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Aguada vs Cordon Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 109-94
31-25 28-30 24-20 26-19
Position#2
Record20-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game80.2
Aguada 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#9
Record11-14
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game85.2
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Aguada
Other2024-25
Meetings · Aguada v Cordon
04 Nov 2025
AGUA107
CORD86
27 Mar 2025
AGUA109
CORD94
08 Nov 2024
AGUA111
CORD97
26 Mar 2024
AGUA82
CORD88
04 Jan 2024
AGUA78
CORD75
17 Dec 2016
AGUA90
CORD69
03 Nov 2012
AGUA103
CORD89
05 Jan 2012
AGUA79
CORD76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aguada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cordon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAguada
Date
Competition
Bigua
#6
W
95-81
95
81
+14
102avg 87
A28/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
98-86
98
86
+12
98avg 87
H31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
95-86
95
86
+9
98avg 87
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
71-70
71
70
+1
59avg 87
H07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
94-91
94
91
+3
90avg 87
A13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
77-75
77
75
+2
69avg 87
A27/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
101-72
101
72
+29
100avg 87
H04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
85-90
85
90
-5
80avg 87
H11/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
99-81
99
81
+18
100avg 87
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
85-78
85
78
+7
78avg 87
A17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
25-23
20-17
24-19
27-20
31-28
13-15
27-23
34-26
16-24
24-20
21-16
27-20
13-16
17-14
14-20
22-19
36-20
15-26
21-26
22-15
19-12
13-17
23-31
25-21
34-19
28-17
14-15
24-23
29-27
18-19
14-21
29-13
26-24
24-28
20-16
26-16
21-23
20-23
18-16
171.0Avg total
90.0Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)89.780.2169.9+9.580%
Season at home (13)91.079.6170.6+11.485%
Season away (12)88.280.8169.1+7.475%
Last 10 (10)90.081.0171.0+9.090%
Last 5 (5)89.479.2168.6+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)93.787.3181.0+6.367%
vs Similar (8)82.078.5160.5+3.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)90.679.5170.1+11.284%
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CordonUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCordon
Date
Competition
Urunday
#8
W
87-77
87
77
+10
80avg 68
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
92-104
92
104
-12
82avg 68
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
82-80
82
80
+2
67avg 68
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
71avg 68
H07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
85avg 68
A10/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
60-82
60
82
-22
42avg 68
A28/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
74-69
74
69
+5
69avg 68
H05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
78-88
78
88
-10
61avg 68
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
82-75
82
75
+7
70avg 68
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
80-85
80
85
-5
80avg 68
A17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-16
21-19
18-25
18-17
23-31
19-30
25-17
25-26
25-23
14-18
17-21
26-18
17-20
17-27
23-17
22-22
25-19
24-23
15-20
9-11
23-25
10-19
14-21
13-17
23-24
24-12
8-13
19-20
29-28
19-22
10-26
20-12
14-24
28-21
19-16
21-14
23-22
15-24
21-21
21-18
165.2Avg total
81.2Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)82.885.2168.0-2.544%
Season at home (11)83.282.9166.1+0.355%
Season away (14)82.487.1169.5-4.636%
Last 10 (10)81.284.0165.2-2.850%
Last 5 (5)74.879.8154.6-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)78.184.6162.7-6.526%
vs Similar (7)76.375.6151.9+0.771%
vs Weaker (4)81.076.5157.5+4.550%
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.9+1.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.9+1.9
AguadaCordon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bigua
#6
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A28/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A27/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H11/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A17/03
Liga Uruguaya
92.3Avg total
51.2Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.640.286.8+6.483%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.541.891.3+7.793%-
Last 30 away (15)43.838.682.4+5.273%-
Last 10 (10)51.241.192.3+10.190%-
Last 5 (5)51.038.689.6+12.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)54.338.092.3+16.3100%-
vs Similar (8)42.440.883.1+1.675%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.240.387.5+6.984%-
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CordonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urunday
#8
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
42-61
42
61
-19
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A10/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A28/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A17/03
Liga Uruguaya
87.0Avg total
42.3Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.643.786.3-1.231%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.543.983.5-4.423%-
Last 30 away (16)45.043.688.6+1.438%-
Last 10 (10)42.344.787.0-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.644.285.8-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)41.244.986.1-3.716%-
vs Similar (6)45.742.588.2+3.267%-
vs Weaker (4)44.540.084.5+4.550%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 89.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.620.4
54.3%
51.5%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.011.0
36.7%
33.0%33.0
🏀 Free throws20.515.9
77.6%
71.7%15.9
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cordontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cordon: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.720.4
47.8%
51.5%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.5
34.1%
33.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws15.211.1
73.0%
71.7%11.1
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aguada
WWLWWWWWWW
Cordon
LWLWLWLWLW
#2
League position
#9
+12.1
Net rating
-4.3
114.4
Offensive rating
102.3
102.3
Defensive rating
106.6
54.6%
Effective FG%
49.1%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
16.8%
Turnover %
14.3%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.7%
3-point %
34.1%
65.0%
Assist %
54.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 102.3Defence102.3 · 106.6Shooting54.6% · 49.1%3-point %36.7% · 34.1%Ball care16.8% · 14.3%Off. rebounds31.3% · 23.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Aguada   ■ Cordon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Aguada wins
2
Cordon wins
DateGameScore
24/01/25Cordon v Aguada96-88
08/11/24Aguada v Cordon111-97
19/04/24Cordon v Aguada74-97
27/03/24Aguada v Cordon82-88
05/01/24Aguada v Cordon78-75
07/11/23Cordon v Aguada70-89
17/12/16Aguada v Cordon90-69
10/01/13Cordon v Aguada0-20
03/11/12Aguada v Cordon103-89
05/01/12Aguada v Cordon79-76
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/25APenarol85-78
13/03/25HNacional99-81
11/03/25HMalvin85-90
04/03/25HWelcome101-72
27/02/25ATrouville77-75
13/02/25ANacional94-91
07/02/25HMalvin71-70
04/02/25HHebraica y Macabi95-86
31/01/25HUrunday98-86
28/01/25ABigua95-81
Cordonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/25ANacional80-85
13/03/25AMalvin82-75
10/03/25ADefensor78-88
05/03/25HTrouville74-69
28/02/25AMalvin60-82
10/02/25AHebraica y Macabi98-94 OT
07/02/25HNacional79-86
04/02/25HBigua82-80
30/01/25HPenarol92-104
27/01/25AUrunday87-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWWLW85%
AwayLWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %80%85%75%
Points / game89.791.088.2
Allowed / game80.279.680.8
Point differential+9.5+11.4+7.4
Avg total169.9170.6169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%62%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)33% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Cordon
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL44%
HomeWLWLW55%
AwayWLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %44%55%36%
Points / game82.883.282.4
Allowed / game85.282.987.1
Point differential-2.5+0.3-4.6
Avg total168.0166.1169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%18%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)100% (2)33% (6)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional2522388%93.379.0+14.3
2 Aguada2520580%89.780.2+9.5
3 Penarol2518772%83.774.9+8.8
4 Malvin2516964%80.476.2+4.2
5 Defensor25121348%85.882.0+3.8
6 Bigua28131546%86.885.4+1.4
7 Cordon25111444%82.885.2-2.5
8 Hebraica y Macabi26111542%84.887.1-2.3
9 Urunday27111641%77.982.2-4.3
10 Urupan26101638%81.486.9-5.5
11 Welcome2781930%79.993.7-13.8
12 Trouville2742315%72.382.6-10.3
13 Ferro Carril1010%77.0103.0-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aguada31282426109
Cordon2530201994
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