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AIK Basket vs Alvik Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 04 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record6-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game69.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
5.3/10
Around normal
Position#3
Record7-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.3
Allowed / game75.1
SwedenSuperettan· Vasalundshallen
Other2026-27
Meetings · AIK Basket v Alvik
04 Apr 2027
AIK v ALVI
upcoming
22 Nov 2025
AIK 93
ALVI63
15 Feb 2025
AIK 94
ALVI100
03 Oct 2020
AIK 91
ALVI61
12 Jan 2020
AIK 81
ALVI93
06 Feb 2019
AIK 82
ALVI91
09 Oct 2018
AIK 88
ALVI92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AIK Basket win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Alvik win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AIK BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Trelleborg
#10
W
92-71
92
71
+21
no box
H29/03
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
no box
A01/04
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
91-106
91
106
-15
81avg 76
A11/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
93-62
93
62
+31
77avg 76
A21/09
Superettan
Alvik
#3
W
101-94
101
94
+7
95avg 76
A27/09
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
67-90
67
90
-23
54avg 76
A03/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
W
84-58
84
58
+26
82avg 76
H11/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
82-66
82
66
+16
68avg 76
H24/10
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
W
73-56
73
56
+17
72avg 76
A01/11
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
W
93-61
93
61
+32
no box
H14/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
23-16
17-13
28-19
16-13
23-17
13-27
17-12
24-25
16-30
24-16
27-35
29-19
15-15
18-9
31-19
25-28
25-26
19-20
32-20
18-19
18-22
15-24
16-25
27-9
24-13
14-20
19-16
31-9
19-16
20-13
12-28
18-14
10-22
26-9
19-11
25-17
31-17
15-12
22-15
161.2Avg total
86.3Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.769.6154.3+15.186%
Season at home (3)86.361.7148.0+24.7100%
Season away (4)83.575.5159.0+8.075%
Last 10 (10)86.374.9161.2+11.480%
Last 5 (5)79.866.2146.0+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.386.0158.3-13.70%
vs Similar ◀ (15)83.981.7165.5+2.260%
vs Weaker (12)84.568.2152.7+16.383%
This opponent (Alvik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvikSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvik
Date
Competition
Eskilstuna
#8
L
82-96
82
96
-14
79avg 79
H06/05
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
127-59
127
59
+68
122avg 79
H19/09
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
L
94-101
94
101
-7
79avg 79
H27/09
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
W
90-63
90
63
+27
96avg 79
H04/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
77-93
77
93
-16
69avg 79
H10/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
97-84
97
84
+13
95avg 79
A17/10
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
87-68
87
68
+19
79avg 79
H21/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
86-65
86
65
+21
80avg 79
H25/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
78-65
78
65
+13
79avg 79
A01/11
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
W
104-78
104
78
+26
no box
A08/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
29-24
22-18
13-28
33-20
35-16
36-12
23-11
28-25
26-25
20-19
20-32
20-18
18-21
26-6
26-18
18-26
17-21
22-23
20-23
19-20
30-27
16-18
32-19
23-16
14-25
26-14
24-13
16-13
26-18
22-18
22-16
20-13
26-18
20-20
12-14
29-23
21-20
19-18
35-17
169.4Avg total
92.2Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)93.375.1168.4+18.278%
Season at home (6)93.574.8168.3+18.767%
Season away (3)93.075.7168.7+17.3100%
Last 10 (10)92.277.2169.4+15.070%
Last 5 (5)90.472.0162.4+18.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.480.6158.0-3.240%
vs Similar ◀ (15)83.782.9166.5+0.847%
vs Weaker (10)92.973.0165.9+19.990%
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +3.6+3.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +3.6+3.6
AIK BasketAlvik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trelleborg
#10
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H29/03
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A01/04
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A11/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A21/09
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A27/09
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A03/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
W
51-22
51
22
+29
H11/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H24/10
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A01/11
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H14/11
Superettan
81.1Avg total
