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AEL vs Apoel BC Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 46-62
12-18 7-22 9-15 18-7
Position#5
Record12-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game71.3
vs
Position#4
Record13-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game69.6
CyprusDivision ARound 21· Nicos Solomonides Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · AEL v Apoel BC
09 Jan 2027
AEL v APO
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
AEL78
APO64
24 Oct 2025
AEL77
APO96
06 Dec 2024
AEL99
APO73
16 Mar 2024
AEL46
APO62
01 Feb 2023
AEL82
APO90
21 Apr 2022
AEL67
APO81
04 Oct 2021
AEL72
APO79
15 Nov 2020
AEL66
APO75
12 Jan 2020
AEL63
APO69
24 Mar 2019
AEL79
APO87
24 Nov 2018
AEL55
APO70
22 Nov 2014
AEL0
APO20
12 Dec 2013
AEL49
APO65
11 Jan 2013
AEL67
APO64
27 Dec 2011
AEL70
APO86
06 Nov 2010
AEL63
APO69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEL winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Apoel BC winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
Achilleas K.
#10
W
82-41
82
41
+41
87avg 73
H08/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
57-67
57
67
-10
43avg 73
A13/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
74-90
74
90
-16
69avg 73
H22/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
94-100 OT
94
100
-6
no box
A05/01
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
98-64
98
64
+34
97avg 73
H15/01
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
86-81
86
81
+5
65avg 73
A20/01
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
62-71
62
71
-9
49avg 73
H29/01
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
86-42
86
42
+44
89avg 73
H12/02
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
73-64
73
64
+9
63avg 73
A28/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
71-55
71
55
+16
68avg 73
A03/03
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-4
20-17
24-12
20-8
16-11
10-17
17-18
14-21
21-21
22-28
14-24
17-17
28-13
28-26
11-23
19-24
26-14
27-16
27-19
18-15
28-23
20-22
21-15
17-21
14-16
19-17
12-22
17-16
27-12
32-12
10-8
17-10
23-11
21-17
17-18
12-18
22-17
23-19
17-5
9-14
145.8Avg total
78.3Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.271.3152.5+9.967%
Season at home (9)83.465.7149.1+17.867%
Season away (9)79.076.9155.9+2.167%
Last 10 (10)78.367.5145.8+10.860%
Last 5 (5)75.662.6138.2+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.086.9164.9-8.912%
vs Similar ◀ (6)72.783.7156.3-11.033%
vs Weaker (16)85.970.4156.2+15.581%
This opponent (Apoel BC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Apoel BCCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBC
Date
Competition
Paralimni
#11
W
92-68
92
68
+24
97avg 72
A08/12
Division A
AEL
#5
W
67-57
67
57
+10
66avg 72
H13/12
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
66-78
66
78
-12
58avg 72
A05/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
46-83
46
83
-37
30avg 72
H11/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
71-66
71
66
+5
65avg 72
A20/01
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
96-55
96
55
+41
96avg 72
H27/01
Division A
PAEEK
#6
L
95-106
95
106
-11
85avg 72
A02/02
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
61-75
61
75
-14
52avg 72
H09/02
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
71-60
71
60
+11
59avg 72
A14/02
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
111-38
111
38
+73
122avg 72
H02/03
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-14
22-13
20-24
17-17
11-16
17-10
18-17
21-14
11-20
16-20
23-18
16-20
9-21
16-19
11-28
10-15
13-5
20-19
17-21
21-21
25-16
29-15
23-18
19-6
25-26
25-22
16-29
29-29
15-17
18-17
12-19
16-22
16-12
23-12
18-22
14-14
35-11
25-12
31-6
20-9
146.2Avg total
77.6Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.769.6146.2+7.172%
Season at home (9)74.664.0138.6+10.678%
Season away (9)78.875.1153.9+3.767%
Last 10 (10)77.668.6146.2+9.060%
Last 5 (5)86.866.8153.6+20.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.079.4148.4-10.422%
vs Similar ◀ (5)80.288.6168.8-8.440%
vs Weaker (16)85.771.8157.4+13.994%
This opponent (AEL) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.1+8.1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.1+8.1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
AELApoel BC
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Achilleas K.
