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Aguada vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:40
Final 74-77
19-24 19-16 20-14 16-23
Position#11
Record0-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Minas 🏆
Position#5
Record1-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game61.0
EuropeChampions League Americas· Estadio
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aguada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AguadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAguada
Date
Competition
Urunday
#9
W
118-105
118
105
+13
122avg 86
H13/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
79-82
79
82
-3
73avg 86
A21/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
94-82
94
82
+12
92avg 86
H25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
92-107
92
107
-15
84avg 86
A29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
107-86
107
86
+21
105avg 86
H04/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
89-103
89
103
-14
82avg 86
A08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
112-82
112
82
+30
112avg 86
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
78-79
78
79
-1
71avg 86
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
93-76
93
76
+17
90avg 86
A19/11
Liga Uruguaya
Boca Juniors
#2
L
71-88
71
88
-17
56avg 86
H11/12
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
35-22
27-27
32-34
26-28
28-22
11-20
14-12
25-22
29-23
21-21
19-16
18-20
19-26
30-30
25-31
22-27
29-20
33-20
23-19
21-20
24-29
26-25
18-29
39-17
27-26
22-25
24-14
22-27
21-14
15-20
20-18
23-28
28-14
17-17
25-17
21-24
13-19
14-19
23-26
182.3Avg total
93.3Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)71.088.0159.0-17.00%
Season at home (1)71.088.0159.0-17.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)93.389.0182.3+4.350%
Last 5 (5)88.685.6174.2+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)84.786.8171.5-2.136%
vs Similar (4)96.294.2190.5+2.075%
vs Weaker (15)95.084.3179.3+10.780%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
86-70
86
70
+16
81avg 75
H04/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
108-74
108
74
+34
112avg 75
A08/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
78-80
78
80
-2
75avg 75
A10/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
86-81
86
81
+5
82avg 75
H15/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
94-63
94
63
+31
93avg 75
H18/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
77-81
77
81
-4
68avg 75
H21/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
94-88
94
88
+6
90avg 75
H23/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
88-72
88
72
+16
97avg 75
A03/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
74-71
74
71
+3
66avg 75
A05/12
NBB
Boca Juniors
#2
W
80-61
80
61
+19
73avg 75
A12/12
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
18-20
22-18
25-15
27-19
26-20
30-18
25-17
19-20
20-21
22-14
17-25
19-22
25-28
22-17
20-14
28-18
25-24
23-13
18-8
23-21
20-20
14-21
20-19
24-14
30-18
23-33
17-23
22-14
19-12
27-23
20-23
14-21
24-15
21-20
15-15
15-19
19-18
19-14
27-10
160.6Avg total
86.5Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.061.0141.0+19.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)80.061.0141.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.574.1160.6+12.480%
Last 5 (5)82.674.6157.2+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.065.5148.5+17.5100%
vs Similar (9)78.278.2156.4+0.044%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)82.472.2154.6+10.295%
This opponent (Aguada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +3.5+3.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +3.5+3.5
AguadaMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urunday
#9
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H13/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A21/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H04/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
66-43
66
43
+23
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A19/11
Liga Uruguaya
Boca Juniors
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H11/12
Champions League Americas
94.4Avg total
49.4Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.844.491.2+2.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.944.293.2+4.775%-
Last 30 away (14)44.444.688.9-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)49.445.094.4+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)47.843.691.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)44.544.789.3-0.245%-
vs Similar (4)47.242.589.8+4.875%-
vs Weaker (15)48.344.793.0+3.773%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H04/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A08/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A10/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H15/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H18/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H21/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H23/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A03/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A05/12
NBB
Boca Juniors
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A12/12
Champions League Americas
81.9Avg total
43.8Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.836.976.7+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.237.278.4+4.075%-
Last 30 away (14)38.236.574.7+1.743%-
Last 10 (10)43.838.181.9+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.034.476.4+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.537.073.5-0.550%-
vs Similar (9)40.441.081.4-0.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)39.834.974.7+4.968%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 92.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
48%
36%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.6
51.2%
54.0%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.211.1
38.0%
32.4%33.3
🏀 Free throws22.417.8
79.5%
69.7%17.8
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 46%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
48%
36%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.3
54.1%
54.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.0
34.6%
32.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.914.9
71.3%
69.7%14.9
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 46%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aguada
LWLWLWLWLW
Minas
WWWWLWWLWW
#11
League position
#5
+5.3
Net rating
+14.9
114.5
Offensive rating
108.7
109.2
Defensive rating
93.8
53.7%
Effective FG%
53.2%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
16.6%
Turnover %
18.4%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.0%
3-point %
34.6%
67.8%
Assist %
67.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 108.7Defence109.2 · 93.8Shooting53.7% · 53.2%3-point %38.0% · 34.6%Ball care16.6% · 18.4%Off. rebounds30.9% · 28.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Aguada   ■ Minas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aguada wins
0
Minas wins
No previous meetings.
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/25HBoca Juniors71-88
19/11/25AGoes93-76
14/11/25AHebraica y Macabi78-79
10/11/25HWelcome112-82
08/11/25APenarol89-103
04/11/25HCordon107-86
29/10/25AUnion Atletica92-107
25/10/25HMalvin94-82
21/10/25ANacional79-82
13/10/25HUrunday118-105
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/25ABoca Juniors80-61
05/12/25AUniao Corinthians74-71
03/12/25ACaxias do Sul88-72
23/11/25HBauru94-88
21/11/25HPinheiros77-81
18/11/25HPaulistano94-63
15/11/25HOsasco86-81
10/11/25ABrasilia78-80
08/11/25ARio Claro108-74
04/11/25HFranca86-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aguada
Champions League Americas 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game71.071.0-
Allowed / game88.088.0-
Point differential-17.0-17.0-
Avg total159.0159.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Minas
Champions League Americas 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game80.0-80.0
Allowed / game61.0-61.0
Point differential+19.0-+19.0
Avg total141.0-141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas110100%80.061.0+19.0
2 Instituto de Cordoba220100%86.581.5+5.0
3 Franca21150%87.086.0+1.0
4 Boca Juniors21150%74.575.5-1.0
5 U. De Concepcion2020%76.582.5-6.0
6 Aguada1010%71.088.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aguada1919201674
Minas2416142377
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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