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Keravnos vs AEL Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 65-63
13-22 17-14 20-11 15-16
Position#2
Record9-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game72.4
vs
Position#3
Record6-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game81.6
CyprusDivision ARound 11· Costas Papaellinas Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Keravnos v AEL
16 Nov 2026
KER v AEL
upcoming
02 May 2026
KER92
AEL60
25 Apr 2026
KER86
AEL66
18 Apr 2026
KER80
AEL87
04 Apr 2026
KER101
AEL58
04 Jan 2026
KER65
AEL63
07 May 2025
KER102
AEL85
30 Apr 2025
KER78
AEL66
16 Mar 2025
KER100
AEL87
12 Dec 2024
KER81
AEL69
12 Nov 2023
KER74
AEL80
07 Dec 2022
KER103
AEL82
06 Dec 2021
KER101
AEL57
11 Nov 2020
KER87
AEL63
31 Mar 2020
KER v AEL
upcoming
05 Jan 2020
KER95
AEL76
28 Jan 2019
KER84
AEL70
27 Oct 2018
KER67
AEL68
03 Mar 2015
KER20
AEL0
17 Jan 2015
KER20
AEL0
15 Dec 2013
KER88
AEL57
06 Jan 2013
KER96
AEL60
29 Feb 2012
KER101
AEL54
12 Nov 2011
KER125
AEL50
27 Mar 2011
KER95
AEL68
20 Mar 2011
KER74
AEL85
12 Nov 2010
KER76
AEL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keravnos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEL winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeravnosCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeravnos
Date
Competition
Pelister
#36
W
99-86
99
86
+13
101avg 89
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
83-69
83
69
+14
88avg 89
A02/11
Division A
BC Prievidza
#22
L
59-109
59
109
-50
48avg 89
H05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Achilleas K.
#10
W
115-57
115
57
+58
132avg 89
H08/11
Division A
Cedevita Junior
#25
L
68-85
68
85
-17
61avg 89
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
92-81
92
81
+11
90avg 89
A16/11
Division A
Pelister
#36
W
92-74
92
74
+18
89avg 89
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Morphou
#8
W
99-82
99
82
+17
104avg 89
A08/12
Division A
Apollon
#6
W
107-69
107
69
+38
110avg 89
H12/12
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
85-83
85
83
+2
84avg 89
A21/12
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-22
19-26
21-19
20-19
22-21
20-14
16-15
25-19
14-28
17-21
16-24
12-36
28-18
26-13
30-14
31-12
11-14
13-22
18-28
26-21
19-18
21-18
25-25
27-20
29-18
27-24
20-13
16-19
21-17
23-30
28-14
27-21
29-22
23-13
26-19
29-15
19-24
19-16
26-15
21-28
169.4Avg total
89.9Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)89.672.4162.0+17.290%
Season at home (4)95.264.0159.2+31.2100%
Season away (6)85.878.0163.8+7.883%
Last 10 (10)89.979.5169.4+10.480%
Last 5 (5)95.077.8172.8+17.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.295.2164.5-26.00%
vs Similar (7)86.185.4171.6+0.729%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)94.475.2169.6+19.2100%
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
Apollon
#6
W
80-62
80
62
+18
74avg 72
H03/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
72-88
72
88
-16
65avg 72
A11/10
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
77-87
77
87
-10
63avg 72
H19/10
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
77-96
77
96
-19
63avg 72
H24/10
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
88-79
88
79
+9
83avg 72
A01/11
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
90-86
90
86
+4
77avg 72
H09/11
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
79-77
79
77
+2
66avg 72
A15/11
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
78-72
78
72
+6
72avg 72
A05/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
W
84-82
84
82
+2
73avg 72
H12/12
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
62-87
62
87
-25
54avg 72
H19/12
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
17-13
21-19
14-10
17-20
10-25
23-25
22-18
23-24
16-17
21-20
17-26
19-31
25-26
14-22
19-17
18-21
31-18
22-23
17-17
26-16
22-24
22-21
20-25
13-21
33-19
20-16
13-21
12-15
20-12
21-22
25-23
21-26
25-14
22-18
16-24
12-20
18-21
14-25
18-21
160.3Avg total
78.7Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.781.6160.3-2.960%
Season at home (6)78.383.3161.7-5.050%
Season away (4)79.279.0158.2+0.275%
Last 10 (10)78.781.6160.3-2.960%
Last 5 (5)78.680.8159.4-2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)75.184.7159.8-9.618%
vs Similar (4)80.079.2159.2+0.875%
vs Weaker (15)86.872.6159.4+14.287%
This opponent (Keravnos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.1-2.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.1-2.1
KeravnosAEL
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeravnosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pelister
#36
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A02/11
Division A
BC Prievidza
#22
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Achilleas K.