#10
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H08/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A13/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H22/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A05/01
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H15/01
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A20/01
Division A
Keravnos
#1
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H29/01
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
59-24
59
24
+35
H12/02
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A28/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A03/03
Division A
77.8Avg total
44.5Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.638.378.9+2.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.935.378.2+7.767%-
Last 30 away (15)38.341.379.6-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)44.533.377.8+11.270%-
Last 5 (5)45.833.279.0+12.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.942.481.2-3.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)33.541.374.8-7.817%-
vs Weaker (16)44.235.179.2+9.175%-
This opponent (Apoel BC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Apoel BCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paralimni
#11
W
55-27
55
27
+28
A08/12
Division A
AEL
#5
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H13/12
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A05/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
25-40
25
40
-15
H11/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A20/01
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H27/01
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A02/02
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H09/02
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A14/02
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
60-23
60
23
+37
H02/03
Division A
72.1Avg total
40.4Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.338.279.5+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.936.478.2+5.569%-
Last 30 away (14)40.640.480.9+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)40.431.772.1+8.770%-
Last 5 (5)47.232.079.2+15.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.640.073.6-6.411%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.845.284.0-6.440%-
vs Weaker (16)46.435.181.4+11.394%-
This opponent (AEL) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.5
50.5%
51.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.5
36.4%
32.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws16.410.5
64.0%
71.2%10.5
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Apoel BCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apoel BC: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.1
51.3%
51.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.9
35.7%
32.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws14.110.4
73.8%
71.2%10.4
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEL
WWWLWWLLLW
Apoel BC
WWLLWWLLWW
#5
League position
#4
+21.5
Net rating
+12.8
106.7
Offensive rating
107.8
85.2
Defensive rating
95.0
52.2%
Effective FG%
52.2%
40.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.7%
15.8%
Turnover %
15.8%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.4%
3-point %
35.7%
65.0%
Assist %
61.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 107.8Defence85.2 · 95.0Shooting52.2% · 52.2%3-point %36.4% · 35.7%Ball care15.8% · 15.8%Off. rebounds26.4% · 27.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ AEL   ■ Apoel BC
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEL wins
10
Apoel BC wins
DateGameScore
13/12/23Apoel BC v AEL67-57
01/02/23AEL v Apoel BC82-90
25/11/22Apoel BC v AEL111-94
21/04/22AEL v Apoel BC67-81
17/04/22Apoel BC v AEL97-87
19/03/22Apoel BC v AEL102-94
04/10/21AEL v Apoel BC72-79
24/01/21Apoel BC v AEL86-73
15/11/20AEL v Apoel BC66-75
12/02/20Apoel BC v AEL96-67
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24AAchilleas K.71-55
28/02/24AApop Paphou73-64
12/02/24HParalimni86-42
29/01/24HKeravnos62-71
20/01/24APAEEK86-81
15/01/24HApollon98-64
05/01/24AETHA Engomi94-100 OT
22/12/23HAnorthosis74-90
13/12/23AApoel BC57-67
08/12/23HAchilleas K.82-41
Apoel BClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HParalimni111-38
14/02/24AApop Paphou71-60
09/02/24HKeravnos61-75
02/02/24APAEEK95-106
27/01/24HApollon96-55
20/01/24AETHA Engomi71-66
11/01/24HAnorthosis46-83
05/01/24AAEK Larnaca66-78
13/12/23HAEL67-57
08/12/23AParalimni92-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEL
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayLLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game81.283.479.0
Allowed / game71.365.776.9
Point differential+9.9+17.8+2.1
Avg total152.5149.1155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%67%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %11%11%11%
Apoel BC
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW72%
HomeWLWLW78%
AwayWLWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %72%78%67%
Points / game76.774.678.8
Allowed / game69.664.075.1
Point differential+7.1+10.6+3.7
Avg total146.2138.6153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%44%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca1916384%89.969.5+20.4
2 Anorthosis1916384%87.268.2+19.0
3 Keravnos1916384%84.869.1+15.7
4 Apoel BC1813572%76.769.6+7.1
5 AEL1812667%81.271.3+9.9
6 Apollon1871139%76.885.3-8.6
7 ETHA Engomi1961332%75.983.2-7.2
8 PAEEK1961332%80.190.5-10.4
9 Achilleas K.1951426%67.076.9-9.9
10 Apop Paphou1941521%72.883.5-10.7
11 Paralimni1921711%63.988.9-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEL12791846
Apoel BC182215762
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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