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AIK Basket vs Djurgarden Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 61-86
9-19 15-23 15-23 22-21
Position#12
Record7-15
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game87.1
vs
Position#8
Record9-11
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game79.3
SwedenSuperettan· Vasalundshallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · AIK Basket v Djurgarden
13 Mar 2027
AIK v DJUR
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
AIK 68
DJUR73
09 Mar 2025
AIK 61
DJUR86
22 Nov 2023
AIK 87
DJUR73
27 Nov 2018
AIK 73
DJUR99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AIK Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Djurgarden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AIK BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Huddinge
#9
L
76-77
76
77
-1
73avg 70
H11/01
Superettan
Tureberg
#14
W
84-70
84
70
+14
no box
H19/01
Superettan
Djurgarden
#8
L
69-90
69
90
-21
53avg 70
A24/01
Superettan
Akersberga
#13
W
88-79
88
79
+9
87avg 70
A26/01
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
89-94
89
94
-5
81avg 70
A01/02
Superettan
Malbas
#5
L
78-116
78
116
-38
56avg 70
A02/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
95-86
95
86
+9
91avg 70
H09/02
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
94-100
94
100
-6
88avg 70
H15/02
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
L
66-79
66
79
-13
48avg 70
H25/02
Superettan
Ockelbo
#4
L
82-95
82
95
-13
70avg 70
A01/03
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
19-20
17-15
15-16
20-12
22-26
15-24
27-8
16-22
16-19
14-22
23-27
33-18
16-21
16-21
23-19
18-26
27-23
25-20
19-25
16-28
16-33
26-34
20-21
19-25
26-18
28-21
22-22
12-31
32-29
19-15
31-25
8-20
18-15
22-20
18-24
17-20
19-18
25-27
21-30
170.7Avg total
82.1Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.287.1167.3-7.032%
Season at home (11)78.383.2161.5-4.936%
Season away (11)82.191.1173.2-9.027%
Last 10 (10)82.188.6170.7-6.530%
Last 5 (5)83.095.2178.2-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)79.790.9170.6-11.225%
vs Similar (13)80.885.9166.7-5.231%
vs Weaker (5)80.675.2155.8+5.480%
This opponent (Djurgarden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DjurgardenSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDjurgarden
Date
Competition
IK Eos
#11
L
79-90
79
90
-11
59avg 74
H15/12
Superettan
Ockelbo
#4
L
71-83
71
83
-12
65avg 74
A21/12
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
74-79
74
79
-5
no box
H12/01
Superettan
Akersberga
#13
W
93-75
93
75
+18
86avg 74
H15/01
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
L
83-95
83
95
-12
69avg 74
A19/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#12
W
90-69
90
69
+21
84avg 74
H24/01
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
W
76-74
76
74
+2
75avg 74
A02/02
Superettan
Aros Basket
#6
L
78-79
78
79
-1
64avg 74
A08/02
Superettan
Tureberg
#14
W
90-71
90
71
+19
89avg 74
H19/02
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
82-84
82
84
-2
72avg 74
H02/03
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
21-28
16-19
26-17
26-24
18-15
12-18
15-26
21-25
14-23
21-20
18-11
15-16
17-22
33-18
28-19
28-24
19-26
13-22
23-23
22-16
19-16
22-14
27-23
17-22
25-16
20-13
14-23
30-28
16-16
22-17
10-18
29-29
25-15
18-23
18-4
19-26
17-25
28-14
18-19
161.5Avg total
81.6Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.779.3159.9+1.445%
Season at home (12)83.280.5163.8+2.850%
Season away (8)76.877.5154.2-0.838%
Last 10 (10)81.679.9161.5+1.740%
Last 5 (5)83.275.4158.6+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.085.0164.0-6.033%
vs Similar (13)77.484.8162.2-7.415%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)87.076.9163.9+10.179%
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
AIK BasketDjurgarden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Huddinge
#9
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H11/01
Superettan
Tureberg
#14
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H19/01
Superettan
Djurgarden
#8
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A24/01
Superettan
Akersberga
#13
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A26/01
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A01/02
Superettan
Malbas
#5
L
32-61
32
61
-29
A02/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H09/02
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
44-60
44
60
-16
H15/02
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H25/02
Superettan
Ockelbo
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A01/03
Superettan
84.5Avg total
39.5Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.042.081.0-3.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.640.479.1-1.856%-
Last 30 away (14)39.443.983.3-4.436%-
Last 10 (10)39.545.084.5-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)36.647.484.0-10.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.244.581.7-7.333%-
