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Aguada vs Cordon Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 78-75
20-19 28-16 15-23 15-17
Position#1
Record10-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game78.5
Aguada 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#10
Record5-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game74.9
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Aguada
Other2023-24
Meetings · Aguada v Cordon
04 Nov 2025
AGUA107
CORD86
27 Mar 2025
AGUA109
CORD94
08 Nov 2024
AGUA111
CORD97
26 Mar 2024
AGUA82
CORD88
04 Jan 2024
AGUA78
CORD75
17 Dec 2016
AGUA90
CORD69
03 Nov 2012
AGUA103
CORD89
05 Jan 2012
AGUA79
CORD76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aguada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cordon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAguada
Date
Competition
Cordon
#10
W
89-70
89
70
+19
84avg 81
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
94-86
94
86
+8
95avg 81
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
68-77
68
77
-9
55avg 81
A18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
105-91
105
91
+14
103avg 81
H21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
87-85
87
85
+2
82avg 81
H24/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
79-84
79
84
-5
62avg 81
A28/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
91-58
91
58
+33
97avg 81
H01/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
94-81
94
81
+13
88avg 81
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
92-77
92
77
+15
90avg 81
H15/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
90-82
90
82
+8
88avg 81
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
20-22
28-16
19-13
27-21
20-23
22-19
25-23
25-29
19-13
14-18
10-17
28-19
29-25
23-26
25-21
26-27
19-20
22-21
20-17
17-26
16-23
24-15
22-20
23-10
23-23
20-17
25-8
32-22
19-22
22-19
21-18
28-20
25-20
21-20
18-17
26-22
22-16
21-14
21-30
168.0Avg total
88.9Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.978.5164.5+7.477%
Season at home (7)89.677.4167.0+12.1100%
Season away (6)81.779.8161.5+1.850%
Last 10 (10)88.979.1168.0+9.880%
Last 5 (5)89.276.4165.6+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)77.979.2157.1-1.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)88.179.3167.4+8.879%
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CordonUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCordon
Date
Competition
Goes
#12
W
84-75
84
75
+9
74avg 61
A04/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
70-89
70
89
-19
59avg 61
H07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
66-55
66
55
+11
59avg 61
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
82-63
82
63
+19
84avg 61
A18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
66-71
66
71
-5
52avg 61
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
67-75
67
75
-8
56avg 61
H26/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
67-75
67
75
-8
61avg 61
A29/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
62-78
62
78
-16
48avg 61
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
81-66
81
66
+15
72avg 61
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
80-71
80
71
+9
72avg 61
H20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
24-12
18-27
25-16
19-22
22-20
16-28
13-19
21-15
24-9
15-16
6-15
19-10
24-14
16-21
23-18
23-13
17-20
14-18
12-20
19-16
24-19
12-26
12-14
19-17
16-25
20-19
12-14
18-24
17-16
13-18
14-20
25-20
21-19
18-17
17-10
27-22
21-15
22-18
10-16
144.3Avg total
72.5Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)72.474.9147.3-2.542%
Season at home (5)72.679.8152.4-7.240%
Season away (7)72.371.4143.7+0.943%
Last 10 (10)72.571.8144.3+0.750%
Last 5 (5)71.473.0144.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)76.287.2163.4-11.14%
vs Similar (4)78.066.0144.0+12.0100%
vs Weaker (2)80.074.5154.5+5.550%
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -1.8-1.8
AguadaCordon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cordon
#10
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H24/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A28/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H01/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H15/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
88.8Avg total
46.6Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.641.083.7+1.667%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.440.084.4+4.479%-
Last 30 away (16)41.141.983.0-0.956%-
Last 10 (10)46.642.288.8+4.480%-
Last 5 (5)46.240.887.0+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)40.239.980.2+0.369%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.442.387.6+3.164%-
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CordonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Goes
#12
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A04/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
45-24
45
24
+21
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
43-24
43
24
+19
A18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H26/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A29/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H20/12
Liga Uruguaya
76.5Avg total
41.7Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.338.879.1+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.740.182.8+2.767%-
Last 30 away (15)37.937.575.5+0.427%-
Last 10 (10)41.734.876.5+6.970%-
Last 5 (5)41.438.680.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)39.340.179.5-0.838%-
vs Similar (4)44.229.273.5+15.0100%-
vs Weaker (2)44.542.086.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 92.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.023.3
54.2%
51.0%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.411.1
34.3%
33.3%33.3
🏀 Free throws16.612.7
76.5%
71.7%12.7
They take 75.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cordontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cordon: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.720.9
44.8%
51.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.56.9
28.2%
33.3%20.7
🏀 Free throws17.812.1
68.0%
71.7%12.1
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aguada
WWWWLWWLWW
Cordon
WWLLLLWWLW
#1
League position
#10
+14.6
Net rating
-2.8
112.6
Offensive rating
93.9
98.0
Defensive rating
96.7
53.0%
Effective FG%
43.9%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.3%
12.1%
Turnover %
14.7%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.3%
3-point %
28.2%
59.9%
Assist %
49.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.6 · 93.9Defence98.0 · 96.7Shooting53.0% · 43.9%3-point %34.3% · 28.2%Ball care12.1% · 14.7%Off. rebounds25.8% · 28.9%Free throws0.22 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Aguada   ■ Cordon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Aguada wins
1
Cordon wins
DateGameScore
07/11/23Cordon v Aguada70-89
17/12/16Aguada v Cordon90-69
10/01/13Cordon v Aguada0-20
03/11/12Aguada v Cordon103-89
05/01/12Aguada v Cordon79-76
06/11/11Cordon v Aguada69-67
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/23ATrouville90-82
15/12/23HDefensor92-77
05/12/23ABigua94-81
01/12/23HUrupan91-58
28/11/23AHebraica y Macabi79-84
24/11/23HMalvin87-85
21/11/23HGoes105-91
18/11/23ANacional68-77
14/11/23HLarre Borges94-86
07/11/23ACordon89-70
Cordonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/23HGoes80-71
09/12/23HLarre Borges81-66
05/12/23AMalvin62-78
29/11/23ADefensor67-75
26/11/23HPenarol67-75
21/11/23ABigua66-71
18/11/23AUrupan82-63
14/11/23AHebraica y Macabi66-55
07/11/23HAguada70-89
04/11/23AGoes84-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW77%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %77%100%50%
Points / game85.989.681.7
Allowed / game78.577.479.8
Point differential+7.4+12.1+1.8
Avg total164.5167.0161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%57%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cordon
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW42%
HomeLLLWW40%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %42%40%43%
Points / game72.472.672.3
Allowed / game74.979.871.4
Point differential-2.5-7.2+0.9
Avg total147.3152.4143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol1210283%86.271.8+14.3
2 Nacional1210283%90.683.4+7.2
3 Aguada1310377%85.978.5+7.4
4 Hebraica y Macabi148657%83.980.8+3.1
5 Defensor148657%80.677.9+2.8
6 Malvin157847%83.180.6+2.5
7 Bigua157847%84.284.9-0.7
8 Cordon125742%72.474.9-2.5
9 Goes135838%81.885.0-3.2
10 Trouville135838%81.685.8-4.2
11 Urupan1541127%76.585.8-9.3
12 Larre Borges1421214%76.290.3-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aguada2028151578
Cordon1916231775
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