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AIK Basket vs Aros Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 88-76
18-23 22-16 19-17 29-20
Position#12
Record3-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game83.7
vs
Position#6
Record3-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game74.4
SwedenSuperettan· Vasalundshallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · AIK Basket v Aros Basket
14 Mar 2026
AIK 86
AROS75
16 Nov 2024
AIK 88
AROS76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AIK Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aros Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AIK BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Tureberg
#8
L
72-81
72
81
-9
60avg 68
A12/04
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
87-70
87
70
+17
86avg 68
H14/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
81-97
81
97
-16
68avg 68
A19/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
84-82
84
82
+2
71avg 68
H21/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
66-97
66
97
-31
36avg 68
H22/09
Superettan
Tureberg
#14
W
80-71
80
71
+9
74avg 68
A07/10
Superettan
Aros Basket
#6
W
92-83
92
83
+9
90avg 68
A20/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#4
W
74-63
74
63
+11
66avg 68
H26/10
Superettan
Blackeberg
#10
L
65-82
65
82
-17
54avg 68
H02/11
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#2
L
85-106
85
106
-21
63avg 68
A09/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
19-23
18-16
17-26
16-21
21-11
30-19
20-19
22-23
19-25
13-26
27-23
24-19
17-18
22-28
21-17
20-26
10-19
14-28
22-24
22-17
13-13
23-19
22-22
23-15
22-16
22-27
25-25
21-7
12-23
16-22
25-11
16-23
16-16
14-19
19-24
22-37
18-25
24-26
21-18
161.8Avg total
78.6Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.083.7160.7-6.750%
Season at home (3)68.380.7149.0-12.333%
Season away (3)85.786.7172.3-1.067%
Last 10 (10)78.683.2161.8-4.650%
Last 5 (5)79.281.0160.2-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)78.086.2164.2-8.240%
vs Similar (13)81.684.0165.6-2.446%
vs Weaker (12)78.375.7154.0+2.767%
This opponent (Aros Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Aros BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Malbas
#5
L
66-70
66
70
-4
58avg 70
H21/09
Superettan
Tureberg
#14
W
100-58
100
58
+42
107avg 70
H28/09
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
L
83-94
83
94
-11
76avg 70
A06/10
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
63-74
63
74
-11
51avg 70
H12/10
Superettan
AIK Basket
#12
L
83-92
83
92
-9
70avg 70
H20/10
Superettan
Blackeberg
#10
W
73-64
73
64
+9
66avg 70
A26/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#2
L
69-73
69
73
-4
69avg 70
H02/11
Superettan
Alvik
#7
W
71-70
71
70
+1
61avg 70
H09/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
17-14
21-20
10-20
29-19
29-13
21-16
21-10
16-26
31-20
17-19
19-29
16-22
23-18
13-15
11-19
15-23
16-22
27-22
25-25
18-13
16-19
14-20
25-12
17-8
17-20
15-20
20-25
21-8
23-19
7-22
20-21
150.4Avg total
76.0Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.074.4150.4+1.638%
Season at home (6)75.372.8148.2+2.533%
Season away (2)78.079.0157.0-1.050%
Last 10 (8)76.074.4150.4+1.638%
Last 5 (5)71.874.6146.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.779.3150.0-8.70%
vs Similar (2)70.071.5141.5-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)85.371.3156.7+14.067%
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
AIK BasketAros Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tureberg
#8
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A12/04
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H14/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A19/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H21/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H22/09
Superettan
Tureberg
#14
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A07/10
Superettan
Aros Basket
#6
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A20/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#4
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H26/10
Superettan
Blackeberg
#10
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H02/11
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#2
L
40-62
40
62
-22
A09/11
Superettan
76.4Avg total
37.1Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.839.778.5-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.037.576.5+1.567%-
Last 30 away (15)38.741.980.5-3.227%-
