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AIK Basket vs Eskilstuna Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 73-79
16-12 22-15 13-23 22-29
Position#9
Record0-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game92.0
AIK Basket
Sweden
vs
Eskilstuna 🏆
Sweden
Position#8
Record1-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game92.0
SwedenSuperettan· Vasalundshallen
Other2025-26
Meetings · AIK Basket v Eskilstuna
06 Feb 2027
AIK v ESKI
upcoming
04 Oct 2025
AIK 73
ESKI79
03 Apr 2024
AIK 69
ESKI84
08 Jan 2023
AIK 86
ESKI93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AIK Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Eskilstuna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AIK BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Malbas
#5
L
78-116
78
116
-38
56avg 70
A02/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
95-86
95
86
+9
91avg 70
H09/02
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
94-100
94
100
-6
88avg 70
H15/02
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
L
66-79
66
79
-13
48avg 70
H25/02
Superettan
Ockelbo
#4
L
82-95
82
95
-13
70avg 70
A01/03
Superettan
Djurgarden
#8
L
61-86
61
86
-25
43avg 70
H09/03
Superettan
Malbas
#5
W
90-78
90
78
+12
90avg 70
H23/03
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
L
80-82
80
82
-2
72avg 70
A30/03
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
82-89
82
89
-7
74avg 70
A03/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
L
75-92
75
92
-17
67avg 70
A27/09
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-28
16-33
26-34
20-21
19-25
26-18
28-21
22-22
12-31
32-29
19-15
31-25
8-20
18-15
22-20
18-24
17-20
19-18
25-27
21-30
9-19
15-23
15-23
22-21
21-17
26-18
14-23
29-20
14-15
23-20
20-17
23-30
26-28
12-25
26-14
18-22
17-23
20-15
16-33
22-21
170.6Avg total
80.3Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)75.092.0167.0-17.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)75.092.0167.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)80.390.3170.6-10.020%
Last 5 (5)77.685.4163.0-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)79.189.3168.4-10.224%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.584.9166.4-3.536%
vs Weaker (2)82.070.5152.5+11.5100%
This opponent (Eskilstuna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EskilstunaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEskilstuna
Date
Competition
Norrort
#15
W
72-64
72
64
+8
no box
A03/03
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
91-99
91
99
-8
no box
H09/03
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
77-81
77
81
-4
no box
A16/03
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
L
87-89
87
89
-2
no box
A20/03
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
86-70
86
70
+16
no box
A23/03
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
L
76-88
76
88
-12
no box
H27/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
W
84-69
84
69
+15
no box
A03/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
101-94
101
94
+7
no box
H07/04
Superettan
Malbas
#2
W
95-88
95
88
+7
94avg 85
H20/09
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
89-96
89
96
-7
77avg 85
A25/09
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
8-15
16-10
27-25
22-25
23-25
21-25
25-24
21-15
20-30
10-29
26-7
19-16
35-25
21-27
12-21
26-18
22-10
19-24
19-18
18-27
15-16
27-19
16-26
15-19
22-23
23-7
24-20
28-19
21-24
30-20
22-31
22-14
18-25
25-23
30-26
23-31
20-24
22-18
24-23
169.6Avg total
85.8Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)92.092.0184.0+0.050%
Season at home (1)95.088.0183.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)89.096.0185.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)85.883.8169.6+2.050%
Last 5 (5)89.087.0176.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)78.788.2166.9-9.624%
vs Similar ◀ (5)81.075.4156.4+5.680%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.4+0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.4+0.4
AIK BasketEskilstuna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malbas
#5
L
32-61
32
61
-29
A02/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H09/02
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
44-60
44
60
-16
H15/02
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H25/02
Superettan
Ockelbo
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A01/03
Superettan
Djurgarden
#8
L
24-42
24
42
-18
H09/03
Superettan
Malbas
#5
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H23/03
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A30/03
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A03/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A27/09
Superettan
80.6Avg total
36.6Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.542.280.7-3.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.540.778.3-3.247%-
