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Aguada vs Cordon Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 82-88
22-24 19-22 16-22 25-20
Position#1
Record21-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Cordon 🏆
Uruguay
Position#10
Record11-14
FormWWWLL
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game74.9
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Cordon
Other2023-24
Meetings · Aguada v Cordon
04 Nov 2025
AGUA107
CORD86
27 Mar 2025
AGUA109
CORD94
08 Nov 2024
AGUA111
CORD97
26 Mar 2024
AGUA82
CORD88
04 Jan 2024
AGUA78
CORD75
17 Dec 2016
AGUA90
CORD69
03 Nov 2012
AGUA103
CORD89
05 Jan 2012
AGUA79
CORD76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aguada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cordon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAguada
Date
Competition
Nacional
#3
L
105-111 OT
105
111
-6
no box
H19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
75-74
75
74
+1
64avg 84
A28/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
87-77
87
77
+10
78avg 84
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
96-86
96
86
+10
95avg 84
H02/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
111-74
111
74
+37
115avg 84
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
107-85
107
85
+22
104avg 84
H15/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
82-77
82
77
+5
78avg 84
H05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
92-74
92
74
+18
89avg 84
H16/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
82-81
82
81
+1
72avg 84
A19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
103-89
103
89
+14
94avg 84
H24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
30-25
21-36
21-19
17-18
22-23
21-15
15-18
25-25
29-19
11-15
22-18
27-16
20-23
35-20
14-27
33-16
30-20
25-18
23-20
29-19
32-23
28-25
18-18
23-21
20-16
14-26
25-14
23-16
26-19
29-16
14-23
12-13
20-19
15-16
35-33
18-24
29-25
32-15
24-25
176.8Avg total
94.0Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)89.580.6170.0+8.981%
Season at home (14)92.181.4173.5+10.893%
Season away (12)86.379.7166.0+6.767%
Last 10 (10)94.082.8176.8+11.290%
Last 5 (5)93.281.2174.4+12.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)83.085.6168.6-2.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)90.278.7168.9+11.590%
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CordonUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCordon
Date
Competition
Urupan
#9
W
64-57
64
57
+7
58avg 63
H17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
61-86
61
86
-25
52avg 63
A23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
77-72
77
72
+5
67avg 63
H26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
75-65
75
65
+10
67avg 63
A31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
74-76
74
76
-2
68avg 63
H06/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
72-57
72
57
+15
66avg 63
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
75-69
75
69
+6
67avg 63
H15/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
86-67
86
67
+19
88avg 63
H16/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
60-79
60
79
-19
48avg 63
A18/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
68-84
68
84
-16
48avg 63
H24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
25-11
13-19
8-14
22-20
14-21
8-26
17-19
30-18
11-17
11-15
25-22
24-22
21-17
12-11
18-15
16-22
24-14
19-16
15-24
18-12
26-13
10-16
18-16
18-16
20-18
17-7
20-28
19-19
18-18
29-17
20-13
16-26
13-17
17-21
14-15
20-28
23-20
10-22
15-14
142.4Avg total
71.2Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)72.474.9147.3-2.644%
Season at home (13)73.877.5151.4-3.746%
Season away (12)70.872.1142.8-1.342%
Last 10 (10)71.271.2142.4+0.060%
Last 5 (5)72.271.2143.4+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)74.882.5157.4-7.725%
vs Similar (8)75.170.2145.4+4.975%
vs Weaker (2)80.074.5154.5+5.550%
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -1.0-1.0
AguadaCordon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#3
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A28/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H02/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
63-36
63
36
+27
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
61-42
61
42
+19
H15/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H16/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H24/03
Liga Uruguaya
88.9Avg total
49.1Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.440.987.3+5.470%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.840.087.8+7.881%-
Last 30 away (14)44.742.086.7+2.757%-
Last 10 (10)49.139.888.9+9.370%-
Last 5 (5)46.439.085.4+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)42.940.783.6+2.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)48.141.089.2+7.175%-
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CordonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urupan
#9
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H06/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
44-25
44
25
+19
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H15/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H16/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A18/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H24/03
Liga Uruguaya
75.8Avg total
39.6Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.938.179.0+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.839.682.5+3.265%-
Last 30 away (13)38.536.174.5+2.446%-
Last 10 (10)39.636.275.8+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)38.237.475.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)40.239.579.7+0.850%-
vs Similar (8)41.933.875.6+8.175%-
vs Weaker (2)44.542.086.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 91.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.117.6
56.6%
51.0%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.113.7
39.0%
33.3%41.1
🏀 Free throws19.115.3
80.1%
71.7%15.3
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cordontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cordon: 70.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.918.8
47.1%
51.0%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.3
28.1%
33.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws16.210.9
67.3%
71.7%10.9
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aguada
WWWWWWWWWL
Cordon
LLWWWLWWLW
#1
League position
#10
+15.3
Net rating
+0.4
117.9
Offensive rating
91.7
102.6
Defensive rating
91.4
57.6%
Effective FG%
45.1%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
15.1%
Turnover %
18.2%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
39.0%
3-point %
28.1%
56.5%
Assist %
52.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.9 · 91.7Defence102.6 · 91.4Shooting57.6% · 45.1%3-point %39.0% · 28.1%Ball care15.1% · 18.2%Off. rebounds23.5% · 24.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Aguada   ■ Cordon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Aguada wins
1
Cordon wins
DateGameScore
05/01/24Aguada v Cordon78-75
07/11/23Cordon v Aguada70-89
17/12/16Aguada v Cordon90-69
10/01/13Cordon v Aguada0-20
03/11/12Aguada v Cordon103-89
05/01/12Aguada v Cordon79-76
06/11/11Cordon v Aguada69-67
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24HNacional103-89
19/03/24APenarol82-81
16/03/24HHebraica y Macabi92-74
05/03/24HDefensor82-77
15/02/24HBigua107-85
09/02/24AUrupan111-74
02/02/24HHebraica y Macabi96-86
30/01/24AMalvin87-77
28/01/24AGoes75-74
19/01/24HNacional105-111 OT
Cordonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24HPenarol68-84
18/03/24ADefensor60-79
16/03/24HNacional86-67
15/02/24HMalvin75-69
09/02/24ATrouville72-57
06/02/24HDefensor74-76
31/01/24APenarol75-65
26/01/24HBigua77-72
23/01/24ANacional61-86
17/01/24HUrupan64-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %81%93%67%
Points / game89.592.186.3
Allowed / game80.681.479.7
Point differential+8.9+10.8+6.7
Avg total170.0173.5166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)100% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Cordon
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL44%
HomeWLWWL46%
AwayLLWWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %44%46%42%
Points / game72.473.870.8
Allowed / game74.977.572.1
Point differential-2.6-3.7-1.3
Avg total147.3151.4142.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%15%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Aguada2621581%89.580.6+8.9
2 Penarol2519676%81.470.6+10.8
3 Defensor2617965%81.278.2+3.0
4 Hebraica y Macabi2516964%84.981.0+4.0
5 Nacional2516964%86.782.8+3.9
6 Malvin28151354%82.780.1+2.6
7 Bigua28131546%84.484.2+0.1
8 Cordon25111444%72.474.9-2.6
9 Trouville28111739%80.284.0-3.8
10 Goes28101836%78.181.5-3.4
11 Urupan2882029%78.485.1-6.8
12 Larre Borges2832511%74.088.3-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aguada2219162582
Cordon2422222088
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