Last 10 (10)37.139.376.4-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.038.475.4-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)37.240.277.4-3.060%-
vs Similar (13)40.240.881.1-0.638%-
vs Weaker (12)38.038.276.2-0.250%-
This opponent (Aros Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Aros BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malbas
#5
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H21/09
Superettan
Tureberg
#14
W
58-32
58
32
+26
H28/09
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A06/10
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H12/10
Superettan
AIK Basket
#12
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H20/10
Superettan
Blackeberg
#10
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A26/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#2
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H02/11
Superettan
Alvik
#7
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H09/11
Superettan
75.2Avg total
40.2Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (8)40.235.075.2+5.275%-
Last 30 at home (6)40.233.773.8+6.567%-
Last 30 away (2)40.539.079.5+1.5100%-
Last 10 (8)40.235.075.2+5.275%-
Last 5 (5)36.434.470.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.338.779.0+1.767%-
vs Similar (2)39.027.566.5+11.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)41.036.377.3+4.767%-
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AIK Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.621.6
47.4%
49.8%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.47.5
27.4%
30.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.911.9
56.9%
67.1%11.9
They take 73.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aros Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aros Basket: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.5
50.0%
49.8%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.1
33.0%
30.1%24.4
🏀 Free throws17.011.0
64.7%
67.1%11.0
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AIK Basket
LLWWWLWLWL
Aros Basket
WLWLLLWL
#12
League position
#6
-6.0
Net rating
+3.7
96.7
Offensive rating
94.2
102.7
Defensive rating
90.5
45.0%
Effective FG%
49.8%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
42.7%
19.1%
Turnover %
21.6%
36.5%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
27.4%
3-point %
33.0%
62.9%
Assist %
70.3%
50%
Form (last 10/8)
38%

Profile

Offence96.7 · 94.2Defence102.7 · 90.5Shooting45.0% · 49.8%3-point %27.4% · 33.0%Ball care19.1% · 21.6%Off. rebounds36.5% · 24.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/8)50% · 38%
■ AIK Basket   ■ Aros Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
AIK Basket wins
0
Aros Basket wins
DateGameScore
20/10/24Aros Basket v AIK Basket83-92
AIK Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24AWetterbygden Stars85-106
02/11/24HBlackeberg65-82
26/10/24HOckelbo74-63
20/10/24AAros Basket92-83
07/10/24ATureberg80-71
22/09/24HKFUM Fryshuset66-97
21/04/24HSloga Uppsala84-82
19/04/24ASloga Uppsala81-97
14/04/24HTureberg87-70
12/04/24ATureberg72-81
Aros Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24HAlvik71-70
02/11/24HWetterbygden Stars69-73
26/10/24ABlackeberg73-64
20/10/24HAIK Basket83-92
12/10/24HKFUM Fryshuset63-74
06/10/24ASloga Uppsala83-94
28/09/24HTureberg100-58
21/09/24HMalbas66-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AIK Basket
Superettan 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game77.068.385.7
Allowed / game83.780.786.7
Point differential-6.7-12.3-1.0
Avg total160.7149.0172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aros Basket
Superettan 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Losses (last 8)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW38%
HomeWLLLW33%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %38%33%50%
Points / game76.075.378.0
Allowed / game74.472.879.0
Point differential+1.6+2.5-1.0
Avg total150.4148.2157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KFUM Fryshuset880100%88.869.2+19.5
2 Wetterbygden Stars98189%82.780.6+2.1
3 Sloga Uppsala76186%87.981.4+6.4
4 Malbas95456%82.073.0+9.0
5 Ockelbo84450%78.273.5+4.8
6 Alvik84450%81.578.5+3.0
7 AIK Basket63350%77.083.7-6.7
8 Djurgarden52340%73.475.4-2.0
9 Aros Basket83538%76.074.4+1.6
10 Blackeberg83538%76.580.2-3.8
11 Huddinge83538%75.881.6-5.9
12 Akersberga72529%79.084.7-5.7
13 IK Eos82625%83.287.9-4.6
14 Tureberg91811%68.287.3-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AIK Basket1822192988
Aros Basket2316172076
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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