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Aguada vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:40
Final 71-88
21-24 13-19 14-19 23-26
Position#11
Record-
FormWLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Aguada
vs
Boca Juniors 🏆
Position#2
Record-
FormLWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeChampions League Americas· Estadio
Other2025-26
Meetings · Aguada v Boca Juniors
05 Feb 2026
AGUA54
BOCA101
11 Dec 2025
AGUA71
BOCA88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aguada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boca Juniors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AguadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAguada
Date
Competition
Bigua
#5
W
90-87
90
87
+3
80avg 87
A10/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
118-105
118
105
+13
122avg 87
H13/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
79-82
79
82
-3
73avg 87
A21/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
94-82
94
82
+12
92avg 87
H25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
92-107
92
107
-15
84avg 87
A29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
107-86
107
86
+21
105avg 87
H04/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
89-103
89
103
-14
82avg 87
A08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
112-82
112
82
+30
112avg 87
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
78-79
78
79
-1
71avg 87
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
93-76
93
76
+17
90avg 87
A19/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
29-18
22-25
22-21
24-22
35-22
27-27
32-34
26-28
28-22
11-20
14-12
25-22
29-23
21-21
19-16
18-20
19-26
30-30
25-31
22-27
29-20
33-20
23-19
21-20
24-29
26-25
18-29
39-17
27-26
22-25
24-14
22-27
21-14
15-20
20-18
23-28
28-14
17-17
25-17
184.1Avg total
95.2Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)95.288.9184.1+6.360%
Last 5 (5)95.885.2181.0+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)86.186.7172.8-0.640%
vs Similar (4)96.294.2190.5+2.075%
vs Weaker (16)94.484.6179.0+9.875%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuniors
Date
Competition
La Union
#10
W
80-77 OT
80
77
+3
74avg 76
H17/10
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
81-93
81
93
-12
72avg 76
A22/10
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
100-77
100
77
+23
104avg 76
A31/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
82-70
82
70
+12
75avg 76
A05/11
Liga A
Penarol
#11
L
78-89
78
89
-11
73avg 76
A07/11
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
66avg 76
H11/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
78-74
78
74
+4
66avg 76
H15/11
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
L
71-83
71
83
-12
70avg 76
A20/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
71-61
71
61
+10
no box
A22/11
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
116-83
116
83
+33
112avg 76
H06/12
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
23-25
12-18
14-15
24-21
17-23
21-24
19-25
27-26
25-17
23-15
25-19
28-19
18-21
16-15
20-15
17-19
20-22
25-14
16-34
21-22
16-27
22-15
15-17
18-12
20-17
18-21
22-24
20-24
24-19
13-24
14-16
22-10
22-14
14-16
13-21
32-7
25-24
30-26
29-26
161.9Avg total
83.1Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.178.8161.9+4.360%
Last 5 (5)82.076.4158.4+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)78.677.9156.5+0.661%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.875.2159.1+8.667%
This opponent (Aguada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.5-2.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.5-2.5
AguadaBoca Juniors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bigua
#5
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A10/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H13/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A21/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H04/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
66-43
66
43
+23
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A19/11
Liga Uruguaya
95.4Avg total
50.6Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.444.692.1+2.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.144.794.8+5.481%-
Last 30 away (14)44.444.688.9-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)50.644.895.4+5.880%-
Last 5 (5)51.244.495.6+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)45.644.990.5+0.750%-
vs Similar (4)47.242.589.8+4.875%-
vs Weaker (16)48.645.093.6+3.675%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#10
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H17/10
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A22/10
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A31/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A05/11
Liga A
Penarol
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A07/11
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H11/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H15/11
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A20/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
44-24
44
24
+20
A22/11
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H06/12
Liga A
82.1Avg total
44.0Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.636.878.4+4.777%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.636.477.9+5.279%-
Last 30 away (16)41.637.278.8+4.375%-
Last 10 (10)44.038.182.1+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)44.035.279.2+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)39.737.276.9+2.667%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.336.380.7+8.092%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 94.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
48%
36%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.1
51.5%
54.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.011.1
38.3%
32.4%33.3
🏀 Free throws23.318.5
79.4%
69.7%18.5
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 46%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
48%
36%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.117.3
55.6%
54.0%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.111.1
39.5%
32.4%33.3
🏀 Free throws18.112.4
68.5%
69.7%12.4
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 46%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aguada
WLWLWLWLWW
Boca Juniors
WWLWLLWWLW
#11
League position
#2
+7.3
Net rating
+11.6
115.8
Offensive rating
113.2
108.5
Defensive rating
101.6
53.9%
Effective FG%
57.3%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
16.5%
Turnover %
15.3%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.3%
3-point %
39.5%
69.3%
Assist %
72.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.8 · 113.2Defence108.5 · 101.6Shooting53.9% · 57.3%3-point %38.3% · 39.5%Ball care16.5% · 15.3%Off. rebounds32.2% · 23.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Aguada   ■ Boca Juniors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aguada wins
1
Boca Juniors wins
DateGameScore
15/10/22Boca Juniors v Aguada69-59
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25AGoes93-76
14/11/25AHebraica y Macabi78-79
10/11/25HWelcome112-82
08/11/25APenarol89-103
04/11/25HCordon107-86
29/10/25AUnion Atletica92-107
25/10/25HMalvin94-82
21/10/25ANacional79-82
13/10/25HUrunday118-105
10/10/25ABigua90-87
Boca Juniorslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25HArgentino116-83
22/11/25AQuimsa71-61
20/11/25AOlimpico71-83
15/11/25HSan Lorenzo78-74
11/11/25HRegatas74-81
07/11/25APenarol78-89
05/11/25AGimnasia82-70
31/10/25AUnion De Santa Fe100-77
22/10/25AObras Sanitarias81-93
17/10/25HLa Union80-77 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aguada
Champions League Americas 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Boca Juniors
Champions League Americas 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Instituto de Cordoba110100%80.074.0+6.0
2 U. De Concepcion1010%74.080.0-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aguada2113142371
Boca Juniors2419192688
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