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Penarol vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 01:10
Final 89-78
19-17 22-20 14-25 34-16
Position#11
Record3-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game84.2
Penarol 🏆
Argentina
vs
Position#2
Record7-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game78.7
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Islas Malvinas
Other2025-26
Meetings · Penarol v Boca Juniors
10 Dec 2026
PENA v BOCA
upcoming
06 Nov 2025
PENA89
BOCA78
21 Mar 2025
PENA64
BOCA72
15 Oct 2023
PENA72
BOCA92
28 Apr 2023
PENA110
BOCA114
23 Nov 2022
PENA86
BOCA81
01 May 2022
PENA80
BOCA81
29 Apr 2022
PENA70
BOCA81
02 Feb 2022
PENA68
BOCA71
25 Sep 2021
PENA77
BOCA86
19 Jan 2021
PENA74
BOCA80
29 Apr 2020
PENA v BOCA
upcoming
08 Oct 2019
PENA85
BOCA65
21 Apr 2019
PENA82
BOCA63
10 Feb 2018
PENA79
BOCA71
27 Feb 2017
PENA89
BOCA71
29 Sep 2016
PENA90
BOCA65
29 Jan 2016
PENA91
BOCA86
01 Oct 2015
PENA86
BOCA80
15 Apr 2015
PENA67
BOCA75
05 Dec 2014
PENA66
BOCA86
10 May 2014
PENA81
BOCA67
08 May 2014
PENA81
BOCA79
15 Dec 2013
PENA78
BOCA71
22 Nov 2013
PENA91
BOCA81
18 Jan 2013
PENA97
BOCA78
13 Sep 2012
PENA58
BOCA70
20 Jan 2012
PENA81
BOCA69
13 Nov 2011
PENA93
BOCA88
07 Jan 2011
PENA68
BOCA73
03 Dec 2010
PENA120
BOCA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boca Juniors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Obera TC
#3
L
71-86
71
86
-15
60avg 71
A04/05
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
W
99-74
99
74
+25
102avg 71
H08/05
Liga A
Zarate
#19
W
110-81
110
81
+29
113avg 71
H10/05
Liga A
Riachuelo
#6
W
89-75
89
75
+14
72avg 71
H20/05
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
L
74-82
74
82
-8
66avg 71
A26/09
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
84-97
84
97
-13
76avg 71
A28/09
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
80-84
80
84
-4
71avg 71
H04/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
88-85
88
85
+3
84avg 71
H08/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
W
85-83
85
83
+2
78avg 71
H12/10
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
76-74
76
74
+2
72avg 71
H19/10
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
20-17
21-17
12-23
26-20
28-15
23-16
22-23
21-14
37-29
25-24
27-14
29-20
25-14
21-16
14-25
19-21
21-20
18-17
16-24
24-15
20-24
20-30
20-28
22-21
16-19
22-25
20-19
24-27
17-22
23-23
24-13
18-15
25-21
18-20
24-27
20-20
17-30
20-12
19-12
167.7Avg total
85.6Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.284.2165.3-3.050%
Season at home (4)82.281.5163.8+0.875%
Season away (2)79.089.5168.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)85.682.1167.7+3.560%
Last 5 (5)82.684.6167.2-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.381.7160.0-3.367%
vs Similar ◀ (15)76.981.0157.9-4.133%
vs Weaker (12)85.475.7161.1+9.850%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuniors
Date
Competition
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
82-67
82
67
+15
83avg 76
H25/09
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
89-56
89
56
+33
80avg 76
H02/10
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
97-87
97
87
+10
100avg 76
A04/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
L
82-91
82
91
-9
75avg 76
A08/10
Liga A
Atenas
#18
L
71-87
71
87
-16
57avg 76
A11/10
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
87-82
87
82
+5
82avg 76
A14/10
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
80-77 OT
80
77
+3
74avg 76
H17/10
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
81-93
81
93
-12
72avg 76
A22/10
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
100-77
100
77
+23
104avg 76
A31/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
82-70
82
70
+12
75avg 76
A05/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
25-21
12-21
18-11
25-25
16-14
20-9
28-8
32-25
24-21
21-19
20-22
21-18
20-22
22-33
19-18
18-18
16-24
12-17
25-28
18-24
23-17
17-20
29-21
21-12
23-25
12-18
14-15
24-21
17-23
21-24
19-25
27-26
25-17
23-15
25-19
28-19
18-21
16-15
20-15
163.8Avg total
85.1Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.178.7163.8+6.470%
Season at home (3)83.766.7150.3+17.0100%
Season away (7)85.783.9169.6+1.957%
Last 10 (10)85.178.7163.8+6.470%
Last 5 (5)86.079.8165.8+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)80.077.7157.7+2.365%
vs Weaker (13)82.873.8156.6+8.977%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +3.5+3.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +3.5+3.5
PenarolBoca Juniors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obera TC
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A04/05
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H08/05
