PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

AEL vs Apoel BC Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.8/10
Below normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#5
Record3-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game75.2
CyprusDivision ARound 18· Nicos Solomonides Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · AEL v Apoel BC
09 Jan 2027
AEL v APO
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
AEL78
APO64
24 Oct 2025
AEL77
APO96
06 Dec 2024
AEL99
APO73
16 Mar 2024
AEL46
APO62
01 Feb 2023
AEL82
APO90
21 Apr 2022
AEL67
APO81
04 Oct 2021
AEL72
APO79
15 Nov 2020
AEL66
APO75
12 Jan 2020
AEL63
APO69
24 Mar 2019
AEL79
APO87
24 Nov 2018
AEL55
APO70
22 Nov 2014
AEL0
APO20
12 Dec 2013
AEL49
APO65
11 Jan 2013
AEL67
APO64
27 Dec 2011
AEL70
APO86
06 Nov 2010
AEL63
APO69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEL win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Apoel BC win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
60-92
60
92
-32
45avg 74
A02/05
Division A
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
79-61
79
61
+18
79avg 74
A06/10
ENBL
Apoel BC
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
69avg 74
A12/10
Division A
Paralimni
#4
W
89-77
89
77
+12
86avg 74
H17/10
Division A
Fyllingen
#16
W
76-58
76
58
+18
74avg 74
H21/10
ENBL
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
74-70
74
70
+4
72avg 74
A26/10
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
71-49
71
49
+22
68avg 74
H30/10
Division A
Tal Tech
#11
W
74-67
74
67
+7
no box
H03/11
ENBL
Anorthosis
#10
W
82-74
82
74
+8
no box
A07/11
Division A
Donar Groningen
#8
L
81-83
81
83
-2
no box
A11/11
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
16-30
11-20
13-20
22-9
19-15
18-21
20-16
25-19
17-24
17-14
14-23
20-22
22-22
24-20
23-13
20-11
14-17
20-14
22-16
23-14
18-10
21-24
12-22
20-11
22-15
19-13
10-10
23-16
16-16
19-21
16-14
24-19
19-22
23-16
16-17
16-22
27-28
21-14
17-19
147.0Avg total
75.9Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.870.0147.8+7.880%
Season at home (2)80.063.0143.0+17.0100%
Season away (3)76.374.7151.0+1.767%
Last 10 (10)75.971.1147.0+4.870%
Last 5 (5)76.468.6145.0+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.684.0154.6-13.422%
vs Similar (9)87.379.9167.2+7.489%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)80.169.8149.8+10.383%
This opponent (Apoel BC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Apoel BCCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBC
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
82-79
82
79
+3
71avg 75
H21/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
72-89
72
89
-17
66avg 75
A24/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
95-87
95
87
+8
88avg 75
H28/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
71-85
71
85
-14
60avg 75
A01/05
Division A
AEL
#3
W
80-73
80
73
+7
68avg 75
H12/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
79-83
79
83
-4
74avg 75
A18/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
84-62
84
62
+22
79avg 75
H23/10
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
77-64
77
64
+13
no box
A02/11
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
H07/11
Division A
Paralimni
#4
L
71-89
71
89
-18
no box
H13/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
23-17
14-18
23-32
21-29
17-19
17-21
17-20
14-21
30-23
23-21
28-22
14-22
25-25
20-23
12-15
19-25
24-17
14-17
23-14
18-30
20-19
23-21
18-13
19-10
28-22
21-13
16-17
21-20
22-16
18-20
16-8
21-17
19-23
11-24
22-16
16-34
20-17
15-21
20-17
157.5Avg total
78.4Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.375.2152.5+2.250%
Season at home (4)77.076.0153.0+1.050%
Season away (2)78.073.5151.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)78.479.1157.5-0.750%
Last 5 (5)76.875.6152.4+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)75.884.2160.0-8.523%
vs Similar (12)81.183.0164.1-1.950%
vs Weaker (5)85.275.2160.4+10.080%
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.1+2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.1+2.1
AELApoel BC
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A02/05
Division A
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A06/10
ENBL
Apoel BC
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A12/10
Division A
Paralimni
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H17/10
Division A
Fyllingen
#16
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H21/10
ENBL
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A26/10
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H30/10
Division A
Tal Tech
#11
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H03/11
ENBL