44.1Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.379.7+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.734.976.6+6.864%-
Last 30 away (16)41.141.282.3-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)44.137.081.1+7.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.231.675.8+12.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.043.083.0-3.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.339.880.1+0.547%-
vs Weaker (12)43.135.278.3+7.867%-
This opponent (Alvik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eskilstuna
#8
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H06/05
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
68-36
68
36
+32
H19/09
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H27/09
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H04/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H10/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A17/10
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H21/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H25/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A01/11
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A08/11
Superettan
88.1Avg total
46.6Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.840.983.7+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.641.286.8+4.459%-
Last 30 away (13)39.240.579.8-1.338%-
Last 10 (10)46.641.588.1+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.838.683.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.043.080.0-6.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.941.384.1+1.647%-
vs Weaker (10)45.739.385.0+6.460%-
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AIK Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.1
51.9%
50.0%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.710.2
30.3%
29.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws26.216.9
64.5%
65.7%16.9
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvik: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.121.9
52.0%
50.0%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.2
33.3%
29.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws27.518.4
66.9%
65.7%18.4
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AIK Basket
WWWWLWWLWW
Alvik
WWWWWLWLWL
#1
League position
#3
+8.3
Net rating
+12.7
87.9
Offensive rating
94.6
79.6
Defensive rating
81.8
48.7%
Effective FG%
51.2%
43.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
14.4%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.39
30.3%
3-point %
33.3%
65.0%
Assist %
65.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence87.9 · 94.6Defence79.6 · 81.8Shooting48.7% · 51.2%3-point %30.3% · 33.3%Ball care14.4% · 16.4%Free throws0.38 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ AIK Basket   ■ Alvik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
AIK Basket wins
7
Alvik wins
DateGameScore
27/09/26Alvik v AIK Basket94-101
13/12/25Alvik v AIK Basket79-74
22/11/25AIK Basket v Alvik93-63
15/02/25AIK Basket v Alvik94-100
21/12/24Alvik v AIK Basket100-92
03/10/20AIK Basket v Alvik91-61
19/01/20Alvik v AIK Basket78-73
12/01/20AIK Basket v Alvik81-93
07/11/19Alvik v AIK Basket73-63
06/02/19AIK Basket v Alvik82-91
AIK Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCross Over93-61
01/11/26AEskilstuna73-56
24/10/26HMalbas82-66
11/10/26HHuddinge84-58
03/10/26AFryshuset Basket67-90
27/09/26AAlvik101-94
21/09/26ADjurgarden93-62
11/04/26ATrelleborg91-106
01/04/26ASollentuna87-85 OT
29/03/26HTrelleborg92-71
Alviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26ASollentuna104-78
01/11/26AOckelbo78-65
25/10/26HMalbas86-65
21/10/26HDjurgarden87-68
17/10/26ATrelleborg97-84
10/10/26HFryshuset Basket77-93
04/10/26HEskilstuna90-63
27/09/26HAIK Basket94-101
19/09/26HOckelbo127-59
06/05/26HEskilstuna82-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AIK Basket
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game84.786.383.5
Allowed / game69.661.775.5
Point differential+15.1+24.7+8.0
Avg total154.3148.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alvik
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %78%67%100%
Points / game93.393.593.0
Allowed / game75.174.875.7
Point differential+18.2+18.7+17.3
Avg total168.4168.3168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket76186%84.769.6+15.1
2 Fryshuset Basket119282%90.377.8+12.5
3 Alvik97278%93.375.1+18.2
4 IK Eos85362%88.174.8+13.4
5 Wetterbygden Stars106460%82.879.7+3.1
6 Norrort74357%87.080.3+6.7
7 Huddinge95456%77.280.9-3.7
8 Sollentuna116555%84.380.3+4.0
9 Eskilstuna116555%83.484.2-0.8
10 Trelleborg84450%79.980.0-0.1
11 Djurgarden104640%78.886.0-7.2
12 Ockelbo103730%70.883.3-12.5
13 Malbas111109%71.485.2-13.8
14 Cross Over100100%69.393.7-24.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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