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Cento vs Fortitudo Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 61-57
18-14 18-13 10-13 15-17
Position#12
Record7-12
FormLWLLW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game78.6
Cento 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#3
Record16-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game71.1
ItalySerie A2Round 20· Milwaukee Dinelli Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cento v Fortitudo Bologna
22 Nov 2026
CENT v FBO
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
CENT80
FBO67
26 Feb 2025
CENT72
FBO78
21 Jan 2024
CENT61
FBO57
19 May 2023
CENT74
FBO88
14 May 2023
CENT91
FBO73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fortitudo Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCento
Date
Competition
Orzinuovi
#21
W
67-56
67
56
+11
59avg 61
A19/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
78-67
78
67
+11
68avg 61
H26/11
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
62-82
62
82
-20
48avg 61
A02/12
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
78-85
78
85
-7
69avg 61
H06/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
59-77
59
77
-18
49avg 61
A10/12
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
66-80
66
80
-14
59avg 61
A17/12
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
71-62
71
62
+9
63avg 61
H23/12
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
61-82
61
82
-21
49avg 61
A29/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
78-89
78
89
-11
66avg 61
H07/01
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
86-79 OT
86
79
+7
no box
A14/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-13
18-9
15-12
21-22
24-17
22-15
17-22
15-13
15-24
14-25
18-22
15-11
22-15
24-22
16-25
16-23
20-26
16-8
11-19
12-24
10-21
16-23
23-18
17-18
18-10
25-12
12-21
16-19
16-21
17-21
8-20
20-20
21-25
16-20
23-16
18-28
13-14
24-16
14-19
20-22
146.5Avg total
70.6Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)73.478.6152.1-5.237%
Season at home (9)78.682.6161.1-4.033%
Season away (10)68.875.1143.9-6.340%
Last 10 (10)70.675.9146.5-5.340%
Last 5 (5)72.478.4150.8-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)75.083.8158.8-8.823%
vs Similar (16)74.977.1152.0-2.138%
vs Weaker (1)83.072.0155.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Cividale
#11
W
69-65
69
65
+4
65avg 74
A18/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
68-75
68
75
-7
60avg 74
H26/11
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
82-75
82
75
+7
78avg 74
A03/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
84-77
84
77
+7
80avg 74
H07/12
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
74-77 OT
74
77
-3
no box
A10/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
71-69
71
69
+2
65avg 74
H17/12
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
89-75
89
75
+14
92avg 74
H23/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
66-65
66
65
+1
58avg 74
A30/12
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
68-54
68
54
+14
66avg 74
H06/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
63-59
63
59
+4
64avg 74
A14/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-10
17-13
19-19
18-23
12-22
19-16
20-11
17-26
23-19
23-21
15-16
21-19
28-17
22-28
15-16
19-16
12-12
18-21
16-16
17-14
23-16
11-13
22-23
15-17
25-17
18-20
28-25
18-13
14-16
17-15
17-18
18-16
23-13
14-14
18-11
13-16
16-15
23-15
13-13
11-16
142.5Avg total
73.4Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.171.1148.2+6.084%
Season at home (10)79.270.5149.7+8.790%
Season away (9)74.871.8146.6+3.078%
Last 10 (10)73.469.1142.5+4.380%
Last 5 (5)71.464.4135.8+7.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.882.8155.5-10.025%
vs Similar (16)77.175.5152.6+1.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)78.770.4149.1+8.3100%
This opponent (Cento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
CentoFortitudo Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orzinuovi
#21
W
31-22
31
22
+9
A19/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H26/11
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A02/12
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H06/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A10/12
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A17/12
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
43-22
43
22
+21
H23/12
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A29/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H07/01
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A14/01
Serie A2
72.1Avg total
36.4Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.740.279.0-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.142.583.6-1.436%-
Last 30 away (16)36.738.274.9-1.650%-
