Aguada vs Goes Result & Analysis

Aguada will host Goes on 4 November 2026 in the Liga Uruguaya, and the Pythia model designates Aguada as the favourite, rating them 77% to win because their season record of 3-1, 77.0 points per game and 73.0 allowed per game places them fourth, while Goes also sits at 3-1 but averages 93.8 points per game and allows 86.8, a higher scoring but also higher defensive exposure. Aguada's single home game shows a 1-0 record, 66.0 points scored and 63.0 allowed, and their last five games include a 84-57 win over Atenas, a 75-91 loss to Larranaga and a 66-63 victory at Union Atletica; Goes' last five feature wins over Union Atletica, Nacional and Malvin, with a 94.0 points per game and 96.5 allowed in their two road outings. In their ten meetings, Aguada has won seven to Goes' three, most recently 70-64 on 10 February 2026. Pythia projects a 90-82 score, 172.2 total points, a 77% chance for Aguada to win and 23% for Goes, a home line of -6.0 with a 59% probability Aguada covers, an over line of 171.75 with a 51% probability of the over, and a 4% chance of overtime. The next game will see Aguada try to extend their winning streak against a high-scoring Goes side.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aguada winLost

77.1%fair 1.30

Best odds1.50

Implied64.0%

Edge+13.1pp

Goes winWon

22.9%fair 4.36

Best odds2.63

Implied36.0%

Edge-13.1pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 03 Nov 08:29 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Aguada

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAguada

Date

Competition

Penarol

82-99

-17

72avg 80

A04/06

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

84-89

-5

75avg 80

A10/06

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

78-71

76avg 80

H13/06

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

92-81

+11

90avg 80

H17/06

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

71-80

-9

67avg 80

A20/06

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

92-107

107

-15

86avg 80

H23/06

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

83-81

75avg 80

A21/10

Liga Uruguaya

Union Atletica

#11

66-63

58avg 80

H24/10

Liga Uruguaya

Larranaga

75-91

-16

68avg 80

A28/10

Liga Uruguaya

Atenas

#12

84-57

+27

82avg 80

A31/10

Liga Uruguaya

22-27

25-24

17-25

18-23

23-28

26-20

17-26

18-15

19-15

27-18

14-19

18-19

21-13

19-32

25-19

27-17

26-25

23-20

14-12

8-23

21-31

32-23

16-32

23-21

29-19

17-26

25-21

12-15

22-15

20-22

14-14

10-12

24-26

23-18

16-25

12-22

27-12

21-19

11-9

25-17

162.6Avg total

80.7Scored

81.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	77.0	73.0	150.0	+4.0	75%
Season at home (1)	66.0	63.0	129.0	+3.0	100%
Season away (3)	80.7	76.3	157.0	+4.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	80.7	81.9	162.6	-1.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	79.8	159.8	+0.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	87.1	90.4	177.6	-3.3	43%
vs Similar (3)	82.7	82.7	165.3	+0.0	67%
vs Weaker (13)	85.5	78.5	164.0	+7.1	85%

This opponent (Goes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Goes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormGoes

Date

Competition

Hebraica y Macabi

91-97

-6

70avg 75

H20/02

Liga Uruguaya

Cordon

#11

94-87

84avg 75

H10/03

Liga Uruguaya

Union Atletica

84-94

-10

74avg 75

A14/03

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

97-94

85avg 75

A17/03

Liga Uruguaya

Welcome

#12

103-83

103

+20

98avg 75

A20/03

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

84-88

-4

75avg 75

A23/03

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

64-83

-19

48avg 75

A20/10

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

90-71

+19

78avg 75

H23/10

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

124-110

124

110

+14

120avg 75

A27/10

Liga Uruguaya

Union Atletica

#11

97-83

+14

93avg 75

H30/10

Liga Uruguaya

21-31

19-26

28-22

23-18

29-18

23-27

16-15

26-27

17-23

22-29

24-21

21-21

24-32

24-23

23-14

26-25

14-27

28-18

33-20

19-24

24-25

23-21

18-18

23-29

15-18

19-14

7-22

28-21

23-15

18-15

21-20

30-28

28-27

31-28

35-27

24-20

31-24

21-18

21-21

181.8Avg total

92.8Scored

89.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	93.8	86.8	180.5	+7.0	75%
Season at home (2)	93.5	77.0	170.5	+16.5	100%
Season away (2)	94.0	96.5	190.5	-2.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	92.8	89.0	181.8	+3.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	91.8	87.0	178.8	+4.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	82.7	92.5	175.2	-9.8	22%
vs Similar (2)	81.5	85.0	166.5	-3.5	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	89.1	81.6	170.7	+7.5	80%

