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Afyon Belediye vs Galatasaray Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 12:15
Final 97-80
33-20 22-25 12-23 30-12
Position#9
Record5-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Position#11
Record4-7
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game86.8
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 12
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Afyon Belediye v Galatasaray
17 Apr 2022
ABE61
GAL95
12 Dec 2020
ABE97
GAL80
19 Oct 2019
ABE67
GAL68
16 Mar 2019
ABE69
GAL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Afyon Belediye winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Galatasaray winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Afyon BelediyeTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBelediye
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#14
W
81-78
81
78
+3
73avg 72
A04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
L
75-89
75
89
-14
72avg 72
H11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
L
77-102
77
102
-25
65avg 72
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
L
84-89
84
89
-5
73avg 72
H24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
76-70
76
70
+6
67avg 72
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
79-74
79
74
+5
82avg 72
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
67-86
67
86
-19
69avg 72
A15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#3
L
82-96
82
96
-14
86avg 72
A21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#10
W
76-70
76
70
+6
72avg 72
H02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
74-94
74
94
-20
64avg 72
A06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-19
23-21
11-18
18-20
18-26
17-24
17-23
23-16
20-24
19-26
17-28
21-24
22-28
11-16
21-18
30-27
21-10
16-16
13-21
26-23
21-19
21-24
25-12
12-19
19-17
17-24
15-28
16-17
25-31
11-24
26-16
20-25
19-27
18-12
22-15
17-16
13-23
20-24
17-26
24-21
161.9Avg total
77.1Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.283.5160.6-6.345%
Season at home (5)78.478.4156.8+0.060%
Season away (6)76.287.7163.8-11.533%
Last 10 (10)77.184.8161.9-7.740%
Last 5 (5)75.684.0159.6-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)75.183.5158.6-8.513%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.081.1162.1-0.155%
vs Weaker (4)87.077.5164.5+9.575%
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GalatasarayTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGalatasaray
Date
Competition
Sassari
#23
L
84-93
84
93
-9
74avg 77
A21/10
Champions League
Gaziantep
#8
L
86-90
86
90
-4
86avg 77
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
L
64-83
64
83
-19
54avg 77
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
L
79-91
79
91
-12
75avg 77
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bakken Bears
#7
W
91-81
91
81
+10
76avg 77
H11/11
Champions League
Darussafaka
#7
L
82-91
82
91
-9
76avg 77
A14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#3
L
72-85
72
85
-13
65avg 77
A17/11
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#6
W
94-89
94
89
+5
89avg 77
H21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
95-78
95
78
+17
93avg 77
A02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
L
87-91 OT
87
91
-4
no box
H05/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-20
18-24
25-21
29-28
23-17
22-28
15-21
26-24
12-19
20-21
20-18
12-25
19-22
21-20
18-20
21-29
15-25
32-20
22-16
22-20
26-26
19-19
21-19
16-27
11-20
14-25
22-20
25-20
31-18
21-11
18-28
24-32
23-15
23-22
24-19
25-22
17-20
13-21
22-15
22-18
170.6Avg total
83.4Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.986.8169.7-3.936%
Season at home (6)83.288.3171.5-5.233%
Season away (5)82.685.0167.6-2.440%
Last 10 (10)83.487.2170.6-3.830%
Last 5 (5)86.086.8172.8-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)80.085.9165.9-5.938%
vs Similar ◀ (8)82.880.2163.0+2.550%
vs Weaker (8)86.181.2167.4+4.975%
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -2.3-2.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -2.3-2.3
Afyon BelediyeGalatasaray
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Afyon BelediyeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#14
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#3
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
81.5Avg total
38.0Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.341.980.2-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.940.577.4-3.527%-
Last 30 away (15)39.743.383.1-3.640%-
Last 10 (10)38.043.581.5-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)36.845.081.8-8.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.442.978.3-7.513%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.142.085.1+1.155%-
vs Weaker (4)36.237.874.0-1.550%-
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GalatasarayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#23
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A21/10
Champions League
Gaziantep
#8
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bakken Bears
#7
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H11/11
Champions League
Darussafaka
#7
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#3
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A17/11
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#6
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H05/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
80.5Avg total
39.2Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.181.4+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.139.782.7+3.453%-
Last 30 away (15)39.540.580.0-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)39.241.380.5-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)39.639.479.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.542.181.5-2.631%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.138.876.9-0.638%-
vs Weaker (8)45.837.283.0+8.588%-
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Afyon Belediyetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Afyon Belediye: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.418.8
49.0%
53.2%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.8
36.7%
36.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws14.911.9
79.9%
74.6%11.9
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Galatasaraytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Galatasaray: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.4
54.0%
53.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.410.1
45.1%
36.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws21.114.7
69.7%
74.6%14.7
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Afyon Belediye
LWLLWWLLLW
Galatasaray
LWWLLWLLLL
#9
League position
#11
-11.0
Net rating
-3.0
103.0
Offensive rating
116.2
114.0
Defensive rating
119.2
51.3%
Effective FG%
59.3%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
21.8%
Turnover %
17.2%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.7%
3-point %
45.1%
65.6%
Assist %
63.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 116.2Defence114.0 · 119.2Shooting51.3% · 59.3%3-point %36.7% · 45.1%Ball care21.8% · 17.2%Off. rebounds32.9% · 26.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Afyon Belediye   ■ Galatasaray
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Afyon Belediye wins
3
Galatasaray wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/20AFenerbahce74-94
02/12/20HBursaspor76-70
21/11/20AKarsiyaka82-96
15/11/20AAnadolu Efes67-86
08/11/20HBuyukcekmece79-74
31/10/20ABahcesehir Kol.76-70
24/10/20HTurk Telekom84-89
17/10/20ADarussafaka77-102
11/10/20HTofas75-89
04/10/20APetkim Spor81-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/20HBuyukcekmece87-91 OT
02/12/20ABahcesehir Kol.95-78
21/11/20HTurk Telekom94-89
17/11/20ATenerife72-85
14/11/20ADarussafaka82-91
11/11/20HBakken Bears91-81
08/11/20HTofas79-91
31/10/20APetkim Spor64-83
25/10/20HGaziantep86-90
21/10/20ASassari84-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Afyon Belediye
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL45%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%60%33%
Points / game77.278.476.2
Allowed / game83.578.487.7
Point differential-6.3+0.0-11.5
Avg total160.6156.8163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Galatasaray
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL36%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%33%40%
Points / game82.983.282.6
Allowed / game86.888.385.0
Point differential-3.9-5.2-2.4
Avg total169.7171.5167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %18%17%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anadolu Efes10100100%87.171.2+15.9
2 Fenerbahce1110191%90.075.9+14.1
3 Karsiyaka107370%81.574.7+6.8
4 Turk Telekom117464%85.583.2+2.3
5 Tofas115645%87.283.9+3.3
6 Darussafaka115645%83.079.9+3.1
7 Petkim Spor115645%82.079.9+2.1
8 Afyon Belediye115645%77.283.5-6.3
9 Gaziantep94544%73.274.1-0.9
10 Buyukcekmece94544%83.489.3-5.9
11 Besiktas125742%82.882.8+0.0
12 Galatasaray114736%82.986.8-3.9
13 OGM Ormanspor114736%78.688.5-9.8
14 Bahcesehir Kol.124833%79.481.3-1.9
15 Bursaspor103730%82.387.3-5.0
16 Fethiye Bld.103730%74.288.8-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Afyon Belediye3322123097
Galatasaray2025231280
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