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Boca Juniors vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:40
Final 61-80
19-15 18-19 14-19 10-27
Position#2
Record1-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game71.0
Boca Juniors
vs
Minas 🏆
Position#5
Record-
FormWLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeChampions League Americas· Estadio
Other2025-26
Meetings · Boca Juniors v Minas
15 Jan 2026
BOCA92
MINA77
12 Dec 2025
BOCA61
MINA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuniors
Date
Competition
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
81-93
81
93
-12
72avg 77
A22/10
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
100-77
100
77
+23
104avg 77
A31/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
82-70
82
70
+12
75avg 77
A05/11
Liga A
Penarol
#11
L
78-89
78
89
-11
73avg 77
A07/11
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
66avg 77
H11/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
78-74
78
74
+4
66avg 77
H15/11
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
L
71-83
71
83
-12
70avg 77
A20/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
71-61
71
61
+10
no box
A22/11
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
116-83
116
83
+33
112avg 77
H06/12
Liga A
Aguada
#11
W
88-71
88
71
+17
90avg 77
A11/12
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
17-23
21-24
19-25
27-26
25-17
23-15
25-19
28-19
18-21
16-15
20-15
17-19
20-22
25-14
16-34
21-22
16-27
22-15
15-17
18-12
20-17
18-21
22-24
20-24
24-19
13-24
14-16
22-10
22-14
14-16
13-21
32-7
25-24
30-26
29-26
24-21
19-13
19-14
26-23
162.1Avg total
83.9Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)88.071.0159.0+17.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)88.071.0159.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.978.2162.1+5.760%
Last 5 (5)84.874.4159.2+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)78.677.9156.5+0.661%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.475.2160.7+10.275%
This opponent (Minas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Cruzeiro
#14
W
84-76
84
76
+8
82avg 75
A01/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
86-70
86
70
+16
81avg 75
H04/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
108-74
108
74
+34
112avg 75
A08/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
78-80
78
80
-2
75avg 75
A10/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
86-81
86
81
+5
82avg 75
H15/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
94-63
94
63
+31
93avg 75
H18/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
77-81
77
81
-4
68avg 75
H21/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
94-88
94
88
+6
90avg 75
H23/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
88-72
88
72
+16
97avg 75
A03/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
74-71
74
71
+3
66avg 75
A05/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
15-23
30-17
16-22
21-17
18-20
22-18
25-15
27-19
26-20
30-18
25-17
19-20
20-21
22-14
17-25
19-22
25-28
22-17
20-14
28-18
25-24
23-13
18-8
23-21
20-20
14-21
20-19
24-14
30-18
23-33
17-23
22-14
19-12
27-23
20-23
14-21
24-15
21-20
15-15
162.5Avg total
86.9Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.975.6162.5+11.380%
Last 5 (5)85.475.0160.4+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)86.070.0156.0+16.0100%
vs Similar (9)78.278.2156.4+0.044%
vs Weaker (20)83.271.5154.7+11.695%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
Boca JuniorsMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A22/10
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A31/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A05/11
Liga A
Penarol
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A07/11
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H11/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H15/11
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A20/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
44-24
44
24
+20
A22/11
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H06/12
Liga A
Aguada
#11
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A11/12
Champions League Americas
81.7Avg total
43.9Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.636.978.6+4.777%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.636.878.4+4.877%-
Last 30 away (17)41.637.178.7+4.676%-
Last 10 (10)43.937.881.7+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)45.232.277.4+13.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)39.737.276.9+2.667%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.536.681.1+7.992%-
This opponent (Minas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cruzeiro
#14
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A01/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H04/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A08/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A10/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H15/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H18/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H21/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H23/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A03/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A05/12
NBB
82.3Avg total
44.2Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.136.576.6+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.336.577.8+4.876%-
Last 30 away (13)38.536.575.0+2.146%-
Last 10 (10)44.238.182.3+6.180%-
Last 5 (5)45.835.481.2+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)39.037.076.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar (9)40.441.081.4-0.644%-
vs Weaker (20)40.034.574.5+5.570%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
48%
36%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.817.5
55.0%
54.0%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.9
39.5%
32.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws17.612.0
68.2%
69.7%12.0
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 46%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
48%
36%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.7
54.9%
54.0%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.5
33.5%
32.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.715.2
70.0%
69.7%15.2
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 46%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boca Juniors
WWWLWLLWWL
Minas
WWWLWWLWWW
#2
League position
#5
+10.4
Net rating
+12.6
112.2
Offensive rating
108.5
101.8
Defensive rating
95.8
57.0%
Effective FG%
52.9%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
45.5%
16.0%
Turnover %
18.1%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
39.5%
3-point %
33.5%
68.7%
Assist %
68.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 108.5Defence101.8 · 95.8Shooting57.0% · 52.9%3-point %39.5% · 33.5%Ball care16.0% · 18.1%Off. rebounds24.9% · 28.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Boca Juniors   ■ Minas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Boca Juniors wins
0
Minas wins
No previous meetings.
Boca Juniorslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/25AAguada88-71
06/12/25HArgentino116-83
22/11/25AQuimsa71-61
20/11/25AOlimpico71-83
15/11/25HSan Lorenzo78-74
11/11/25HRegatas74-81
07/11/25APenarol78-89
05/11/25AGimnasia82-70
31/10/25AUnion De Santa Fe100-77
22/10/25AObras Sanitarias81-93
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/25AUniao Corinthians74-71
03/12/25ACaxias do Sul88-72
23/11/25HBauru94-88
21/11/25HPinheiros77-81
18/11/25HPaulistano94-63
15/11/25HOsasco86-81
10/11/25ABrasilia78-80
08/11/25ARio Claro108-74
04/11/25HFranca86-70
01/11/25ACruzeiro84-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors
Champions League Americas 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game88.0-88.0
Allowed / game71.0-71.0
Point differential+17.0-+17.0
Avg total159.0-159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Minas
Champions League Americas 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boca Juniors110100%88.071.0+17.0
2 Instituto de Cordoba220100%86.581.5+5.0
3 Franca1010%89.093.0-4.0
4 U. De Concepcion1010%74.080.0-6.0
5 Aguada1010%71.088.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boca Juniors1918141061
Minas1519192780
← all games of the day
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