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AEL vs Apoel BC Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 78-64
23-18 14-12 25-20 16-14
Position#3
Record12-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game80.1
AEL 🏆
Cyprus
vs
Apoel BC
Cyprus
Position#4
Record10-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game83.2
CyprusDivision ARound 19· Nicos Solomonides Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · AEL v Apoel BC
09 Jan 2027
AEL v APO
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
AEL78
APO64
24 Oct 2025
AEL77
APO96
06 Dec 2024
AEL99
APO73
16 Mar 2024
AEL46
APO62
01 Feb 2023
AEL82
APO90
21 Apr 2022
AEL67
APO81
04 Oct 2021
AEL72
APO79
15 Nov 2020
AEL66
APO75
12 Jan 2020
AEL63
APO69
24 Mar 2019
AEL79
APO87
24 Nov 2018
AEL55
APO70
22 Nov 2014
AEL0
APO20
12 Dec 2013
AEL49
APO65
11 Jan 2013
AEL67
APO64
27 Dec 2011
AEL70
APO86
06 Nov 2010
AEL63
APO69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEL winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Apoel BC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#7
W
84-82
84
82
+2
73avg 69
H12/12
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
62-87
62
87
-25
54avg 69
H19/12
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
63-65
63
65
-2
48avg 69
A04/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
103-89
103
89
+14
106avg 69
A12/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
105-83
105
83
+22
no box
H17/01
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
92-75
92
75
+17
94avg 69
A24/01
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
75-74
75
74
+1
67avg 69
H02/02
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
W
93-89
93
89
+4
87avg 69
A07/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
76-65
76
65
+11
63avg 69
H13/02
Division A
Apollon
#6
L
76-85
76
85
-9
69avg 69
A06/03
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
25-14
22-18
16-24
12-20
18-21
14-25
18-21
22-13
14-17
11-20
16-15
28-14
17-20
34-21
24-34
22-23
27-15
28-18
28-27
26-14
16-26
20-17
30-18
17-15
19-15
22-24
17-20
24-24
17-19
15-23
37-23
23-16
23-15
11-21
19-13
24-20
18-12
15-17
19-36
162.3Avg total
82.9Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.780.1161.7+1.667%
Season at home (9)80.780.2160.9+0.467%
Season away (9)82.779.9162.6+2.867%
Last 10 (10)82.979.4162.3+3.570%
Last 5 (5)82.477.6160.0+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.382.8156.1-9.411%
vs Similar ◀ (8)83.481.8165.1+1.675%
vs Weaker (13)86.674.1160.7+12.592%
This opponent (Apoel BC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Apoel BCCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBC
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#7
L
82-83
82
83
-1
73avg 73
A07/12
Division A
Apollon
#6
W
86-84
86
84
+2
84avg 73
H20/12
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
54-80
54
80
-26
43avg 73
A05/01
Division A
AEL
#3
L
89-103
89
103
-14
80avg 73
H12/01
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
74-83
74
83
-9
no box
A17/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
81-72
81
72
+9
73avg 73
A25/01
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
75-69
75
69
+6
72avg 73
H02/02
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
99-96
99
96
+3
89avg 73
A07/02
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
W
94-71
94
71
+23
92avg 73
H13/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
90-80
90
80
+10
84avg 73
A06/03
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
24-26
18-27
19-17
23-21
21-26
17-16
25-21
15-21
13-19
18-19
8-21
14-28
20-17
21-34
34-24
11-25
19-28
19-21
25-9
27-17
19-23
19-14
16-18
24-17
23-20
17-18
11-14
16-25
32-19
20-30
31-22
21-24
25-13
25-17
23-17
22-18
29-19
24-22
15-21
164.5Avg total
82.4Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)80.683.2163.8-2.656%
Season at home (9)78.884.9163.7-6.144%
Season away (9)82.481.4163.9+1.067%
Last 10 (10)82.482.1164.5+0.360%
Last 5 (5)87.877.6165.4+10.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.687.4161.0-13.812%
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.383.0167.3+1.364%
vs Weaker (11)88.078.1166.1+9.991%
This opponent (AEL) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.3+2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.3+2.3
AELApoel BC
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#7
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H12/12
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H19/12
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A04/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A12/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H17/01
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A24/01
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H02/02
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A07/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H13/02
Division A
Apollon
#6
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A06/03
Division A
77.2Avg total