vs Similar (13)40.142.082.1-1.938%-
vs Weaker (5)40.636.276.8+4.4100%-
This opponent (Djurgarden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DjurgardenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IK Eos
#11
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H15/12
Superettan
Ockelbo
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A21/12
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H12/01
Superettan
Akersberga
#13
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H15/01
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A19/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#12
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H24/01
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A02/02
Superettan
Aros Basket
#6
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A08/02
Superettan
Tureberg
#14
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H19/02
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H02/03
Superettan
85.2Avg total
41.4Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.042.683.6-1.650%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.442.282.6-1.947%-
Last 30 away (13)41.843.184.8-1.354%-
Last 10 (10)41.443.885.2-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.841.885.6+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.347.388.7-6.00%-
vs Similar (13)39.443.983.3-4.546%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.440.482.7+2.064%-
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AIK Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.8
50.4%
49.8%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.76.2
26.2%
30.1%18.6
🏀 Free throws23.414.9
63.7%
67.1%14.9
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Djurgardentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Djurgarden: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.119.5
48.6%
49.8%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.7
37.7%
30.1%32.1
🏀 Free throws15.610.7
68.6%
67.1%10.7
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AIK Basket
LLLWLLWLWL
Djurgarden
LWLWWLWLLL
#12
League position
#8
-8.9
Net rating
+2.1
97.1
Offensive rating
102.6
106.0
Defensive rating
100.4
46.3%
Effective FG%
51.9%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
22.5%
Turnover %
19.3%
37.3%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.23
26.2%
3-point %
37.7%
58.5%
Assist %
54.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.1 · 102.6Defence106.0 · 100.4Shooting46.3% · 51.9%3-point %26.2% · 37.7%Ball care22.5% · 19.3%Off. rebounds37.3% · 27.4%Free throws0.36 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ AIK Basket   ■ Djurgarden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
AIK Basket wins
4
Djurgarden wins
DateGameScore
24/01/25Djurgarden v AIK Basket90-69
01/03/24Djurgarden v AIK Basket83-86
22/11/23AIK Basket v Djurgarden87-73
22/03/19Djurgarden v AIK Basket105-84
27/11/18AIK Basket v Djurgarden73-99
29/09/18Djurgarden v AIK Basket116-113 OT
AIK Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25AOckelbo82-95
25/02/25HSloga Uppsala66-79
15/02/25HAlvik94-100
09/02/25HIK Eos95-86
02/02/25AMalbas78-116
01/02/25AIK Eos89-94
26/01/25AAkersberga88-79
24/01/25ADjurgarden69-90
19/01/25HTureberg84-70
11/01/25HHuddinge76-77
Djurgardenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25HKFUM Fryshuset82-84
19/02/25HTureberg90-71
08/02/25AAros Basket78-79
02/02/25AHuddinge76-74
24/01/25HAIK Basket90-69
19/01/25ASloga Uppsala83-95
15/01/25HAkersberga93-75
12/01/25HAlvik74-79
21/12/24AOckelbo71-83
15/12/24HIK Eos79-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AIK Basket
Superettan 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL32%
HomeLWWLL36%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %32%36%27%
Points / game80.278.382.1
Allowed / game87.183.291.1
Point differential-7.0-4.9-9.0
Avg total167.3161.5173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Djurgarden
Superettan 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL45%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayWLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %45%50%38%
Points / game80.783.276.8
Allowed / game79.380.577.5
Point differential+1.4+2.8-0.8
Avg total159.9163.8154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sloga Uppsala2219386%86.876.0+10.9
2 Wetterbygden Stars2217577%84.781.4+3.3
3 KFUM Fryshuset2116576%83.475.8+7.7
4 Malbas2214864%83.773.5+10.2
5 Ockelbo2112957%77.574.4+3.1
6 Alvik21111052%82.980.1+2.8
7 Aros Basket20101050%79.980.2-0.3
8 Djurgarden2091145%80.779.3+1.4
9 Huddinge2291341%77.382.2-4.9
10 Blackeberg2171433%74.779.3-4.7
11 AIK Basket2271532%80.287.1-7.0
12 Akersberga2161529%78.983.9-5.0
13 Tureberg2161529%71.084.0-12.9
14 IK Eos2261627%81.586.3-4.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AIK Basket915152261
Djurgarden1923232186
← all games of the day
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