball care17.0% · 15.5%Off. rebounds36.0% · 30.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Sassari   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sassari wins
7
Olimpia Milano wins
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/18ADonar Groningen84-78
09/12/18AVirtus Bologna86-74
25/11/18ATrento66-71
21/11/18ASzombathely92-60
18/11/18HPistoia111-113
14/11/18ASzolnoki Olaj74-87
10/11/18HVenezia83-86
07/11/18HLeicester Riders95-60
04/11/18ACremona73-80
31/10/18HSzombathely104-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/18AFenerbahce85-92
09/12/18ACantu101-74
06/12/18HGran Canaria86-94
29/11/18AZalgiris Kaunas78-83
25/11/18HCremona76-75
23/11/18ABarcelona80-90
21/11/18HBaskonia93-90
18/11/18AVenezia84-81
15/11/18ADarussafaka98-92
11/11/18HReggiana100-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW44%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%50%40%
Points / game83.790.278.4
Allowed / game81.785.278.8
Point differential+2.0+5.0-0.4
Avg total165.3175.5157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.396.592.6
Allowed / game79.181.277.4
Point differential+15.2+15.2+15.2
Avg total173.4177.8170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano990100%94.379.1+15.2
2 Venezia97278%84.269.7+14.6
3 Cremona96367%85.881.2+4.6
4 Avellino96367%85.381.2+4.1
5 Varese96367%76.974.0+2.9
6 Brindisi95456%78.776.7+2.0
7 Sassari94544%83.781.7+2.0
8 Trieste94544%84.085.2-1.2
9 Pesaro94544%82.786.1-3.4
10 Virtus Bologna94544%82.286.6-4.3
11 Brescia104640%78.176.8+1.3
12 Torino93633%79.982.8-2.9
13 Pistoia93633%80.691.8-11.2
14 Reggiana103730%78.583.7-5.2
15 Cantu103730%80.888.4-7.6
16 Trento103730%76.585.0-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Sassari1823222815106
Olimpia Milano2124232316107
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.