#10
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H08/11
Division A
Cedevita Junior
#25
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A16/11
Division A
Pelister
#36
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Morphou
#8
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A08/12
Division A
Apollon
#6
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H12/12
Division A
Paralimni
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A21/12
Division A
83.8Avg total
43.9Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.742.184.8+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.342.989.2+3.464%-
Last 30 away (16)39.641.380.9-1.844%-
Last 10 (10)43.939.983.8+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)46.040.086.0+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.848.076.8-19.20%-
vs Similar (7)45.147.192.3-2.029%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.738.983.7+5.874%-
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apollon
#6
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H03/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A11/10
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H19/10
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H24/10
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A01/11
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H09/11
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A15/11
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A05/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H12/12
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H19/12
Division A
80.9Avg total
40.6Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.538.781.2+3.867%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.338.782.0+4.773%-
Last 30 away (15)41.738.780.5+3.060%-
Last 10 (10)40.640.380.9+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.437.678.0+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.841.279.0-3.436%-
vs Similar (4)45.242.587.8+2.875%-
vs Weaker (15)45.335.981.1+9.487%-
This opponent (Keravnos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keravnostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keravnos: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.422.1
56.1%
51.5%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.310.8
44.4%
32.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws15.312.3
80.4%
71.5%12.3
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.0
51.9%
51.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.2
33.6%
32.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.712.6
67.4%
71.5%12.6
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keravnos
WWWWWLWLWW
AEL
LWWWWWLLLW
#2
League position
#3
+13.2
Net rating
-3.4
117.0
Offensive rating
106.2
103.9
Defensive rating
109.6
60.1%
Effective FG%
51.2%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
18.5%
Turnover %
16.8%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
44.4%
3-point %
33.6%
68.1%
Assist %
57.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.0 · 106.2Defence103.9 · 109.6Shooting60.1% · 51.2%3-point %44.4% · 33.6%Ball care18.5% · 16.8%Off. rebounds29.6% · 28.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Keravnos   ■ AEL
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Keravnos wins
2
AEL wins
DateGameScore
19/10/25AEL v Keravnos77-87
07/05/25Keravnos v AEL102-85
03/05/25AEL v Keravnos72-81
30/04/25Keravnos v AEL78-66
16/03/25Keravnos v AEL100-87
31/01/25AEL v Keravnos94-91
12/12/24Keravnos v AEL81-69
22/04/24AEL v Keravnos61-75
29/01/24AEL v Keravnos62-71
12/11/23Keravnos v AEL74-80
Keravnoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25AParalimni85-83
12/12/25HApollon107-69
08/12/25AMorphou99-82
19/11/25APelister92-74
16/11/25AETHA Engomi92-81
12/11/25ACedevita Junior68-85
08/11/25HAchilleas K.115-57
05/11/25HBC Prievidza59-109
02/11/25AApoel BC83-69
29/10/25HPelister99-86
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/25HAEK Larnaca62-87
12/12/25HAnorthosis84-82
05/12/25AAchilleas K.78-72
15/11/25AParalimni79-77
09/11/25HMorphou90-86
01/11/25AETHA Engomi88-79
24/10/25HApoel BC77-96
19/10/25HKeravnos77-87
11/10/25AAEK Larnaca72-88
03/10/25HApollon80-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keravnos
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %90%100%83%
Points / game89.695.285.8
Allowed / game72.464.078.0
Point differential+17.2+31.2+7.8
Avg total162.0159.2163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEL
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL60%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %60%50%75%
Points / game78.778.379.2
Allowed / game81.683.379.0
Point differential-2.9-5.0+0.2
Avg total160.3161.7158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca10100100%89.871.5+18.3
2 Keravnos109190%89.672.4+17.2
3 AEL106460%78.781.6-2.9
4 Paralimni105550%81.678.3+3.3
5 Apoel BC105550%79.584.3-4.8
6 Anorthosis104640%73.076.7-3.7
7 Morphou104640%80.085.2-5.2
8 Apollon114736%85.985.7+0.2
9 ETHA Engomi113827%82.590.3-7.8
10 Achilleas K.101910%70.284.0-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keravnos1317201565
AEL2214111663
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