Liga A
Zarate
#19
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H10/05
Liga A
Riachuelo
#6
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H20/05
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A26/09
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/09
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H04/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H08/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H12/10
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H19/10
Liga A
86.0Avg total
44.7Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.780.9+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.639.182.7+4.559%-
Last 30 away (13)37.940.578.5-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)44.741.386.0+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.883.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.043.078.0-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.639.979.5-0.347%-
vs Weaker (12)44.638.883.3+5.867%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H25/09
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H02/10
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A04/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A08/10
Liga A
Atenas
#18
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A11/10
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A14/10
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H17/10
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A22/10
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A31/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A05/11
Liga A
85.5Avg total
44.8Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.136.978.0+4.177%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.036.978.9+5.186%-
Last 30 away (16)40.237.077.2+3.269%-
Last 10 (10)44.840.785.5+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)44.841.085.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.137.877.8+2.371%-
vs Weaker (13)42.435.878.2+6.585%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.117.3
55.6%
53.7%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.111.1
39.5%
32.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws18.112.4
68.5%
71.5%12.4
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Penarol wins
9
Boca Juniors wins
DateGameScore
21/03/25Penarol v Boca Juniors64-72
26/10/24Boca Juniors v Penarol83-81
30/04/24Boca Juniors v Penarol87-83
15/10/23Penarol v Boca Juniors72-92
29/04/23Penarol v Boca Juniors110-114 OT
26/04/23Boca Juniors v Penarol98-84
23/04/23Boca Juniors v Penarol94-78
16/04/23Boca Juniors v Penarol92-82
24/11/22Penarol v Boca Juniors86-81
08/05/22Boca Juniors v Penarol86-77
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/25HLa Union76-74
12/10/25HInstituto de Cordoba85-83
08/10/25HQuimsa88-85
04/10/25HRegatas80-84
28/09/25AFerro84-97
26/09/25ASan Lorenzo74-82
20/05/25HRiachuelo89-75
10/05/25HZarate110-81
08/05/25HIndependiente de Oliva99-74
04/05/25AObera TC71-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/25AGimnasia82-70
31/10/25AUnion De Santa Fe100-77
22/10/25AObras Sanitarias81-93
17/10/25HLa Union80-77 OT
14/10/25AIndependiente de Oliva87-82
11/10/25AAtenas71-87
08/10/25AInstituto de Cordoba82-91
04/10/25APlatense97-87
02/10/25HSan Martin89-56
25/09/25HRacing de Chivilcoy82-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%75%0%
Points / game81.282.279.0
Allowed / game84.281.589.5
Point differential-3.0+0.8-10.5
Avg total165.3163.8168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)75% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Boca Juniors
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %70%100%57%
Points / game85.183.785.7
Allowed / game78.766.783.9
Point differential+6.4+17.0+1.9
Avg total163.8150.3169.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %10%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ferro660100%89.279.0+10.2
2 Instituto de Cordoba97278%81.378.2+3.1
3 Boca Juniors107370%85.178.7+6.4
4 Independiente de Oliva85362%87.181.5+5.6
5 San Martin85362%75.071.4+3.6
6 La Union106460%83.678.8+4.8
7 Obras Sanitarias74357%80.374.9+5.4
8 Regatas74357%78.774.0+4.7
9 Obera TC74357%81.076.6+4.4
10 Quimsa95456%81.775.6+6.1
11 Penarol63350%81.284.2-3.0
12 Union De Santa Fe73443%77.380.9-3.6
13 Gimnasia83538%71.972.1-0.2
14 Racing de Chivilcoy83538%79.680.9-1.2
15 Atenas114736%73.480.5-7.2
16 San Lorenzo103730%77.587.6-10.1
17 Olimpico72529%77.679.1-1.6
18 Platense51420%82.687.4-4.8
19 Argentino91811%72.490.4-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol1922143489
Boca Juniors1720251678
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