Anorthosis
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A07/11
Division A
Donar Groningen
#8
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A11/11
ENBL
76.7Avg total
40.3Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.277.0+2.567%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.535.577.0+5.985%-
Last 30 away (17)38.538.577.0-0.153%-
Last 10 (10)40.336.476.7+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)41.634.676.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.940.676.4-4.744%-
vs Similar (9)41.838.780.4+3.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.233.774.8+7.583%-
This opponent (Apoel BC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Apoel BCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H21/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A24/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H28/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A01/05
Division A
AEL
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H12/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A18/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H23/10
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A02/11
Division A
Keravnos
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H07/11
Division A
Paralimni
#4
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H13/11
Division A
83.1Avg total
41.3Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.442.184.4+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.241.484.6+1.956%-
Last 30 away (14)41.442.984.2-1.543%-
Last 10 (10)41.341.883.1-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.841.682.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)40.444.284.6-3.823%-
vs Similar (12)42.241.283.3+1.058%-
vs Weaker (5)48.038.686.6+9.4100%-
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.3
54.6%
52.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.66.5
28.8%
34.4%19.5
🏀 Free throws21.815.4
70.6%
72.9%15.4
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Apoel BCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apoel BC: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.6
54.2%
52.0%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.9
34.0%
34.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.212.7
73.8%
72.9%12.7
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEL
LWWWWWWLWL
Apoel BC
LLWWLWLWLW
#3
League position
#5
+2.4
Net rating
-3.1
92.1
Offensive rating
93.6
89.7
Defensive rating
96.6
50.3%
Effective FG%
52.8%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
14.3%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.27
28.8%
3-point %
34.0%
62.3%
Assist %
65.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence92.1 · 93.6Defence89.7 · 96.6Shooting50.3% · 52.8%3-point %28.8% · 34.0%Ball care14.3% · 13.4%Free throws0.36 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ AEL   ■ Apoel BC
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
AEL wins
6
Apoel BC wins
DateGameScore
12/10/26Apoel BC v AEL80-73
21/03/26AEL v Apoel BC78-64
12/01/26Apoel BC v AEL89-103
24/10/25AEL v Apoel BC77-96
01/04/25Apoel BC v AEL87-60
24/01/25Apoel BC v AEL78-94
06/12/24AEL v Apoel BC99-73
18/04/24Apoel BC v AEL74-69
16/03/24AEL v Apoel BC46-62
13/12/23Apoel BC v AEL67-57
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ADonar Groningen81-83
07/11/26AAnorthosis82-74
03/11/26HTal Tech74-67
30/10/26HMorphou71-49
26/10/26AETHA Engomi74-70
21/10/26HFyllingen76-58
17/10/26HParalimni89-77
12/10/26AApoel BC73-80
06/10/26ASpartak Pleven79-61
02/05/26AKeravnos60-92
Apoel BClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HParalimni71-89
07/11/26HKeravnos73-80
02/11/26AApollon77-64
23/10/26HAchilleas K.84-62
18/10/26AAEK Larnaca79-83
12/10/26HAEL80-73
01/05/26AAEK Larnaca71-85
28/04/26HAEK Larnaca95-87
24/04/26AAEK Larnaca72-89
21/04/26HAEK Larnaca82-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEL
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game77.880.076.3
Allowed / game70.063.074.7
Point differential+7.8+17.0+1.7
Avg total147.8143.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Apoel BC
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game77.377.078.0
Allowed / game75.276.073.5
Point differential+2.2+1.0+4.5
Avg total152.5153.0151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca660100%89.869.8+20.0
2 Keravnos550100%90.075.2+14.8
3 AEL54180%77.870.0+7.8
4 Paralimni64267%84.779.2+5.5
5 Apoel BC63350%77.375.2+2.2
6 ETHA Engomi63350%69.772.3-2.7
7 Apollon62433%70.079.3-9.3
8 Morphou61517%71.282.8-11.7
9 Achilleas K.61517%75.789.2-13.5
10 Anorthosis6060%74.383.7-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.