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AEL vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 62-87
12-20 18-21 14-25 18-21
Position#3
Record6-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#1
Record9-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game72.6
CyprusDivision ARound 10· Nicos Solomonides Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · AEL v AEK Larnaca
20 Nov 2026
AEL v ALA
upcoming
19 Dec 2025
AEL62
ALA87
12 Mar 2025
AEL76
ALA57
18 Jan 2025
AEL66
ALA80
05 Apr 2024
AEL63
ALA99
09 Oct 2023
AEL94
ALA96
05 Mar 2023
AEL76
ALA91
11 Dec 2021
AEL62
ALA95
08 Nov 2020
AEL60
ALA73
04 Apr 2020
AEL v ALA
upcoming
18 Dec 2019
AEL69
ALA82
22 Dec 2018
AEL80
ALA81
24 Jan 2015
AEL0
ALA20
08 Nov 2013
AEL67
ALA88
09 Nov 2012
AEL78
ALA84
21 Jan 2012
AEL60
ALA71
19 Nov 2010
AEL67
ALA65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEL winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
85-102
85
102
-17
74avg 74
A07/05
Division A
Apollon
#6
W
80-62
80
62
+18
74avg 74
H03/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
72-88
72
88
-16
65avg 74
A11/10
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
77-87
77
87
-10
63avg 74
H19/10
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
77-96
77
96
-19
63avg 74
H24/10
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
88-79
88
79
+9
83avg 74
A01/11
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
90-86
90
86
+4
77avg 74
H09/11
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
79-77
79
77
+2
66avg 74
A15/11
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
78-72
78
72
+6
72avg 74
A05/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
W
84-82
84
82
+2
73avg 74
H12/12
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
24-22
21-26
19-30
28-20
17-13
21-19
14-10
17-20
10-25
23-25
22-18
23-24
16-17
21-20
17-26
19-31
25-26
14-22
19-17
18-21
31-18
22-23
17-17
26-16
22-24
22-21
20-25
13-21
33-19
20-16
13-21
12-15
20-12
21-22
25-23
21-26
25-14
22-18
16-24
164.1Avg total
81.0Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.681.0161.6-0.467%
Season at home (5)81.682.6164.2-1.060%
Season away (4)79.279.0158.2+0.275%
Last 10 (10)81.083.1164.1-2.160%
Last 5 (5)83.879.2163.0+4.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)76.484.5160.9-8.120%
vs Similar (4)80.079.2159.2+0.875%
vs Weaker (16)87.672.6160.2+14.988%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
101-70
101
70
+31
104avg 84
H25/10
Division A
Corona Brasov
#34
W
93-68
93
68
+25
86avg 84
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Morphou
#8
W
82-71
82
71
+11
76avg 84
A01/11
Division A
CSM Oradea
#7
L
86-89
86
89
-3
89avg 84
H05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#5
W
90-82
90
82
+8
86avg 84
H08/11
Division A
Petkim Spor
#11
L
58-101
58
101
-43
42avg 84
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#7
W
97-83
97
83
+14
96avg 84
A16/11
Division A
Corona Brasov
#34
W
90-83
90
83
+7
87avg 84
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#6
W
96-80
96
80
+16
94avg 84
A08/12
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
85-65
85
65
+20
82avg 84
H12/12
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
25-24
30-14
25-14
21-22
30-18
23-18
19-10
25-15
17-11
23-23
17-22
17-26
22-11
20-29
27-23
20-26
22-23
20-17
28-16
14-26
6-25
22-22
16-28
23-13
21-26
26-24
27-20
21-22
32-28
24-6
13-27
34-20
24-21
13-25
25-14
23-15
23-12
18-19
21-19
167.0Avg total
87.8Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)90.172.6162.7+17.6100%
Season at home (5)88.071.6159.6+16.4100%
Season away (4)92.873.8166.5+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.879.2167.0+8.680%
Last 5 (5)85.282.4167.6+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.889.2165.0-13.525%
vs Similar (7)88.780.4169.1+8.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)88.772.2160.8+16.594%
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +2.5+2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +2.5+2.5
AELAEK Larnaca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A07/05
Division A
Apollon
#6
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H03/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A11/10
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H19/10
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H24/10
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A01/11
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H09/11
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A15/11
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A05/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H12/12