This opponent (Aguada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 166.25Actual: Over 166.25

Over 166.25

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under 166.25

no forecast

@ 1.79

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.83

Under

1xBet

1.79

Over/Under 171.25 · main lineActual: Under 171.25

Over 171.25

50.9%

@ 1.81+0.9pp

Under 171.25

49.1%

@ 1.81-0.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.81

Under

1xBet

1.81

Over/Under 176Actual: Under 176

Over 176

39.9%

Under 176

60.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Aguada total 82.5Actual: Aguada over 82.5

Over 82.5

78.0%

@ 1.36+13.6pp

Under 82.5

22.0%

@ 2.46-13.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.36

Under

1xBet

2.46

Aguada total 86.5 · main lineActual: Aguada under 86.5

Over 86.5

64.6%

@ 1.85+14.6pp

Under 86.5

35.4%

@ 1.83-14.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.85

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.68

Under

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.80

1xBet

1.77

Aguada total 90.5Actual: Aguada under 90.5

Over 90.5

49.1%

@ 2.28+10.9pp

Under 90.5

50.9%

@ 1.41-10.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.28

Under

1xBet

1.41

Goes total 77.5Actual: Goes over 77.5

Over 77.5

66.0%

@ 1.42+4.8pp

Under 77.5

34.0%

@ 2.24-4.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.42

Under

1xBet

2.24

Goes total 81.5 · main lineActual: Goes over 81.5

Over 81.5

50.8%

@ 1.83-0.5pp

Under 81.5

49.2%

@ 1.88+0.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.78

1xBet

1.60

Under

1xBet

1.88

Betano

1.87

Bet365

1.83

Goes total 85.5Actual: Goes over 85.5

Over 85.5

35.7%

@ 2.12-5.3pp

Under 85.5

64.3%

@ 1.47+5.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.12

Under

1xBet

1.47

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Aguada -7.5Actual: Goes +7.5

