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Agrigento vs Fortitudo Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 81-79
19-20 17-20 24-23 21-16
Position#19
Record6-23
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game81.3
Agrigento 🏆
Italy
vs
Fortitudo Bologna
Italy
Position#3
Record21-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game71.3
ItalySerie A2Round 30· PalaMoncada
Other2023-24
Meetings · Agrigento v Fortitudo Bologna
07 Apr 2024
AGRI81
FBO79
05 May 2018
AGRI71
FBO74
03 May 2017
AGRI51
FBO57
01 May 2017
AGRI100
FBO77
17 May 2016
AGRI66
FBO74
15 May 2016
AGRI67
FBO74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Agrigento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fortitudo Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AgrigentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAgrigento
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#20
L
62-80
62
80
-18
46avg 67
H21/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
89-82
89
82
+7
88avg 67
H28/01
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
71-80
71
80
-9
52avg 67
A04/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
61-73
61
73
-12
48avg 67
A11/02
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
69-80
69
80
-11
59avg 67
H18/02
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
57-73
57
73
-16
46avg 67
A25/02
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
70-82
70
82
-12
66avg 67
H02/03
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
70-82
70
82
-12
63avg 67
A08/03
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
L
84-88
84
88
-4
79avg 67
H24/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
74-94
74
94
-20
65avg 67
A30/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
15-24
21-21
11-18
24-22
27-10
24-24
14-26
22-22
12-23
21-13
16-22
16-21
17-22
13-10
15-20
20-17
22-25
13-19
14-19
26-15
11-22
11-20
9-16
23-26
12-22
21-14
14-20
19-19
19-19
23-20
9-24
16-23
19-20
19-25
30-20
18-24
20-29
22-24
14-17
152.1Avg total
70.7Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)74.081.3155.3-7.221%
Season at home (14)75.477.6153.0-2.136%
Season away (15)72.784.7157.5-12.07%
Last 10 (10)70.781.4152.1-10.710%
Last 5 (5)71.083.8154.8-12.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)73.985.0158.9-11.17%
vs Similar (16)75.279.0154.2-3.831%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
63-59
63
59
+4
64avg 74
A14/01
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
57-61
57
61
-4
51avg 74
A21/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
90-77
90
77
+13
90avg 74
H28/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
70-73 OT
70
73
-3
no box
A04/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
93-72
93
72
+21
100avg 74
H11/02
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
L
67-89
67
89
-22
60avg 74
A18/02
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
80-72
80
72
+8
79avg 74
A03/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
70-76
70
76
-6
66avg 74
H10/03
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
77-63
77
63
+14
79avg 74
A23/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
80-63
80
63
+17
72avg 74
H30/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
23-15
13-13
11-16
14-18
13-18
13-10
17-15
29-20
21-20
26-15
14-22
17-23
23-11
21-16
5-16
21-17
23-18
23-17
26-20
21-12
18-16
10-33
18-28
7-12
26-24
26-20
21-16
22-21
22-14
16-16
10-25
24-15
20-9
20-19
13-20
21-19
17-11
23-18
19-15
145.2Avg total
74.7Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)76.871.3148.1+5.475%
Season at home (14)80.470.9151.3+9.486%
Season away (14)73.171.7144.9+1.464%
Last 10 (10)74.770.5145.2+4.260%
Last 5 (5)74.872.6147.4+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.080.5151.5-9.550%
vs Similar (11)74.472.4146.7+2.055%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)78.370.6148.9+7.688%
This opponent (Agrigento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: -3.9-3.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: -3.9-3.9
AgrigentoFortitudo Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AgrigentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#20
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H21/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H28/01
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A04/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A11/02
Serie A2
Forli
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H18/02
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A25/02
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H02/03
Serie A2
Cento
#12
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A08/03
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H24/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A30/03
Serie A2
79.5Avg total
37.3Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.140.077.1-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.538.175.6-0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)36.741.978.5-5.227%-
Last 10 (10)37.342.279.5-4.910%-
Last 5 (5)36.643.880.4-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.143.679.7-7.614%-