Last 10 (10)36.435.772.1+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)35.236.671.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.444.982.3-7.515%-
vs Similar (16)39.936.876.7+3.162%-
vs Weaker (1)38.034.072.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#11
W
32-23
32
23
+9
A18/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H26/11
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A03/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H07/12
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A10/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H17/12
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H23/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A30/12
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H06/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A14/01
Serie A2
70.6Avg total
37.3Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.936.876.7+3.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.137.377.4+2.773%-
Last 30 away (15)39.836.276.0+3.660%-
Last 10 (10)37.333.370.6+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)36.830.867.6+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.041.276.2-6.225%-
vs Similar (16)40.936.977.9+4.062%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)40.334.775.0+5.690%-
This opponent (Cento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Centotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cento: 68.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.617.5
47.8%
50.3%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.3
29.7%
34.1%21.9
🏀 Free throws14.611.1
76.0%
74.2%11.1
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.0
51.0%
50.3%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.1
33.2%
34.1%21.3
🏀 Free throws14.910.8
72.5%
74.2%10.8
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cento
WLLWLLLLWW
Fortitudo Bologna
WWWWWLWWLW
#12
League position
#3
-10.6
Net rating
+4.0
94.9
Offensive rating
105.8
105.5
Defensive rating
101.9
46.5%
Effective FG%
50.6%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
16.2%
Turnover %
16.7%
21.2%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
29.7%
3-point %
33.2%
44.8%
Assist %
63.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence94.9 · 105.8Defence105.5 · 101.9Shooting46.5% · 50.6%3-point %29.7% · 33.2%Ball care16.2% · 16.7%Off. rebounds21.2% · 30.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Cento   ■ Fortitudo Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cento wins
4
Fortitudo Bologna wins
Centolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24ANardo86-79 OT
07/01/24HRimini78-89
29/12/23AUdine61-82
23/12/23HChiusi71-62
17/12/23ATrieste66-80
10/12/23AAssigeco Piacenza59-77
06/12/23HVerona78-85
02/12/23AForli62-82
26/11/23HCividale78-67
19/11/23AOrzinuovi67-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24AAssigeco Piacenza63-59
06/01/24HUdine68-54
30/12/23AOrzinuovi66-65
23/12/23HTrieste89-75
17/12/23HNardo71-69
10/12/23AForli74-77 OT
07/12/23HRimini84-77
03/12/23AChiusi82-75
26/11/23HVerona68-75
18/11/23ACividale69-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cento
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW37%
HomeLWLWL33%
AwayLLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %37%33%40%
Points / game73.478.668.8
Allowed / game78.682.675.1
Point differential-5.2-4.0-6.3
Avg total152.1161.1143.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %16%22%10%
Fortitudo Bologna
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW84%
HomeLWWWW90%
AwayWWLWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %84%90%78%
Points / game77.179.274.8
Allowed / game71.170.571.8
Point differential+6.0+8.7+3.0
Avg total148.2149.7146.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%60%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2019195%92.377.0+15.3
2 Fortitudo Bologna1916384%77.171.1+6.0
3 Forli1915479%79.474.3+5.2
4 Cantu2015575%88.480.3+8.1
5 Udine1914574%80.068.9+11.1
6 Trieste1913668%79.675.9+3.7
7 Verona2013765%76.472.7+3.8
8 Basket Torino2013765%84.881.5+3.2
9 JuVi Cremona2012860%87.885.0+2.7
10 Sebastiani Rieti2012860%81.779.8+1.9
11 Urania Milano2011955%83.383.8-0.6
12 Treviglio20101050%81.882.2-0.4
13 Assigeco Piacenza2091145%76.374.8+1.6
14 Nardo1981142%77.983.8-5.9
15 Vigevano1971237%79.383.0-3.7
16 Cento1971237%73.478.6-5.2
17 Cividale2071335%73.476.6-3.2
18 Luiss Roma2071335%79.587.0-7.5
19 Rimini1961332%76.177.7-1.6
20 Agrigento1951426%75.881.2-5.4
21 Orzinuovi1941521%71.276.0-4.8
22 Monferrato1941521%79.184.1-5.0
23 Chiusi1831517%62.773.9-11.2
24 Latina1931616%78.288.1-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cento1818101561
Fortitudo Bologna1413131757
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