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Caxias do Sul vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 72-88
14-22 12-19 23-27 23-20
Position#13
Record5-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Minas 🏆
Brazil
Position#3
Record10-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game77.2
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2025-26
Meetings · Caxias do Sul v Minas
20 Oct 2026
CAXI66
MINA78
03 Dec 2025
CAXI72
MINA88
16 Nov 2024
CAXI58
MINA78
10 Apr 2024
CAXI88
MINA99
10 Feb 2023
CAXI80
MINA63
27 Oct 2021
CAXI75
MINA83
04 Dec 2020
CAXI63
MINA94
06 Feb 2018
CAXI71
MINA91
28 Jan 2017
CAXI66
MINA52
06 Nov 2015
CAXI48
MINA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caxias do Sul winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSul
Date
Competition
Pato
#17
W
70-63
70
63
+7
73avg 66
H21/10
NBB
Franca
#1
W
75-73
75
73
+2
66avg 66
A28/10
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
64-75
64
75
-11
48avg 66
A30/10
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
92-79
92
79
+13
86avg 66
H03/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
64-96
64
96
-32
46avg 66
H05/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
59-82
59
82
-23
50avg 66
A09/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
63avg 66
A17/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
79-75
79
75
+4
80avg 66
A21/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
66-77
66
77
-11
53avg 66
A23/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
78-63
78
63
+15
78avg 66
H01/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
15-12
23-14
16-19
25-25
14-14
17-17
19-17
15-22
13-13
20-21
16-19
24-18
23-29
18-9
27-23
16-26
23-24
19-24
6-22
15-15
14-21
16-21
14-25
17-15
23-17
20-20
8-16
28-26
15-14
19-23
17-12
13-26
16-14
13-20
24-17
22-15
29-15
19-10
8-23
148.2Avg total
72.2Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)72.276.0148.2-3.850%
Season at home (4)76.075.2151.2+0.875%
Season away (6)69.776.5146.2-6.833%
Last 10 (10)72.276.0148.2-3.850%
Last 5 (5)71.474.8146.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)72.584.5157.0-12.027%
vs Similar (5)75.471.4146.8+4.060%
vs Weaker (3)80.372.3152.7+8.0100%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Mogi
#8
W
79-71
79
71
+8
75avg 74
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#17
W
76-75
76
75
+1
72avg 74
A27/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
84-76
84
76
+8
82avg 74
A01/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
86-70
86
70
+16
81avg 74
H04/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
108-74
108
74
+34
112avg 74
A08/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
78-80
78
80
-2
75avg 74
A10/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
86-81
86
81
+5
82avg 74
H15/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
94-63
94
63
+31
93avg 74
H18/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
77-81
77
81
-4
68avg 74
H21/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
94-88
94
88
+6
90avg 74
H23/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-17
24-15
22-18
21-21
27-17
8-22
20-14
21-22
23-14
15-23
30-17
16-22
21-17
18-20
22-18
25-15
27-19
26-20
30-18
25-17
19-20
20-21
22-14
17-25
19-22
25-28
22-17
20-14
28-18
25-24
23-13
18-8
23-21
20-20
14-21
20-19
24-14
30-18
23-33
17-23
162.1Avg total
86.2Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)86.177.2163.2+8.983%
Season at home (8)85.977.6163.5+8.288%
Season away (4)86.576.2162.8+10.275%
Last 10 (10)86.275.9162.1+10.380%
Last 5 (5)85.878.6164.4+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)86.070.0156.0+16.0100%
vs Similar (9)78.278.2156.4+0.044%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)82.671.5154.1+11.195%
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
Caxias do SulMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#17
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H21/10
NBB
Franca
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A28/10
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A30/10
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H03/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H05/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A09/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A17/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A21/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A23/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H01/12
NBB
75.5Avg total
37.6Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.640.576.1-4.927%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.738.275.9-0.543%-
Last 30 away (16)33.842.576.3-8.712%-
Last 10 (10)37.637.975.5-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.435.674.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)34.342.576.9-8.214%-