vs Similar (16)37.936.874.8+1.156%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A14/01
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A21/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H28/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A04/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H11/02
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A18/02
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A03/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H10/03
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
44-24
44
24
+20
A23/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H30/03
Serie A2
72.6Avg total
39.8Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.234.874.0+4.473%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.536.977.4+3.681%-
Last 30 away (14)37.832.470.2+5.464%-
Last 10 (10)39.832.872.6+7.080%-
Last 5 (5)39.630.670.2+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.039.570.5-8.50%-
vs Similar (11)39.735.475.1+4.473%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)39.933.973.8+6.082%-
This opponent (Agrigento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Agrigentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Agrigento: 69.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.917.1
46.3%
50.3%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.7
33.5%
34.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.212.6
69.2%
74.2%12.6
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.3
52.7%
50.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.9
35.6%
34.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws16.011.2
70.0%
74.2%11.2
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Agrigento
LLLLLLLLWL
Fortitudo Bologna
WWLWLWLWLW
#19
League position
#3
-14.9
Net rating
+7.8
95.5
Offensive rating
104.0
110.4
Defensive rating
96.3
47.8%
Effective FG%
53.0%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
18.0%
Turnover %
19.7%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.5%
3-point %
35.6%
51.6%
Assist %
69.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.5 · 104.0Defence110.4 · 96.3Shooting47.8% · 53.0%3-point %33.5% · 35.6%Ball care18.0% · 19.7%Off. rebounds23.4% · 27.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Agrigento   ■ Fortitudo Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Agrigento wins
9
Fortitudo Bologna wins
DateGameScore
05/05/18Agrigento v Fortitudo Bologna71-74
02/05/18Fortitudo Bologna v Agrigento78-72
30/04/18Fortitudo Bologna v Agrigento85-68
08/05/17Fortitudo Bologna v Agrigento80-58
06/05/17Fortitudo Bologna v Agrigento73-48
03/05/17Agrigento v Fortitudo Bologna51-57
01/05/17Agrigento v Fortitudo Bologna100-77
20/05/16Fortitudo Bologna v Agrigento68-64
17/05/16Agrigento v Fortitudo Bologna66-74
15/05/16Agrigento v Fortitudo Bologna67-74
Agrigentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24AAssigeco Piacenza74-94
24/03/24HChiusi84-88
08/03/24ACento70-82
02/03/24HUdine70-82
25/02/24ATrieste57-73
18/02/24HForli69-80
11/02/24ARimini61-73
04/02/24ALatina71-80
28/01/24HJuVi Cremona89-82
21/01/24HVigevano62-80
Fortitudo Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24HUrania Milano80-63
23/03/24ALatina77-63
10/03/24HSebastiani Rieti70-76
03/03/24AVigevano80-72
18/02/24AMonferrato67-89
11/02/24HJuVi Cremona93-72
04/02/24AVerona70-73 OT
28/01/24HCividale90-77
21/01/24ACento57-61
14/01/24AAssigeco Piacenza63-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Agrigento
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeLWLLL36%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %21%36%7%
Points / game74.075.472.7
Allowed / game81.377.684.7
Point differential-7.2-2.1-12.0
Avg total155.3153.0157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fortitudo Bologna
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW75%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayLLLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %75%86%64%
Points / game76.880.473.1
Allowed / game71.370.971.7
Point differential+5.4+9.4+1.4
Avg total148.1151.3144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%64%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2927293%88.676.3+12.2
2 Forli2924583%79.272.6+6.7
3 Fortitudo Bologna2821775%76.871.3+5.4
4 Udine2921872%78.869.8+9.0
5 Cantu2920969%86.079.9+6.1
6 Basket Torino2920969%84.880.9+3.9
7 Sebastiani Rieti29181162%80.877.7+3.1
8 Verona30181260%76.473.8+2.6
9 Trieste30171357%80.778.1+2.6
10 Rimini29151452%78.376.1+2.2
11 Cividale30151550%76.175.7+0.4
12 Assigeco Piacenza29141548%78.076.1+1.9
13 JuVi Cremona30141647%82.583.9-1.3
14 Urania Milano30141647%82.184.2-2.2
15 Cento28131546%74.777.7-3.0
16 Treviglio29131645%79.079.4-0.4
17 Vigevano29111838%77.481.7-4.2
18 Nardo30111937%74.680.2-5.6
19 Luiss Roma2992031%78.085.2-7.2
20 Orzinuovi3092130%74.778.1-3.4
21 Chiusi2982128%66.773.8-7.1
22 Latina3072323%76.084.3-8.3
23 Monferrato2962321%79.384.9-5.5
24 Agrigento2962321%74.081.3-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Agrigento1917242181
Fortitudo Bologna2020231679
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