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Aguada vs Cordon Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 107-86
22-27 29-20 33-20 23-19
Position#3
Record3-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game94.6
Allowed / game92.6
Aguada 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#11
Record1-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game90.4
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Aguada
Other2025-26
Meetings · Aguada v Cordon
04 Nov 2025
AGUA107
CORD86
27 Mar 2025
AGUA109
CORD94
08 Nov 2024
AGUA111
CORD97
26 Mar 2024
AGUA82
CORD88
04 Jan 2024
AGUA78
CORD75
17 Dec 2016
AGUA90
CORD69
03 Nov 2012
AGUA103
CORD89
05 Jan 2012
AGUA79
CORD76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aguada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cordon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAguada
Date
Competition
Nacional
#1
W
82-73
82
73
+9
78avg 87
A23/05
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
80-72
80
72
+8
71avg 87
H26/05
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
98-103
98
103
-5
90avg 87
A28/05
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
96-97
96
97
-1
92avg 87
H31/05
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
77-79
77
79
-2
60avg 87
A02/06
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
90-87
90
87
+3
80avg 87
A10/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
118-105
118
105
+13
122avg 87
H13/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
79-82
79
82
-3
73avg 87
A21/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
94-82
94
82
+12
92avg 87
H25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
92-107
92
107
-15
84avg 87
A29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
25-25
17-18
20-16
13-22
22-22
21-18
24-10
21-33
26-21
20-24
31-25
36-35
24-18
27-18
9-26
17-18
16-22
20-15
24-24
17-23
29-18
22-25
22-21
24-22
35-22
27-27
32-34
26-28
28-22
11-20
14-12
25-22
29-23
21-21
19-16
18-20
19-26
30-30
25-31
179.3Avg total
90.6Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)94.692.6187.2+2.060%
Season at home (2)106.093.5199.5+12.5100%
Season away (3)87.092.0179.0-5.033%
Last 10 (10)90.688.7179.3+1.950%
Last 5 (5)94.692.6187.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)86.685.5172.1+1.150%
vs Similar (4)96.294.2190.5+2.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)91.583.4174.9+8.181%
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CordonUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCordon
Date
Competition
Malvin
#4
W
88-81
88
81
+7
84avg 71
A04/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
63-78
63
78
-15
50avg 71
H08/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
75-90
75
90
-15
55avg 71
A14/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
79-75
79
75
+4
68avg 71
H16/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
76-105
76
105
-29
60avg 71
A22/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
78-85
78
85
-7
67avg 71
A11/10
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
84-104
84
104
-20
74avg 71
H15/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
76-80
76
80
-4
70avg 71
A17/10
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
83-102
83
102
-19
79avg 71
A23/10
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
98-81
98
81
+17
96avg 71
H29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
23-17
15-26
22-15
24-19
20-20
5-18
14-21
12-20
17-25
21-21
25-24
14-25
25-14
28-20
12-16
24-24
26-34
17-19
9-28
14-25
26-24
21-17
17-19
20-25
23-29
22-25
19-25
16-25
19-21
24-17
17-17
9-30
24-24
24-29
26-19
22-17
31-19
20-20
25-25
168.1Avg total
80.0Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.890.4174.2-6.620%
Season at home (2)91.092.5183.5-1.550%
Season away (3)79.089.0168.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)80.088.1168.1-8.130%
Last 5 (5)83.890.4174.2-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)79.888.8168.6-9.023%
vs Similar (5)90.488.0178.4+2.480%
vs Weaker (3)76.377.0153.3-0.733%
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -2.3-2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -2.3-2.3
AguadaCordon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#1
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A23/05
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H26/05
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A28/05
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H31/05
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A02/06
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A10/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H13/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A21/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A29/10
Liga Uruguaya
92.6Avg total
47.0Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.243.690.8+3.567%-
Last 30 at home (17)49.144.293.2+4.976%-
Last 30 away (13)44.742.987.6+1.854%-
Last 10 (10)47.045.692.6+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)50.045.295.2+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)46.943.990.8+3.060%-
vs Similar (4)47.242.589.8+4.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)47.343.891.1+3.669%-
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CordonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malvin
#4
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A04/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H08/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A14/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H16/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A22/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A11/10
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H15/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A17/10
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A23/10
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H29/10
Liga Uruguaya
87.7Avg total
41.7Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.446.187.6-4.727%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.545.686.1-5.125%-
Last 30 away (18)42.146.588.6-4.428%-
Last 10 (10)41.746.087.7-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)40.847.888.6-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)39.947.787.5-7.814%-
vs Similar (5)49.042.891.8+6.280%-
vs Weaker (3)40.340.380.7+0.033%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 89.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.2
49.9%
53.3%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.211.1
35.6%
33.3%33.3
🏀 Free throws22.517.7
78.7%
70.9%17.7
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cordontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cordon: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.118.6
48.8%
53.3%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.99.6
32.1%
33.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.413.0
67.0%
70.9%13.0
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aguada
LWLWWLLLWW
Cordon
WLLLLLWLLW
#3
League position
#11
+1.9
Net rating
-10.6
114.8
Offensive rating
103.9
112.8
Defensive rating
114.5
51.4%
Effective FG%
48.5%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
15.6%
Turnover %
15.2%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.6%
3-point %
32.1%
65.3%
Assist %
63.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence114.8 · 103.9Defence112.8 · 114.5Shooting51.4% · 48.5%3-point %35.6% · 32.1%Ball care15.6% · 15.2%Off. rebounds34.4% · 28.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Aguada   ■ Cordon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Aguada wins
2
Cordon wins
DateGameScore
27/03/25Aguada v Cordon109-94
24/01/25Cordon v Aguada96-88
08/11/24Aguada v Cordon111-97
19/04/24Cordon v Aguada74-97
27/03/24Aguada v Cordon82-88
05/01/24Aguada v Cordon78-75
07/11/23Cordon v Aguada70-89
17/12/16Aguada v Cordon90-69
10/01/13Cordon v Aguada0-20
03/11/12Aguada v Cordon103-89
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/25AUnion Atletica92-107
25/10/25HMalvin94-82
21/10/25ANacional79-82
13/10/25HUrunday118-105
10/10/25ABigua90-87
02/06/25ANacional77-79
31/05/25HNacional96-97
28/05/25ANacional98-103
26/05/25HNacional80-72
23/05/25ANacional82-73
Cordonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/25HWelcome98-81
23/10/25APenarol83-102
17/10/25AHebraica y Macabi76-80
15/10/25HUnion Atletica84-104
11/10/25AMalvin78-85
22/04/25AMalvin76-105
16/04/25HMalvin79-75
14/04/25AMalvin75-90
08/04/25HMalvin63-78
04/04/25AMalvin88-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game94.6106.087.0
Allowed / game92.693.592.0
Point differential+2.0+12.5-5.0
Avg total187.2199.5179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cordon
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game83.891.079.0
Allowed / game90.492.589.0
Point differential-6.6-1.5-10.0
Avg total174.2183.5168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol65183%85.768.5+17.2
2 Nacional65183%92.285.3+6.8
3 Hebraica y Macabi64267%77.076.3+0.7
4 Aguada53260%94.692.6+2.0
5 Defensor53260%89.687.6+2.0
6 Malvin53260%85.087.0-2.0
7 Urunday63350%95.088.8+6.2
8 Union Atletica63350%82.882.7+0.2
9 Bigua63350%87.289.0-1.8
10 Cordon51420%83.890.4-6.6
11 Goes61517%81.889.3-7.5
12 Welcome6060%83.7101.5-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aguada22293323107
Cordon2720201986
← all games of the day
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