AGUA -7.5

53.5%

@ 2.35+9.6pp

GOES +7.5

46.5%

@ 1.66-9.6pp

Best 5 market prices

AGUA

Bet365

2.35

1xBet

2.27

Pinnacle

2.12

GOES

Pinnacle

1.66

Bet365

1.55

1xBet

1.45

Spread Aguada -4.5 · main lineActual: Goes +4.5

AGUA -4.5

64.6%

@ 1.87+14.6pp

GOES +4.5

35.4%

@ 1.87-14.6pp

Best 5 market prices

AGUA

Pinnacle

1.87

SBO

1.84

Bet365

1.83

Betfair

1.83

Betano

1.82

GOES

Pinnacle

1.87

SBO

1.84

Bet365

1.83

Betfair

1.83

Betano

1.82

Spread Aguada -1.5Actual: Goes +1.5

AGUA -1.5

74.8%

@ 1.57+15.4pp

GOES +1.5

25.2%

@ 2.30-15.4pp

Best 5 market prices

AGUA

Bet365

1.57

GOES

Bet365

2.30

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AguadaGoes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.25
Last 30 (30)	23.6	22.0	45.6	+1.5	60%	53%
Last 30 at home (14)	23.0	20.1	43.1	+2.9	79%	43%
Last 30 away (16)	24.1	23.7	47.8	+0.4	44%	62%
Last 10 (10)	23.4	21.1	44.5	+2.3	60%	60%
Last 5 (5)	24.6	20.6	45.2	+4.0	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	22.5	23.0	45.5	-0.5	50%	57%
vs Similar (3)	26.0	20.3	46.3	+5.7	67%	67%
vs Weaker (13)	24.2	21.4	45.5	+2.8	69%	46%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.25
Last 30 (30)	21.1	22.4	43.5	-1.3	37%	50%
Last 30 at home (14)	22.5	21.0	43.5	+1.5	50%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	23.7	43.6	-3.8	25%	44%
Last 10 (10)	22.9	25.3	48.2	-2.4	40%	70%
Last 5 (5)	24.8	24.4	49.2	+0.4	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	19.8	23.6	43.3	-3.8	17%	44%
vs Similar (2)	24.5	19.0	43.5	+5.5	50%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	22.8	21.1	43.9	+1.7	70%	60%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	22.8	45.6	+0.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.7	22.7	47.4	+2.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	22.8	44.0	-1.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	22.2	45.5	+1.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	21.6	44.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	24.4	24.1	48.5	+0.2	64%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.7	21.3	41.0	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (13)	21.9	21.6	43.5	+0.3	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	22.5	43.5	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	23.4	44.0	-2.9	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	21.7	43.1	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	23.2	46.9	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	21.8	46.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	19.7	23.6	43.3	-3.9	22%	-
vs Similar (2)	22.0	17.0	39.0	+5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	23.2	21.6	44.8	+1.6	60%	-

AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

47-51

-4

A04/06

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

49-48

A10/06

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

46-33

+13

H13/06

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

40-45

-5

H17/06

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

49-45

A20/06

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

53-54

-1

H23/06

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

46-45

A21/10

Liga Uruguaya

Union Atletica

#11

42-37

H24/10

Liga Uruguaya

Larranaga

47-44

A28/10

Liga Uruguaya

Atenas

#12

48-31

+17

A31/10

Liga Uruguaya

90.0Avg total

46.7Scored

43.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84
Last 30 (30)	46.4	44.8	91.2	+1.6	60%	73%
Last 30 at home (14)	47.7	42.9	90.6	+4.9	71%	71%
Last 30 away (16)	45.2	46.5	91.8	-1.2	50%	75%
Last 10 (10)	46.7	43.3	90.0	+3.4	70%	70%
Last 5 (5)	47.2	42.2	89.4	+5.0	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	46.9	47.1	94.0	-0.3	50%	93%
vs Similar (3)	45.7	41.7	87.3	+4.0	100%	67%
vs Weaker (13)	46.1	43.0	89.1	+3.1	62%	54%

This opponent (Goes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GoesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hebraica y Macabi

40-57

-17

H20/02

Liga Uruguaya

Cordon

#11

52-45

H10/03

Liga Uruguaya

Union Atletica

39-52

-13

A14/03

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

48-55

-7

A17/03

Liga Uruguaya

Welcome

#12

42-45

-3

A20/03

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

43-49

-6

A23/03

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

38-47

-9

A20/10

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

51-36

+15

H23/10

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

58-55

A27/10

Liga Uruguaya

Union Atletica

#11

55-44

+11

H30/10

Liga Uruguaya

95.1Avg total

46.6Scored

48.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84
Last 30 (30)	42.1	44.9	87.1	-2.8	30%	60%
Last 30 at home (14)	43.1	44.4	87.5	-1.4	36%	64%
Last 30 away (16)	41.3	45.4	86.7	-4.1	25%	56%
Last 10 (10)	46.6	48.5	95.1	-1.9	40%	100%
Last 5 (5)	49.0	46.2	95.2	+2.8	60%	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	39.5	47.2	86.7	-7.7	11%	56%
vs Similar (2)	46.5	36.0	82.5	+10.5	50%	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	46.0	42.7	88.7	+3.3	60%	80%

This opponent (Aguada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Goes win

AGUA win

no forecast

@ 1.57

GOES win

no forecast

@ 2.42

1st half Spread Aguada -2.5 · main lineActual: Goes +2.5

AGUA -2.5

no forecast

@ 1.91

GOES +2.5

no forecast

@ 1.85

1st half Over/Under 84 · main lineActual: Over 84

Over

no forecast

@ 1.86

Under

no forecast

@ 1.88

Aguada 1st half total 43.5 · main lineActual: Aguada over 43.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.80

Under

no forecast

@ 1.93

Goes 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Goes over 41.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.86

1st half: AGUA + total 85.5

AGUA & over

no forecast

@ 3.20

AGUA & under

no forecast

@ 3.10

1st half: Draw + total 85.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 26.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 26.00

1st half: GOES + total 85.5

GOES & over

no forecast

@ 4.50

GOES & under

no forecast

@ 4.50

1st half Over/Under 85.25Actual: Over 85.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.79