41.3Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.138.180.1+4.073%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.637.980.4+4.779%-
Last 30 away (16)41.638.279.9+3.469%-
Last 10 (10)41.335.977.2+5.480%-
Last 5 (5)41.435.276.6+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.040.077.0-3.044%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)43.138.681.8+4.575%-
vs Weaker (13)44.936.481.3+8.592%-
This opponent (Apoel BC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Apoel BCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#7
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A07/12
Division A
Apollon
#6
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H20/12
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A05/01
Division A
AEL
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H12/01
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A17/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A25/01
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H02/02
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A07/02
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H13/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A06/03
Division A
83.8Avg total
41.9Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.142.385.4+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.442.685.0-0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)43.842.085.8+1.860%-
Last 10 (10)41.941.983.8+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)47.639.086.6+8.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.146.684.8-8.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)44.041.585.5+2.564%-
vs Weaker (11)45.839.985.7+5.964%-
This opponent (AEL) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.7
55.6%
51.5%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.1
32.0%
32.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.912.0
71.0%
71.5%12.0
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Apoel BCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apoel BC: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.9
52.8%
51.5%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.5
35.8%
32.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws15.411.9
77.3%
71.5%11.9
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEL
LWWWWWWLLW
Apoel BC
WWWWWLLLWL
#3
League position
#4
+1.9
Net rating
+2.0
100.9
Offensive rating
101.2
99.0
Defensive rating
99.2
52.6%
Effective FG%
53.2%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
13.8%
Turnover %
13.7%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.0%
3-point %
35.8%
63.4%
Assist %
56.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 101.2Defence99.0 · 99.2Shooting52.6% · 53.2%3-point %32.0% · 35.8%Ball care13.8% · 13.7%Off. rebounds24.7% · 23.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ AEL   ■ Apoel BC
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
AEL wins
7
Apoel BC wins
DateGameScore
12/01/26Apoel BC v AEL89-103
24/10/25AEL v Apoel BC77-96
01/04/25Apoel BC v AEL87-60
24/01/25Apoel BC v AEL78-94
06/12/24AEL v Apoel BC99-73
18/04/24Apoel BC v AEL74-69
16/03/24AEL v Apoel BC46-62
13/12/23Apoel BC v AEL67-57
01/02/23AEL v Apoel BC82-90
25/11/22Apoel BC v AEL111-94
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26AApollon76-85
13/02/26HAchilleas K.76-65
07/02/26AAnorthosis93-89
02/02/26HParalimni75-74
24/01/26AMorphou92-75
17/01/26HETHA Engomi105-83
12/01/26AApoel BC103-89
04/01/26AKeravnos63-65
19/12/25HAEK Larnaca62-87
12/12/25HAnorthosis84-82
Apoel BClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26AAchilleas K.90-80
13/02/26HAnorthosis94-71
07/02/26AParalimni99-96
02/02/26HMorphou75-69
25/01/26AETHA Engomi81-72
17/01/26AKeravnos74-83
12/01/26HAEL89-103
05/01/26AAEK Larnaca54-80
20/12/25HApollon86-84
07/12/25AAnorthosis82-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEL
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game81.780.782.7
Allowed / game80.180.279.9
Point differential+1.6+0.4+2.8
Avg total161.7160.9162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%33%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Apoel BC
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW56%
HomeLWLWW44%
AwayLLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%44%67%
Points / game80.678.882.4
Allowed / game83.284.981.4
Point differential-2.6-6.1+1.0
Avg total163.8163.7163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%11%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca1918195%87.872.1+15.7
2 Keravnos1817194%89.971.7+18.2
3 AEL1812667%81.780.1+1.6
4 Apoel BC1810856%80.683.2-2.6
5 Paralimni1881044%82.980.7+2.3
6 Apollon1981142%84.386.1-1.8
7 Anorthosis1871139%75.179.2-4.2
8 Morphou1861233%78.185.4-7.3
9 ETHA Engomi1831517%82.394.0-11.7
10 Achilleas K.1821611%71.882.8-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEL2314251678
Apoel BC1812201464
← all games of the day
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