Last 30 away (15)39.443.783.1-4.340%-
Last 10 (10)36.644.080.6-7.430%-
Last 5 (5)36.640.677.2-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.043.480.4-6.435%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.741.982.6-1.245%-
vs Weaker (2)38.534.072.5+4.5100%-
This opponent (Eskilstuna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EskilstunaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrort
#15
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A03/03
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H09/03
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A16/03
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A20/03
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
48-28
48
28
+20
A23/03
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H27/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A03/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H07/04
Superettan
Malbas
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H20/09
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A25/09
Superettan
83.4Avg total
41.9Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.842.180.9-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.142.581.5-3.440%-
Last 30 away (15)38.641.780.3-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)41.941.583.4+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.444.484.8-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)38.843.982.7-5.132%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)39.033.272.2+5.840%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AIK Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.720.0
48.0%
50.7%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.87.2
25.0%
30.9%21.6
🏀 Free throws26.517.7
66.8%
67.0%17.7
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Eskilstunatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Eskilstuna: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.323.4
51.7%
50.7%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.6
30.2%
30.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.112.8
67.0%
67.0%12.8
They take 73.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AIK Basket
LLLWLLLLWL
Eskilstuna
LWWWLWLLLW
#9
League position
#8
-12.2
Net rating
+2.8
96.5
Offensive rating
99.0
108.7
Defensive rating
96.2
43.7%
Effective FG%
49.2%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
20.2%
Turnover %
21.4%
36.1%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.26
25.0%
3-point %
30.2%
67.3%
Assist %
59.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.5 · 99.0Defence108.7 · 96.2Shooting43.7% · 49.2%3-point %25.0% · 30.2%Ball care20.2% · 21.4%Off. rebounds36.1% · 31.8%Free throws0.38 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ AIK Basket   ■ Eskilstuna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
AIK Basket wins
2
Eskilstuna wins
DateGameScore
03/04/24AIK Basket v Eskilstuna69-84
27/01/24Eskilstuna v AIK Basket80-88
08/01/23AIK Basket v Eskilstuna86-93
03/12/22Eskilstuna v AIK Basket80-85
AIK Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/25ADjurgarden75-92
03/04/25AKFUM Fryshuset82-89
30/03/25ASloga Uppsala80-82
23/03/25HMalbas90-78
09/03/25HDjurgarden61-86
01/03/25AOckelbo82-95
25/02/25HSloga Uppsala66-79
15/02/25HAlvik94-100
09/02/25HIK Eos95-86
02/02/25AMalbas78-116
Eskilstunalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/25AFryshuset Basket89-96
20/09/25HMalbas95-88
07/04/24HDjurgarden101-94
03/04/24AAIK Basket84-69
27/03/24HOckelbo76-88
23/03/24ARIG Mark86-70
20/03/24ADjurgarden87-89
16/03/24AKFUM Fryshuset77-81
09/03/24HHogsbo91-99
03/03/24ANorrort72-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AIK Basket
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game75.0-75.0
Allowed / game92.0-92.0
Point differential-17.0--17.0
Avg total167.0-167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Eskilstuna
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game92.095.089.0
Allowed / game92.088.096.0
Point differential+0.0+7.0-7.0
Avg total184.0183.0185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Aros Basket110100%76.066.0+10.0
2 Fryshuset Basket220100%93.083.5+9.5
3 Djurgarden32167%90.076.3+13.7
4 Alvik32167%88.376.3+12.0
5 Sollentuna32167%79.773.0+6.7
6 Ockelbo32167%77.076.3+0.7
7 Malbas21150%92.081.0+11.0
8 IK Eos21150%74.571.0+3.5
9 Huddinge21150%80.580.0+0.5
10 Eskilstuna21150%92.092.0+0.0
11 Trelleborg31233%71.082.3-11.3
12 Wetterbygden Stars2020%74.085.5-11.5
13 AIK Basket1010%75.092.0-17.0
14 Blackeberg3030%66.794.7-28.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AIK Basket1622132273
Eskilstuna1215232979
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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