1st half Over/Under 82.5Actual: Over 82.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.81

Under

no forecast

@ 2.50

1st half Spread Aguada -3.5Actual: Goes +3.5

AGUA -3.5

no forecast

@ 2.06

GOES +3.5

no forecast

@ 1.85

1st half Spread Aguada -1.5Actual: Goes +1.5

AGUA -1.5

no forecast

@ 1.72

GOES +1.5

no forecast

@ 2.02

1st half Over/Under 86.5Actual: Over 86.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.00

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half Spread Aguada -4.5Actual: Goes +4.5

AGUA -4.5

no forecast

@ 2.22

GOES +4.5

no forecast

@ 1.68

1st half Spread Aguada -0.5Actual: Goes +0.5

AGUA -0.5

no forecast

@ 1.62

GOES +0.5

no forecast

@ 2.15

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Goes (regulation)

AGUA

no forecast

@ 1.62

Draw

no forecast

@ 17.00

GOES

no forecast

@ 2.40

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.6	39.5	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	20.5	39.9	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.5	20.8	39.2	-2.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	20.2	37.1	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	20.2	36.6	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.9	23.1	41.9	-4.2	29%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.0	20.3	42.3	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (13)	18.2	18.1	36.3	+0.2	46%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.3	41.2	+0.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	19.1	39.1	+0.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	21.4	43.0	+0.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	18.6	41.7	+4.5	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.2	41.6	+3.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	20.8	21.6	42.3	-0.8	56%	-
vs Similar (2)	16.5	23.5	40.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.9	17.5	39.4	+4.4	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.6	38.4	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	19.8	40.1	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	17.5	37.0	+2.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	18.4	35.5	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	17.4	33.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.1	64%	-
vs Similar (3)	15.0	20.7	35.7	-5.7	0%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.2	17.2	37.4	+3.1	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	22.5	43.9	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.7	20.4	43.1	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	24.4	44.6	-4.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	21.9	45.0	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.6	42.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	21.7	22.8	44.6	-1.1	39%	-
vs Similar (2)	18.5	25.5	44.0	-7.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.2	21.4	42.6	-0.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	39.2	78.0	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.6	40.3	79.9	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.0	38.2	76.2	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.0	38.6	72.6	-4.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	37.6	70.4	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	39.4	42.5	81.9	-3.1	36%	-
vs Similar (3)	37.0	41.0	78.0	-4.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (13)	38.5	35.2	73.7	+3.2	54%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	42.9	85.1	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.7	39.5	82.2	+3.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.8	45.8	87.6	-4.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.2	40.5	86.7	+5.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	40.8	83.6	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	42.5	44.4	86.9	-1.9	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	35.0	49.0	84.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	43.1	38.9	82.0	+4.2	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