Division A
82.9Avg total
42.1Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.338.481.7+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.838.182.9+6.780%-
Last 30 away (15)41.738.780.5+3.060%-
Last 10 (10)42.140.882.9+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.237.281.4+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.641.279.8-2.640%-
vs Similar (4)45.242.587.8+2.875%-
vs Weaker (16)45.735.781.4+10.088%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H25/10
Division A
Corona Brasov
#34
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Morphou
#8
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A01/11
Division A
CSM Oradea
#7
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#5
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H08/11
Division A
Petkim Spor
#11
L
20-51
20
51
-31
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A16/11
Division A
Corona Brasov
#34
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#6
W
58-41
58
41
+17
A08/12
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H12/12
Division A
84.3Avg total
44.1Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.339.283.5+5.173%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.038.082.0+6.081%-
Last 30 away (14)44.640.685.1+4.064%-
Last 10 (10)44.140.284.3+3.980%-
Last 5 (5)44.241.685.8+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.542.075.5-8.550%-
vs Similar (7)49.141.790.9+7.4100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)45.237.182.3+8.172%-
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.0
51.5%
51.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.1
34.0%
32.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.013.0
68.4%
71.5%13.0
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.7
52.8%
51.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.5
38.3%
32.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws15.511.5
74.2%
71.5%11.5
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEL
WWWWWLLLWL
AEK Larnaca
WWWWLWLWWW
#3
League position
#1
-2.8
Net rating
+7.9
108.7
Offensive rating
117.5
111.5
Defensive rating
109.6
51.3%
Effective FG%
54.9%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
15.8%
Turnover %
15.8%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
35.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.0%
3-point %
38.3%
58.4%
Assist %
66.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 117.5Defence111.5 · 109.6Shooting51.3% · 54.9%3-point %34.0% · 38.3%Ball care15.8% · 15.8%Off. rebounds29.9% · 35.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ AEL   ■ AEK Larnaca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
AEL wins
9
AEK Larnaca wins
DateGameScore
11/10/25AEK Larnaca v AEL88-72
12/03/25AEL v AEK Larnaca76-57
18/01/25AEL v AEK Larnaca66-80
01/12/24AEK Larnaca v AEL89-70
05/04/24AEL v AEK Larnaca63-99
20/03/24AEK Larnaca v AEL93-81
09/10/23AEL v AEK Larnaca94-96 OT
05/03/23AEL v AEK Larnaca76-91
21/12/22AEK Larnaca v AEL118-103
05/03/22AEK Larnaca v AEL84-65
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/25HAnorthosis84-82
05/12/25AAchilleas K.78-72
15/11/25AParalimni79-77
09/11/25HMorphou90-86
01/11/25AETHA Engomi88-79
24/10/25HApoel BC77-96
19/10/25HKeravnos77-87
11/10/25AAEK Larnaca72-88
03/10/25HApollon80-62
07/05/25AKeravnos85-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/25HAchilleas K.85-65
08/12/25AApollon96-80
19/11/25ACorona Brasov90-83
16/11/25AAnorthosis97-83
12/11/25APetkim Spor58-101
08/11/25HParalimni90-82
05/11/25HCSM Oradea86-89
01/11/25AMorphou82-71
29/10/25HCorona Brasov93-68
25/10/25HETHA Engomi101-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEL
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%60%75%
Points / game80.681.679.2
Allowed / game81.082.679.0
Point differential-0.4-1.0+0.2
Avg total161.6164.2158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Larnaca
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.188.092.8
Allowed / game72.671.673.8
Point differential+17.6+16.4+19.0
Avg total162.7159.6166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%60%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca990100%90.172.6+17.6
2 Keravnos98189%90.171.2+18.9
3 AEL96367%80.681.0-0.4
4 Paralimni95456%81.477.6+3.9
5 Morphou94544%81.185.2-4.1
6 Apoel BC94544%78.884.3-5.6
7 Apollon93633%82.285.2-3.0
8 Anorthosis93633%71.777.4-5.8
9 ETHA Engomi93633%81.987.9-6.0
10 Achilleas K.9090%69.084.4-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEL1218141862
AEK Larnaca2021252187
← all games of the day
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