vs Similar (5)38.632.471.0+6.260%-
vs Weaker (3)40.339.079.3+1.367%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#8
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#17
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A27/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A01/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H04/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A08/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A10/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H15/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H18/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H21/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H23/11
NBB
82.4Avg total
43.4Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.936.876.7+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.336.677.9+4.778%-
Last 30 away (12)37.937.074.9+0.942%-
Last 10 (10)43.439.082.4+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)46.641.287.8+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.037.076.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar (9)40.441.081.4-0.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)39.834.974.6+4.970%-
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 69.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.216.1
48.5%
52.2%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.2
29.9%
32.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.213.1
72.0%
72.8%13.1
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.720.3
52.5%
52.2%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.6
35.4%
32.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws22.216.4
73.9%
72.8%16.4
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caxias do Sul
WLWLLLWLWW
Minas
WLWWLWWWWW
#13
League position
#3
-11.1
Net rating
+13.8
96.9
Offensive rating
109.6
107.9
Defensive rating
95.8
46.9%
Effective FG%
52.7%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
44.2%
20.5%
Turnover %
18.2%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
29.9%
3-point %
35.4%
63.4%
Assist %
67.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence96.9 · 109.6Defence107.9 · 95.8Shooting46.9% · 52.7%3-point %29.9% · 35.4%Ball care20.5% · 18.2%Off. rebounds28.7% · 29.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Caxias do Sul   ■ Minas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Caxias do Sul wins
9
Minas wins
DateGameScore
26/03/25Minas v Caxias do Sul88-70
16/11/24Caxias do Sul v Minas58-78
10/04/24Caxias do Sul v Minas88-99
27/12/23Minas v Caxias do Sul84-55
10/02/23Caxias do Sul v Minas80-63
28/10/22Minas v Caxias do Sul87-81
27/01/22Minas v Caxias do Sul83-62
27/10/21Caxias do Sul v Minas75-83
12/03/21Minas v Caxias do Sul74-70
04/12/20Caxias do Sul v Minas63-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/25HCruzeiro78-63
23/11/25APaulistano66-77
21/11/25AOsasco79-75
17/11/25AUniao Corinthians75-77 OT
09/11/25APinheiros59-82
05/11/25HBrasilia64-96
03/11/25HRio Claro92-79
30/10/25ABauru64-75
28/10/25AFranca75-73
21/10/25HPato70-63
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/25HBauru94-88
21/11/25HPinheiros77-81
18/11/25HPaulistano94-63
15/11/25HOsasco86-81
10/11/25ABrasilia78-80
08/11/25ARio Claro108-74
04/11/25HFranca86-70
01/11/25ACruzeiro84-76
27/10/25APato76-75
23/10/25HMogi79-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caxias do Sul
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %50%75%33%
Points / game72.276.069.7
Allowed / game76.075.276.5
Point differential-3.8+0.8-6.8
Avg total148.2151.2146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %10%0%17%
Minas
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW83%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %83%88%75%
Points / game86.185.986.5
Allowed / game77.277.676.2
Point differential+8.9+8.2+10.2
Avg total163.2163.5162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %8%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1211192%89.073.7+15.3
2 Minas1210283%86.177.2+8.9
3 Brasilia119282%83.269.8+13.4
4 Corinthians Paulista108280%84.874.6+10.2
5 Pinheiros108280%84.376.5+7.8
6 Franca129375%86.173.0+13.1
7 Mogi118373%82.766.1+16.6
8 Sao Jose106460%77.575.0+2.5
9 Paulistano127558%79.875.9+3.9
10 Unifacisa105550%79.179.0+0.1
11 Caxias do Sul105550%72.276.0-3.8
12 Bauru125742%72.875.7-2.9
13 Uniao Corinthians104640%75.785.1-9.4
14 Osasco134931%76.185.3-9.2
15 Cearense103730%79.184.5-5.4
16 Botafogo123925%70.880.0-9.2
17 Rio Claro123925%76.788.9-12.2
18 Cruzeiro1331023%76.486.7-10.3
19 Pato1221017%70.381.0-10.7
20 Vasco120120%66.080.2-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caxias do Sul1412232372
Minas2219272088
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