AGUA win + total 171.5

🔒 Pro

GOES win + total 171.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: AGUA leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: GOES leads at half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Aguada over 84	74.1%	1.85	1xBet 1.85	-	-	-	-	+27.4pp	Push
Aguada over 83	77.3%	1.72	1xBet 1.72	-	-	-	-	+27.3pp	Won
Aguada over 80.5	83.4%	1.48	1xBet 1.48	-	-	-	-	+24.8pp	Won
Over 161	75.2%	1.68	1xBet 1.68	-	-	-	-	+23.2pp	Won
Over 160.5	75.7%	1.64	1xBet 1.64	-	-	-	-	+22.4pp	Won
Over 159.5	77.6%	1.58	1xBet 1.58	-	-	-	-	+22.3pp	Won
Aguada over 85	70.7%	1.72	1xBet 1.72	-	-	-	-	+20.7pp	Lost
Aguada over 79.5	85.7%	1.36	1xBet 1.41	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	+19.6pp	Won
Over 163	71.1%	1.80	Pinnacle 1.80	-	-	-	-	+19.2pp	Won
Over 162	73.2%	1.73	1xBet 1.75	Pinnacle 1.71	-	-	-	+18.7pp	Won
Over 162.5	71.7%	1.80	1xBet 1.84	Pinnacle 1.76	-	-	-	+18.5pp	Won
Over 161.5	73.7%	1.56	1xBet 1.71	Pinnacle 1.68	Bet365 1.30	-	-	+18.2pp	Won
Aguada (regulation)	74.7%	1.50	1xBet 1.50	-	-	-	-	+17.7pp	Lost
Aguada over 81.5	80.8%	1.42	Bet365 1.43	1xBet 1.41	-	-	-	+17.4pp	Won
Aguada -1.5	74.8%	1.57	Bet365 1.57	-	-	-	-	+15.4pp	Lost
Aguada over 83.5	74.9%	1.50	Bet365 1.58	1xBet 1.42	-	-	-	+15.1pp	Won
Aguada -2	73.9%	1.58	Bet365 1.60	Pinnacle 1.57	-	-	-	+15.0pp	Lost
Aguada -3	70.3%	1.69	Bet365 1.71	Pinnacle 1.66	-	-	-	+14.4pp	Lost
Aguada -1	76.6%	1.50	Bet365 1.50	-	-	-	-	+14.1pp	Lost
Aguada over 84.5	71.7%	1.50	1xBet 1.50	-	-	-	-	+13.8pp	Lost
Aguada -2.5	71.1%	1.61	Bet365 1.66	Pinnacle 1.61	1xBet 1.56	-	-	+13.6pp	Lost
Aguada over 82.5	78.0%	1.36	1xBet 1.36	-	-	-	-	+13.6pp	Won
Aguada over 77.5	89.7%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+13.5pp	Won
Aguada win	77.1%	1.46	WilliamHill 1.50	1xBet 1.48	Betano 1.47	Bet365 1.47	Pinnacle 1.45	+13.1pp	Lost
Aguada over 76.5	91.3%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+11.8pp	Won
Goes over 75.5	72.9%	1.42	1xBet 1.42	-	-	-	-	+11.6pp	Won
Aguada +4.5	85.9%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+11.5pp	Won
Aguada over 75.5	92.7%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+11.3pp	Won
Aguada over 78.5	87.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+10.0pp	Won
Aguada over 73.5	95.1%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+9.5pp	Won
Aguada over 71.5	96.7%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+8.4pp	Won
Aguada +10.5	94.3%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
Goes under 93.5	86.7%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Won
Goes under 87.5	71.2%	1.38	1xBet 1.38	-	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Won
Aguada +15.5	97.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
Goes over 74.5	76.1%	1.31	1xBet 1.36	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
Aguada +20.5	98.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Goes under 92.5	84.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Overtime: no	96.0%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Over 146.5	94.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Goes over 68.5	90.4%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Goes over 70.5	86.5%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Goes over 67.5	91.9%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Under 196.5	92.6%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Goes under 96.5	91.6%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Over 156.5	82.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Goes over 69.5	88.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Goes under 94.5	88.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Goes over 72.5	81.8%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Goes under 91.5	82.4%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Over 151.5	89.5%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Goes over 71.5	84.3%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Goes under 88.5	74.3%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Goes under 90.5	79.9%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Under 186.5	81.0%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Goes +24.5	91.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Under 191.5	87.8%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Under 181.5	71.9%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
Aguada under 98.5	79.3%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-0.2pp	Won
Goes over 73.5	79.0%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-0.5pp	Won
Goes +19.5	83.6%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-2.5pp	Won
Aguada under 99.5	82.0%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-4.1pp	Won
Aguada under 97.5	76.4%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-5.1pp	Won
Aguada under 96.5	73.2%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-5.7pp	Won
Goes +14.5	70.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-7.0pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 80.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game

52%

31%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	18.9	52.6%	50.3%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.2	9.2	33.8%	32.1%	27.6
🏀 Free throws	20.9	15.0	71.8%	70.5%	15.0

They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Goestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Goes: 92.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game

52%

31%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	22.9	55.6%	50.3%	45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.6	11.3	35.8%	32.1%	33.9
🏀 Free throws	18.0	12.8	71.1%	70.5%	12.8

