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Agrigento vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 69-80
20-17 22-25 13-19 14-19
Position#19
Record6-17
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Forli 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record19-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game73.2
ItalySerie A2Round 24· PalaMoncada
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Agrigento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AgrigentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAgrigento
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#9
L
77-88
77
88
-11
61avg 68
A10/12
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
83-66
83
66
+17
73avg 68
H17/12
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
72-92
72
92
-20
62avg 68
A23/12
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
80-83
80
83
-3
101avg 68
A30/12
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
76-98
76
98
-22
66avg 68
H06/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
71-85
71
85
-14
69avg 68
A14/01
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
62-80
62
80
-18
46avg 68
H21/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
89-82
89
82
+7
88avg 68
H28/01
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
71-80
71
80
-9
52avg 68
A04/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
61-73
61
73
-12
48avg 68
A11/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
13-16
25-22
20-30
25-18
17-15
17-20
24-13
21-23
11-21
19-23
21-25
18-17
20-17
25-24
17-25
16-27
17-23
15-16
28-32
19-16
11-27
23-17
18-25
15-17
15-24
21-21
11-18
24-22
27-10
24-24
14-26
22-22
12-23
21-13
16-22
16-21
17-22
13-10
15-20
156.9Avg total
74.2Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)74.980.8155.7-5.926%
Season at home (11)75.776.0151.7-0.345%
Season away (12)74.285.2159.3-11.08%
Last 10 (10)74.282.7156.9-8.520%
Last 5 (5)70.880.0150.8-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)74.685.2159.8-10.78%
vs Similar (18)76.379.2155.4-2.944%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
77-74 OT
77
74
+3
no box
H10/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
72-71
72
71
+1
60avg 70
A17/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
80-68
80
68
+12
73avg 70
A23/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
63-58
63
58
+5
53avg 70
H30/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
77-86
77
86
-9
70avg 70
A06/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
76-68
76
68
+8
64avg 70
H13/01
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
82-74
82
74
+8
80avg 70
H21/01
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
73-61
73
61
+12
62avg 70
A28/01
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
92-64
92
64
+28
83avg 70
H04/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
83-73
83
73
+10
79avg 70
H11/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-12
21-18
16-16
14-17
22-21
18-22
11-15
21-13
23-26
17-24
19-8
21-10
14-10
15-11
18-21
16-16
20-13
19-25
17-28
21-20
21-12
14-22
20-21
21-13
19-9
23-26
19-27
21-12
9-20
22-14
19-14
23-13
25-18
21-16
18-16
28-14
24-16
17-22
22-18
20-17
147.2Avg total
77.5Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.073.2153.1+6.883%
Season at home (12)82.270.2152.4+12.1100%
Season away (11)77.576.5153.9+1.064%
Last 10 (10)77.569.7147.2+7.890%
Last 5 (5)81.268.0149.2+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)75.273.6148.9+1.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)83.772.1155.8+11.693%
This opponent (Agrigento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: +6.1+6.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: +6.1+6.1
AgrigentoForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AgrigentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#9
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A10/12
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H17/12
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A23/12
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A30/12
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H06/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A14/01
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H21/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H28/01
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A04/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A11/02
Serie A2
75.6Avg total
35.5Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.439.176.5-1.750%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.436.775.1+1.664%-
Last 30 away (16)36.541.277.7-4.738%-
Last 10 (10)35.540.175.6-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)35.640.876.4-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)35.542.177.6-6.625%-
vs Similar (18)38.637.175.7+1.567%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H10/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A17/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A23/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H30/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A06/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H13/01
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H21/01
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A28/01
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H04/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H11/02
Serie A2
73.3Avg total
37.6Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.436.175.5+3.370%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.433.773.1+5.788%-
Last 30 away (14)39.438.878.2+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)37.635.773.3+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)39.035.074.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)36.437.874.2-1.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.834.176.9+8.793%-
This opponent (Agrigento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Agrigentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Agrigento: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.418.8
47.7%
50.3%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.4
32.2%
34.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.913.4
67.3%
74.2%13.4
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.217.2
46.2%
50.3%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.6
37.9%
34.1%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.914.0
74.1%
74.2%14.0
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Agrigento
LLWLLLLLWL
Forli
WWWWWLWWWW
#19
League position
#2
-11.8
Net rating
+13.4
99.0
Offensive rating
109.0
110.8
Defensive rating
95.6
47.9%
Effective FG%
50.6%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
44.6%
15.0%
Turnover %
15.9%
22.1%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.2%
3-point %
37.9%
48.9%
Assist %
50.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence99.0 · 109.0Defence110.8 · 95.6Shooting47.9% · 50.6%3-point %32.2% · 37.9%Ball care15.0% · 15.9%Off. rebounds22.1% · 30.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 90%
■ Agrigento   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Agrigento wins
0
Forli wins
No previous meetings.
Agrigentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24ARimini61-73
04/02/24ALatina71-80
28/01/24HJuVi Cremona89-82
21/01/24HVigevano62-80
14/01/24ACantu71-85
06/01/24HTrapani76-98
30/12/23ALuiss Roma80-83
23/12/23ATreviglio72-92
17/12/23HMonferrato83-66
10/12/23ABasket Torino77-88
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24HSebastiani Rieti83-73
04/02/24HTrieste92-64
28/01/24AUdine73-61
21/01/24HChiusi82-74
13/01/24HVerona76-68
06/01/24ACividale77-86
30/12/23HAssigeco Piacenza63-58
23/12/23ARimini80-68
17/12/23AOrzinuovi72-71
10/12/23HFortitudo Bologna77-74 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Agrigento
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL26%
HomeLWLLW45%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %26%45%8%
Points / game74.975.774.2
Allowed / game80.876.085.2
Point differential-5.9-0.3-11.0
Avg total155.7151.7159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Forli
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %83%100%64%
Points / game80.082.277.5
Allowed / game73.270.276.5
Point differential+6.8+12.1+1.0
Avg total153.1152.4153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%42%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %22%33%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2422292%90.277.0+13.2
2 Forli2319483%80.073.2+6.8
3 Fortitudo Bologna2318578%77.271.0+6.1
4 Cantu2418675%88.880.5+8.4
5 Udine2316770%79.270.0+9.3
6 Basket Torino2316770%85.381.7+3.6
7 Verona2416867%75.872.3+3.5
8 Trieste24141058%80.379.1+1.2
9 Sebastiani Rieti23131057%81.379.4+1.9
10 JuVi Cremona23121152%86.886.2+0.7
11 Urania Milano24121250%83.084.0-1.0
12 Treviglio24111346%80.280.6-0.4
13 Assigeco Piacenza23101343%75.975.1+0.8
14 Rimini23101343%76.976.1+0.8
15 Cento23101343%74.078.4-4.3
16 Nardo24101442%75.581.0-5.5
17 Cividale2491538%74.277.2-3.0
18 Luiss Roma2491538%79.085.1-6.1
19 Vigevano2381535%78.082.1-4.1
20 Orzinuovi2481633%74.176.8-2.7
21 Agrigento2361726%74.980.8-5.9
22 Monferrato2351822%79.385.0-5.7
23 Chiusi2351822%64.974.1-9.2
24 Latina2341917%78.487.0-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Agrigento2022131469
Forli1725191980
← all games of the day
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