They take 72.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.8	22.7	51.8%	50.3%	45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.7	8.7	31.4%	32.1%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	16.2	9.8	60.5%	70.5%	9.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.2	23.7	56.2%	50.3%	47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.8	8.5	34.3%	32.1%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	19.9	14.4	72.4%	70.5%	14.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	19.1	53.2%	50.3%	38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	9.9	34.7%	32.1%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	22.4	17.2	76.9%	70.5%	17.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	19.5	50.1%	50.3%	39.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.1	10.3	34.2%	32.1%	30.9
🏀 Free throws	17.1	12.1	70.9%	70.5%	12.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.6	22.2	51.0%	50.3%	44.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	8.5	30.0%	32.1%	25.4
🏀 Free throws	19.0	13.7	72.1%	70.5%	13.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.6	22.5	55.5%	50.3%	45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.7	9.1	35.5%	32.1%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.7	13.5	68.6%	70.5%	13.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Aguada

WLWWLLWWLL

Goes

WWWLLWWLWL

League position

-1.0

Net rating

+5.9

89.5

Offensive rating

104.1

90.5

Defensive rating

98.2

51.8%

Effective FG%

54.7%

50.0%

Opp. effective FG%

54.4%

18.1%

Turnover %

10.1%

0.33

Free-throw rate

0.25

33.8%

3-point %

35.8%

65.1%

Assist %

52.3%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Aguada ■ Goes

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Aguada wins

Goes wins

Date	Game	Score
10/02/26	Aguada v Goes	70-64
19/11/25	Goes v Aguada	76-93
28/01/24	Goes v Aguada	74-75
21/11/23	Aguada v Goes	105-91
10/01/23	Aguada v Goes	72-67
25/10/22	Goes v Aguada	83-77
14/05/22	Goes v Aguada	94-96 OT
11/05/22	Aguada v Goes	66-68
07/05/22	Goes v Aguada	80-85
26/04/22	Aguada v Goes	69-70

Aguadalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/10/26	A	Atenas	84-57
28/10/26	A	Larranaga	75-91
24/10/26	H	Union Atletica	66-63
21/10/26	A	Nacional	83-81
23/06/26	H	Penarol	92-107
20/06/26	A	Penarol	71-80
17/06/26	H	Penarol	92-81
13/06/26	H	Penarol	78-71
10/06/26	A	Penarol	84-89
04/06/26	A	Penarol	82-99

Goeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/10/26	H	Union Atletica	97-83
27/10/26	A	Nacional	124-110
23/10/26	H	Malvin	90-71
20/10/26	A	Defensor	64-83
23/03/26	A	Urunday	84-88
20/03/26	A	Welcome	103-83
17/03/26	A	Bigua	97-94
14/03/26	A	Union Atletica	84-94
10/03/26	H	Cordon	94-87
20/02/26	H	Hebraica y Macabi	91-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aguada

Liga Uruguaya 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLW	75%
Home	W	100%
Away	WLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	1	3
Win %	75%	100%	67%
Points / game	77.0	66.0	80.7
Allowed / game	73.0	63.0	76.3
Point differential	+4.0	+3.0	+4.3
Avg total	150.0	129.0	157.0
Over 171.25	0%	0%	0%
Win by 10+	25%	0%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Goes

Liga Uruguaya 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWW	75%
Home	WW	100%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	75%	100%	50%
Points / game	93.8	93.5	94.0
Allowed / game	86.8	77.0	96.5
Point differential	+7.0	+16.5	-2.5
Avg total	180.5	170.5	190.5
Over 171.25	50%	50%	50%
Win by 10+	75%	100%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Penarol	3	3	0	100%	93.3	76.3	+17.0
2	Bigua	5	4	1	80%	89.4	84.0	+5.4
3	Goes	4	3	1	75%	93.8	86.8	+7.0
4	Aguada	4	3	1	75%	77.0	73.0	+4.0
5	Defensor	3	2	1	67%	81.3	74.7	+6.7
6	Malvin	5	3	2	60%	79.0	81.6	-2.6
7	Larranaga	5	2	3	40%	84.6	85.2	-0.6
8	Nacional	3	1	2	33%	93.7	94.7	-1.0
9	Hebraica y Macabi	3	1	2	33%	81.3	84.3	-3.0
10	Urunday	5	1	4	20%	81.6	84.0	-2.4
11	Union Atletica	5	1	4	20%	77.4	82.2	-4.8
12	Atenas	5	1	4	20%	71.0	86.6	-15.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Aguada	28	16	20	20	84
Goes	27	22	20	18	87

← all games of the day

Aguada vs Goes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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